Entering Swing TradeEntering Swing Trade:
📍Contract: NASDAQ:AMD $220 Calls Feb 21, 2024
✅ Entry: $.56
I am buying this in a discount zone, and will be targeting $160!
R/R is great! 7.62 💰
AMD trade ideas
Amd - Retest, Reversal And A +100% Rally!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) will soon retest massive previous support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After Amd perfectly retested the upper channel resistance about half a year ago, we saw a beautiful rejection and already a retest of the crucial horizontal support. Now, Amd is once again coming back to retest this support and another bullish reversal is extremely likely.
Levels to watch: $130, $260
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD Trade Idea: Big Move Coming Soon?AMD is trading in a triangle pattern, meaning it’s building up for a possible big move. This is a setup where we watch for a breakout or breakdown to decide the next direction.
Why AMD Is Worth Watching:
Tight Range: AMD is stuck between key levels, and a breakout could mean strong momentum.
Growing Industry: AMD is a big player in AI and chips, which are hot sectors right now.
Potential Catalysts: News about AI products or market strength could push AMD higher.
Key Levels:
Breakout Zone: Above $150, it could climb toward $180 or higher.
Buy Zone: Around $133, with strong support near $121. Below $121 could mean more downside.
AMD - A strong compettitor in the AI&Bluechip business.Hi Investors our next stop is the fantastic company Advanced Micro Devices. Currently the stock had a tremendeous year, and afterward took a very bad beating , which pushed the price to it's current level which is a strong support at the moment. From a technical perspective is the strong support should attract a lot of buyers at this stage to push our boundries to some of our targets.Additionally the RSI is quite low so I can see an ascending channel formulating.
Fundamentals : AMD has seen impressive growth, driven by it's competetive produts liek Ry zen and EPYC processors, which have gained significant market share. The company's focus on innovation in areas liek data centers AI and high performance computing positions it well for future and stable growth ahead. Their strong financial performance and continuied makret expansion makes AMD a promising investment in the tech sector.
Entry already active I have bought 1,000 shares at : 129.50$
Target 1: 144.09$
Target 2: 159.85$
Target 3: 174.89$
Target 4: 191.01$ (If we have enough buying power to cross / break the Strong resistance level at 174.89$, but I will confirm nor deny once we get close to that area if we would be able to acquire the final target)
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
AMD 3 Day Bear FlagI believe AMD has just completed a Bear Flag on the 3 day time frame and if it plays out then possible price targets would be $110-$115.
Share your thoughts.
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #5 - AMD Major Trend BreakMy personal sentiment for the market overall right now is bullish for the shorter term, which you can probably see in my ideas the last few weeks. CPI is tomorrow and there's strong potential for downside, so I'll make one bearish idea for the top 5 this week.
AMD has been the red headed step child of semis this year, kind of sad to see. Now it has a major trend break here, with this trendline starting back in 2022. Not a good look at all. This is a longer term chart, final downside target would be all the way down near $74, but there's plenty of potential supports along the way.
I think this will be a good name to short if the market turns bearish and if we rally, it could be a good short in the near future on a retest of this trendline. If it rallies back up for a retest that would be the first one and this is a major one so I'd say the probability of a fail on the first retest would be very high.
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES $AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL DOWN Dec11'24ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES NASDAQ:AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL Dec11'24
NASDAQ:AMD BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $141.50 - $166.50
NASDAQ:AMD DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $134.50 - $141.50
NASDAQ:AMD SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $110.00 - $134.50
NASDAQ:AMD Trends:
NASDAQ:AMD Weekly Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD Daily Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD 4H Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD 1H Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD Oct29 earnings release started bearish trend. Bears should start targeting the previous quarter's lows. Price is currently breaking my indicator's range to the downside, and all display indicators are pointing to a bearish trend for $amd. Recently, bearish momentum breaks down from the DNT range this week.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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AMDAMD looks beaten up lately for on monthly, I can see if it holds up 110-120 area may see 160 by Q1 2025 and then may retest again current levels then go for 200 or 300
A possible Scenario!The chart shows the asset's historical price action, with several notable price points and patterns annotated. These annotations seem to represent potential support and resistance levels, as well as possible future price targets or trajectories.
Short term mix
longterm down
AMD Is it really as 'dead' as it looks?Advanced Micro Devices / AMD is down -45% since their March 2024 All Time High and the market appears to be quickly losing faith on the stock.
However, this is not the first time we've encountered such decline on this stock as the exact same Channel Down that had a drop of -42% also took place during the previous Bull Cycle.
