CENX trade ideas
Bat with Deep Crab @ 14.50The key characteristics used to identify the Harmonic Bat pattern are as follows:
AB leg can retrace between 38.2% – 50% of XA leg
BC leg can retrace between 38.2% – 88.6% of AB leg
CD leg can retrace up to 88.6% of XA leg
CD leg can also be an extension of between 1.618% – 2.618% of AB leg
The Harmonic Bat is a variation to the Gartley pattern which was developed by Scott Carney. It is considered to be one of the more accurate patterns exhibiting a higher success rate than any other harmonic patterns.
The key characteristics used to identify the Harmonic Crab pattern are as follows:
AB leg can retrace anywhere between 38.2% up to 61.8%
BC can retrace 38.2% – 88.6% of AB leg
CD is an extension of up to 161.8% of XA leg and is also an extension of 224% – 316% of the AB leg
After the crab pattern is established, traders can take their positions at or from point D (at the high or at the low of the price bar at D) targeting 61.8% and 127.2% of CD leg
Notivce the RSI is Deep In the Oversold Area. We are waiting for a double bottom and or divergence to form in or near the the D leg completions of both patterns.
CENX - Pullback of the "Cenx-tury" or No?An ascending wedge has been forming since 2016, and gradually has been building up volatility as more market participants get involved.
Price is very extended here, which signals for a pullback if not a strong downtrend into the lower bound of the wedge.
However, I could be totally wrong and the price could shoot up strongly for a continuation.
Let's see how it plays out, but for now, I am yet again short.
Stop at 23.83
Target at 22.06