AMD Earnings Breakout or Breakdown??With Q3 '23 earnings set for tomorrow 10/30/23 AMD is perfectly positioned for a huge move to either the downside or the upside. Stock has traded in a descending channel since experiencing a meteoric rise after reporting Q1 '23 earnings, ultimately setting a high-water mark of $132.83 on 06/13/23. Overall Market has been in a downward trend and many stocks are trading at critical levels of support. Earnings trend has been to run up on good results in the pre and after markets, only to show weakness during the trading session. TNX, DXY, and VIX are all trading at heightened levels and due for a pullback possibly opening the door for stocks to go higher. However, current macro-economic data and social/political events could drive markets lower.
Bull Case
1. Strength above red Ascending Support Trendline
2. Strength at the bottom of the Descending Channel(D).
*Possible DBL BTM forming at Key Level that coincides with the bottom of the Descending Channel(D), Ascending Support(D)(Red Trendline), and the Golden Zone(Yellow Rectangle) of a Fib Retracement from the 52wk Low to the high-water mark made after earnings.
*AVWAP(52wk Low) adding additional confluence to the area.
3. Break above the 200MA(D), 50MA(D), and 100MA(D)
*Stock is currently trading below all three.
4. Break above Descending Channel(D)
5. Bullish price action, candlesticks, or chart patterns inside the Golden Zone.
Bear Case
1. Rejection of the 200MA(D), 50MA(D), or 100MA(D)
*Stock is currently trading below all three.
2. Weakness below Ascending Support(D)(Red Trendline)
*A break below the AVWAP(52wk Low), Key Level, or the VAL(AVP)(52wk Low) would be strong confirmation of further downward pressure.
3. Break below the bottom of the Descending Channel(D)
Awareness Category
1. Stock is trading at the bottom of the Bollinger Bands.
2. Chart is set to confirm a DBL BTM or DBL TOP. Follow the trend.
3. RSI(D) is oversold however, it may have formed a DBL BTM signaling a reversal.
4. Market continues to exhibit signs of distribution, resulting in huge swings in both directions.