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FPOL1! trade ideas

FCPO Holding Strong Above 4200Palm oil closed bounced and closed sharply higher at 4649. There were several factors that keep CPO prices higher: 1. Upcoming CNY in Feb 2022 raising expectations of fresh buying by China 2. Stronger soybean oil prices due to hot and dry weather concerns that threaten crops prospects in South America. 3. Malaysia keep export duty at 8% for January 2022. 4. Reaction over recent flash flood further slowdown on palm oil production 5. Labour shortage Technical view: 1. Market closed above 4200 2. Inside bar or Harami formed at support level of 4200, indicates reversal sign 3. Stochastic level: turning up to cross above D% line Suggestion Trade: Market expects will continue to move higher to test on the very 1st resistance level at 4950 Initial Long if market stays above 4650 Stop Loss (Support level) 4285 Target Profit (Resistance level) TP1 4900 TP2 5000 TP 5100 Disclaimer: Trading Carries Risks. Happy Trading!! Cheers.
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by happytrading96
Can Palm Oil Prices Hold at 4000?Palm oil prices slumped and closed at 4408. Last week palm oil prices broken support level at 4700 and touched on weekly low at 4245. There were several factors we can look into: 1. Market plunged about 4.5% on Wed after cargo surveyor reported larger than expected drop in export 2. Price movement in global vegetable oils market also affected palm oil prices 3. Stronger crude oil prices has make palm oil prices more attractive 4. Tightening production due to labor shortage continue serve support to palm oil prices 5. Stronger dollar and weakening Ringgit Malaysia also helps in palm oil prices Technical view: 1. Long Black bar formed which indicates bearish signs 2. support level at 4500 broken, market further test support level at 4200 3. Stochastic level= remain bearish sign Suggestion Trade: maintain bearish view for FCPO next week with immediate resistance level at 4545 Initial Short if market below 4545 Stop Loss (Resistance level) 4845 Target Profit (Support level) TP1 4200 TP2 4025 TP 3875
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by happytrading96
Palm Oil Prices Back to the Range of 4700-5200 Again?Palm oil prices closed higher and back to the range of 4700-5200. Several Factors that make the palm oil prices back to the range of 4700-5200 as below: 1. Weakness in soybean oil after US raised proposal to scale back biofuel blending mandates 2. Shortage of Workers due to coronavirus pandemic & higher cost of recruitment as palm oil producers make changes in response to accusations of forced labour 3. Record high fertilizer prices 4. MPOB showed higher inventories offset by lower production and higher exports Technical view: 1. Doji formed after range trading between 4724-4949- signal market struggle for new direction 2. Harami indicates reversal signal 3. Stochastic level= remain bearish signs Suggestion Trade: Buying at support 4700; Stop Loss 4600; Target Profit 4950-5000 Selling at resistance 5000; Stop Loss 5200; Target Profit 4750-4800 Disclaimer: Trading Carries Risks. Happy Trading!! Cheers. ** DISCLAIMER: FOR INFO ONLY. TRADING CARRIES RISK **
MYX:FCPO1!
by happytrading96
Can CPO Sustain Above 4500?Palm oil plunged as expected last week. Market hit weekly low at 4567 and closed at our 1st resistance level. Main reason of the weakness in CPO market due to the uncertainties over the impact Omicron coronavirus variant which dented demand for CPO. Technical view: 1. Immediate resistance level: 4700-4730 2. Stochastic level= Sell Signal remain Suggestion Trade: Initial Short position Stop Loss at resistance level: 5000-5100 Target Profit level (support level) S1 4500 S2 4385-4400 S3 4200 Disclaimer: Trading Carries Risks. Happy Trading, Cheers.
