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Icahn Enterprises L.P.Icahn Enterprises L.P.Icahn Enterprises L.P.

Icahn Enterprises L.P.

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Could IEP go back to 50? It seem not…Icahn Enterprises L.P. ( NASDAQ:IEP ) – Full Analysis & 5-Year Fair Value Projection As of March 22, 2025 1. Overview of IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. ( NASDAQ:IEP ) is a diversified holding company controlled by activist investor Carl Icahn, with operations spanning energy, automotive, food packaging, real estate, and finance. The company is widely known for its high dividend yield, activist investing strategies, and high debt levels. Current Market Data (March 2025) • Stock Price: $9.69 • Market Cap: ~$3.87 billion • Dividend Yield: ~27% (highly uncertain) • Debt Load: High, raising sustainability concerns • 52-Week Range: $9.15 - $51.00 2. Fundamental Analysis Strengths ✔ Activist Investing Strategy: Carl Icahn’s activism has historically created value, though recent results have been mixed. ✔ Diversified Holdings: Exposure to multiple industries can provide some stability. ✔ High Dividend Yield: IEP offers one of the highest yields on the market, but sustainability is in question. Weaknesses ✖ High Debt & Leverage: Heavy reliance on leverage increases risk. ✖ Dividend Sustainability Concerns: If IEP cuts its dividend, the stock could fall sharply. ✖ Asset Valuation Issues: Some holdings (e.g., Viskase) are valued significantly above market prices, raising red flags. ✖ Underperformance: IEP has lagged the S&P 500 significantly in recent years. Recent Financial Performance (Q4 2024) • Net Loss: $98 million (a $41 million improvement YoY) • Cash Flow: Weak, with continued reliance on debt financing • Asset Sales Possible: Icahn may divest certain holdings to shore up financials 3. Technical Analysis (March 2025) Price Trends & Moving Averages Moving Average Price Trend 5-Day SMA $9.18 Support 20-Day SMA $9.84 Resistance 50-Day SMA $9.64 Support 100-Day SMA $10.71 Resistance 200-Day SMA $12.99 Bearish • Bearish Trend: The stock is below its 200-day moving average, signaling a long-term downtrend. • Resistance at $10.00-$10.50: Breaking above this range could lead to upside momentum. • Support at $8.80-$9.00: If breached, IEP could test new lows. Momentum Indicators • RSI (51.88): Neutral (no overbought or oversold conditions). • MACD (0.04): Bullish crossover suggests short-term upside potential. • ADX (17.06): Weak trend strength. Technical Outlook • Short-Term (Next 3-6 months): Likely to trade in the $9.00-$12.00 range, with resistance at $12.00. • Medium-Term (1-2 years): If financials improve, a recovery toward $15-$20 is possible. • Long-Term (5 years): Dependent on fundamental restructuring and dividend policy. 4. 5-Year Fair Value Projection Year Bearish Case Base Case (Fair Value) Bullish Case 2025 $6.00 - $9.00 $10.00 - $15.00 $17.00+ 2026 $4.00 - $8.00 $12.00 - $18.00 $22.00+ 2027 $3.00 - $7.00 $14.00 - $20.00 $25.00+ 2028 $2.00 - $6.00 $16.00 - $22.00 $30.00+ 2029 $1.50 - $5.00 $17.00 - $25.00 $35.00+ 5. Key Factors Influencing Future Valuation 1. Dividend Stability • If IEP maintains its high dividend yield, the stock may stabilize above $15. • A dividend cut could trigger a collapse below $5. 2. Debt & Financial Restructuring • High debt remains a major risk. If IEP can reduce leverage, fair value could rise toward $20+. 3. Asset Valuations & Portfolio Performance • Concerns over overstated valuations (e.g., Viskase) could weigh on investor confidence. • If IEP sells non-core assets, it could generate cash flow and stabilize. 4. Carl Icahn’s Influence & Activism • Icahn’s strategy remains key. If his activist positions succeed, IEP could rebound toward $25+. • If activism fails, IEP’s fair value could drop below $5. 6. Investment Outlook • Short-Term (2025-2026): High risk, high volatility. Trading range $10-$15, with downside to $6.00 if the dividend is cut. • Medium-Term (2027-2028): Recovery possible if asset sales and debt reduction improve financials. • Long-Term (2029-2030): Could reach $25-$30+ if activist strategies succeed, or collapse below $5 if financial troubles worsen. 7. Conclusion & Recommendation 📌 Fair Value Estimate (5-Year Range): $10.00 - $25.00, with high risk and potential for extreme volatility. Who Should Consider Investing? ✅ High-Risk Investors willing to bet on Carl Icahn’s activism and turnaround potential. ✅ Dividend Seekers who believe IEP can sustain payouts, despite financial pressures. ✅ Contrarian Investors who see value in deep discounts and activist opportunities. Who Should Avoid? ❌ Conservative Investors seeking stable returns and lower risk. ❌ Income Investors who rely on consistent dividends (IEP’s dividend is at risk). ❌ Those Concerned About High Debt and valuation concerns. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Stock market investments carry risks, including the loss of capital. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:IEP
by Invest_MTS
