Short then go LONG? $CRUS Welcome, this is my first trade idea.
CAN THIS PLAY PRINT? WHO KNOWS!
NASDAQ:CRUS is a very seasonal company.
Earnings is coming up and I can see this stock dropping and testing the $90 support level before taking off to $115+ during the up season.
High risk, high reward trade.
Idea is to play the down trend until $90, then also play the upswing as the stock will be oversold.
On the weekly chart we see CRUS RSI volatility at 39, weakness being detected, but it still has some ways to go.
The stock is at a key level. And seems to be trending down.
Looking for entries to start building a position.
Entry 1: $97 and under (10-20%)
Entry 2: $95 and under (25-30%)
Entry 3: $92 and under (fill rest of position)
Looking for LEAP Call options at the support is another strategy to double down on the fact it's oversold.
CRUS trade ideas
Seriously long on Cirrus Logic (CRUS)In the past 2 months, Cirrus Logic's share price has fallen. This trading idea focuses on buying the stock, as it is expected to have long-term growth potential.
Strategy
The strategy for this trading idea is based on the following factors:
EBIT: Cirrus Logic's EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is currently at $34.85. EBIT is calculated by subtracting a company's cost of goods sold (COGS) and its operating expenses from its revenue. A higher EBIT indicates better profitability.
Capital Expenditure: Positive capital expenditure suggests that a company is investing in its growth and expansion.
Short Term Debt: Low short term debt indicates lower financial risk and a better ability to meet short-term obligations.
Total Liabilities: Low total liabilities indicate a healthier balance sheet.
Core Logic
This trading strategy aims to identify companies with long-term growth potential. By considering positive capital expenditure, low short term debt, low total liabilities, and an EBIT per revenue of greater than 23%, the trading idea seeks to find companies that are well-positioned for future growth.
Based on the provided facts, Cirrus Logic meets the criteria for this trading idea. With a current EBIT of $34.85, positive capital expenditure, and a healthy balance sheet, the stock shows potential for long-term growth.
Please note that this trading idea is suitable for investors with a moderately short investment horizon and a very high risk tolerance. As with any investment, it is important to conduct further research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Technical Outlook
Cirrus Logic (CRUS) bulls are aiming to push the stock past a key resistance level at 60.75 as the next upside milestone if bulls maintain their dominance. Despite strong bullish sentiment, the price action of Cirrus Logic is still focused on testing its lower Bollinger Band® at 64.7.
In the most recent trading session, Cirrus Logic's share price appreciated by 1.51%, adding to its three-day uptrend. The stock has recovered almost all of the session losses it suffered yesterday when it dipped down to $66.2.
Cirrus Logic is currently trading with a market cap of $3.72 billion, and 1.15 million shares were traded on the day, above the multiday average of 484,357.
It seems that Cirrus Logic's price action will continue to focus on testing its lower Bollinger Band® at 64.7, despite strong bullish sentiment. However, there is a key resistance level at 60.75 that the stock is approaching, now only $1.79 away. A break above this level could open up a new path for further gains in the short-term.
Following today's strong gains and reaching as high as $69.82, extensive multifactorial technical analysis forecasts that Cirrus Logic will extend its strong run further in the short-medium term. With all probabilities considered, the Texan semiconductor supplier is expected to appreciate amid a risk-on mood in the coming days.
Despite strong bullish sentiment in the market, technical analysis classifies Cirrus Logic as a "Strong Buy."
CRUS - Move UpDaily chart for CRUS, I expect a move up within the up channel . This up move would be towards the top of the channel.
This is allowed due to the breakout of a smaller downtrend in green.
I have used bars pattern tool to show how I think price will increase.
Quite bullish if it plays out.
Long, only longThe paper is in a sideways position. Below the support level. Not going below 78.5. Resistance level is 80.5. If it is broken through, the first target is 88.80. The second is 100. Upside is at least 25%. There is potential for growth and higher. Standard risk per trade. Stop behind the support level.
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LONG Gap fill ideaCRUS along with many other semiconductor companies has been in a slump from the highs over the past couple months. As we see other semiconductor stocks such as AMD, TSM rebounding with the money that is rotating back into the tech space, we should see CRUS make a strong move to follow the sector.
TECHNICAL Analysis: The main things I see are RSI Creeping back up over 50 on the daily timeframe coupled with a squeeze momentum shift to the upside as the Bollinger bands move back outside the Keltner channels Volume profile tells us that this is a historic area of volume and it will likely hold unless some bad news hits the market or semiconductors.
