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AMD trade ideas

AMD 24hr potterbox with possible projectionAMD 24hr potterbox with possible Projection. Its about time for AMD to come back to life and i think this could be a buying opportunity when it starts to bounce off of the floor $98.64 ish It seems to be at some good resistenct and support levels. IN my opinion. I know my bull flag is not exactly to spec but you can clearly see the pattern its following. I would like to see it above $154.18 ish .the 50 percent line or cost basis before i will consider it. Its a good one to keep a eye on. AMD was at some good highs. lets hope this market will give us some great plays in the coming months. Happy Trading
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by potrod
'AMD' OR 'MAD' UPSIDE POTENTIAL ~ COMPUTE POWERWe've noticed an interesting pattern where NVDA bounced back last week from the DEEP SEEK wash, while AMD has been churning downwards, but their recent earnings and suggested last few days of activity means that someone is interested at these levels for big $. It's likely we see some consolidation here for a few days to weeks but quiet likely to have a very rapid momentum to the upside towards $155. Not financial advice, open to discussion, play at your own risk.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by gsaad
AMD: It's A Golden Buying OpportunityHello, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc engages in the provision of semiconductor businesses. It operates through the following segments: Computing & Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. The Computing and Graphics segment includes desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, discrete and integrated graphics processing units, data centre and professional GPUs and development services. The Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment includes server and embedded processors, semi-custom System-on-Chip products, development services and technology for game consoles. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- As shown Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- Awaiting 0 crossover on MACD Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown below Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target as shown $244 AMD shares are currently trading near their 52-week lows after the top reached in March 2024. Just A day after inauguration the Trump administration announced the Stargate AI Infrastructure initiative in collaboration with OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle. According to Aaron Rakers, a Semiconductor and IT Hardware analyst, the initiative aims to deploy an immediate $100 billion for AI data center construction, starting with an ongoing project in Abilene, Texas, with the potential to scale up to $500 billion over the next four years. While this development is expected to benefit AI infrastructure and semiconductor companies, OpenAI's press release specifically mentioned NVIDIA and ARM as key initial partners, omitting AMD. This raise concerns that AMD may have missed a crucial opportunity in the AI investment boom. While this might be seen as negative there is positive news coming in from the US government, Yesterday 11th February 2025 JD Vance said the administration of President Donald Trump "will ensure that the most powerful AI systems are built in the U.S. with American-designed and manufactured chips.” This gives hope for United States of America AI companies in the coming years. Recently Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market as well. DeepSeek a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. If hyperscalers begin reassessing the necessity of massive GPU clusters, it could impact long-term demand for training hardware. However, near-term spending on AI infrastructure remains strong, with companies like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon and Google continuing their multi-billion-dollar investments as per their recent Q4 earning updates. While DeepSeek has stirred significant discussion in the semiconductor space, it is yet to showcase any ground-breaking advancements beyond what OpenAI already offers. Having tested the product, we noticed that OpenAI has quickly updated its reasoning capabilities to match DeepSeek's edge over ChatGPT. One of the biggest limitations of generative AI platforms remains their outdated datasets, often capped at 2024. We expect this to disappear with time. It's still too early to determine the full impact, but if DeepSeek’s approach gains widespread adoption, new AI market leaders could emerge, potentially shifting market dynamics. Moreover, DeepSeek's success disrupts the dominance of U.S. firms and highlights vulnerabilities in the effectiveness of export controls on high-end chips. Despite missing out on the Stargate initiative, AMD has expanded its AI chip portfolio and achieved a significant milestone by securing a spot in Dell’s new commercial AI PC lineup. The commercial PC market, which accounts for 55% of total PC shipments, remains a crucial battleground for vendors. Dell, holding 15% of the total PC market and 23% of the commercial segment, is the third-largest commercial PC vendor, with over 85% of its unit sales tied to commercial customers. Following AMD’s recent earnings report, the stock plunged 10% in premarket trading. While the company posted solid Q4 results, weaker-than-expected guidance on data center sales weighed on investor sentiment. Lastly, China represents a significant revenue source for AMD. However, the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 28, 2024 Net Revenue: $25,785 million, reflecting a 14% increase from $22,680 million in 2023, driven by strong performance in the Data Center and Client segments. Gross Profit: $12,725 million, with a gross margin of 49%, up from 46% in 2023, due to a favorable revenue mix shift towards higher-margin segments. Operating Income: $1,900 million, a significant increase from $401 million in 2023, primarily due to higher revenue and improved gross margins. Net Income: $1,641 million, compared to $854 million in 2023, driven by increased revenue and operating income. Diluted EPS: $1.00, up from $0.53 in 2023, reflecting the company's improved profitability. Revenue Segments: The Data Center segment saw a significant increase in net revenue, driven by higher sales of AMD Instinct GPUs and AMD EPYC CPUs. The Client segment also experienced growth due to increased unit shipments and higher average selling prices of AMD Ryzen processors. However, the Gaming and Embedded segments faced declines in net revenue due to lower semi-custom product revenue and normalized inventory levels, respectively. New Product Launches: AMD launched several new