CrowdStrike: Member of a Small ClubThe broader market has been tumbling for months, but CrowdStrike has stood its ground.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 10 low of $303.79. While the Nasdaq-100 has revisited levels from over a year ago, CRWD has held lows from a month prior. Support at such a recent level may reflect positive sentiment.
Second, Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) made a higher low as the cybersecurity company made a slightly lower low. That positive divergence could also be viewed as a bullish signal.
Third, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in November and has stayed there since. Is a longer-term uptrend still in effect?
Speaking of SMAs, CRWD is above its 20- and 200-day SMAs. That puts it in relatively elite clubs: Only 104 members of the S&P 500 are above their 20-day SMAs and just 138 are above their 200-day SMAs, according to TradeStation data.
Those points may also suggest sellers have been less active in the name.
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CRWD trade ideas
CRWD 3 hours idea expecting exact up and downThis analysis provides insights into the future movement of Pulp (CRWD) stock based on the 3-hour chart. By examining key technical indicators, price action, and support/resistance levels, we anticipate potential price fluctuations in the short term. The 3-hour chart offers a closer view of the stock’s momentum, helping traders make informed decisions on entry and exit points. Keep an eye on upcoming price patterns and trend shifts that could indicate potential opportunities for profit or risk management.
Long on CRWD: Focus on Strategic Entry Within Range
-Key Insights: CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. is currently seen within a strategic
trading range between $300 and $400. Recent market activity places it mid-range
with momentum to potentially capitalize on buy opportunities as it approaches
the lower support boundary. The security's market attention alongside other
sector leaders like Tesla adds to an optimistic outlook in the cybersecurity
field.
-Price Targets: Next week, consider a long position with target 1 (T1) at $380
and target 2 (T2) at $395. Manage risk with stop level 1 (S1) at $340 and stop
level 2 (S2) at $320, ensuring disciplined trading execution.
-Recent Performance: CrowdStrike closed recently at $362.24, indicating it is
within a consolidation phase. This midpoint suggests monitoring for either a
breakout above the resistance or a pullback to support, offering possible entry
or exit points.
-Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight CrowdStrike as a stock aligned with market
sentiment driven by cybersecurity needs. Its association with notable stocks to
watch, such as Tesla, reinforces its positioning as integral within strategic
sector portfolios.
-News Impact: While unspecified, any fluctuation observed may relate to
overarching market trends or sector-specific developments impacting investor
sentiment. It underscores the necessity of staying informed on both
macroeconomic signals and technological advancements affecting cybersecurity
demand.
Consider Going Long on Crowdstrike: A Strategic Insight - Key I- Key Insights: CrowdStrike remains a formidable player in the cybersecurity
market, buoyed by the AI-driven Falcon platform. Despite recent market
fluctuations, its growth trajectory and strategic innovation suggest
potential for future recovery, making now a possible entry point for long-
term investors interested in cutting-edge cybersecurity solutions.
- Price Targets: For those considering a long position, next week’s targets are
as follows:
- T1: $363.00
- T2: $375.00
- S1: $340.00
- S2: $330.00
These levels suggest potential upward movement while defining risk thresholds.
- Recent Performance: CrowdStrike has shown mixed performance amidst robust
growth and innovation. Recent sell-offs have tested institutional support
levels, reflecting a period of volatility. This requires vigilance from
investors to identify optimal entry and exit points and underscores the
importance of timing in trading strategies.
- Expert Analysis: Market experts are optimistic about CrowdStrike's recovery
potential, emphasizing its AI technological strengths. Alongside peers like
Planet Fitness and Microsoft, CrowdStrike is expected to benefit from
industry advancements. Despite technical volatility, its foundational
strength poses a viable opportunity for investors.
- News Impact: The latest fiscal Q4 2024 earnings report, which exceeded
expectations with a non-GAAP EPS of $0.13, underscores CrowdStrike's
strategic growth and operational effectiveness. This positive financial
performance aids in alleviating some investor concerns following continued
fluctuations in stock prices, reinforcing its leadership in the
cybersecurity arena.