FUNDAMENTAL Analysis: With companies like NVDA reporting blowout earnings I think it is plausible that many other semiconductor companies are raking in the cash right now as prices for semiconductors have skyrocketed across the board. This type of environment is a great opportunity for semiconductor companies to jack up prices and they know that whatever they produce will likely be purchased very fast. The one common discrepancy across most businesses right now is the labor shortage, If the labor shortage and price of labor increasing continues, CRUS may be unable to hire enough work to meet demand, this could significantly cut into their profits.
BIDEN Infrastructure plan: CRUS may be a candidate to receive money to start producing fabricators in the US should they want to do so. If they receive money from the government to do so this could mean a major jump in stock price, however it is unlikely.
CRUS (Cirrus Logic Inc) - Bullish finish to quarter endCIRRUS LOGIC, INC.
Cirrus Logic is a leader in high performance, low-power ICs for audio and voice signal processing applications. Cirrus Logic's products span the entire audio signal chain, from capture to playback, providing innovative products for the world's top smartphones, tablets, digital headsets, wearables and emerging smart home applications. The Company offers products through both direct and indirect sales channels across the world. The Company's portable audio products include analog and mixed-signal components designed for mobile devices including smartphones, tablets, digital headsets, wearables, smart accessories and portable media players. Its non-portable audio and other products include analog and mixed-signal components targeting the consumer market, including smart home applications, and the automotive, energy and industrial markets.
Analysis/Commentary
Strong EPS and Sales Growth Y-on-Y
Based on the study of the previous quarterly earnings reports and subsequent price moves:
- A shaky first half on the quarter
- Opportunity to buy in low and see recovery before quarter end
- Expectation for the price to move to target range within balance of quarter
- Trailing stop-loss on price above target zone
GOOD LUCK.
DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH!
CRUS - Monthly MultiplierThis month, I'm trying a new trade setup where I use 10% of the premiums earned for potential multipliers with limited risk.
When I entered this trade, price was hitting the bottom channel of 88.06. Semiconductors as a sector has been doing well Weekly and Monthly. Hence I entered the following trade
9 Contracts, 100 Strike @ 1.10 that amounts to $990 (Excluding commissions). As I'm entering this trade setup much later after I entered. In hindsight, I think Monthly contracts are not great as the Theta drops pretty rapidly once price deviants. I might have to relook how I plan and select Monthly Multipliers.
I also feel picking a single direction trade very difficult and after so long of not doing it, it feels strange haha. This is probably not a trade I'm happy with, even if somehow I end up profiting (Which I doubt is possible)
Cirrus Logic Pulls Back to Key LevelsCirrus Logic began 2021 with a breakout to new highs. Now it’s pulled back to some potentially interesting levels.
First, Thursday’s close around $86 is near the old peak in January 2020. Will old resistance become new support?
Second, CRUS has returned to its 50-day simple moving average for the first time since it started running in late September.
Third, stochastics are deeply oversold.
CRUS relies heavily on Apple iPhones as an end market. It initially tried to rally on January 28 after AAPL’s blowout results, and was swamped by bearish short-term momentum. Strong quarterly results two sessions later were also ignored.
The iPhone cycle and semiconductors in general have been very strong. CRUS may need some time to stabilize, but trend followers will be watching to see if it holds this zone and the 50-day SMA.
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Patience with this for a good profit chanceEarnings have been revised up for the better. Hedgefonds started bying the stock lately cautiosly to not drive the stock price up. Volume has been trying up. Watcht out for the significant support zones to start a position.
more swingtrade ideas in my premium service didis-CHARTS NASDAQ:CRUS
ABC BullishIt was difficult to find the pattern and I do not see a ton of volume. Multiple tops and multiple bottoms noted. This chart is very messy. I am watching for now. Not to break out and may or may not get there is foreseeable future. Lots of R overhead. I do see a buying volume spike when it was at 57ish where it appears to be forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern
CRUS has had a tough time to say the least. I see an earnings beat on 8-3 which this stock seems to do like clock work. A catalyst may be needed for this one to truly move. I went back and forth on hitting the Long or Neutral button on this one..lol
Targets 2, which may occur after targets one and a probably pull back are 87 and 94.2
I like this stock but I do not own it, yet. I do not recommend it. Short is low
CRUS - A Nice Technical SetupMy model indicates there will be buying between 67 and 73. This is a pure technical play as I am not familiar with this company.
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