ABNB ShortWeekly head and shoulders. 1.619 retracement matches up with .50 retracement. Center of channel in a down trend
ABNB trade ideas
Airbnb (ABNB): Bleak Outlook or Potential Turnaround? 🏠Airbnb (ABNB): NASDAQ:ABNB
Airbnb's outlook appears quite bleak at a glance. We've experienced a break in the downtrend, and since January 2023, there has been an uptrend. However, we anticipate this might not last long as the complete cycle has not yet concluded. Since the IPO, the price initially surged to $220, then fell to $82. We now expect a rise towards a Y-Wave, or Wave II, hitting between the 61.8% and 78.6% retracement levels, equating to a range between $167 and $190. Following this, we predict Wave III will drop well below Wave 1's low of $82, potentially reaching around $30. It's important to note this is a multi-year scenario that won't unfold overnight. Still, it's crucial to be aware of the long-term perspective.
Should the price exceed the 78.6% mark, or $190, our scenario would be invalidated, indicating that the bottom was indeed found at $82.40. Until such a development, we anticipate a declining trend for Airbnb.
Airbnb (ABNB): Time to Short!I love Airbnb for vacations but this chart really isn't looking so good...
It is the only stock we are currently looking to short. Airbnb has consistently shown lower prices since its inception, despite a recent period of higher highs since hitting a low of $82. We remain confident in the continued downward trend.
The movements from point A to B and B to C align well with Fibonacci extension and retracement levels. The retracement for Wave (2) is particularly notable at the 61.8% level. We believe we are currently within Wave (3).
We want to time the short entry based on anticipated Elliott wave counts. We anticipate a further decline in the short term, followed by a potential rise in the coming weeks. We plan to place our short position during this anticipated rise in Wave 2. We will continue to monitor the price action closely and provide a detailed update with exact entry and exit points once we are ready to place the short position.
AbnbChanel breakdown around 148. Now potentially flipping into reistance. This looks like a rising channel or a bear flag. If bearflag target is 124)
Either way my exit plan is around 135 at the .618 fib support. I’m in at anything around 148 and I’ll add up to 149s
If we lose 145.60 and hold below that is another confirmation of further downside.
7/11/24 - $abnb - LT winner but ST headwinds7/11/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ABNB
LT winner but ST headwinds
- best in class
- generates healthy >4% fcf yield
- 30x PE (in theory) expensive - but opex leverage not normalized in this environment - PF # probably closer to mid 20s in a smoothed scenario
- size factor is ambiguous. 88 bn enterprise value not "small" (by any stretch) but also not a small cap that i tend to think r good beneficiaries of the current environment (read my take on AMEX:IWM from last night)
- even the chart showing higher lows and higher highs since the '22 low in tech stonks - that's good
- on it's equal weighted SPXEW pair looks sideways, unconvincing - this matters
- if i didn't need to own the stock i'd probably not in the current environment
- google trends are good/ not great - stalled bc of environment
trends.google.com
- i'd want to pick this up once we figure out what's happening w/ the rates picture. if this marches higher i have no problem letting it go - i don't think there's an obvious 10-15% upside here into YE w/o a lot of monitoring
- if we get some sort of risk off, this is probably a weak link esp having just dipped below the 200d EMA... last few times it did that we saw a bit more dippity dip. not my bread and butter - but i use TA as a layer to my above thinking.
- i like it more in the $120s. near $150 (like today) i'm ambivalent and see many other names that have better than low teens growth, cash generative, better GM's and trading cheaper than 8x. 6x. fine. 25x on current cons. PE. let's go.
- sidelines.
what do u think?
V
ABNB BULLISH JULY 10 2024Abnb has got just 1 resistance and thats it and we will rally and I am long in this. This is not a penny stock like SNAP.
NOTE: I AM LONG WITH STOCKS
Good opportunity with ABNB swings150/200 ema cloud has provided good support. I feel once it fully close above 9/20 ema cloud, it will take off possibly reaching the zone above.