In fact this is what we called the mid Bull Cycle accumulation Channel and as you see in both patterns, the 1week MA100 supported. On the 2017/18 case, it kickstarted a rebound to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
It is amazing to see that even the Bear Cycles that preceded those Channels (2022 and 2014/15), they declined by the same amount (-66.41%).
So for now the 1week MA100 is supporting the November-December consolidation and this is the 1nd time it has since the August 5th low.
Once the 1week RSI hits 38.00 again (like it did on March 26th 2018), it will be the ultimate time to buy again but being so close to it right now, you can start buying even now.
Target 350.00 (little under the 1.382 Fib).
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
AMD 1 WEEKOk so here i have the weekly chart pulled up and as you can see we have multiple pivots along the lower trendline. im anxiously waiting to see if the "third times the charm" .
AMD yearly open failAll of those investors this year are waiting to get paid. AMD needs to prove what it's made of before 2025 hit!
The key is whether it can rise above 134.27-143.90
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(AMD 1M chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the 139.15 section.
If not, and it falls, it can fall until it meets the HA-Low, BW(0) indicators, so be careful.
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(1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise after receiving support near 134.27-143.90.
If not,
1st: 108.10
2nd: 81.99
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
However, if you meet the HA-Low indicator while the decline is in progress, the support near that area is an important issue.
It is expected to create an upward wave if it rises above 177.25-180.49.
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(1D chart)
It is currently located near the box section of the HA-Low indicator.
In other words, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 130.24-153.60.
If not, there is a high possibility of falling to the point mentioned above, so caution is required when trading.
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What we need to look at is whether the HA-Low indicator turns upward.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator is created means that a low point has been formed.
However, since it does not mean that a bottom section has been formed, it can be seen that a bottom section is likely to be formed only if it shows an upward trend after the HA-Low indicator is created.
Therefore, you can buy when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator.
However, you need to consider whether the bottom point of the HA-Low indicator box can be designated as a stop loss point.
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If the HA-Low indicator rises, the trend will be determined again by touching the HA-High indicator.
In other words, if it rises above the HA-High indicator, there is a high possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
However, if it fails to rise, there is a possibility that it will meet the HA-Low indicator again.
- It slowly creates waves by moving sideways within the HA-Low ~ HA-High range, or
- It creates an upward wave by rising above the HA-High indicator, or
- It creates a downward wave by falling below the HA-Low indicator.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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AMD Chart-Based Probabilistic TargetsFRACTAL SCALING
For a start I'll use the monthly timeframe that captures the broader market cycles and observes the structural trends to understand the scale and distribution of randomness over time. We need a solid foundation before diving into finer timeframes for more detailed analysis.
Capturing critical points of a cycle with Fibonacci channels, especially when aligned with the direction of the trend, reveals hidden non-linear dynamics due to the following reasons:
Fibonacci ratios reveal fractal structures that align with key reversal points in cycles, reflecting inherent market patterns.
Directionality highlights trend asymmetries, showing where price reacts differently in bullish or bearish conditions.
Cycles map the rhythm of reversals, exposing non-random patterns in market transitions.
Price reacts disproportionately at Fibonacci levels, reflecting non-linear market forces like supply and demand.
Hidden symmetry emerges, revealing harmonic relationships within price swings.
Integration of time and price uncovers rhythm, where significant moves align with Fibonacci projections.
Historical patterns anticipate future reactions, showing the underlying structure of market behavior.
Justified Shift
This version of the wave metrics aligns the top of the Fibonacci channel with a more recent cycle high, allowing it to better reflect the current price structure. By anchoring the top cycle closer to the present price action, the analysis enhances the accuracy of the underlying frequency dynamics and non-linear relationships.
This adjustment also highlights a clearer transition between past and current cycles, capturing how momentum evolves within the channel. The updated metrics likely improve the identification of potential reversal zones or continuation points relative to the new cycle top.
Curves
Curves are essential in fractal analysis because they reveal the non-linear dynamics and self-similar structures that govern market behavior. Unlike straight lines, curves accurately model the natural rhythm of price movements, capturing how trends accelerate or decelerate over time and oscillate between key levels.
By connecting critical price points such as highs, lows, and retracement levels, curves expose the proportional relationships that link fractals, often aligning with natural laws like the Fibonacci sequence.
They also define boundaries like "Full Capacity," highlighting where price tends to exhaust momentum and reverse, offering a roadmap for identifying turning points. Furthermore, curves integrate time and price, capturing the dynamic relationship between the two and providing deeper insights into how cycles evolve and repeat. In fractal analysis, they bridge the gap between mathematical models and real market behavior, making them invaluable for interpreting and anticipating price action.
