Buy Signal: 133.55Ingenuity Trading Model used in- Stock, Forex, Futures, and Crypto markets
The model is a Geometric Markov Model :
In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement. For questions or more information like stops and trade management feel free to contact me in the comment section or via private chat
BIDU trade ideas
BIDU - the beast is soon to awakenBidu has strong fundamentals and is working on several breakthrough technologies like autonomous driving. If my count is right we are done with the 1st minor wave of the 3 major wave, and now are headed for a small correction towards 108 region. This area could present a good risk/reward opportunity to be in for a ride until 200 or possibly to ATH at 280ish. Another great opportunity with a healthy risk/reward could be the break of the resistance at 148ish.
Resistance became supportfollow up trade of previous idea, see link below.
Lately BIDU broke through the resistance @128 on a big green day. Since then the SP came back to test if the previous resistance became support.
Today it came very near and moved back up, so I took another trade:
Entry: 129.38
TPI: 138.3
TPII: 142.4
SL: 126
All the other indicator described in the previous trade are still valid. Just that the MACD is positive by now.
Baidu Apollo Undervalued (Significantly)1. Baidu have had low valuation due to its stagnant growth of its core business - search engine in China, however, it enjoys a significant moat in this segment as it is the largest market share holder - therefore has network effect.
2. Baidu had been investing significantly in developing AI and autonomous driving over the past few years. Its Apollo project is as good as (if not better), than Google's Waymo. However, Apollo is valued at $1.3 billion only (3% of Baidu's market cap) due to Baidu's core business growth, and unclear roadmap of monetization of Apollo. But, Google's Waymo is valued at $30 billion. It is worth noting that only Waymo and Apollo achieved the L4 auto driving, where they begin 1000+ testing of full self driving on road. Tesla's autonomous driving had been recording data of man's driving, while Waymo and Apollo records data on full self-driving.
3. Recently, Baidu began its robotaxi test drive in Beijing, which received huge responses, had cause the stock price to break out its few months resistance level. Therefore, I believe that the break out from a technical perspective may signify huge support for Baidu in addition to its near term upward trend (typical higher lows).
4. Despite full self driving is still years before it could be full commercialised, Baidu's Apollo had also been providing smart city solutions to assist with provinces of China to solve the traffic issue. In Guangzhou, Baidu received RMB 450 million project. This may be the key monetisation way for Baidu in the next 2-3 years, which is very likely given the traffic issues have been causing waste of resources for China, thus the government is likely invest in smart transportation through Baidu. Therefore, we can expect more projects given by the government, which would be a catalyst moving forward.
5. In mid September, Baidu's management noted that re-listing in Hong Kong would gives it a higher valuation that it currently has. Therefore, we may expect a catalyst from this part.
Also, the current risk to reward ratio is worth betting on. If it breaks the current support ( breaking the low of the uptrend), then we might have to look for another entry point. However, recent pull back after break out provide a great entry point.
Another watchlist break outBIDU this was a great pattern with a great stock ready to blast off. I never would have gone to college if all i needed to do was draw a line on a chart and make bank. What are you guys trading?
THis is a predictable pattern that we will see again and again through the ear
Ascending Triangle, Major Resistance, Uptrending ChannelThe price of BIDU currently walks on the lower boarder of an uptrending channel.
Major resitance is @ 128 for more than 2 month now.
Right below the resistance it is forming an ascending triangle.
MA 50 is neutral, MA 200 in an uptrend.
RSI gives room to run.
MACD positive crossing.
Will enter above 128 if volume picks up or the resistance break is confirmed by another candle close.
TP1: 132.7
TP2: 136
TP3: 146
Stock of the day / BIDUToday, we have a long setup to share. Here you will see a full explanation
a) The price is on a major Support Zone (check the weekly chart)
b) Now we can see a broken descending trendline after the price reached a significant reversal level
c) On the edge of the broken trendline, we have a clear Corrective Structure (Bullish Pennant)
d) Based on the previous items, we will execute long trades towards the next resistance zone at 186.63
e) Our Entry / Stop / Take profit level are the ones that you can see on the setup
f) Our Break Even level is the yellow line
g) We will take this setup using 1% of our capital
h) Remember: Trade Safe, protect your capital, and always understand what you are doing.
BIDUSystem T Performances: Annual Compound Profit 40%, Win Rate 55%, Risk/Reward Ratio 1:2, 20 Years of Backtesting Data, Over 100 Markets.
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Hi Traders,
I'd like to introduce the System T, a computerized trading system that analyzed and backtested the 20 years history data of over 100 markets.
This post is my sharing of how I think about systematic trading and the signals generated by the System T.
(This is my opinion only, NOT the financial advice.)
The System T is a comprehensive system which contains many components such as buy & sell signal generator, win & loss statistics, risk control & portfolio management to make sure trading is successful in the long run.
Basically, for the system to open a trade and manage risk, it only needs a buy signal & a stop-loss signal clearly on the chart.
Once the system finds a good trend, it will ride it as long as possible. The stop-loss will be adjusted accordingly to the new price movement.
(*) Remember to follow this trade idea and follow my profile to get updates about the stop-loss adjustment and sell signal based on the latest price and market conditions daily.
System T performances above will give you an idea of how it performs in the last 20 years.
Notice that this result was achieved only if I strictly followed the rule: "Only and Always Buy & Sell based on the System Signals".
Don't sell when there is no sell signal as we all want to follow the good trends til the end like everything in life does. \(^-^)/
Also, my system is extremely diversified through over 100 markets so that it only risks less than -1% of the total capital per trade.
Thank you and good luck!
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DISCLAIMER:
I am NOT a financial advisor, and nothing I say is meant to be a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
My views are general in nature and I am not giving financial advice. You should not take my opinion as financial advice. This is my opinion only.
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