Apple – More Pain to come? Apple’s NASDAQ:AAPL chart right now? Honestly, it’s a mess. It’s one of those setups where you can’t confidently say much with conviction , but one thing feels clear to me: it should go lower before it gets better.
Zooming out to the 3-day timeframe , you can spot something interesting: the downtrend from 2022 to 2023 looks almost identical to the one we’ve seen from July 2023 to April 2024 — same structure, same slow bleed, and almost the exact same duration. That kind of symmetry doesn’t happen by accident.
After that, we had a massive rally from April/May 2024 , but now we’re already seeing a sharp retracement — down over 35%. My take? We probably need one more leg lower to really shake things out before Apple makes a meaningful move higher, maybe toward $250–$260 .
To get there, I think we still need to retest the $160–$150 zone. If we break below that and head toward $120, then we’re in real trouble structurally — that would shift the whole outlook.
Yes, the recent bounce from the VWAP level was clean , and it looked strong — but I wouldn’t rule out one more flush before we get the real recovery. Apple is in no-man’s-land right now, and until we hit key levels or reclaim broken structure, it’s caution over confidence.
AAPL trade ideas
AAPL downside trade to 182?AAPL remains in a clear downtrend on the daily timeframe, with lower highs and lower lows intact. It gapped below yesterday’s low and is trading beneath all daily moving averages. The broader market (SPX) is also showing weakness, supporting the short thesis.
What I See:
Price has failed to reclaim the 10EMA and rejected at prior breakdown zones.
There’s room for a continuation move toward 182, which is a pivot point before it's decline in 2022 and aligns with last years gap up in May.
If momentum continues, AAPL may eventually test the broader uptrend line, which intersects with the area near 175–178, depending on timing. Or back to retest the pivot from earlier this month.
Key Profit Levels:
First target: 182
Remainder: Leave some on to see if it can break lower toward the monthly uptrend support zone
Contextual Note:
While the trend is currently down, this move could still be part of a higher low formation on the daily chart. Even a drop to 182 would be higher than the early April low, meaning buyers could still step in there. So while the trade favors continuation, I’m staying open to the idea that a base or reversal could form instead.
Invalidation:
A sustained move back above 198.70 (recent intraday high + above the open) would invalidate the current short thesis. If it continues down I'll update my stop.
AAPL About to CRACK!Without Question, AAPL is the best company in the world and the most valuable. However, it means little in this economic landscape.
AAPL is about to start cracking here. I usually do not post them ahead like this, but in this situation, I will break my own rules.
Take your money and RUN!!!
WARNING!! GTFO!
AAPL Eyes 212+ After Strong Momentum Breakout! Key Gamma Levels in Focus 🚀
GEX (Options Sentiment) Insight
AAPL has surged toward a key gamma resistance zone. The GEX map shows the Gamma Wall at $210, with a possible stretch target to $212. This level has the highest positive NET GEX, making it a strong magnet if bulls continue pressing. IVR is moderate at 51.8, while the options flow shows bullish bias with 3 green dots and only 21.7% in PUT pressure, giving calls the edge short term.
Suggested Options Trade (Short-Term Swing)
Setup: Bullish continuation
Calls: 205c or 210c for 04/25 expiration
Risk Zone: Below $198
Target Zones:
1. 210 (Gamma Wall)
2. 212–213 (Extension if momentum holds)
Thoughts: With volume increasing and option flows tilting bullish, this looks like a clear push toward the gamma wall. However, price may need to consolidate if volume dries up. Only invalidation is a sharp reversal below $198 (prior support zone).
Price Action + Co-Pilot Scalping View
From the second chart (SMC-based), we’re in a confirmed bullish trend, with CHoCH and BOS aligning across the 1H chart. The structure is strong, but entry caution is warranted until a pullback or retest forms.
Key Trading Levels & Bias
* Above 201.79 = Bullish continuation
* Break below 198.95 = Trend invalidation
* Targets:
* T1: 212 (RRR 1)
* T2: 219 (RRR 2)
* Stop: Below 198
* Note: Momentum is currently extended—wait for either consolidation or a CHoCH/BOS on lower timeframes to re-enter confidently.
