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FPOL1! trade ideas

CPO Continue above 7000? Or Ready for Correction?FCPO declined by nearly 8% on last Friday and closed at 6276 as profit taking took place, but posted 2nd weekly gains after touched on historical high at 7108. So, what’s make palm oil now the costlier edible oil among the 4 major edible oils? Global commodities rallied following EU bans certain Russian banks from SWIFT bank payment system which aimed to stuttering the Russia economy and introduces further restrictions. The war expected to disrupt the processing and export of Ukraine oilseeds crops for at least 1 month and curb flow of sunflower seed to the European Union. 2. India’s reserve is facing a depletion in stocks levels with a lack of shipments of sunflower oil from the Black Sea Region. India requested Indonesia temporary reduce their biodiesel blending rules and increase the exports to mitigate disrupted supplies of sunflower oil. 3. Rising concerns on adequate palm supply levels for post-Ramadan restocking. While expectations of higher productions in coming months as high output cycle kicks in and government also announced new migrant workers to work in plantation sector capped gains. 4. Soybean oil prices closed lower as profit taking and rainfall in Brazil and Argentina eased dry weather conditions. Technical View: 1. Shooting star formed at resistance level of 7100, which indicates market losing uptrend momentum and also a reversal signal 2. Stochastic K% line is crossing down in both weekly and daily chart which indicates downtrend signal We expect market may have short term retracement with immediate support level at 5825 Suggestion Trade: Short if stay below 6200 Target Stop Loss (resistance level) 6365 Target Profit level (support level) TP1 6035 TP2 5705 Long if stay above 6800 Target Stop Loss (support level) 6635 Target Profit level (resistance level) TP1 6965 TP2 7295 **Disclaimer: Trading Carries Risks**
MYX:FCPO1!
by happytrading96
1
FCPO continue 6400 or Short Term Correction?FCPO set their biggest weekly gains in more than 9 months despite a sharp drop on Friday, as Russia’s attack on Ukraine stoked worries about global edible oil supply. I believe who traded last week hopefully you were enjoy the roller coaster ride in the market. For your information, Ukraine is a major key supplier of grains and oilseeds globally, any further threats to trade will shift demand for other vegetable oil such as SBO and CPO. As we all knew that the unresolved Ukraine crisis may further erode the supply of vegetable oil, grains, crude and natural gas due to the grain flows disruption in Black Sea export region with all transportation avenue were disrupted by military operation. Besides, India stopped buying sunflower oil following ports suspended operation on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. India pivot to alternate oils could further support Malaysian palm oil and US soyoil. On the other hand, surging in COVID cases also keep palm oil prices elevated for 1H2022 as shortage of labour and supplies. Furthermore, worsening yields in Argentina and Brazil pushed importers to buy from alternative supplier. Technical View: Market uptrend remains with immediate support at 5825. Stochastic K% line is crossing down at overbought zone in both weekly and daily chart which indicates reversal signal We expect market may have short term retracement with immediate support level at 5625 Suggestion Trade: Short if stay below 5885 Target Stop Loss (resistance level) 6023 Target Profit level (support level) TP1 5747 TP2 5471 Long if stay above 6200 Target Stop Loss (support level) 6062 Target Profit level (resistance level) TP1 6338 TP2 6614 ** DISCLAIMER: FOR INFO ONLY. TRADING CARRIES RISK **
MYX:FCPO1!