Compelling Entry OpportunityKey arguments in support of the idea.
The stock has adjusted to an attractive valuation.
Cybersecurity continues to be an essential priority for businesses and government entities alike.
AI and automation serve as significant competitive advantages for CrowdStrike.
Investment Thesis
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) is a leading U.S. cybersecurity firm that specializes in providing cloud-based solutions and endpoint protection. The company is esteemed for its CrowdStrike Falcon platform, which integrates artificial intelligence, machine learning, and behavioral analytics to thwart cyber threats in real-time. Falcon protects businesses and government entities from cyberattacks, such as viruses, ransomware, and zero-day vulnerabilities. Established in 2011, CrowdStrike is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
The stock price of CrowdStrike Holdings has adjusted to attractive levels. CrowdStrike’s stock experienced a downturn, mirroring the trend of the broad market index, due to weak U.S. macroeconomic data for February, trade policy tightening, potential changes in U.S. macroeconomic and fiscal policy, and statements from Trump about the possibility of a U.S. recession. We think these factors are already priced into the stock, suggesting an upside potential from the current levels, reinforced by the robust fundamentals underpinning CrowdStrike’s business.
Cybersecurity continues to be an essential priority for both businesses and government agencies. Unlike other IT expenses that might be reduced during economic downturns, investment in data and infrastructure protection remains indispensable. The prevalence of cyberattacks is unaffected by economic conditions; in fact, they often surge during crises. Historical evidence highlights notable increases in phishing, account breaches, and ransomware activities during periods of economic instability. Additionally, strict regulatory frameworks such as GDPR, NIST, and SOC 2 impose significant penalties for non-compliance, compelling companies, even those struggling financially, to maintain rigorous cybersecurity measures. Amid the widespread transition to remote work and cloud-based technologies, securing digital infrastructure is of utmost importance. CrowdStrike’s Falcon platform is strategically positioned to address these needs, offering a holistic solution that supersedes traditional endpoint, cloud services and corporate accounts protection systems. Organizations striving to reduce IT budgets are increasingly adopting platform solutions like Falcon XDR, which enhances cost efficiency and defense effectiveness.
AI and automation serve as significant competitive advantages for CrowdStrike. The company distinguishes itself from competitors through its innovative use of artificial intelligence and machine learning. Unlike conventional antivirus tools that rely on signatures, Falcon processes up to 2 trillion events daily, predicting attacks before they occur. Such automation reduces labor costs and reliance on costly IT personnel, especially crucial in the context of rising inflation and increasing wage pressures. AI solutions enable businesses to achieve both cost savings and superior protection. Moreover, the predictive accuracy of CrowdStrike’s AI improves with the breadth of data it processes, creating a network effect that strengthens its competitive edge over rivals such as Palo Alto Networks and SentinelOne.
The target price for the shares is $350, the rating is Sell. We recommend setting a stop loss at $280.
$CRWD: Crowdstrike – Cybersecurity Titan or Overvalued Hype?(1/9)
Good afternoon, investors! ☀️ NASDAQ:CRWD : Crowdstrike – Cybersecurity Titan or Overvalued Hype?