products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors, AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, and the Ryzen 9000 series processors. These products are designed to deliver leadership performance in gaming, productivity, and AI capabilities. New Production Launches: The company expanded its adaptive computing portfolio with the launch of the Versal Series Gen 2 devices, including the Versal AI Edge Series Gen 2 and Versal Prime Series Gen 2 adaptive SoCs, which enhance AI-driven embedded systems. Future Outlook: AMD plans to continue its focus on AI and enterprise markets, with expectations to complete the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025. The company also intends to seek a strategic partner for ZT Systems' manufacturing business. Sales Units: The Client segment reported a 34% increase in unit shipments, reflecting strong demand for AMD mobile and desktop Ryzen processors. Geographical Performance: International sales accounted for 66% of net revenue in 2024, indicating a strong global presence and continued significance of international markets in AMD's sales strategy. CHALLENGES AND RISKS Market and Competitive Risks: The company faces significant economic and strategic risks due to the dominance of Intel and Nvidia in their respective markets, which may limit AMD's ability to compete effectively. The semiconductor industry is highly cyclical, with severe downturns that have historically affected the company. Operational Risks: The company relies on third-party manufacturers, which poses risks if these suppliers are unable to meet demand or if there are disruptions in the supply chain. Potential security vulnerabilities in products and IT outages or cyberattacks could also disrupt operations. Legal and Regulatory Risks: Government actions that may limit product exports and evolving expectations regarding corporate responsibility could result in additional costs and reputational harm. Management Strategies: Management is focusing on timely product introductions and maintaining product quality to provide value to customers. The company is also investing in AI capabilities to meet the growing demand for AI solutions, although the trajectory of AI adoption remains uncertain. Market Risks: The company is exposed to unfavorable currency exchange rate fluctuations, which could adversely affect profitability and cash flows. Additionally, potential changes in tax regulations and the realization of deferred tax assets could affect financial results. STRATEGIC INITIATIVES IN 2024 Strategic Initiatives: In 2024, AMD focused on expanding its AI capabilities and data center infrastructure. The company launched multiple leadership products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors and AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, to enhance its high-performance computing portfolio. AMD also acquired Silo AI Oy to bolster its AI software capabilities and entered into an agreement to acquire ZT Systems to enhance its AI and compute infrastructure offerings. Capital Management: AMD repaid its 2.95% Senior Notes due 2024, reducing its total debt from $2.5 billion to $1.8 billion. The company returned $862 million to shareholders through the repurchase of 5.9 million shares of common stock. As of December 28, 2024, $4.7 billion remained available for future stock repurchases. AMD maintained a revolving credit facility of $3 billion and a commercial paper program, both of which were undrawn during the year. Future Outlook: AMD plans to close the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025, subject to regulatory approvals. The company intends to seek a strategic partner to acquire ZT Systems' manufacturing business. AMD expects to continue leveraging its cash, cash equivalents, and credit facilities to fund operations and strategic initiatives, including potential acquisitions and capital expenditures, over the next 12 months and beyond. Our recommendation When it comes to AI beneficiaries and hardware for AI applications, AMD has failed to get the highlight it deserves. This has greatly led to a lot of investors looking at Nvidia vs AMD. However, over the last few weeks, Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market due to its ability to make programs with less powered chips. DeepSeek's V3 a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. As a result of this, we expect more focus to move to alternative companies that are involved in AI infrastructure. AMD remains well positioned to compete with its competitors all round. In November 2024, AMD showcased its ongoing high-performance computing (HPC) leadership at Supercomputing 2024 by powering the world’s fastest supercomputer. In March 2024, AMD stock reached the all-time high at $227.30. The stock has since retraced by 53.8% to its current price of $110.48. This correction, coupled with the strong fundamentals the company has signals that AMD remains a solid hold in the long term and a great buy from the current levels. AMD continues to focus on expanding its AI capabilities and data centre infrastructure. On 11th February 2024, AMD announced the signing of a Letter of Intent (LOI) with the Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) of France to collaborate on the advanced technologies, component and system architectures that will shape the future of AI computing. This effort underscores the AMD commitment to fostering international collaborations that accelerate AI innovation, making AI more inclusive and sustainable, and strengthening cooperation, in particular, between the United States and European research institutions. It also opens up for opportunity for more income from the Europe market. For the full year 2024, AMD reported record revenue of $25.8 billion, gross margin of 49%, operating income of $1.9 billion, net income of $1.6 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $1.00. On a non-GAAP (*) basis, gross margin was a record 53%, operating income was $6.1 billion, net income was $5.4 billion and diluted earnings per share was $3.31. A key risk for AMD is the trade war between the united states and China. China represents a significant revenue source for AMD and the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook. Our view on Advanced Micro Devices is BUY/HOLD with a target of $244. This is a 120.48% return on the stock from the current price of 110.48. Sources: www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by thesharkke
17
