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Airbnb, Inc.

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ABNB trade ideas

Airbnb (ABNB) take profit and risk freeAirbnb, rebalancing and stop at 0 Stock picking is one of the most complicated things, especially in the long term. Airbnb (ABNB) is the result of a study I carried out years ago shortly after its listing, the market cap, is higher than historic tourism giants, and the business model and growth possibilities remain important. Its main competitor (Booking) has done better , incorporating the tourist rental business into the enormous hotel database, increasingly becoming the point of reference in the sector. A sector in which I continue to believe but ... How sustainable can it be? Short-term rentals are out of control now, heavily influencing the cost or even the very EXISTENCE of long-term or "canonical" rentals. Here ethical and political aspects come into play. It is becoming a problem in some areas even outside the big cities, for those who cannot afford rent which very often equals their salary, when it goes well. From a graphic point of view, the stock is in an uptrend, and the macroeconomic data have always been positive apart from the last earnings, -183%, an alarm bell which, added to my reasoning, leads me to diversify, while continuing to believe in the tourism sector. I take home all the profit generated and set the stop at 0. I am doing a study on the best sector ETF, to include the capital allocated to ABNB, which I hope will continue to grow. Possible scenarios: at 152.70: I completely exit the remaining position and reinvest the amount in an ETF (which will be communicated once done) Rebalancing target: historical high in the $220 area I'll keep you up-to-date Happy trading Lazy Bull
NASDAQ:ABNB
by LazyBull5
AIRBNB daily suggesting a larger correction is coming..Introduction Since its IPO, Airbnb (AIRBNB) has exhibited a predominantly sideways trading pattern in the daily timeframe. However, a closer examination reveals a notable impulsive move downwards since late '21, characterized by five distinct waves. This suggests a corrective structure (W-X-Y) has potentially been forming since early '23. If this corrective pattern indeed materializes, it implies that AIRBNB's price trajectory may start retracing lower in the coming months, possibly dipping below its all-time lows. Adding to this analysis is the comparison with its industry peer, Booking Holdings (BOOKING), which is trading slightly above a major supporting trendline. The similarity in their patterns could signify broader market concerns, hinting at the possibility of another major crisis akin to the COVID-19 pandemic, potentially even more severe. Conclusion: In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests that AIRBNB's recent downward movement may be part of a larger corrective pattern, indicating potential further downside ahead. Moreover, the resemblance in structural weaknesses between AIRBNB and BOOKING raises red flags for the travel and hospitality sector, hinting at broader market vulnerabilities. Traders and investors should closely monitor price action and market developments for confirmation of these potential bearish scenarios.
NASDAQ:ABNB
by Dalietos
In-depth Look at Airbnb: Analysis for InvestorsAirbnb ( NASDAQ:ABNB ) is currently showing signs of strength as it breaks above previous highs. Looking at the bigger picture, the bullish trend seems to be intact, especially on higher time frames, indicating potential for further upside. The recent slight pullback, coupled with oversold conditions on the 37 Stochastic RSI, suggests that buyers might see this as an opportunity to enter at a lower price before the uptrend resumes. Additionally, there's notable volume accompanying this move, which adds conviction to the bullish thesis. With the all-time high (ATH) sitting at 219, there's significant upside potential for investors. Analyzing Airbnb ( NASDAQ:ABNB ) involves considering various technical indicators and chart patterns. Breaking above previous highs indicates bullish momentum, particularly when viewed on higher time frames like daily or weekly charts. The slight pullback, accompanied by oversold conditions on the 37 Stochastic RSI, suggests that the stock may have reached a short-term bottom and could be poised for a rebound. This presents an opportunity for investors to "buy wholesale," taking advantage of the lower price before the uptrend potentially resumes. Additionally, observing increased volume during these moves adds confirmation to the strength of the bullish trend. When considering the potential upside, investors calculate the difference between the current price and the all-time high (ATH), providing a target for profit potential. Remember, the principle of "buying wholesale, selling retail" emphasizes entering positions when prices are low and selling when they are high, aligning with a profitable investment strategy.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by ImmaculateTony
3
