Tuff Market!! More confident! The market has been really hard on HOLO, lots of sellers... The bondholders have converted they received delivery of the stock and then can either hold or sell!
I was just talking with my son on how this technology is desperately needed on a grander scale , user friendly, affordable plans for appropriate venues. For example lets say that you want to be in Escondido with your grand daughter Olivia and lil Stephen Jr but live in Fresno! You can be in Escondido all day real time as a hologram!..
Your family is flying out on vacation you send them you leave 2 days later because of a deal pending..it happens $3M commission.. well guess what you fly as a hologram because the kids are small. You can be somewhere else and not miss out! you can be at the family gathering as a hologram and 2 days later in person. never miss out! Be at your grand-kids 19th baseball game as a hologram, The first 18th games you were there in person!
Why would anyone short 166M in an inflationary environment with a fixed burn rate 511 months. That's like saying ok: " Im shorting rocket fuel in an impending National Defense shut down! NFA Not your advisor! I mean Hole Mole!
HOLO trade ideas
Cash is KingIts summer time & you got 166M in the bank.a 1 red 1 blk convertible 911 Turbo S paid with commissions and trading profits and the girl of your dreams yup you MC! but then you have HOLO with a MC that is trading at a discount based on cash on hand..trading at .25 cash post capital raise & a 1:10 under its belt!. Well during inflationary periods most companies with cash on hand normally traded at a higher multiple based on run rate but with the Beta that comes with a panic, a squeeze. The Beta that these markets brought; pre Covid, the .com market, Crude, AI, the chip makers, software .. Crypto, Debt...now ? What I think is what a position to be in! A position of strength.. the cow is full of milk and by the time you finish, the cow has been full of milk waiting for you. in times of a slow down, and higher prices, its good to have a strong balance sheet, the living software you can be anywhere at anytime, you miss out but you are there!. A vacation before your vacation
W pattern? Could this be short covering? Could this be the whales positioning themselves for a mother of all squeezes? The stock appears to have bottomed at .41 cents yesterday only to hit resistance and fade AT .72 cents, only time will tell! Once again the company has deep pockets 166M & trading at a huge discount on a cash basis...I figure this can possibly trade up to 50X cash on whats to possibly come. Why raise all of this capital? My thoughts are purely speculative but the bond holders are some of the savviest investors in the markets, especially in technology. This capital raise was probably directed by BYD, because MicroCloud Hologram needed to bolster their balance sheet in order to convince BYD that the company is here to stay. The other thesis would be to launch a product or possibly partner with a game maker. You see VR turns everything in to a virtual world were as AR augments your world & then there is MR mixed reality.. 166M buys a lot of credibility! Revenues are more than likely to turn around & rise like Lazarus! Everyone loves a turn around story & I strongly believe that MicroCloud Hologram is that story!
Added MoreWith 61M shares hitting the market from bond conversions the O/S & FF is probably north of 149M ..with 511 months of runway and 900K in burn/Quarter, 166M in cash, I added at .42 bringing my DCA to .61.. Ignoring all childish responses! I highly doubt these new shareholders are wanting to vote for 1:10.We shall see..
Past Performance of $HOLO on key Fib ExtensionsHere is a chart describing key fib extensions from previous Fib extensions. This chart details prior percentage dips and price runs based on historical technical data. I believe it is getting time to enter for between $0.34 - $0.48. Watch for Confluences in RSI and VuManChu data to confirm a good entry.