Icahn Faces Uncertain Future as Stock Hits 21-Year LowIcahn Enterprises L.P. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:IEP ), the publicly traded investment arm of billionaire Carl Icahn, is facing one of its most challenging periods in recent history. On Monday, the company’s shares plummeted to a near 21-year low, dropping by as much as 14.3% to $13.62 in afternoon trading. This significant decline follows the announcement of an “at-the-market” offering program in which the firm intends to sell up to $400 million in depository units. Strategic Sale or Desperation? The decision to sell such a large portion of depository units has raised eyebrows in the financial community. Icahn Enterprises (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:IEP ) stated in a regulatory filing that the proceeds from this sale will be used for potential acquisitions and other general corporate purposes. However, the timing and scale of this sale have led to speculation about the underlying health of the company. The move comes on the heels of Icahn (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:IEP ) and his company settling charges with U.S. regulators for failing to disclose that he had pledged the majority of the firm’s securities for billions in personal margin loans. The settlement, which included a $2 million penalty, added another layer of complexity to Icahn’s already embattled enterprise. The Hindenburg Factor Adding to the turmoil, Icahn Enterprises (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:IEP ) remains in a heated battle with Hindenburg Research, the short-seller that last year accused the company of operating a “Ponzi-like” scheme. Hindenburg alleged that Icahn was overvaluing the company’s holdings to maintain unsustainable dividend payouts, further exacerbating the company’s financial instability. These accusations have not only tarnished Icahn’s reputation but also cast a long shadow over the future prospects of Icahn Enterprises. Market Reactions and Potential Impact Jefferies is handling the share sale program for Icahn Enterprises (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:IEP ), a move that could dilute the ownership of existing shareholders as more units are issued. The market's response has been swift and severe, with IEP shares tumbling by 13% in a single day, marking one of the most significant declines the company has experienced in recent memory. Over the past year, Icahn Enterprises (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:IEP ) has witnessed only nine moves greater than 5%, indicating that Monday’s drop is seen as particularly meaningful by the market. The stock has now fallen 18.8% since the start of the year and is trading at 34.8% below its 52-week high of $21.97, set in September 2023. For investors who purchased $1,000 worth of NASDAQ:IEP shares five years ago, the current value of their investment would be a meager $215.73, highlighting the steep decline in shareholder value. A Glimmer of Opportunity? Despite the grim outlook, some market analysts suggest that the recent sell-off could present a buying opportunity for those willing to bet on a turnaround. Historically, significant price drops have sometimes been followed by recovery, particularly for companies with strong fundamentals. However, given the ongoing legal and financial challenges facing Icahn Enterprises, potential investors should proceed with caution. Looking Ahead: The future of Icahn Enterprises (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:IEP ) is now clouded by uncertainty. With increased scrutiny from regulators, ongoing disputes with short-sellers, and the potential dilution of shares, the company’s path forward is fraught with challenges. Carl Icahn, once considered the king of corporate raiders, now faces a formidable battle to restore confidence in his empire. As Icahn Enterprises (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:IEP ) navigates these turbulent waters, the question remains: can Carl Icahn steer his company back to calmer seas, or will the legendary investor’s empire continue to erode under the weight of its own controversies?
NASDAQ:IEPShort
by DEXWireNews
2
Icahn can't no more. IEPImmediate targets 51, 49, 46. Invalidation at 64. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
NASDAQ:IEPShort
by Rykin_Capital
Icahn Enterprises finishing off its drop. IEPA beautiful flat here nearing completion with C Wave in its late stages. I have probably oversupplied the number of targets beyond what is practical, but hey, this is not financial advice. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
NASDAQ:IEPShort
by Rykin_Capital
2
IEP. Low Risk/Low Reward but looks oversold. Back to 53 rangeIEP. Some rich fuckers company (Carl Icahn net worth 15.6 Billion). Dude probably has an ego and won't let this be beaten down much more before he starts just buying it himself. Sometimes you just gotta follow the money. The rich are always getting richer. Looks oversold here according to RSI and the MACD is actually trending towards a flip to green despite the recent decline in price. 50 looks like a long term support to me so I feel safe stepping in here. Boring stock has boring hopes. Thinking I can skim 5% off this one.