With NASDAQ:CRWD at $322, is this cyber guardian still leading the pack or is it time to cash in? Let's dive into the digital trenches! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 322 as of Mar 11, 2025 💰
• Recent Moves: Down from $360+ post-Q4, per X posts 📏
• Sector Trend: Cybersecurity demand remains robust, per market insights 🌟
It’s a steady ride with potential for growth! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: ~$75B (based on 232.5M shares) 🏆
• Operations: Leader in endpoint security and threat intelligence ⏰
• Trend: Expanding into AI-driven security solutions, per recent developments 🎯
Firm, standing tall in the cyber battlefield! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Earnings Win: Q1 FY25 beat estimates, guidance raised, per X posts 🔄
• Cyber Boom: Threats fuel demand, per Mar 6 chatter 🌍
• Market Reaction: Stock jumped, then dipped, per X sentiment 📋
Battling, with innovation driving the narrative! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Competition: Intense from Palo Alto Networks, Zscaler, etc. 🔍
• Valuation: High P/E ratio may concern some investors 📉
• Regulatory Shifts: Potential new laws impacting data privacy ❄️
Navigating challenges in a dynamic landscape! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Market Leader: Dominant in endpoint security 🥇
• Innovation: AI and ML-driven solutions keep it ahead 📊
• Financial Health: Strong cash position, no debt 🔧
Built to withstand cyber storms! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High valuation, competitive pressures 📉
• Opportunities: Growing demand for cloud security, new market segments 📈
Can it capitalize on the digital expansion? 🤔
(8/9) –📢Crowdstrike at $322—your investment move? 🗳️
• Bullish: $400+ soon, cyber threats fuel growth 🐂
• Neutral: Holding steady, balancing risks and rewards ⚖️
• Bearish: $280 drop, overvalued in a cooling market 🐻
Cast your vote below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Crowdstrike’s $322 stance shows resilience 📈, but cautious investors eye valuation and competition 🌿. Dips are our DCA playground 💰. Grab ‘em low, ride the wave! Gem or bust?
CRWD .. Crowdstrike got struck downCheck out this interesting use of an indicator i created for those who take this chart seriously...not an advertisement cause I'm not selling...crap costs too much already. But just ask and well get you this puppy for you to trade with as you please
But interesting how price action and momentum and sentiment may not always align...
CrowdStrike (CRWD) ... Time to Clap ??Big earnings miss and softer forward looking statements from CrowdStrike today.
Sold off to the six month $343 support area and bounced with the general market.
A continuation of this tech rally should help CRWD.
A Wolfe Wave Pattern and a Bullish Harmonic Butterfly are present in the 1H timeframe.
I'd try to buy a retest of the 1-3 line breakout at $360 with a tight stop and with overall market strength.
A clearer Tariff stance from the Waffle House might also help.
A gap has to be filled at $370 and a $400 target is not unreasonable.
Stay nimble. Not investment advice and do your own due diligence.
S.
CrowdStrike (CRWD) at a Crossroads: Breakdown or Bounce?
CRWD has been in an uptrend, trading within a rising channel.
The recent breakdown below 380 suggests weakening momentum.
RSI at 45.87 shows declining strength, but not yet oversold.
Bear Case
The stock has broken below the rising channel, signaling potential trend reversal.
If it fails to reclaim 380, next key supports are at 298 - 308 and 254.35.
Gap below 300 could act as a magnet if weakness continues.
Bull Case
If CRWD reclaims 380, the uptrend could resume.
A break above 365 - 380 resistance zone may push it back toward 400+.
Verdict: Leaning Bearish
Trend: Broken Uptrend, Risk of Reversal
Bias: Bearish unless 380 is reclaimed
Watch: 365 - 380 as key resistance, 298 - 308 as major support
Unless CRWD reclaims its trendline, the risk remains to the downside with a test of 300 levels possible.
CrowdStrike’s Earnings Miss Sends Shares Tumbling: What’s Next?CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. ( NASDAQ:CRWD ) faced a significant setback in the market after issuing disappointing earnings guidance, leading to a sharp decline of nearly 9% in extended trading. While the cybersecurity firm reported solid revenue growth, concerns over weaker-than-expected earnings projections overshadowed its performance.
Earnings Disappoint, But Revenue Holds Strong
CrowdStrike reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.03 for the quarter. However, this number wasn’t directly comparable to analysts’ expectations. Revenue came in at $1.06 billion, surpassing the forecasted $1.03 billion and marking a 25% year-over-year increase from $845.3 million in the prior period.
Despite the revenue beat, the company posted a net loss of $92.3 million, or 37 cents per share, compared to a net income of $53.7 million, or 22 cents per share, a year earlier. This shift into the red raised investor concerns, especially given the company's prior profitability momentum.