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by happytrading96
FCPO TRADING : 311) downtrend and review of the previous gartleythis is haidojo and the number is 311 ... Today is 2nd Dec 2021 and fcpo-Feb22 is still the active third month. After bouncing on and off within the range till 19th Nov 21, the price has descended gradually by showing lower and lower highs. The new low was at 4636 yesterday and this was a lower-low than the previous one (4709). So, we have a continuation of downtrend. As for the bearish gartley pattern in the precious episode, it missed the entry 5070 by juz 1 point, rollover frm 5069 and fell all the way to form lower-highs and lower-lows. It hits 1st tp at 4850 multiple times and 2nd tp at 4755 on 29th nov 2021. Next supports are at 4560-4480. Now, the price is hanging loosely ranging frm 4660-4680, slightly lower than the formation of leg A at 4708. Next resistance level to watch are 4755, and 4850. *plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck* resistance : 4755, 4850 support : 4560, 4480 WARNING! RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by HAIDOJO_trading
Palm Oil Breaking Ranging level 4700-5220?Palm Oil market has been ranging for the past few weeks: Reasons behind as below: 1. Rising in new COVID-19 cases in Europe (- export demand= price drop) 2. Weakness in Crude Oil and Soybean Oil (- demand= price drop) 3. Weather concerns (- supply = price up) 4. Labor shortage (- supply = price up) 5. RM weakening (+ demand = price up) Technical View: 1. Strong resistance level at 5000 2. Stochastic at Overbought level, K% & D% line cross down (Sell sign) Suggestion Trade: Short Stop Loss (Resistance level) 5220 Target Profit (Support level) 4650, 4500, 4385-4400 Happy Trading!! Cheers. ** DISCLAIMER: FOR INFO ONLY. TRADING CARRIES RISK
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by happytrading96
1
When will FCPO STOP Ranging 4750-5220?Palm oil markets has been ranging between 4750-5220 since Oct 2021, topics remained hot within the palm oil industry including 1. labor force shortage, 2. global supply and demand concerns amid resurgence in COVID-19 cases especially in Europe. Uncertainty in 3. related edible oil due to weather concerns and 4. OPEC+ decisions to maintains its output which continued to serve support in palm oil industry. Furthermore, 5. dollar strengthened helped to made palm oil prices more attractive compare to other vegetables oils. Palm oil market likely to continue maintain its ranging until weightage in issues mentioned above showed unbalance. Trading Strategies remained neutral, or you may initiate ranging trading strategies. Long when near support 4750-4850 Short when near resistance 5100- 5220 Good Luck & Happy Trading. Cheers
MYX:FCPO1!
by happytrading96
FCPO TRADING : 308) a possible bearish gartley pattern this is haidojo and the number is 308 ... Today is 18th Nov 2021 and fcpo-Feb22 is the active third month now. After bracketing the market, you probably find that the market price has broken below the perceived support level (4850) and reached a new low at 4709. Then, we got a problem. It is still between the bull and bear territory. The 2 monsters are having a tug-of-war and the market price refused to fall. Then it is the sideway market then. This is an absolute disadvantage to me. As the saying goes, "consolidation breeds advanced patterns". SO, here we are now, with a possible bearish gartley pattern. Before the price could advance back into the selling zone of 5070-5085, SL can be make 10-20pts abv that, there is a wall of barrier that might kill the beast before it is reaching for the target. The resistance zone from 4970-5040. This trade if valid is very fruitful as the 1st tp could be seen at 4850 and 2nd tp at 4750. Advanced patterns traders could look out for this. *plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck* bearish gartley resistance : 5070-5085 (kill zone) resistance : 4970-5040 support : 4750-4850 (bull validity is here) WARNING! RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by HAIDOJO_trading
2
Palm Oil Marching towards 5220 ???Palm oil bounced as bargain buying and persistent sentiment of tight supply moving into Nov and Dec. Technical Views: 1. CPO prices landed at support level of 4500 and bounce 2. Uptrend Line Well holding 3. Stochastic maintain uptrend signal In short, maintain ranging to uptrend view in coming week. immediate support level 4500 immediate resistance level 5220 if unable to break resistance level, double top may form and led to another selling trend. Good Luck and Happy Trading~ Cheers
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by happytrading96
FCPO TRADING : 306) bracketing the market and potential reversethis is haidojo and the number is 306 ... Today is 8th Nov 2021 and fcpo-Jan22 is going to expire next week. Nov is a bit tricky with last Friday when suddenly fcpo-Jan22 gap down close to 100pts and went down...If you are holding long positions, then thr is really not much u can do...cutting loss is the most logical thing to do btw... As for the previous trading day, we could see a false breakout formed on thursday and a huge gap down on friday...it is not looking gud for the bull but the resistance is still at 5040 while the support is at 4844 - 4750...IF the price moves abv the 5040 level, THEN we can look for long on the bullish ride. IF the price moves lower than the 4750, THEN we could short on the bear grip. what IF the price locks somewhere in between? for me, I shall do absolutely nothg...well, that's my plan...bcox market is moving sideway...sideway is no gud for me... ok, folks. that's all for tdy...I try to update more often but really, duty calls...and it sucks... *plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck* resistance : 5040-5220 support : 4750-4840 (bull validity is here) WARNING! RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures, cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING . It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only… trade at your own risk!
MYX:FCPO1!
by HAIDOJO_trading