Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump Following Earnings ReportApple (AAPL) Shares Jump Following Earnings Report
Yesterday, after the close of the regular trading session, Apple released its earnings report, which surpassed analysts’ expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.57, forecast = $1.43;
→ Revenue: actual = $94.04 billion, forecast = $89.35 billion.
As a result, AAPL shares surged in the post-market, rising from $207.57 to $212.51.
Media Commentary:
→ The company reported a 13% year-on-year increase in iPhone sales.
→ However, according to Tim Cook, tariffs have already cost the company $800 million and this figure could exceed $1 billion in the next quarter.
Technical Analysis of the Apple (AAPL) Stock Chart
Following the volatility in April 2025, price action has justified the construction of an ascending channel (marked in blue). The $216 level, which has acted as a key reference point since March, remains a significant resistance area, because:
→ It has consistently prevented AAPL from reaching the upper boundary of the channel;
→ Even in the wake of a strong earnings report, the price failed to break through this level in post-market trading.
If the $216 level continues to cap gains in the coming days – despite the positive report – the stock might pull back towards the median line of the blue channel (following the post-market rally). This zone often reflects a balance between supply and demand. While such a retracement would appear technically justified, it may raise concerns among shareholders, particularly when compared to the more aggressive price rallies seen in the shares of other tech giants, such as Microsoft (MSFT), as we discussed yesterday.
From a more pessimistic perspective, peak A may turn out to be yet another lower high within a broader bearish structure that has been forming on the AAPL chart since December 2024, when the stock reached its all-time high around the $260 level.
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AAPL trade ideas
Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction🍎📉 Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction ⚠️🔍
After scanning major tech names today, one stock stood out— for all the wrong reasons : NASDAQ:AAPL .
Technically, Apple has broken below long-standing trendline support , and my chart now assigns a 70% probability(roughly guys...roughly and rounded) of further downside vs only 30% upside . But it's not just about the chart...
Here’s the macro storm Apple is walking into:
🧭 1. Trade War Revival
New tariffs on Chinese electronics could cost Apple up to $1.1B/quarter , even as it tries to diversify production. India and Vietnam are promising, but not mature enough to offset risk.
🤖 2. Lagging in the AI Arms Race
While Nvidia, Google, and Microsoft pour $30B+ into AI, Apple is spending less than half that. Analysts weren’t impressed with “Apple Intelligence.” Siri still isn’t leading.
🇨🇳 3. China: Flatlining Growth, Rising Risk
~18% of Apple’s revenue still comes from China. With Huawei resurging and tightening regulations, Apple’s dominance is being chipped away.
🛑 4. Innovation Pipeline: Empty?
There’s no iPhone super-cycle ahead. Vision Pro remains niche. Apple now looks like a mature tech stock without a breakout catalyst —risky when valuation is still premium.
⚖️ 5. Legal Pressure on Both Sides of the Atlantic
The DOJ and EU are targeting Apple’s App Store dominance. If changes are enforced, the service revenue moat weakens.
🔽 Summary: This Isn’t Panic. It’s Repricing.
The market is re-rating Apple based on real structural risks.
Downside levels I’m watching:
📉 177.65 (first support)
📉 154.53 (next key level)
❗️134–113 zone if macro pressure escalates
Chart = structure. Narrative = pressure. Both are aligned.
Let me know your thoughts—still long NASDAQ:AAPL , or hedging this weakness?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Watching AAPL closely here !!!Not financial advice – just sharing my outlook. 📉📈
Price is currently rejecting the upper trendline resistance around $213 and struggling to hold above the $207-$208 zone.
Looking for potential puts as long as price remains under this key resistance area.
Will be buying the dip near the $195 or $185 zone where strong demand and trendline support intersect.
Key levels :
Resistance: $213.29 / $207.54
Support: $202.38 / $195.00
Apple (AAPL): Collapse Is Imminent? Bearish Pennant patternAAPL has already been affected by a Bearish Head & Shoulders reversal pattern earlier this year (see related).
Now, another bearish pattern has formed — a Pennant (highlighted in yellow).
The price has broken below the Pennant’s support, triggering a potential bearish move.
The target is calculated by subtracting the length of the Pole (in white) from the support level of the pattern.
This target is marked with a blue dashed line at $127.
Is Apple melting down again?
I’d love to read your thoughts.
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 28/7Apple has been making steady gains since April 8th. Trading volume has been consistently strong, increasing intermittently, with sell pressure exhausted at the 200 USD mark. The price point is now sitting above the 200 daily EMA support, which indicates strong potential for continued upward movement. Apple's earnings are in focus this week, with predictions that they will exceed expectations, but the extent of that exceedance is the question.
Regardless of the competition from Chinese-made phones or Samsung, once you are in the Apple ecosystem, it is rare to leave. Even if buying cycles slow down, Apple often provides innovative solutions to problems that no other provider can. The focus on Apple regarding AI appears slightly biased and carries some elements of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). It would be foolish to bet against Apple in the long term, even if the necessary technology is obtained through acquisition. With a strong cash position, this should not be an obstacle.