ABNB TRADE IDEAWhen considering the forecast and the evidence that supports it, it is likely in wave three to a higher degree, which is the bread and butter of swing trading. That said, the safest wave three entry is often the break above wave one of three, but in this case, the 8 and 21 EMA gave a buy signal, weekly volume is ticking up, and the weekly RSI is holding above 40. Therefore, a break above the weekly 8EMA may be the buy signal we are looking for. For any trade, you need a reason to enter, which is listed, a valid stop, which would be the wave 2 of 3 low in this case, and a target, which will be at least the 161.8% extension, based on typical Elliot wave theory and the overall forecast.
PRIMARY FORECAST FOR ABNBWhile there is an alternate count that treats wave two as a flat correction, there is more evidence to support the listed forecast. Based on the high extension of wave one of three, it is likely that wave three will be extended and target the 260 zone. Currently, the weekly volume steadily increasing over the past few weeks supports that this could get moving to the upside soon. We will want to see the RSI hold above about 40 to confirm the count is correct and in fact in wave three on a higher degree.
ABNB - Bullish PointThe green up trend line should continue.
This follows a break of the red trend line and the support of the white horizontal.
Should go up.
4Hr chart but still bullish.
$ABNB ALMOST READY?WHAT CAN I SAY ABOUT NASDAQ:ABNB ?
NASDAQ:ABNB
well,
there is a lot to like here, lets dive in
I'm waiting for a daily close above the 34 ema, $150 area, i want the saty phase ema to be above the 23.60 level in blue, i would also like the ema to turn green above this level but not a big deal for me on this trade. then go long for the gap fill till $155 - $156 area
ABNB ConsolidatingI have been watching this consolidation below support on ABNB.
$150 has been a very strong resistance, which indicates that once it breaks with volume we could see a big move towards the upside.
AIRBNB Reasons for execution
1)PWL & PML LIQUIDATED
2)+OB
3)0.382 FIBONACCI SUPPORT LEVEL
4)POSITIVE ORDERFLOW
5)1.618 FIB plus
Airbnb Rising Wedge OpportunityAirbnb carries a potential profit of more than 21% unless it closes below $140 per week. Since my usual bottom finder indicator is currently giving a buy signal, I can open a long targeting $176 with a stop at $140. But in the long term a rising wedge pattern is forming.
$ABNB Momentum Swingstwo good setups back to back
enter at consolidation
exit at first fall below MA
ABNB - - A potential setup for a swing tradeRemain vigilant for daily reversal candles occurring near the support area. In the event of a daily closing breach of the support levels (red lines), there is a possibility of further downward movement, emphasizing the importance of implementing risk management strategies.
ABNB gonna pay went long friday, 150s this week 155s next week exp. bottom of the box stop loss. ez play good setup. already a free trade. gonna let the rest do the work. overall target 155
2024-05-28 ABNB Bottom fishing position with tight stoplossABNB has really good fundamental, stock went down due to weak guidance. However, looks like a bottom fishing position can be place with a tight stop at this point. If stock reverse and goes further down more than 5%, just cut loss, no second guess (not a financial advise).
Airbnb: Downhill 🏂Airbnb shares should approach our turquoise Target Zone between $129.45 and $106.12 before placing the low of the magenta wave (2) there. Subsequently, it should turn around and rise above the resistance at $170.05. Should the price exceed this resistance now (33% likely), we will already see it in the magenta-colored wave alt. (3).
Airbnb beats analysts' estimatesAirbnb delivered its quarterly results for the first quarter of 2024, surpassing analysts' estimates on the top and bottom lines. The company reported revenue growth of 18% YoY, bringing the figure to $2.1 billion. The net income was $264 million, up 126% YoY, and operating income amounted to $1.9 billion, recording an increase of 18% YoY. Per the investor letter, the company conducted share buybacks worth $750 million in the first quarter of the current year and registered 132.6 million bookings, marking an increase of 9.5% YoY.
