Breakout on costco PT 392.I see costco breaking out to 392, this week will determine that.
I am not a financial advisor. Do not take as financial advice, ever.
Do your own research.
Consult a professional investment advisor before making any investment decisions! My Tweets are for entertainment only!
COST trade ideas
$COST with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $COST after a Negative Under r reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D
If you would like to see the Drift for another stock please message us. Also click on the Like Button if this was useful and follow us or join us.
COST Replay....So I doubled up on puts this morning on the gap down because options premium indicated 2.3% drop and closed the position on the initial drop. Nice wedge back to the old resistance, where I should've bought puts again, lol. Then back down where it belonged.
Should've seen it coming, COST almost always finishes at the bottom when it drops on earnings, the notable exception being the last earnings which happened at the bottom when it was oversold.
Also note the huge pump volume EOD yesterday and the red bars today after open and near close. Lots of people jumped into this for earnings expecting a breakout. Serves them right, lol.
Could've just played this all day instead of screwing around with other stuff.
action packed chart of COST; to the moon off earnings!Bullish inverse head and shoulders formation on the daily chart for Costco. Earnings around the corner with expectations of a huge beat. Costco has their membership fees/incentives to help protect margins as inflation becomes a factor in everything from supplies to freight. Earnings whispers are $2.44 a share with a consensus of at least $2.28/share.
Stoch RSI compression repeated itself. The last time Stoch RSI compressed/consolidated right before earnings it went on a huge 18% run over the next 98 days, 27% over the next 186 days, and 22% by the next earnings report (196 days later).
"History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes"
I expect a similar breakout on earnings with this repeated pattern although price action has been terrible this earnings season even with beats & good guidance. COST could be the exception. Probably smartest to play it through options to risk less.
www.earningswhispers.com
Cup and HandleCostco formed a head a shoulders pattern a while back and experienced a deep pull back.
Looks to be recovering from the rising wedge pattern with very little disruption.
Cup and handle patterns are calculated using cup depth.
No recommendation.
If you like a stock, sometimes you can do well by waiting for the fall to complete from an ugly top or a head a shoulders pattern, then buying at the bottom. Some prefer getting in closer to the top. We are all different.
Another recovery play post covid Costco just released a strong earning report which proved once again its business model could transcend good and bad time.
If we looked back at the last three years, we could easily observe Costco shares often time dropped the week before earning release, and bounced right back up after. It happened in 2018, 2019 and just now before the earning last week.
Together with the negative sentiments, costco share priced did drop below its uptrend line for a moment, but it managed to climb back above before the weekend, and lets assume its uptrend would continue esp with the recovery play in front of us.
I do not now have a position in Costco but I am looking forward to start a position at 337 (10MA), with its recent low $313 as cut loss and looking for at least an upside target of $390, which gives us a decent 2x of risk reward ratio.
Long COST into earningsDaily RSI is at levels it hasn't seen since 2016. This obviously isn't especially bullish, but these oversold conditions sets this up for a great relief rally lotto.
So far the pitchfork has been respected and the gap to 318 has been filled.
The risk/reward seems too good to pass up.
COSTO SWINGLOOK FOR AN ENTRY AT PULLBACK, I'M IN COSTCO LONG TERM.
1. MOST IMPORTANTLY - IT'S A FANTASITC COMPANY, I LOVE SHOPPING THERE, I LOVE THAT BUFFET AND CHARLIE ARE HUGE COSTCO BULLS TOO
2. RSI IS MOVING FROM OVERSOLD
3. MAC D IS BULLISH
4. THE 200 AVERAGES WILL BE THE RESISTANCE WE SELL OFF ON, THIS WILL PROVIDE AN OUTSTAND RENTRY OR ENTRY DEPENDING ON WHAT YOU'RE DOING, A BREAK ABOVE IS WHAT WE ARE REALLY LOOKING FOR.
THE REAL MONEY WILL BE MADE IN A LONG TERM SWING TRADE HERE, BUT YOU CAN BE CONFIDENT IN YOUR POSITION, AND MOST IMPORTANTLY, SLEEP WELL AT NIGHT.