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Stock Analysis: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) – October 30Technical Analysis and Price Targets Following AMD’s Q3 2024 earnings release on October 29, the stock is still positioned within a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential breakout. The updated earnings data, along with key technical indicators, provide a refined outlook on AMD’s likely price movement. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $170 could push the stock toward two main targets: Target 1: Around $186, aligning with previous resistance, would likely confirm buyer strength and signal renewed upward momentum. Target 2: Around $225.50, which would represent a multi-year high, indicating strong investor confidence in AMD’s growth potential within the AI and data center markets. Bearish Scenario: If AMD fails to hold support at $140, a breakdown could target lower levels: Target 1: Around $128.66, representing an initial support level that may signal sustained selling pressure. Target 2: Around $93.62, which would suggest a significant downtrend if broader tech market sentiment or sector-specific risks intensify. Key Technical Indicators Moving Averages: AMD’s 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day average, forming a “golden cross,” suggests a potential bullish trend. Confirmation, however, is needed through a breakout above resistance. RSI: The Relative Strength Index is at 43, suggesting neutral-to-slightly oversold conditions. This leaves room for a potential bullish move if positive sentiment gains traction. ADX: With an ADX of 17, the current trend lacks strong direction. A rising ADX following a breakout would confirm the strength of the next move. Q3 2024 Earnings Summary -AMD’s Q3 earnings exceeded Wall Street estimates, with revenue reaching $6.82 billion compared to the expected $6.71 billion​ SHACKNEWS -The revenue increase was largely driven by the data center segment, which recorded $3.5 billion in sales—a year-over-year growth of 122%​ MARKETBEAT -This performance highlights AMD’s successful expansion in high-growth areas, particularly with its EPYC server processors and products geared toward AI applications. Despite the strong earnings, AMD’s stock reaction was mixed. The stock rose by $6.33 during regular trading hours on October 29 but fell by over $10 in after-hours trading. This cautious response likely reflects broader market concerns, including rising interest rates, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical factors such as U.S.-China trade tensions that may impact supply chains and production costs for semiconductor companies​ Sector and Economic Context AMD’s data center success comes amid a semiconductor industry facing complex conditions. Demand for AI and high-performance computing continues to drive growth opportunities. However, recent U.S. restrictions on chip exports to China and efforts to relocate manufacturing to the U.S. add layers of uncertainty. While reshoring may benefit companies like AMD in the long term, it could also lead to near-term logistical challenges and added costs. Macro factors, including high interest rates and potential economic slowdowns, also pose risks to tech stocks. Growth stocks like AMD are often more sensitive to rate hikes, as higher borrowing costs reduce the appeal of future earnings. Investment Strategy For Bullish Traders: If AMD breaks above $170 with high volume, it could signal a buying opportunity, targeting $186 and potentially $225.50. Given the company’s recent performance in AI and data centers, such a move would reflect confidence in its strategic direction and growth potential. For Bearish Traders: A breakdown below $140 could indicate a bearish setup, targeting $128.66 initially, with a possible extension to $93.62 if selling pressure intensifies. This approach may be favorable for traders looking to capitalize on downside risks associated with economic uncertainty and sector-specific challenges. Long-Term Investors: Those with a long-term perspective may see AMD’s current price consolidation as an opportunity to accumulate shares at a reasonable price, especially given its strong positioning in AI and data center markets. A cautious, dollar-cost averaging approach could mitigate short-term volatility while taking advantage of AMD’s growth potential in the semiconductor industry. Conclusion AMD’s Q3 2024 earnings highlight the company’s strength in high-demand sectors, yet the stock’s mixed response indicates investor caution. The anticipated breakout from the current triangle pattern will be crucial in setting the next trend. As AMD navigates a rapidly evolving industry landscape, investors should stay vigilant for both technical signals and broader economic developments to inform their strategies.