The Recent $56m CNPA Capital RaiseMy fellow longs the stock is like the titanic now, with over 82M O/S .. 126M O/S on a pro forma basis. You have to wonder why would these bond holders pump TRADEGATE:56M into MicroCloud Holograms balance sheet? For a lousy 10% return? No way! These Wallstreet boys are in it for an insane amount of profit( voice screetching). Who has seen American Hustle starring Jeremy Renner, Christian Bale, Bradley Cooper, Amy Adams & Jenny Lawrence? The Congrassman is in the hotel with Jeremy and Christian accepting a bribe and the Congressman made it real clear to the Mayor and to the Mayors broker that Wallstreet bankers don't put that type of money to work unless they'll reap an insane amount of profit! Now the CNPA are Subject to a Ownership Limitation (defined below), each Investor has the right to elect to convert all or a portion of the outstanding balance under each of the Notes into ordinary shares of the Company pursuant to the following formula: conversion shares equals amount being converted divided by the conversion price, which is calculated as (A) the lowest market closing price of the Company’s ordinary shares in the sixty (60) trading days preceding the date of conversion request (B) multiplied by 70% and (C) rounded down to the nearest 2 decimal places. The conversion is subject to adjustment in the event of a stock split, stock dividend, recapitalization, or similar transaction.
Whats the bottom line?
I believe that the company is working on a deal to get revenue up up up! If they can merge with MLGO or with WIMI, God knows we need to see consolidation in this space! Then the stock can very well trade at 50X-100X revenue! $100M in revenue trading at 50X. Forget about it! Put on your space suits and bring some oxygen and a bottle of Champaign!
Dilution but insiders have not sold & Strong cash position!The stock has been diluted from 5,950,000 O/S to roughly 126M O/S according to the latest filings on Edgar but I cant verify because the latest 424B5 filing dated May 28th, 2024 shows 24,052,561 O/S but according to the $300M mixed shelf they have82M O/S, a lot of confusion with this. The stocks price action seems to have stabilized this morning! Insider ownership has dropped from 66% to 5% according to Finviz but the insiders have not filed a 144 to dispose stock and Finviz shows 0% disposition as of this post! I'm speculating the reason for two back to back $28M CNPA capital raise were to bolster the balance sheet from GETTEX:17M to roughly $70M being that they have a deal with BYD. No company wants a partner that's facing a cash crunch and investors don't want to see another reverse stock split! Now this makes perfect sense, issue convertible bonds as a bridge, the lower the stock price the better for these convertibles, TRADEGATE:56M buys a lot of stock and not to mention the converted stock holders will need a liquid stock to sell shares down the trough. My speculation is to hold this stock because Im thinking that they cut a deal with a gamer maker, launch the AR glasses or get a huge order from BYD..Not Financial Advice!
The Convertible Note Purchase Agreement retails friend or foe?How will the Convertible Note Holders be affected if HOLO does a reverse stock split, that should be the question! What is the reason for not doing a straight equity offering? Is it because the institutional market will not buy the stock for the fear of a R/S! Tute Investors lined up to buy the notes because if Microcloud Hologram does a reverse stock split, the notes can still buy the same dollar amount of stock without being diluted, if they buy the stock the dollar amount gets diluted.I think that retail got ….. into this trade, thus holding the bag. I hope I’m wrong for the sake of retail that owns a large chunk of the stock…the big red flag; while institutions own 1% O/S, retail owns 99% O/S. The end result the company banks 50M , the institutions don’t get diluted , retail holders get diluted & they pay for this venture. CAGR is negative, FCF negative, 66M cash, 2.4 M debt. Now keep in mind that HOLO has issued several CNPA’s dating back to 07/23/23 and I believe that those notes are being exercised & this is the reason for the most recent stock slide. Finviz.com has the O/S at 82M, FF 77M , SI 7.4M
Not Financial Advice
CUP & HANDLEI see a cup and a handle on a the 5 min bar chart..This can get real interesting.. I also see the selling getting exhausted on the hourly..the 2,3,4 hour & daily have some work...The fundamentals are not helping this company with negative CAGR, Negative cash flow and a possibility of dilution.