Is AirBnb, taking the lion share in the alternative acommodationAfter finding a bottom at the end of 2022, the price shifted into a bullish intermediate trend. Since then there have been two waves of higher lows and higher highs playing out in almost the same timeframe and each wave was with a diminishing magnitude than the previous one. In continuation of the pattern I expect the next wave to be of a lesser move and a high of around $170. A more optimistic outlook places a secondary target at $181. The price currently maintains a favorable position, comfortably trading above both the 50-day moving average (blue-line) and the 200-day moving average (orange-line). Furthermore, the recent crossover of the 50MA above the 200MA reinforces the prevailing bullish sentiment. Q4 and Full-Year 2024 Financial Performance The company posted its latest earnings report on the 13th of February. They closed 2023 with a robust financial performance, reporting record-high fourth-quarter metrics and achieving significant year-over-year growth in revenue. Q4 revenue was $2.2 billion, up 17% year-over-year also it was their best Q4 ever. This number was driven by a record 99 million Nights and Experiences Booked, a modest increase in the Average Daily Rate (“ADR”), and an FX tailwind. The company reported Net Loss for Q4 of $349 million, including non-recurring tax withholding expenses and lodging tax reserves of approximately $1 billion. The Adjusted Net Income excluding those expenses and applying a long-term effective tax rate of 21%, was $489 million compared to $319 million in Q4 2022. This was mainly driven by strong revenue growth, expense discipline, and interest income, resulting in a 22% Adjusted Net Income Margin. Other Business Highlights for 2023: Host community grew to 5 million globally. Q4 supply growth increased by 18% year-over-year, resulting in more than 7.7 million active listings by the end of 2023. Share repurchase of $2.25 billion during the year. Nights and Experiences Booked grew by 12% compared to the previous year aided by a record Q4 with 99 million bookings. The App accounted for 55% of gross Nights Booked which is 5% increase from the previous year. Some of the main points from their recent earnings call made by the company Co-founder and CEO Brian Chesky: Focus on improving the host experience led to significant growth in the host community and active listings. Introduction of new features and upgrades (like Guest Favorite, Listing Tab, and transparent pricing) enchanced the affordability and reliability for guests. Strategic expansion efforts yielded positive results in underpenetrated international markets such as Germany, Brazil, and Korea. An acquisition of GamePlanner.AI to advance their AI capabilities. Dave Stephenson (current CFO) was appointed as Airbnb's Chief Business Officer and Ellie Mertz was appointed as CFO, effective March 1, 2024. Future Outlook: New share repurchase authorization of up to $6 billion of Class A common stock Continuing focus on making hosting mainstream to drive further growth in the host community. Strategic expansion beyond the core business into underpenetrated international markets. Emphasis on leveraging AI technology to develop innovative and personalized interfaces. Continued investment in new features and upgrades to enhance the platform's functionality. Long-term vision to offer more than just accommodation, aiming to become a comprehensive travel platform. Here is my take so far: Airbnb's push to make hosting more mainstream shows how important it is to keep hosts engaged to keep the platform growing. So it is very important to make Airbnb look attractive to people who might want to host. And with listings growing by double digits across different regions, Airbnb is managing to meet the rising demand for places to stay. Improving their core service is all about making the guest experience better. They're constantly improving the user experience and are doing things like being more transparent about prices to build trust with users and keep them coming back. Airbnb's move into the experiences vertical shows they're aiming for bigger growth. By focusing on markets where they're not as big yet and investing in AI, they're trying to find new ways to make money and become a one-stop-shop for travel. Their success in breaking into new markets proves they can adapt to what people want in different places. Using the same successful strategies in new areas to grab more of the market and grow even more. And with the aquisition of GamePlanner.AI is all about leveraging AI to make sure users find what they're looking for and get personalized recommendations, which will help them stay ahead of the competition. Bull Case: AirBnb network has achieved a critical mass, driven by its dominant share in the alternative accommodation market and the ongoing diversification into the experiential vertical. The rapid growth in mobile app usage and Airbnb’s strong brand awareness contribute to approximately 90% of traffic coming directly or through unpaid searches to its platform. What’s more the trend of remote work is driving sustained growth into the long and mid-term travel demand, and AirBnb is well-positioned to benefit from it. PS: *As per their latest earnings call now more than two-thirds of the hosts offer a weekly or monthly discount.