NASDAQ:AMD
by alfredomares2019
Incoming 70% correction to $40 for AMD?On the above 7 week chart price action has rallied 10,000% since 2016. Cathie Wood is now a buyer. Should we be concerned? Yahoo finance - August “Cathie Wood-Led Ark Invest Buys $47.5M Of AMD Shares” source:https://tinyurl.com/zc3cah5p Motley Fool - September “AMD is more stable financially and boasts a more established role in artificial intelligence than Intel. Alongside recent growth in its data centre division, AMD's stock is too good to pass up.” source: tinyurl.com Madness. Why bearish? Failed trend support. It is very clear to see, price action has broken through support. Rising wedge breakout. The trend support breakout confirmed the rising wedge direction. Yes price action could rally all the way to 190 in the next 1 or 2 candles but that would not invalidate the wedge. The rules of a rising wedge allow us to forecast the correction magnitude, 70% to the $40 area. The best for last. ** Double top bearish divergence with Gravestone DOJI ** Not since 2016 has this many oscillators printed negatively with price action. Both instances measured with the same specifications. This higher high in price action with a lower low in RSI (among others) following a Gravestone DOJI print…. Go Cathie. A clearer picture of the Gravestone DOJI is shown below. Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww 7 week Gravestone DOJI
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by without_worries
40
AMD Technical Analysis on Oct. 29, 20241. Trend Analysis and Chart Patterns: Ascending Trendline Support: AMD is showing an uptrend with higher lows, as indicated by the ascending trendline. This trendline can act as support, and a break below could signal a potential shift in trend. Bullish Momentum: AMD has recently broken above a previous consolidation, which can indicate bullish momentum if it holds above the breakout level. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance Levels: 161.31 - 163.00: AMD is close to this resistance zone, where selling pressure might emerge. If it breaks above 163, it could indicate continued bullish strength. Support Levels: 158.28: This level aligns with recent consolidation and might act as short-term support if AMD retraces. 152.33: A significant support level from a previous pivot low, marking a potential reversal point in case of a deeper pullback. 150.55: Key support below, where buyers may step in if AMD sees a sharp decline. 3. MACD and Volume Analysis: MACD: Slight bearish crossover, indicating weakening momentum. If MACD remains below the signal line, it may indicate a pullback or consolidation phase. Volume: Recent volume spikes on upward moves suggest strong buying interest. Lower volume on pullbacks would support a continuation of the uptrend. 4. Trading Strategy: Scalping Opportunities: Long Entry: Consider going long around 158.28 if it shows a bounce, with a target towards 161.31 and beyond. Short Entry: If AMD breaks below 158.28 with strong volume, a short position could target 155.78 or lower. Swing Trading Strategy: Bullish Scenario: A break above 161.31 with strong volume could indicate an opportunity to swing trade to 163 or higher. Look for confirmation with a higher low forming above 158.28. Bearish Scenario: A break below the ascending trendline and 152.33 may suggest a short-term bearish trend reversal. In this case, 150.55 would be a possible target. 5. Key Levels Summary: Support Zones: 158.28, 155.78, 152.33, 150.55 Resistance Zones: 161.31, 163.00 6. Expected Direction and Price Action Today: Open: Expect AMD to test 161.31 at open. If it fails to break this resistance, it may pull back to test support levels around 158.28. During the Day: If 158.28 holds as support, AMD could see a bounce and consolidate around 161.31. If this level breaks, expect it to test 163. Close: Likely bullish close if it holds above 161.31, but bearish sentiment could emerge if it fails to break this level and dips below 158.28. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct thorough research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NASDAQ:AMD
by BullBear-Insights