by happytrading96
FCPO TRADING : 319) new era of 6kthis is haidojo and the number is 319 ... Yesterday, 24th Feb22 marked the darkest hour in history as Russia engaged a massive full-attack on Ukraine and this triggered fcpo-may to peak at its highest at 6470! The highest price ever in the history, so far. At the time as I wrote this, fcpo-may is facing a hard profit-taking activities and plunged into 6140 region ald...So, if I were to trade, I shall temporarily go for "short" after the event of war but fcpo-may is still in the uptrend for the medium to long-term. Until further support levels are broken. It is still unsure if the event of Russia-Ukraine war outbreak will contain in the North region only or the malicious arm of war conflicts would spread to other parts of the world if NATO or the allies seek retaliation. Thus, back to technical price, fcpo-may seeks the nearest support levels ranged frm 5980-6090, the next proceeding levels range frm 5700-5778 and the strong support and critical support range frm 5380-5500. See if those levels are broken, then we might have encountered some reversal of trend. That's all for the update today. *plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck* resistance : 6340-6470 (NSH and also new historical high) support : 5980-6090 lower support : 5700-5778 WARNING! RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD … any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by HAIDOJO_trading
Reversal Signs Continue in Palm Oil MarketFCPO closed higher at 5539 after gap filled at 5612 by last Friday but posted weekly losses. What were the factors that caused crude palm oil prices struggling to maintain above 5800? 1. India reduce farm infrastructure tax on CPO to 5%, which will effective until Sept 30, with the objective to increase gap between CPO and refined palm oil to benefit the domestic refining industry. 2. Uncertainties over Ukraine crisis lead market to stay vigilant on possible rising tensions. 3. Better production forecast for 1st half of Feb limited the upside of palm oil prices 4. Soybean Oil continue to move higher as concerns over weather forecast and fire incident broke in US biodiesel plant at Claypool, Indiana. Furthermore, India acquire massive purchase on soybean oil as high soybean price for local crushers to reduce output. 5. Crude Oil prices extended losses as prospects of extra supply from Iran. Weaker crude make palm less attractive option for biodiesel feedstock. 6. Near month spread widen as traders foresee East Malaysia production remains weak for Feb. Technical View: Market reversal signs remains. Gravestone doji formed in Daily Chart after market tried to move higher but sell down by the market. Stochastic K% line is crossing down at overbought zone in both weekly and daily chart We expect market may have short term retracement with immediate support level at 5350. Suggestion Trade: Short if stay below 5550 Target Stop Loss (resistance level) 5625 Target Profit (support level) TP1 5425 TP2 5345 TP 5245
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by happytrading96
Reversal Signs in Palm Oil Market?Market closed slightly higher at 5573 last Friday after tighter range move. Some key factors continue to weigh on palm oil prices: 1. Indonesia had expanded its export permit requirement for palm oil products where exporters must sell 20% of their exports at home and with price cap to other derivatives. This further raising fears of global supply disruptions. The regulation valid from Feb 15. 2. Latest Malaysia Palm Oil Board data showed lower inventories and production due to labor shortage and flooding; lower exports due to rising palm oil prices However, analysts’ expectations that current high price not sustainable 3. some participants expecting production to pick up in March as Malaysia Government targeting full scale reopening of international border 4. . Soybean oil continued uptrend, as LaNina brought in hot weather across key South America growing areas and strong demand on US soybean 5. Strong crude oil prices amid ongoing worries about supply disruptions from the Russia and Ukraine crisis Technical View: 1. Market uptrend paused with hanging man formed at resistance level of 5750, indicates reversal signal 2. Stochastic reached overbought level and K% line is crossing down which signalled reversal signal We expect market may have short term retracement if market unable to stay above 5500. Suggestion Trade: Short if stay below 5365 Target Stop Loss (resistance level) 5478 Target Profit (support level) TP1 5252 TP2 5026 Long if stay above 5685 Target Stop Loss (support level) 5572 Target Profit (resistance level) TP1 5798 TP2 6024
MYX:FCPO1!
by happytrading96
FCPO TRADING : 318) possible reversal but needs confirmationthis is haidojo and the number is 318 ... After a mild rebound frm 5440-5520 range, fcpo-apr didn't make any New Structure High (NSH) but forming a Double Top (DT). The NSH is 5749 and any breakout pattern/trade needs to move higher than this level. The next level is 5220-5380 was also hit and rebound into 5570-5630 level. Now, fcpo-apr is at the crossroad again... IF it moves higher, THEN it will breaks the previous NSH and creates more NSH...THEN uptrend resumes. IF it moves lower, THEN it forms Lower-High (LH), and a possible reversal happens until the price breaks lower than the previous Higher-Low(HL). So, now juz sit back and relax. Wait for the price to tell us what to do. Till then, do absolutely nothing. That's all for the update today. *plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck* resistance : 5700-5749 (current NSH) immediate support : 5440-5520 lower support : 5220 - 5360 WARNING! RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
MYX:FCPO1!