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL (1/7) Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀 (2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT • Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09) • Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰 • Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔 (3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM • Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates) • Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡 • Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty? (4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON • AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability • Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️ • Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗 (5/7) – RISK FACTORS • NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share • Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉 • TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups • The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high (6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐 Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips Strong cash flow fueling R&D Weaknesses: Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism Opportunities: AI expansions beyond GPU domination Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖 Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology Threats: Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel) Economic slowdowns Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️ (7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA? 1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DCAChampion
1
AMD is looking spicy here!! boost and follow for more ❤️‍🔥 I'm loving AMD for a long here at cluster support, a rally higher to 130 trend resistance zone is very likely in my opinion.. if we clear trend resistance its clear skies to 150-175 pivot levels 🎯 the RSI is also showing oversold levels we haven't seen in a long time. lets see what happens.. I'm personally taking a long on AMD today.. 👀 side note, sorry for not posting in months, I've been going through some stuff in my life. But im trying to get back into my trading again. So no more long breaks from vibe. ill see you all early next week with some more ideas 👻⚡
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Aura_Trades
32
AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) Key Breakout Levels to WatchAMD is forming a potential ascending triangle pattern on the daily chart, signaling a possible breakout if momentum continues. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support Zone: The stock needs to hold above the $108-$109 range for the bullish setup to remain intact. ✅ Breakout Level: A push above $114 could confirm upside continuation. ✅ Target Levels: If AMD breaks out, we could see a move toward $117-$120.50 in the near term. The yellow 20-day WMA and SuperTrend resistance are key hurdles. A strong close above them would confirm a shift in momentum. 💬 What’s your outlook on AMD? Do you think it can break out, or will it face resistance? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
NASDAQ:AMD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
AMD: Long-Term Structure For ResearchSince my line of work focuses on understanding and connecting scalable complexities, I require an interactive representation of the long-term market structure of an idea I published a while ago. These ideas will serve as a foundation for developing a probabilistic framework that accurately captures the underlying patterns and relationships governing price movements over time. And the only way to do that is through looking back how price reacts to those levels on the in the future. I'll use this research to enhance an indicator that would automatically output these levels based on historic price action before publishing it in pinescript. Source: Why I keep posting these unconventional analyses? I have a responsibility to those who follow my work, and I take that seriously. My goal is not just to share insights but to equip you with the knowledge and tools necessary to understand price dynamics at a deeper level — so you are never dependent on traditional technical analysts who share signals without worrying about potential negative impact. Many traders fall into the trap of relying on signals or surface-level analysis, only to find themselves caught in losing in the long-term. The harsh reality is that 90% of market participants fail — not due to bad luck, but because they adopt the same conventional strategies as the herd. You can't beat the market if you use same methods as majority operates on. Institutions using advanced trading algorithms are fully aware of the majority’s thinking patterns. They exploit predictable retail behavior, reacting to conventional technical analysis signals before the crowd does. This gives them a strategic edge, allowing them to absorb liquidity, trigger stop hunts, and manipulate price movements in ways most traders fail to anticipate. Blindly following common strategies ensures playing into their hands, reinforcing the cycle of retail losses.
NASDAQ:AMD
by fract
9
Strength on AMD stockAfter almost a year of down move, on February 5th 2025 a huge professional buying took place on Advanced Micro Devices Inc. stock (Ticker NASDAQ: AMD). Even though we've seen professional buying on that move before, the volume there was much lower and, as a result, caused small retracements up only. The volume on the February 5th daily bar has much bigger potential. Moreover, a few things are adding to the strength: - Recent buying appeared on the market opening after the earnings report with an immediate price rise. - The price returned into the area of big volume (blue rectangle) on relatively low volume, showing no professional interest in the downside (testing). Therefore, if no supply reappears below or around the $116.37 level, we may see a rally towards $150.37 - $153.03 and even higher to $166.10 - $167.08 zone. In case supply hits the market in the mentioned area, another professional buying could take place around $95.61.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by VSA_Home
What do you guys think about AMD next week?NASDAQ:AMD This poor company has been caught in a Daily downtrend for months now! Currently we are approaching some areas I believe may be key. The 125.00 round number acted as a key area of resistance on multiple occasions. Using Fibs from the most recent leg down I was able to project a 2 deviation projection from the balance point at 0.50. This balance area also acted a key area of support in the previous triple bottom. We know levels of support when broken turn to resistance. This area is indicated by the 115.00 level on the chart. I will keep my eyes put on signs of another leg down at the 0.50 and 0.618 level for a move to test 100.00. This area should act the most critical level because AMD has shown to show this is a very key psychological price target. It will be key to watch the SOX and other Semiconductor stocks next week. What do you guys think?
NASDAQ:AMD
by GiancarloZacc
1