Earning report Today! Can $AMD breakout the downtrend line? Technically, AMD is closing to the downtrend line again. There was a FAKEOUT three weeks before.So will NASDAQ:AMD truly breakout the downtrend line this time? It will depends on the earnings report today! Here are 3 Things I'm Watching in NASDAQ:AMD 's Earnings on Tuesday 1. MI300 Series: Flagship AI GPU • Their new Instinct MI300 series GPUs are built to compete directly with NASDAQ:NVDA H100 chips, supporting both training and inference for large-scale AI models. The MI300 offers high memory capacity and multi-chip module (MCM) architecture, making it suitable for AI workloads that require massive data processing. Early deployments include partnerships with key cloud providers like NASDAQ:MSFT Azure -- which is leveraging AMD’s GPUs for its AI infrastructure. 2. AI-Powered Accelerated Processing Units (APUs) • Their APUs, which combine CPU and GPU capabilities on a single chip, are designed to handle AI tasks efficiently in edge computing and consumer applications. For instance, AMD’s latest Ryzen AI-powered APUs provide AI acceleration directly in laptops -- aiming to improve tasks like image processing and natural language interactions. 3. Capturing AI Market Share • Their approach is centered around capturing a larger share of the rapidly growing AI semiconductor market, which is projected to surpass $400B by 2030. As AI models become more sophisticated, they require increased computational resources. AMD’s focus on energy efficiency and competitive pricing allows it to offer alternatives to Nvidia, making it more appealing to enterprises managing rising energy costs and budget constraints. Unlike Nvidia, which has historically focused on high-end GPUs, AMD’s diverse product mix, including CPUs, APUs, and data center GPUs, enables it to serve a broader range of AI use cases. This could lead to more consistent revenue growth as AI applications proliferate beyond just data centers -- spreading into edge devices and personal computing.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by xugina78
AMDs not doneFor the most 2024, AMD has taken a seat back in the market - being up less than 6% YTD - while wall street AI darling NASDAQ:NVDA has enjoyed major growth, rallying up over 140% YTD. Although AMD is known for having one of the most overvalued Forward P/E ratios, from a technical perspective and overall market outlook for Q4 2024, I think there is still some room for AMD to climb higher. Since Q4 2022, AMD has remained within this rising channel testing support and resistance in a series of higher highs and higher lows, and currently sits at a key support area on the weekly chart. AMD's 246B "miniscule" market cap compared to NVDA's 2.9T requires less trading volume to see a significant move up, and with rate cuts tipped in the markets favor for Q4, I think we can easily see a 175$ - 185$ AMD by years end. It’s also good to see that Trading View’s current analyst rating sports AMD as a “buy”, while the average 1Y price forecast sits at 186$. A lot of people cover this so stock so I will be looking to cover this on a weekly basis. Best of luck!
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by LaMASIA_100
AMD correction done. TIME TO RISE! Huge bargain deal.AMD went on a good correction phase after touching a recent peak at 220 area following the market's long term trim action. Profit takers has swept the market even the top guns with the likes of NVDA, TSLA, AMZN, AAPL. Based on recent data, it looks like the market's correction has more-or-less come to an end -- and net positioning for most blue chip stocks has already commenced. AMD is one stock which you can't dismissed it's price growth potential after that huge discount drop. You know it's a bargain when a growth company gives it to you -- and not just a growth company, a major chipmaker / tech giant which the world can't live without. with the advent of AI and modern tech revolutions, AMD is one stock you can bet in the next 50-100 years. Based on recent daily data, we are currently bouncing off a major order block support at 150.0 area -- and a significant shift has been spotted. More series of ascending action is expected from this range -- with a possible breakout of its recent peak at 220 this year. This one, I won't doubt. Spotted at 150.0 TAYOR.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by JSAL
3
AMD scenarioToday we are in a distinctly upward trend, we set a high and now we are correcting in a corrective way to the 0.5 areas of the trend (Fibonacci) + to interesting liquidity areas. In my opinion, we will receive a continuation of declines according to the scenario I drew - in my estimation, the distribution of dividends at the beginning of 2025 will bring in smart money - we will receive a decline into buying and then we will begin to build long-term positions up to an all-time high.