by HAIDOJO_trading
Palm Oil Hit Historical High 5639Palm oil prices closed higher at 5628 after hit historical high at 5639. Factors continue to affect palm oil prices: 1. Indonesia finalize their export restriction plan which set 20% local supply rule for palm oil exporters effective from last Thursday (27 Jan 2022). Government also implement price cap on local sales of CPO and palm olein, effective from 1st Feb 2022. 2. Soybean oil stayed firm on Ukraine Crisis amid fears of potential supply disruption due to military action from Russia to Ukraine. 3. Traders selling in far months and shipments from India and China dropped likely to limit the upside of the market. Technical View: 1. Market remained bullish. 2. Stochastic reached overbought level We expect market may face some profit taking activities due to shortened week and thin trading volume. Suggestion Trade: Long if stay above 5625 Target Stop Loss (support level) 5400 Target Profit (resistance level) TP1 5725 TP2 5825
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by happytrading96
FCPO TRADING : 317) bull is chargingthis is haidojo and the number is 317 ... Hapi Chinese New Year and Gong Xi Fa Cai! Today is 29th Jan 2022 and fcpo-Apr22 is the still the active third month. Nothing much to update but very important if u are trading trend. After a small adjustment on 24th jan22, bull comes with supercharge and breaks into NSH at 5639, closing at 5625 on 28th jan 2022, thus putting the previous high 5380 into history. Thus, the winning strategy is "buy in dip" but with gud SL and not keep buying in the dip...This is suicide. \The next level to watch are...5440-5520 and the next level is 5220-5380... That's all for the update today. *plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck* resistance : 5639 support : 5440-5520 WARNING! RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by HAIDOJO_trading
FTSE FCPO Palm Crude Oil Futures #FCPO #FCPO1!Palm Crude Oil Futures FCPO short-term still looking bullish. Profit Chip of PFT indicator at 38%, if surpass 50% greater chance to reach upper trend line resistance @5500 Bull Bear Energy (BBD) indicator show Dark Green bar turning into Light Green (momentum turns weak) - short term correction on way. #fcpo #fcpo1! #bursasaham #palmoilfutures #commodities #tradingfutures #ftseklci #technicalanalysis #technicalindicator #technicalchart #mcdx #bbd #trendline #chartpattern Disclaimer: This published Idea is solely for the purpose of opinion sharing only, and should not be used as investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell any security. Get your trade advise from a legit broker, your trade is solely your own responsibility. Thank you.
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by wayne3355
FCPO TRADING : 316) uptrend continuesthis is haidojo and the number is 316 ... Hapi Chinese New Year and Gong Xi Fa Cai! Today is 24th Jan 2022 and fcpo-Apr22 is the new active third month. After some small consolidation on the 17th Jan22, fcpo came back with full throttle as the bull has a strong grip on the market. We even have a formation of NSH on last Friday which broke above the previous high of 5220 in late Oct last year, forming a NSH at 5380 tdy. Thus, the winning strategy is "buy in dip" but with gud SL and not keep buying in the dip...This is suicide. \The next level to watch is actually happening now...5220-5250 and the next level is 5130-5170... That's all for the update today. *plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck* resistance : 5380 support : 5220 WARNING! RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by HAIDOJO_trading
CPO Extended Gains to Record HighPalm oil prices gone up higher as expected and closed at 5322 after posted record high at 5327. Factors continue to affect palm oil prices: 1. New export permit policy in Indonesia which required exporters of vegetable oil to gain approval for their shipments and declare their domestic sales with the objective to ensure that sufficient supply of cooking oils in domestic market. New regulation may curb supplies from Indonesia and led buying spree in Malaysia. Besides, India likely to shift their imports to soybean and sunflower oils as replacement. 2. Bullish sentiment in global oil market continue to support palm oil prices. 3. Strong gains in soybean oil following latest weather forecast that turned into hot and dry weather in Argentina and Southern Brazil which may result further yield deterioration. Technical View: 1. Market break new high and closed above 5300 2. Stochastic remains uptrend signal Suggestion Trade: Long if stay above 5300 Target Stop Loss (support level) 5100 Target Profit (resistance level) TP1 5425 TP2 5525 TP3 5625
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by happytrading96
FCPO Continue RallyPalm oil prices posted gains and closed at 5123, after touched on resistance at 5164. For your information, FCPO January contract expired last Friday. Next Monday onwards will be started to trade on FCPO April contract. Factors continue to affect palm oil prices: 1. Market remained concerns over labour shortages which caused lower palm oil production. 2. Price movement in related vegetable oils as they compete for a share in global vegetable oils market. 3. India edible oil imports in 2022 expected to fall by 2% as the country boost domestic production, said Malaysian Palm Oil Council at an industry conference. 4. Malaysia Biodiesel Association urged industry officials to come to terms with steady decline in imports of palm-based biofuels in European Union following its decarbonization agenda. 5. Stronger Ringgit Malaysia pressured as overseas buyers find it costlier to purchase Malaysia CPO. Technical View: 1. Market closed above 4900 2. Stochastic shows K% line crossed up which indicates uptrend signal. Suggestion Trade: Long if stay above 5000 Target Stop Loss (support level) 4850 Target Profit (resistance level) TP1 5100 TP2 5200 TP3 5300 Happy Trading!! Cheers. ** DISCLAIMER: FOR INFO ONLY. TRADING CARRIES RISK **
MYX:FCPO2!Long
by happytrading96