BYND trade ideas
BYND Meat Earnings Date ApproachingWe have a wedge pattern forming on the BYND 4hr chart as we get closer and closer to the earnings date on the 27th after the market closes. Price could really break out either way.
Last quarter it earnings surpassed Wall Street's estimates by posting a profit of $0.06 per share on revenue of $92 million vs the expected $0.03 on revenue of $82.2 million.
Stay tuned.
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BYND - Trade the bounceBYND successfully defended 87 area. This tells me that this is a short term bottom. My problem with the current structure is that I am still not confident on the current RSI levels. I think that it might dip near 81 before it bounces.
This is a buy below 87, stop below 76(or 81 depending on market conditions). Bounce target of 100. After the bounce, I'll count it as a lower high the I'll reshort. I am still not bullish on us equities.
BYND Retest/RemountBYND fell down with the market after earnings. But rallied on support at the $185 level, followed by another green candle to partially fill the gap in its chart. I think the retest off support and remount on a strong candle will carry this stock to the $105 level before it faces more resistance.
Beyond Meat has massive growth but Punished $bynd
Maybe on a different day the post earnings move may have gone the other direction.
Would not be surprised to see it rally today after a very deep retrace.
$105 is the critical level.
Short interest 24%
Earnings highlights, Source SeekingAlpha
Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND) reports revenue jumped 212% to $98.5M in Q4.
Gross profit soared to 34.0% sales vs. 25.0% a year ago off the sales leverage.
Net income was -$0.5M vs. -$7.5M a year ago.
Adjusted EBITDA arrived at $9.5M vs. -$3.8M last year and the consensus mark of $5.8M.
Looking ahead, Beyond Meat anticipates FY20 revenue of $490M to $510M vs. $486M consensus and adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue close to the 2019 level. Gross margin is seen landing in a range of 33% to 35% for the full year.
BYND- Bullish continuation or distribution?Whether you like it or not, BYND is the first mover in the alternative meat industry.
There is just way too much upside and growth to be captured in this nascent industry.
Future trend toward green environment and sustainability will only push this industry higher.
Three scenarios-
#1. Test the local resistance one more time and break out of the bull flag pattern. Third time is the charm!
#2. Retrace first, then trapped shorts cover their shorts which propel the price higher. Swing long opportunity.
#3. Key support lvl broken. Long at the second key support lvl. Positional long opportunity.
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Beyond Meat Into earnings $bynd
High risk - High reward
Good entry level on move above $118.33 (point of control) and a 1 hr close above.
Target 1 $135 overall fib .382 retrace target, typical swing position
Short interest of 27%
All trades very risky ATM, so don't trade what your not willing to lose, there will be better opportunities in the future.
Uncertainly means do nothing.
BEYOND MEAT 1D RANGE TRADESRanges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
ranges are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.