NASDAQ:AMD
by David_capital
Levels to manage $AMD while waiting for its MI350 and MI390Copy & Paste from Morgan Stanley's note: Can MI350 be the Rome of AI? Yes, it's possible. The company's scramble to add AI engineers through two transactions is actually a good sign. While bears see it as an indication of a software ecosystem that is behind the competition, we thought that anyway, and the company making an aggressive push to turn that around quickly rather than accepting an immature position and fixing it a little bit at a time is certainly a positive. AMD executes very well, having never meaningfully missing a product launch target in the Lisa Su era, which we find exceptional. And unlike the initial server ramp, Instinct will benefit from being directly tied to the server CPUs that are becoming dominant in cloud- which gives them leverage to at least build a ubiquitous presence across multiple clouds. AMD opened the product announcements with the launch of their 5th gen EPYC server processor (Turin), which should build on their leading position with cloud customers. Gen 5 is platform compatible with AMD's zen 4 lineup and will feature two primary product families, one more enterprise focused "scale up" set of 4nm skews and cloud focused "scale out" 3nm versions where the high end 192 core product offers 2.7x performance vs 64 core Emerald Rapids from Intel (launched late last year) on an industry standard integer score benchmark. With AMD highlighting leading performance vs Intel in other areas including ML and AI workloads. Both families of zen 5 utilize a 6mn IO die. Representatives from google cloud, and Oracle Cloud were on stage with positive endorsements for the new products.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by KhanhC.Hoang
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD Team RED is READY As with any competitor, a quarterly earnings report from a peer can provide great insight into the market. For Advanced Micro Devices, the Q2'23 earnings report from Intel provides great views on the surging demand for AI chips and a rebound in PC demand crucial for AMD The most immediate signal from Intel beating Q2'23 estimates and guiding up for Q3 is the rebound in PC demand. Most importantly, the inventory correction appears over with OEMs no longer digesting chip inventory.Back in Q3'22, AMD shocked the market by cutting PC revenue estimates by $1 billion. The company quickly went from $2 billion in quarterly CPU sales for PCs to less than $1 billion. Intel still reported Q2 Client Computing revenue was down 12% YoY to $6.8 billion, but the number was up $1.0 billion sequentially. The chip giant guided up Q3 revenue to $13.4 billion, up $0.5 billion sequentially.In Q1'23, AMD reported that client revenues had fallen further to only $739 million. AMD CPU revenues are now far over $1 billion per quarter below the peak levels providing substantial upside potential when the PC market normalizes. Intel discussed a mixed picture for their business in the near term due to AI. The chip giant is seeing a wallet share shift from the sever CPU spend towards AI chips.The move is both good and bad for AMD. The company has the MI300 AI GPU chip hitting the market in Q4 providing a strong competitor to the booming demand for the H100 from Nvidia, but the chip isn't out on the market yet. In the near term, AMD may see some suppressed data center demand while heading into 2024. Ultimately, the company should see upside from AI demand for the MI300 along with the Alveo AI accelerator.On the Q2'23 earnings call, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger suggested the AI pipeline for 2024 had surged to $1 billion: In my formal remarks, we said we now have over $1 billion of pipeline, 6x in the last quarter. Going back a few months, Morgan Stanley had estimated the AI potential for AMD was only $400 million with upside potential to $1.2 billion. The Intel forecasts would suggest the AI potential for AMD is far higher next year when the MI300 is in full-scale production. Nvidia guided up current quarter sales estimates by 50% to over $11 billion. The company suggested data center sales would reach $7+ billion in the quarter. AMD has only seen data center sales reach $1.3 billion in quarterly sales leaving a huge gap from Nvidia. Even Intel still hit $4.0 billion in data center sales during Q2'23, though the amount is down nearly 20% form 2022 levels due in part to losing market share to AMD. The big issue for AMD is whether data center sales growth stalls causing a miss to 2H sales targets while booming AI demand ultimately boosts sales starting in Q1'24, or maybe Q4. The chip company peaked at quarterly sales of $6.6 billion back Q2'22 and the current quarterly analyst estimates aren't very aggressive. A rebound in PC demand to more normalized levels places AMD back at the Q4'23 revenue target of $6.5 billion alone. A PC rebound to normal digestion ($2 billion quarterly run rate) along with higher data center or AI demand leads to vastly higher revenues in 2024. The current analysts aren't even factoring in much growth in the Q2'24 revenue estimate of $6.76 billion. The amount is just 4% upside from Q2'22 despite potentially surging demand from AMD entering the AI GPU space. AMD is set to report earrings after the close on August 1. Investors should focus less on the Q2 numbers or even Q3 guidance and focus more on a return to more normalized revenue levels plus the upside from AI.Our view has long held that AMD has the earnings potential of $5 to $6 and the AI opportunity is all upside to this view. The key investor takeaway is that AMD is still $50 below all time highs while Nvidia has soared over $100 above the late 2021 highs. Investors should use the current weakness in AMD to load up on the stock while leaving some capital to buy any weakness following Q2 earnings due to the potential for near term disappointment leading to long term opportunities.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by moonypto
12