So far, the charts have shown us two positive moves after flag patterns, with resistance just below and around the EMA 200 level, which is now acting as support. The RSI is in the upper regions but is far from overbought, indicating we have a good level of momentum. The accumulation distribution chart also suggests strong support for Apple from institutions. No clear pattern is yet forming on the charts, except for a possible ascending triangle on the weekly, which would be very bullish.
The 50-day EMA is likely to cross the 200 EMA in mid-August, drawing a lot of attention as this would create a Golden Cross. This event would occur just prior to the Apple launch in September, which is rumored to introduce significant updates and advancements. Considering all these factors, I anticipate that Apple will continue its upward momentum for the next six weeks, with some substantial moves followed by pullbacks to support levels. The launch events will likely propel Apple to reach an all-time high (ATH). NFA
Target price is >260
APPLE INC. STOCK FORMING BEARISH TREND MARKET STRUCTUREApple Inc. (AAPL) Stock Developing Bearish Structure in 4-Hour Chart - Key Levels to Watch
Technical analysis of Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) 4-hour chart reveals a concerning bearish trend formation that traders should monitor closely. The recent price action has shown strong selling pressure, confirmed by multiple large bearish candlesticks that indicate aggressive seller participation. This pattern suggests the stock is likely to maintain its downward trajectory in the near term unless significant buying pressure emerges.
Critical Price Levels and Market Structure
The current technical setup presents two crucial reference points for traders:
1. Downside Target at 172.00 - This level represents the next major support zone where we might see either:
- A potential pause in the downtrend
- Acceleration of selling if broken decisively
2. Upper Resistance at 226.00 - This price level now serves as a key ceiling for any bullish recovery attempts. A sustained move above this resistance would be required to invalidate the current bearish outlook.
Trading Dynamics and Key Observations
- The formation of consecutive lower highs and lower lows confirms the bearish structure
- Volume analysis shows increasing activity during down moves, supporting the bearish case
- Momentum indicators (RSI, MACD) are favoring sellers in the current market environment
Strategic Considerations for Traders
For those considering short positions:
- Ideal entry points would be on pullbacks toward recent resistance levels
- Conservative traders may wait for confirmation of rejection at 226.00 before entering
- Protective stops should be placed above key resistance levels
For potential buyers:
- Caution is advised until clear reversal signals appear
- The 172.00 level may offer a potential bounce opportunity if supported by volume
Risk Management Notes
Traders should remain vigilant for:
- Unexpected fundamental developments (earnings reports, product announcements)
- Sudden shifts in broader market sentiment
- Potential support at psychological levels (175.00, 170.00 round numbers)
The current technical picture suggests maintaining a bearish bias unless price action shows convincing signs of reversal, particularly through a sustained break above the 226.00 resistance level. As always, proper position sizing and risk management remain crucial in navigating this potentially volatile setup.
AAPL BUY 1st target $223AAPL is forming a wedge and been lagging for 2 years. I was expecting $182 but we never saw that level, after weeks of $200 range consolidation it's clear this is basing, first target of resistance is $223 then we could be off to the races. I would expect to see this as soon as next week provided #donthecon can stop bullying American companies long enough to focus on important things
Apple Stock Falls Despite Strong EarningsApple stock is down more than 4% in the final session of the week, following the company’s earnings release yesterday. Apple reported earnings per share of $1.57, beating expectations of $1.43, while total revenue reached $94.04 billion, surpassing the $89.53 billion forecasted by the market.
However, despite the strong results, the stock is once again facing a notable short-term bearish bias as investor concerns grow. The primary issue is the perception that Apple is falling behind in the race for artificial intelligence, especially compared to its main competitors. In addition, shortly after the earnings announcement, it was noted that the company may face challenges in sustaining growth throughout the remainder of 2025, which has fueled additional downward pressure on the stock.
Sideways Range Emerges
In recent weeks, Apple’s price action has consolidated within a clear lateral range, with resistance around $211 and support near $194. So far, price fluctuations have not been strong enough to break this structure, and the latest bearish candlestick has reinforced the validity of the channel. For now, this sideways range remains the most relevant technical formation to watch in the upcoming sessions.
Technical Indicators
RSI:
The RSI line is falling rapidly and is now approaching the oversold zone at the 30 level. If the indicator reaches that threshold, it could suggest a technical imbalance, opening the door to a short-term bullish correction.
MACD:
The MACD histogram has moved into negative territory in recent sessions, suggesting a clear dominance of bearish momentum in the moving average structure. If this persists, selling pressure may continue to build in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$211 – Main Resistance: Upper boundary of the current range. A breakout above this level could trigger a stronger bullish trend.
$200 – Psychological Support: Round number zone, a breakdown here could activate an immediate bearish bias for the next sessions.