Net revenue = $2.1 billion (18% YoY) vs. $1.8 billion in 1Q23
Net income = $264 million (126% YoY) vs. $117 million in 1Q23
Operating income = $1.9 billion (18% YoY) vs. $1.6 billion in 1Q23
Earnings per share = $0.41 (127% YoY) vs. $0.18 in 1Q23
Additional information
Active listings rose by 15% in the first quarter of 2024.
Long-term stays of 28 days or more accounted for 17% of gross nights booked, down about 1% compared to the first quarter of 2023.
Gross nights booked in non-urban areas grew by 10% YoY.
Forward guidance
Airbnb expects its revenue to increase by approximately 10% in the second quarter of 2024, bringing it to $2.68 billion. Further, the company anticipates stable growth in bookings and adjusted EBITDA to be flat to up on a nominal basis but down on an adjusted EBITDA margin basis when compared to the second quarter of 2023. In addition to that, Airbnb expects its full-year 2024 stock-based compensation expense to be approximately 20% higher than in the full year 2023.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
ABNB POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE MOMENTUM AHEAD WITH THIS BREAKOUTABNB has undergone a notable shift in its recent trajectory. A significant breakout accompanied by a gap suggests the possibility of a downward momentum, potentially returning towards the lower support levels. Furthermore, the failure of bullish momentum above the resistance confirms a significant sell zone. Anticipating a further decline of approximately 10% to 12% from the $150 region.
ABNB Potential Bearish Continuation SetupAfter the first "confirmed " reversal signal of Extreme Reversal Sniper on the H4 Chart Time Frame; we look for bearish breakout confirmation as decribed on the chart.
Holding Period : 5- 7 days
Major Trend : Bullish
Chart Time Frame: H4
Trade Type: Correction
Price Target: Targets are the trendlines on the chart.
Status : Not confirmed yet.
Important Note: Reversal/Correction is not confirmed. You need to wait for the confirmation signal.
Airbnb Shares Tumbles 8% After Weak ForecastsAirbnb shares ( NASDAQ:ABNB ) fell more than 8% in extended trading on Wednesday after the company issued a weaker-than-expected current-quarter outlook, overshadowing its strong Q1 results that topped Wall Street expectations. The company said its current-quarter results face "a significant sequential headwind" from the timing of Easter, an added leap-year day in the prior quarter, and the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations. However, the rentals platform sees accelerating sequential revenue growth between the second and third quarters, driven by a summer travel backlog spearheaded by the Paris Olympics in July and August.
For the three months ending March 31, the company posted adjusted earnings of 41 cents per share, well above the 24-cents-a-share figure modeled by analysts. Revenue in the period of $2.14 billion grew 18% from the last year's first quarter and topped the $2.06 billion consensus view. Gross bookings registered $22.9 billion, up 12% year-over-year (YOY), while nights and experiences booked on the platform improved 9.5% from a year earlier to 132.6 million, edging past expectations of 132.1 million.
Airbnb ( NASDAQ:ABNB ) noted that one-off events, such as the solar eclipse in North America, helped drive user engagement to the platform in the quarter, adding that 500,000 guests booked stays during the eclipse. Since topping out in late March, the Airbnb ( NASDAQ:ABNB ) share price has consolidated within a narrow range around the 50-day moving average, indicating a lack of conviction from both buyers and sellers.
Airbnb ( NASDAQ:ABNB ) shares fell 8.4% to $144.58 in after-hours trading. Through the close of trading Wednesday, the stock had gained about 25% over the past 12 months.
The Easter holiday occurring in the first quarter rather than the second and currency-exchange impacts were partly to blame for Airbnb ( NASDAQ:ABNB ) projecting current-quarter revenue below lofty Wall Street estimates.
Technical Outlook
Airbnb ( NASDAQ:ABNB ) shares is down 6.34% on Thursday's early Market Trading with a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 34.38 indicating a slight oversold condition for the stock.
