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Allarity Therapeutics, Inc.AA

Allarity Therapeutics, Inc.

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ALLR trade ideas

Squeeze?NASDAQ:ALLR Potential trade setup: Short interest: According to fintel it has 360% short interest however that is likely untrue (but don't fade what other people see, retail may see that number and foam at the mouth) as other sources like finviz and market beat state 4-7%. Open gaps: No open gaps within extended hours. However, during normal trading hours during the 15min timeframe there is a small gap at $0.75 and a larger gap at $0.35-0.45. TA: There is a chance we are already at the bottom at $0.1950 (2.618 downward extension from the last peak from $1.15-3.45), but from looking at previous squeezes there is about a 25% downward shakeout to the bottom. 25% from $0.1950 is about $0.1450. Levels: Entry - $0.1580 Above a psychological $0.15 TP 1 (Take Profit) - $0.275-0.32 Around 0.236 fib of estimated bottom $0.15-3.45 TP 2 - $0.46-0.52 Around GP (Golden Pocket) 0.35-0.382 fib of estimated bottom $0.15-3.45 TP 3 - $0.62-0.76 Around 0.5 fib of estimated bottom $0.15-3.45 SL - $0.1070-0.1220 Below or around fib extensions from prior peaks in the $0.50 region
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by tings222
3
$ALLR Is It A Noteworthy Drug Stock?The five-year mortality rate for women with metastasized breast cancer is 30%. However, that statistic figure may soon be curbed due to Allarity Therapeutics, Inc.’s (NASDAQ: ALLR) new treatment – IXEMPRA-DRP. This is a treatment system combining Ixempra, an FDA-approved treatment for Metastasized breast cancer, with DRP, an AI system that matches patients with effective drugs. Currently, in trials to enter the European Union, IXEMPRA-DRP could lead to greater revenues for ALLR as it capitalizes on this new market. This catalyst could potentially catapult ALLR into becoming well-established among drug stocks. That being said, the stock has recently dropped due to an offering, however, its low value may not stay low for long due to a potential short squeeze. ALLR Fundamentals ALLR is not a pharma giant, it is merely one of many small drug stocks. In fact, it has not generated any revenue since 2019. Its significance lies in its utilization of AI in order to diagnose patients and its potential solutions for the breast cancer market. Given its treatment’s potential, ALLR’s second phase trial enrollment process for EU use has been accelerated and the results are expected in Q2. The EU’s breast cancer market size in 2021 was $8.5 billion, and the market is expected to grow at a rate of 7% between 2022, and 2028 reaching $119.5 billion. Healthcare is a market of inevitable demand, as such, any development in medicine does not only improve lives but also enriches the marketplace. ALLR’s market advantage is its DRP system. The DRP system basically functions like a scratch test that targets the tumor’s mRNA, and other biomarkers. It takes in that data and matches them with a drug that best suits its assessment. This means ALLR’s DRP works with drugs developed by ALLR as well as a variety of cancer drugs in its database. This may increase the efficacy of other drugs, and as a result cause other drug stocks to run as well as its own. It may also spare patients from exhaustion and dangerous treatments that reap no reward, the DRP’s accuracy rate in treatment efficacy is 80%. Ultimately it provides patients with effective treatment earlier on in the disease’s progression, not only saving many lives but qualifying it as a successful treatment evaluator as well. It is for that reason that ALLR is one of the promising drug stocks. In the US, the Patent system has provided ALLR with a market advantage in regard to its DRP usage. ALLR has currently received 3 patents permitting it to incorporate multiple cancer medications into its DRP system. As time progresses ALLR is likely to add more patients to its belt, and along with their inclusion, more drugs would be incorporated into its DRP system, which would as a result make it harder for other companies to develop DRP systems of their own. There is more than one company that utilizes DRP in breast cancer treatment. The most prominent of which is Chosa Smart Oncology (NGM: CHOSA), which is currently in a favorable financial position, and has earlier access to the European market. That being said, the number of healthcare companies with access to DRP is very limited, and the market is very vast. The European Medicines Agency (EMA) operates with a different set of rules, and regulations than the FDA. Currently, ALLR’s IXEMPRA and IXEMPRA-DRP are in consideration by EMA. Usually, a consensus concerning the treatment occurs in the first 210 days, however, if ALLR succeeds in receiving an accelerated assessment then it’s possible that its DRP system’s time frame will decrease to 120 days, which means that it is possible that ALLR’s products may be available in the EU later this year. On the 19th of April ALLR revealed in a press release its $2.7 million public offering. The public offering consisted of 2.86 million common stock, 7.1 million pre-funded warrants, and 10 million common warrants in order to purchase 10 million common stock. The pricing was above market which is a bullish sign for the stock. Common stocks sold at $.75, while warrants sold at $.85. ALLR stock started to sink after a 35-1 reverse split on March 27th, however, which resulted in its low float of 3.8 million. Later on, two impulsive moves spiked up the price, an offering was made, and the price of the stock subsided due to a mixture of dilution, and selling. Currently, the cost to borrow is extremely high at 452%, combined with ALLR’s low float of 3.8 million, a short squeeze could occur. ALLR Financials According to its annual report, assets have drastically decreased since last year from $49 million in 2021 to $14 million in 2022. Meanwhile, liabilities have also decreased. In 2021 ALLR’s total liabilities were $30 million, they decreased to 12 million in 2022. ALLR has also managed to decrease its net loss from $26 million in 2021 to 16 million in 2022. Despite the fact that ALLR hasn’t turned a profit yet, its financials seem to be heading in a favorable direction. Technical Analysis ALLR is in a neutral trend with the stock trading in a sideways channel below the 200 MA. It is currently above the 50 MA and the 21 MA as well. The MACD is approaching a bearish crossover, and the RSI is neutral at 50. The stock is currently trading near its support, as well as its 21, and 50 MAs. A possible play would be to go long given and TP when ALLR starts making revenue, as well as when news of their attempt at entering the European market breaks out. A good stop loss would be at .027 which would indicate a break in the trend line support as well as the MA’s ALLR Forecast ALLR is one of the promising drug stocks despite its price. Its extremely low price is due to a mixture of dilution from the public offering and selling, however the price may increase given ALLR’s attempt at entering the European Market, and the performance of its DPR system. ALLR has a plethora of catalysts in the bag. They include but aren’t limited to the phase 2 results for Ixempra for EMA approval, possibly entering the EU market, developments in Dovitinib, and Stenoparib throughout the FDA approval process, and finally ALLR potentially turning up a profit due to its utilization of DRP. Additionally, Its cost to borrow is extraordinarily high, and its float is low which may result in a short squeeze. Given the potential of ALLR, it’s highly unlikely that the stock will remain so low.
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by Penny_Stocks_Today
Allarity priming itself for a pumpAs with most micro biotech companies, I expect the price to continue to fall to the $1 region and then “flatten out” for a while to keep its head just above the minimum listing requirement. It will then probably remain there until it is seemingly forgotten. Then, in a move to regain compliance (if it falls below $1) we can expect some financial reorganisation on the stocks behalf and possibly a R/S on the cards if things get dire. If it remains over the minimum listing price, I expect some group of pumpers to catch on to Allarity and we could see a few weeks of growing buzz on social media platforms, followed by some handy articles and a sudden parabolic move upwards on news as FOMO kicks in to the herd.
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by Magnus_Chimpski