My Take
This move feels like the beginning of a broader trend reversal off deep discount zones. AAPL has lagged behind the recent tech bounce, and this breakout above $200 could invite more call buyers. The risk-reward is solid, but as always—don’t chase highs. Let the setup come to you.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
SPX and AAPL. A breakdown of key levels and potential trades.If this is a repeat of 2020, then I am going with the bulls on this. In this video I walk through what I am seeing in the overall market and how I chart my stocks. I have personally been in and out of trades and it was chipping away at my profits, so it was time to reset! The best way for me to do that is to to walk through my charts, update my levels as needed, and remember that my plan is my plan bc it works!
AAPL should you wait out the chop? Still overall downtrendWhen in doubt, leave it out < I remember being in a training class for my first job out of college and my teacher said that. She was talking about dress codes, and that if we had a doubt like...is this work appropriate, then the answer was no. This quote has stayed with me and even proven useful in trading. Right now we are in indecision on a lot of names. No clear uptrends, and still most stocks remain in overall downtrends.
Most of us are impatient, we want to catch the bottom, even though we know when we wait for a clear direction the profits flow effortlessly.
It's ok to put on a small position, but just know where we are at in the trend and range.
What's your position on AAPL for the next few days or weeks?
For me, I am really leaning sideways, but am testing small positions. It is important to wait after the morning noise dies down before committing. In fact, yesterday I broke my 11am rule of no decisions or trades til after 11am, and closed a put on another name. Then within the hour, the position flipped. Talk about regret. What was worse was that I had hedged it the day before with a call, and closed the call at a loss too. Amateur moves, but hey, new day and fresh eyes will make a killing.
Apple ($AAPL): Shares Jump After Tariff Exemption on ElectronicsApple Inc. (AAPL) experienced a significant rally on Monday, climbing as high as $212.94 before settling around $206.05 as of writing, reflecting a 4.5% intraday gain. The spike followed the U.S. government's decision over the weekend to exclude smartphones and other electronics from the latest round of tariffs on Chinese imports. This move provided relief for tech companies like Apple that rely on global supply chains.
As of 3:38 PM EDT, Apple shares Volume reached 258.63 million shares, indicating heightened investor interest. The favorable news also triggered substantial profits for derivatives traders. One bullish options trade worth $5 million, opened on Friday, was reportedly valued at around $14 million by Monday morning—a 180% gain as per Reuters.
According to Capital Market Laboratories CEO Ophir Gottlieb, the trade may have been a calculated bet anticipating favorable policy moves affecting Apple or broader China-related tariffs.
Technical Analysis
The 2-day chart shows a strong bullish reaction from a major support zone near $172, where the price rebounded sharply following the news. The current price at $206 is trading slightly below key moving averages, including the 50-day at $231.81, 100-day MA at $228.36, and 200-day MA at $205.91
Price action also broke above a previous resistance area of $196, turning that level into new support. If momentum holds, Apple could aim for a move toward the $260.10 recent high. However, technical structure suggests a possible pullback before further upside continuation. Overall, the rebound and volume surge indicate strong buyer interest in the wake of the tariff announcement.
Apple - no useful dataThis now is just speculation, since we do not have any data to work with. The market is confused, big boys are confused, everybody is confuse. But atm we have a slightly news leaded more bullish sentiment, after China gave their first living signs friday and yesterday saying they are not fans of the tarrifs from every side. Which I coun`t as slightly more bullish than what a Trump related person said the Tech tarrif excemption was only temporary. Which means most of the world and China do not like tarrifs and I do think China will drop or at least sink their tarrifs to a minimum, if the US will drop their tarrifs. And in my opinion Trump´s brain is still working because the only rational decision is to completely drop the tarrifs. Of course not immediatly to first get deals done.
What Trump did not expect is that people not only don´t want to buy stocks, but they also dont want to buy bonds from the US. Which makes the Tarrifs a lot worse.