$194 – Key Support: Corresponds to recent weekly lows. A move below this level would likely confirm a more extended bearish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
AAPL Bulls Ready to Strike## 🍎 AAPL Bulls Ready to Strike? 🚨 Weekly Options Loading...
**Call at \$220 → Entry \$0.66 → Target \$1.32 💰💰**
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**🧠 AI Consensus Highlights:**
✔️ Strong Options Flow 📈
✔️ Institutional Volume Spike
⚠️ Caution: Bearish Daily RSI
🔀 Mixed Sentiment = Selective Entries Only
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**🔥 Featured Trade Setup:**
* 📍 **Strike:** \$220 Call
* 💵 **Entry:** \$0.66
* 🎯 **Target:** \$1.32
* 🛑 **Stop:** \$0.33
* 📅 **Expiry:** Aug 8
* 📈 **Confidence:** 65%
* ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Open
---
**⚔️ Model Breakdown (AI Models):**
* **Grok & Claude:** Bullish → Call Recommended
* **DeepSeek & Gemini:** Cautious → No Entry
* **Meta:** Mixed → Watch RSI & Gamma Sensitivity
---
**🧠 Strategy:**
Scalp the weekly upside using a tight stop-loss + profit lock. Timing is key with high gamma volatility expected post-earnings.
---
**📛 Tags for TradingView Post:**
\#AAPL #OptionsAlert #AppleStock #EarningsPlay #CallOptions #WeeklySetup #TradingStrategy #OptionsFlow #BullishSetup #TechStocks #AITrading #InstitutionalFlow #MarketAnalysis
$AAPL: Structure SurgeryResearch Notes
Original Structure:
Altering structure for experimental purposes
Angle of fib channels that rises from cycle low, has been pushed into the past to the top of first major reaction. blue area resembles the change
Reason
The the angle of Fibonacci channels which cover the general decline (from perspective of ATH to end of cycle), are adjusted to the angle of the first bear wave of smaller scale.
Therefore, when it comes to measurements of opposing forces for working out interference pattern, having this symmetric approach of mapping interconnections is fair.
APPLE: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the APPLE pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Apple - The next major push higher!🍎Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) will head for new highs:
🔎Analysis summary :
Apple has been underperforming markets for a couple of months lately. However technicals still remain very bullish, indicating an inherent and substantial move higher soon. All we need now is bullish confirmation and proper risk management and this setup looks very decent.
📝Levels to watch:
$200, $300
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
AAPL: Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown with S-2 in FocusAAPL has now broken below a well-defined symmetrical triangle structure, as well as the ~$208 S-1 support area I’ve highlighted.
I’m watching the $194.91 zone (S-2), which served as a key support and pivot earlier this year. If price heads into that area, I’ll be looking for confirmation and stabilization before initiating a position.
If the setup aligns, I plan to trade it via Sep/Oct put sales around the $170/$175 strikes -- targeting levels I’d be comfortable owning if assigned, and collecting premium if not.
Not stepping in early here… just tracking structure, respecting price action, and planning around risk-defined entries. We’ll see how this one plays out. Stay tuned.
Bullish Idea on APPLNASDAQ:AAPL / Lovley day its been a while, am planing to share my views on the markets atleast once a week from now going forward. Basically on this bias idea above here @LutthMage we are leaning more on long term holding, WITH AN ADVANTAGE OF TAKING SHORT TERM TRADES BASED ON OUR LONG TERM INVESTMENT IDEA WE ARE SURE YOU WILL UNDERSTAND AS TIME GOES BY.
NOW LET THE GAMES BEGIN```
On the chart above we a basically bullish due to 4 reasons
1. The trend is our friend its currently bullish, because AAPL is BREAKING STRUCTURE NO VISIBLE Change of character as of yet
2. We got a widening channel currenly bouncing of the lower level line of the channel.
3. Price is playing around a Bullish FVG
4. APPLE JUST CREATED SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY.
We will keep you posted on the short term trades we execute based on this bullish bias on APPL, ofcourse only if they do appear for now we sit and do the hardest thing to do wich is NOTHING.
AS TIME GOES BY YOU WILL CHARACTERIZE A WASH RINSE AND REPEAT PROCESS FROM US @LutthMage NASDAQ:AAPL
AAPL LONG Swing Entry PlanNASDAQ:AAPL LONG Swing Entry Plan
E1: $200.00 – $198.00
→ Open initial position targeting +8% from entry level.
E2: $193.00 – $192.00
→ If price dips further, average down with a second equal-sized entry.
→ New target becomes +8% from the average of Entry 1 and Entry 2.
AD: $172.00 – $170.00
→ If reached, enter with double the initial size to lower the overall cost basis.
→ Profit target remains +8% from the new average across all three entries.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss:
Risk is capped at 12% below the average entry price (calculated across all executed positions including the Edit Zone).
Position Sizing Approach:
Entry 1: 1x
Entry 2: 1x
AD Zone: 2x
→ Total exposure: 4x
→ Weighted average determines final TP and SL calculations.
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