* Bears Cases: Rivals such as Booking and Expedia are intensifying their investment in alternative accommodation supply and brand awareness in the U.S., posing a competitive challenge. Google's prioritization of paid advertisements and its metasearch platform over free organic search links may elevate marketing costs for Airbnb. Regulatory hurdles related to societal impact, safety concerns, and economic implications could impede the growth of alternative accommodations. Airbnb's operational model for individual host accommodations entails higher servicing costs compared to traditional hotels and other segments within the travel industry. Final thoughts: As we look ahead for Airbnb, there's a sense of optimism on both its recent performance and its long-term potential. The way the stock has been trending, there's this steady momentum building up. What’s more, when you step back and look at the bigger picture, you see Airbnb as this powerhouse in the travel world. Their unique approach, their way of connecting people with places to stay, is making Airbnb a synonym for traveling in younger generations. And with things looking up on the technical side and the fundamental strengths they've got going, it's hard not to feel bullish about where they're headed.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by RickHardyPro
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in ABNB BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NASDAQ:ABNB
by Kapil-Mittal
ABNB: price structure The macro structure is bullish from Dec'22 low with important price zones at: 198-217, 227-260 and 282-322 as inter-mediate and ultimate resistance areas for suggested impulsive structure. The gap-up set-up on earnings today is in the cards for price to move towards 198-217 area. But if price decides to consolidate more138-128 area should be an important support zone. If price goes bellow 128 suggested price structure needs to be revised. Thank you for your attention!
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by artemfedorov
ABNB (Long) - end of the choppiness? Looking at my past track record, I am becoming somewhat of a fanless guru hahah - I better knock on some wood; otherwise the market goods give me a losing streak like I have never seen. However, it is nice to see how these age-old rules coupled with some patience work. Anyways, enough of bragging and lets get to the trade Fundamentals The market is disgustingly overbought , so this trade is on only if the NASDAQ:ABNB earnings deliver Overall, right now, I would only purchase stocks that have already posted blockbuster earnings, otherwise I am in expectations of a pullback that should last at least a couple of weeks (c. 2-4) Considering how ridiculous are some valuations getting in the market, ABNB is actually priced quiet reasonably, almost conservatively The company is pretty much printing money with a net profit margin of 58% (up from 20% a year ago) ,which is, honestly, incredible, hence the P/E of 'only' 18 The earnings have grown by 253% yoy, and the revenue is steadily marching higher The firm is not bending under a pile of debt with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.2 - so, no interest burdens Technicals Given that Airbnb is a famous and popular brand, it is almost shocking how badly the stock has been performing since the IPO, having moved basically nowhere However, the chart has been putting in the work to build us a nicer a picture (an accumulating base) and we are nearing something that could potentially be a marvellous breakout, which is not incidentally coinciding with upcoming earnings Throughout this whole period, the stock has been gradually being accumulated with almost no major distribution periods (check the indicator) Indicators like MACD and Stochastics showing strong momentum Trade This part is a bit tricky - if the earnings disappoint, then the trade is probably off because the setup goes to sh**; if the stock shows strong earnings than we can probably expect a major pop, which means we will have to be chasing But if you backtest strong earnings , you can see that it is worth chasing even a major earnings pop - the price tends to carry on performing strongly (e.g. NASDAQ:ARM , NYSE:PLTR etc. - from some of the recent examples) 'Meeting estimates' results that would barely move the stock is probably good, but I would wait a bit for more stock price action If the stock pops, but there is no follow through - is usually a bad signal and should be watched out for Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by jurajholik
Air BNB back to 114 after earnings ? Some analysts express bearish views on Airbnb, but these assessments might be misguided according to Bernstein. Key points of bearish sentiment include: Airbnb’s room nights have grown by only 8% on a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) since 2019. The company has relied on price increases (9% per year) rather than volume growth. Airbnb’s average prices are 40% higher today compared to 2019, leading some to believe it has lost its edge as a budget-friendly hotel alternative. Booking.com, a competitor offering both hotels and short-term rentals, has narrowed the room night growth gap against Airbnb.
NASDAQ:ABNBShort
by NYRUNSGLOBAL