NASDAQ:IEPLong
by DrewDimes
STOCKS IM BUYING THIS WEEKI think last week's pullback in equity markets was a good thing. The market got overheated and it gave us a reminder that stocks don't always rise. Memories and patience are short in the finance industry especially with some recent trends (blockchain) skewing people's perception that building wealth gets built overnight. Not the case, in the past 50 years of the SP500's history, it has NEVER had a stretch of over a year without a 5% correction or more. So relax, this is not doomsday, it is the ebbs and flows of Mr. Market playing his tricks. Here is the list of stocks I'm buying or adding a position too. - Icahn Enterprises (see earlier post) - Scott's Miracle Grow (post coming this week) - Bank of Nova Scotia - Bank of Montreal - Citigroup - Home Capital Group (post coming next week) - Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce - Valeant Pharmaceuticals - Equifax BNS, BMO, CM are banks I own in a fund and will simply be buying more of the fund (FIE.TO), but BNS and BMO are the two banks I would buy, if you go back one year and look at the worst performing Canadian bank, it's a pretty safe bet that the next year will be better. As well: www.theglobeandmail.com I apply this same rationale to Citigroup , one of the less fortunate American banks from last year. EFX was a stock I bought down around $90 when it sold off following a security breach announcement. I think the firm, fundamentally, is strong and will continue to regain ground. VRX is also one of those contrarian stock picks, after some allegations a couple of years ago for fraud and insider trading, I think they've found their bottom. They've also started to pay off debt which is never a bad thing for a recovering company. I'm in the process of putting a valuation on HCG and SMG and will make a post in the coming week, this will be a buy and hold value-pick. I'm liking what I'm seeing so far.
NASDAQ:IEPLong
by StuartTabor
IEP Long Term BuyWe can see on the chart that IEP has been building a base around $53 and is holding in a relatively tight range, IEP is a conglomerate company with a focus on M+A, takeovers, LBO's and more. Their PE Ratio is under 5, and you get paid 11.5% to wait for this one to pop. Never a bad thing. Furthermore, this stock usually outperforms the market in times of extreme pullbacks and the company has a short ratio of 130% in their investment business, if the overall market turns around they should be well positioned with a cash to debt ratio of 4x. They are well positioned should the market pull back and they will be ready to deploy a ton of cash once prices become cheap.
NASDAQ:IEPLong
by StuartTabor
IEP Icahn stock along major trendlineIEP, investor guru Carl Icahn's stock company Icahn Capital Management LP is currently riding along a major trendline which goes all the way to it's highest peak. This trendline has some strength to it, and after a previous breakout from a previous trendline along a similar angle, the stock is looking to move higher. There is also a line of support beneath this level, where the stock has bounced from. There's additionally a volume increase, but I would like to mention much of this volume comes from Carl Icahn himself. When it comes to Fibonacci retracement levels, the price is currently consolidating around the 78.6% level from the previous major bottom to top movement. This certainly indicates that there is weakness, and less of a chance for the price to fully recover, but that may be for the better in the medium to short term. There is a nearby resistance from previous sideways movement, however there is still room to trade within the next week likely for a 2:1 R/R trade. However, there has been some skeptical views of the market recently, so although there is room for the stock to move higher, it is not certain considering the global sentiment right now. A stock such as IEP from an investing company may not be what buyers are looking to purchase considering the mood of the market. Despite the sentiment, price action tends to be the evidence required for any move up or down.
NASDAQ:IEPLong
by Yqztv09
IEP SHORTHey there! Generally speaking, I'm testing my new trading system. IMHO, it is a great experience to write down all your trades, as it is much easier to analyze them later. Thus, I'm publishing my ideas here. It will be also great if some of my trades will help all of us to get some profits) I'm also attaching my risk calculations. Normally, my risk per trade is 3.5% per trade. It is much easier for me to trade when I understand what is my risk per position. P.S. Target area is changing depending on entries (as you could notice I use multiple entries). I'm going to update all the data inculding targets as long as the trade remains opened. Cheerz!
NASDAQ:IEPShort
by cyril.moore