APPLE: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry - 198.05
Stop - 191.79
Take - 216.53
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
$AAPL This is going to burst... $220 target.NASDAQ:AAPL : Expecting a move to $210 easy off the $200 zone then to the target of $220. Lots of testing in that area. I think $210 is a clear "gimme." Not even close to overbought, with the volatility this can ramp up. Technically look great to me. Push up to 200EMA/SMA located above $220 zone ($221 and $228).
wsl.
APPLE On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 198.05
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 214.26
Recommended Stop Loss - 187.76
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Apple gap fill potential - Grok Ai sees option activity Grok ai analyzed the option chain for me:
Call Volume Strike Price Put Volume
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* 155.00 *
* 160.00 *
* 165.00 ****
* 170.00 ******
* 175.00 *****
** 180.00 *******
* 185.00 ****
* 190.00 *****
***** 195.00 ***
********* 200.00 ***
****** 205.00 *
********* 210.00 *
***** 215.00 *
*********** 220.00 *
****** 225.00 *
******************** 230.00 *
** 235.00 *
*** 240.00 ***
* 245.00 *
***** 250.00 *
Ai found lots of in interest upward call strikes.
Gap, on the chart may be the thesis.
Get apple right, and youll understand qqq , spy, dia, its so big.
Fundamentally, Im not a long term fan of apple, but cant ignore the mag seven large caps giants.
Apple, Will we see 150$ ???Hello traders, Hope you're doing great. What are your thoughts about
AAPL ?
Our last analysis went exactly as we predicted and hit our target; But what's the next target ?
For upcoming weeks, I expect an upward correction at first and after that I expect another SELL OFF situation in the market that causes a huge drop in stock market, my first Target is 157$.
This post will be Updated.
Trade Safe and have a great week.
Apple Rebounds, But Faces Overhead Resistance in Supply ZoneAAPL DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊
OVERALL TREND
📈 UPTREND — Multiple higher lows forming since early April. Bullish sentiment is active, but nearing overhead resistance.
🔴RESISTANCE ZONE
🔴 260.1000 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH
🔴 255.6074 — SELL ORDER 2
🔴 246.5146 — SELL ORDER 1
🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS
🎯 241.9220 — BUY ORDER & TP 4
🎯 225.3843 — BUY ORDER & TP 3
🎯 214.6555 — BUY ORDER & TP 2 | Mid Pivot
🎯 199.2067 — BUY ORDER | TP 1
🟢SUPPORT ZONE
🟢 183.4116 — BUY ORDER 1
🟢 173.7546 — BUY ORDER 2
🟢 169.0100 — BUY STOPLOSS | PIVOT LOW
🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES
Price bounced sharply off the Pivot Low at 169, reclaiming ground quickly and confirming new bullish structure.
Currently approaching a high-density supply area between 244–260, with multiple sell orders stacked.
SMA and EMA clusters between 198–203 offer strong dynamic support.
MACD and Momentum show bullish crossover, backing the recovery.
Ichimoku Base Line remains neutral, signaling consolidation risk without volume.
📈OSCILLATOR SUMMARY
RSI (60.70) and Stoch %K (75.49) remain Neutral , but hovering near bullish zones.
MACD and Momentum both signal Buy — early signs of bullish energy.
Most other indicators remain neutral, suggesting waiting for confirmation above 214.
📊MOVING AVERAGES OVERVIEW
Strong Buy sentiment on all short and mid-term EMAs & SMAs (10–100 day).
Slight divergence at the 200 EMA/SMA — both still signaling Sell , capping long-term trend bias.
Hull MA is bearish (204.73), indicating some volatility or short-term rejection potential.
TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎
📈 Bullish bias remains above 199.20 — next targets sit at 204 → 214 → 225
📉 Bearish reversal only activates below 199 with strong volume and daily close under 183
⚠️ High-confluence SELL ZONE at 244–260 may halt or reverse price temporarily
🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE SWING ENTRY (Trend Continuation):
— Buy Entry: 199.20
— TP Levels: 204.00 / 214.65 / 225.38 / 241.92
— SL: Below 183.00
HIGH-RISK SCALP REVERSAL (Inside Sell Zone):
— Sell Orders: 244.00 / 255.60
— TP: 225.38 / 214.65
— SL: Above 260.10
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience”
AAPL eyes on $208.xx: Key Resistance to Tariff Recovery wave AAPL trying to recover through the various tariff news.