Technical Outlook
At the time of writing, NASDAQ:CRWD is down 7.3% in premarket trading, reflecting strong selling pressure. The stock is approaching oversold territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting at 37.80. A further decline could push it below the key 30 level, indicating a deep oversold condition and potential for a short-term bounce.
From a trend perspective, NASDAQ:CRWD is teetering on the edge of a bearish breakout. If the market opens with further downside pressure, a breach of key support levels could trigger an extended decline. Investors should watch for potential support around $340, while resistance remains near $380.
CRWD – High Momentum Stock Breaking into Key Levels!CRWD has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking key resistance levels and moving into a critical price zone. The current price action suggests further upside potential, but traders should be mindful of upcoming resistance areas.
📈 Technical Analysis:
* Trend & Price Action: CRWD has been making higher highs and higher lows, establishing a strong uptrend.
* Key Resistance: The price is currently testing the $450 - $460 zone, which aligns with significant gamma resistance and call wall pressure.
* Support Levels: The closest support is $431, followed by a stronger demand zone around $422 - $415.
* Volume Analysis: Recent high buying volume confirms bullish sentiment.
* Momentum Indicators:
* MACD: Shows a bullish crossover, but the momentum is slightly cooling off.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought levels suggest a potential pullback before further continuation.
🏦 GEX & Options Flow Insights:
* Call Walls: Heavy resistance is seen near $460, which could act as a short-term ceiling.
* Put Support: The strongest put walls are around $415, making this a key level to watch for dips.
* IV & Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 41.9, suggesting moderate implied volatility.
* GEX Sentiment: Bullish, with positive net gamma exposure favoring upside moves.
* Calls vs. Puts: Call volume at 32.7%, indicating traders are actively positioning for an upside move.
🎯 Trade Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Setup:
* Entry: On a breakout above $455 - $460 with volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $470
* Target 2: $480
* Stop-loss: Below $440 to minimize risk.
❌ Bearish Setup (Rejection Scenario):
* Short Entry: If price struggles at $460 and reverses with bearish confirmation.
* Target 1: $431
* Target 2: $422
* Stop-loss: Above $465.
⚠️ Final Thoughts & Risk Management:
* CRWD has strong bullish momentum, but traders should be cautious near key resistance at $460.
* Watch options flow and volume trends to confirm the next move.
* Manage risk effectively with stop-loss strategies to protect gains.
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence before trading.
Speculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks Some stocks areSpeculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks
Some stocks aren't just overvalued—they're in full speculative bubble mode. Fundamentals? Irrelevant. When euphoria takes over, rationality disappears.
Here’s my list of bubble stocks that scream unsustainable pricing:
SBUX, T, PLTR, BMY, PYPL, NFLX, GS, ISRG, ARM, C, SHOP, BSX, SPOT, UBS, IBKR, RELX, CEG, CRWD, MSTR, MMM, DASH, COF...
And let’s not forget the obvious: TSLA, META, AMZN, AVGO, GOOGL, JPM, MA, V, WMT.
Honestly, the entire banking sector, brokers, and tech are in bubble territory.
What the hell is going on with this market? Why are algos just buying, buying, buying, squeezing all the shorts?! Unbelievable.
The dump will be insannnnnnnne!!! 🚨
$CRWD closing above 20 Day SMA $ and FIB Retracement levelsThe bellwether cybersecurity cos Crowdstrike had a very bad 2024 after the disastrous failed upgrade which caused major outages globally. Yesterday the stock closed at 408 $ which is at an ATH. Today in a week market it is still above the 20 Day SMA @ 362 $ and the 1.0 Fib retracement level @ 396 $. If these key support levels hold it is good idea to go long on $CRWD. In our Daily Dose of Chart : 07 Jan 2025 we spoke about a bullish Head and shoulders pattern. But this pattern is now invalidated. So, within the tech sector we are seeing intra sector rotation with NASDAQ:NVDA @ its 200 Day SMA support and NASDAQ:CRWD @ ATH. I think this weakness in Semis vs Cybersecurity will continue for some time. Please check out my post on 27th Jan for NASDAQ:NVDA trade idea.