Weekly Timeframe
AMD’s remarkable growth of 14,018.01% from $1.61 to its all-time high signals an impressive rally, but it also raises the likelihood of growing bearish pressure as the market enters an overheated condition. Such parabolic moves are rarely sustainable, and they often lead to exhaustion, where natural resistance levels, such as the upper bounds of the Fibonacci channel, come into play. These levels, particularly the "Full Capacity" threshold, often signal overbought conditions, triggering profit-taking by institutional investors and traders.
As price approaches these critical thresholds, momentum typically begins to slow, with indicators like RSI or volume divergence potentially signaling weakening bullish sentiment. The natural cyclical behavior of markets, combined with extended valuations, creates a favorable environment for bearish reversals. Additionally, macroeconomic risks, declining earnings growth, or broader fundamental concerns can further amplify selling pressure.
If price fails to maintain upward momentum or begins forming bearish reversal patterns such as lower highs or rising wedges, it may confirm that the market is entering a corrective phase. Monitoring technical indicators, such as volume trends and momentum divergences, alongside fundamental triggers, will be essential in assessing whether bearish pressure will dominate in the near term.
Repetitive Patterns
The repetitive pattern circled in yellow represents a critical cyclical phase in AMD's price movement. Each time this pattern completes, it is immediately followed by an "off-the-range" move that resembles the beginning of a super cycle. This phenomenon suggests that the yellow-circled phase acts as a precursor to a significant shift in the market's dynamics, where price transitions into a larger, more powerful trend.
That fractal may indicate consolidation or accumulation, where price oscillates within a confined range before breaking out. This breakout initiates a super cycle, marked by a rapid and sustained directional move beyond the previous range. The repetitive nature of this sequence highlights the fractal behavior of the market, where similar patterns recur at different scales, providing opportunities to anticipate major market movements.
Fractal I
Fractal II
AMD 1 DayGreetings
AMD has formed a long wick candle in a value zone, after a series of bearish candles, is this a sign of a reversal or just a temporary pause until it reaches the demand zone? It does seem to be consolidating inside a parallel structure. It is below the 200 EMA a bearish sign. Let's watch for any signs and confluences.
Have a safe day
BOUNCE TIME?Went long here with dec 27 130c of course well need the rest of the market to hold including all mighty $NVDA. Nancy Pelosi was just got admitted to the hospital so I'm buying her for since she's busy. 🫡
$AMD - Potential Buy around $93.40, $82Making a very clean ABCDE pattern.
Lines up with 0.786 fib retracement and previous history of reversing after 11 months down. (Plus January can be very bullish)
Can possibly dip all the way down to $82 (HTF POC)
AMD LONGlooking at lots of semi strength with a nice AVGO beat looking for some buyers to come in and pick up AMD. there's a small gap above $135 so I'm going to buy 12/20 $140s trimming most at $137. but I'm also looking at this as a good long term buying opportunity so will grab some shares or $165 calls 2/20
$160+ END OF YEAR PRICE! GET READY FOR BIG UPWARD MOVE!🚀 AMD TO $160+ BY YEAR-END 🚀 The AI chip king is set to dominate with MASSIVE growth and unmatched innovation 🌟🔥 Buckle up for the rocket ride! 📈💰
AMD Short Term FormationsNot a complete setup. AMD in an interesting position to watch for a potential bounce.
Be careful with AMD !!!In my opinion, the shares of this company are 14.5% overvalued and should reach a price of $137. The reason for the recent decline in AMD shares is due to cautious statements at Morgan Stanley. Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) shares fell more than 3% on Tuesday following cautious comments from Morgan Stanley, highlighting concerns over the company's AI supply chain strategy.
Analysts noted that AMD appears to have reduced its wafer bookings for MI325 at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) for 2025 due to uncertainty over MI325 demand. Morgan Stanley stated, 'It appears that AMD has reduced some of its CoWoS wafer bookings at TSMC for 2025 due to uncertainty over MI325 demand. This move indicates AMD's conservative approach to managing potential demand volatility for its AI processors.'
However, Morgan Stanley analysts added that Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) quickly absorbed the vacated capacity at TSMC, emphasizing Nvidia's aggressive positioning in the AI market.
The bank's note also provides insight into broader trends in the semiconductor industry, indicating that other companies are ramping up production. For instance, Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) tripled its CoWoS bookings for 2025 compared to 2024. Meanwhile, Intel's Habana division kept its wafer bookings at TSMC unchanged, indicating stability in its AI-related production.
The cautious tone from analysts on AMD follows a period of intense competition in the AI space, with Nvidia strengthening its leadership. The note also mentions that 'WPG's sales in the third quarter grew 25% quarter-over-quarter, compared to previous guidance of only 5.5% quarter-over-quarter growth,' with the bank noting 'increased business from AMD processors and GPUs.