Currently testing a key resistance zone at $208.26-208.68
Look for dips, with a must-hold support at $196.65-197.33
.
Previous analysis that called the TOP:
=====================================================
Nebulain: Cantor Fitzgerald Launches $3B Crypto Fund — A New EraThe Largest Crypto Fund of the Year: Cantor, SoftBank, Tether & Bitfinex Join Forces
Cantor Fitzgerald, a major U.S. brokerage firm led by Brendan Latnik, has announced the formation of a $3 billion cryptocurrency investment fund, Cantor Equity Partners, in collaboration with SoftBank, Tether, and Bitfinex.
The fund's goal is to make large-scale investments in Bitcoin, aiming to replicate the playbook of MicroStrategy, which dramatically grew its valuation by pivoting into crypto.
Breakdown of capital contributions:
Tether: $1.5 billion in BTC
SoftBank: $900 million
Bitfinex: $600 million
Convertible bonds offering: $350 million
Private share placement: $200 million
All assets are expected to be consolidated under a new holding company called 21 Capital, with shares priced at $10, implying a Bitcoin valuation of $85,000 per coin.
Market Impact: Bitcoin Surges with Institutional Support
Following the announcement, Bitcoin is trading near $92,000, holding close to its all-time highs. Initiatives like Cantor Equity Partners reinforce institutional confidence in crypto and contribute to a broader acceptance of digital assets in mainstream finance.
Nebulain Analyst Insight
According to Nebulain's analysts, the participation of global financial giants marks a new level of maturity for the crypto space. It also signals a potential shift in asset allocation strategy for traditional investors.
“We're seeing more than just speculative enthusiasm. These moves are backed by structured capital, long-term outlooks, and a readiness to treat Bitcoin as a reserve-grade asset,” Nebulain stated.
However, the firm also points to ongoing regulatory uncertainty and inherent market volatility as key risk factors to monitor.
Conclusion
The launch of Cantor Equity Partners represents a milestone in the institutionalization of crypto. With heavyweights like SoftBank and Tether at the table, the industry is entering a new phase where digital assets are no longer niche — they are a strategic allocation.
This article was prepared by Nebulain Analytics for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
$AAPL | $200 showed lifeThese are my levels I am most concerned with for NASDAQ:AAPL
Last week, $200 level showed life and buyers stepped in but that doesn't mean we are out of the woods and price currently is in semi "no man's land", kind of just hanging around the demand area.
One bright point is bullish price volume last week as well.
I would wait to see how this week turns out before putting money back into the iPhone company.
Apple Inc.: A Long Trade Opportunity for Next Week
- Key Insights: Apple has demonstrated relative strength amid broader market
weakness. Buyers have shown interest at key support levels ($193-$190),
reinforcing a bullish setup. Speculative interest in the options market
between $200-$220 indicates potential upside. The stock remains a promising
long trade idea, contingent on breaking resistance above $210-$221.
- Price Targets:
- T1: $210
- T2: $219
- S1: $190
- S2: $185
- Recent Performance: Apple continues to outperform peers like Amazon, Tesla,
and Nvidia as sector-wide weakness persists. The stock has rebounded off
critical support around $193, signaling accumulating buyer interest.
However, it remains capped below resistance at $210-$219, holding potential
for further upside.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain long-term optimism for Apple, citing its
strong fundamentals, operational flexibility, and premium brand positioning.
Technical experts identify Apple as a speculative long idea, with gamma
exposure in the options market signaling interest between $200-$220.
- News Impact: Geopolitical concerns, including U.S.-China trade tensions, weigh
on Apple’s sentiment. Production costs have increased due to tariffs, yet
temporary exemptions highlight Apple's strategic resilience. Analysts advise
monitoring macro trends, including shifts in sector rotation, for continued
price momentum.