Strong Balance SheetThis penny stock has over $70M in cash, minimal debt. with a burn rate of about $800k/ quarter. They have recently raised $50M through two $28M convertible note purchase agreements. The stock is being heavily shorted with an 11% short interest ratio, 82M O/S, 25M FF. The stock needs to break above the neck line with heavy volume backed by some news. The launch of their AR Hololens Pro would be idealistic, a contract with another EV maker in China would be explosive or even signing a prominent game maker would take the stock higher. Fingers crossed! Any penny stock with that much cash on hand warrants a higher multiple. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
14 CNPA Offering in the last 12 months !What is this company up to? Why did NVDA buy a small position in this Chinese Hologram? There is A 13G filed to back up that NVDA purchase. Why is META getting into the hologram space, Zuky just did a youtube "ALL GIDDY". Who is doing all the HOLO selling? The company had 2 recent capital raises of $28M a pop via convertible notes. Why? the balance sheet is flushed with cash like a pink piggy bank and the stock keeps sliding? Why? the stock is in a massive wedge and they keep leaning on the stock! Will this breakout and shoot for the stars or will they R/S the stock slapping retail across the face? Why did Chinese EV automaker BYD choose this company HOLO and not WIMI? The AR Pro Hololense, when will this be launched? The stock is in a massive downtrend with such a cash rich balance sheet! Is this another SRNE another Henry Ji or are they the real deal? NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
HOLO According to Edgar filings, there have been 7 CNPA (convertible note purchase agreements) going back to 07/23/23. That being said the company should have plenty of cash on hand for operations and to launch any new products to market. Rumors of AR lenses are in the works and they are collaborating with a prominent Chinese gamer to develop and promote their holographic technologies within the gaming community. Also, lets not forget that MicroCloud Hologram is wotking with BYD, China's largest new energy vehicle ( NEV). HOLO is providing Content Mangement Systems CMS to BYD. Therefore with 22 weeks of brutal selling the stock is clearly in an oversold situation and acting like the stock is headed to the chopping block, I believe we should see the stock stabilize and bounce back or announce a R/S like they did last time leaving the recent buyers in an unfavorable postion.
MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) spike with 1092% MicroCloud Hologram Inc. ( NASDAQ:HOLO ) Takes Flight with Strategic Industry Association Partnership
In a striking surge, shares of MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:HOLO ) have ignited a meteoric ascent, soaring by a staggering 240% to $5.09 as of the latest update on Wednesday. This remarkable surge follows the company's groundbreaking announcement of its intention to join the esteemed Communications Industry Association, propelling NASDAQ:HOLO into a realm of unprecedented opportunity and innovation.
Harnessing Collective Power for Technological Advancement
MicroCloud's strategic move to align itself with the Communications Industry Association underscores its unwavering commitment to fostering information technology innovation on a grand scale. The Association, a beacon of collaboration and synergy, transcends boundaries, bringing together stakeholders from diverse sectors, regions, and ownership backgrounds. With the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology spearheading its operations, this non-profit organization serves as a nexus for driving forward the technological landscape.
A Bold Step Towards Technological Integration
At the heart of MicroCloud's mission lies a fervent dedication to accelerating the development of groundbreaking technologies and seamlessly integrating them into various industries. By forging this pivotal partnership, NASDAQ:HOLO aims to unlock a treasure trove of possibilities, paving the way for transformative advancements that will reshape the fabric of modern-day innovation. With a keen focus on bridging the gap between vision and execution, MicroCloud stands poised to propel the industry into uncharted territories of progress.
Elevating Industry Standards Through Collaboration
As NASDAQ:HOLO 's ordinary shares commence trading on a split-adjusted basis on the Nasdaq Capital Markets, marked by a new CUSIP number, the company solidifies its position as a beacon of resilience and adaptability in the ever-evolving marketplace. With a strategic foothold in providing cutting-edge CMS solutions to China's largest new energy vehicle company, MicroCloud's subsidiary stands as a testament to its unwavering commitment to excellence and ingenuity.
Embracing a Visionary Future
As investors and industry enthusiasts alike witness the exponential growth of NASDAQ:HOLO shares, it becomes abundantly clear that MicroCloud Hologram Inc. is not merely a participant in the technological revolution but a catalyst for transformative change. With innovation as its guiding star and collaboration as its driving force, NASDAQ:HOLO charts a course towards a future where boundaries blur, possibilities abound, and technological prowess knows no limits. In the realm of MicroCloud, the future is not just bright—it's brilliantly holographic.