(INTC) Elliott Waves Potential
Elliott Wave idea, pending fifth wave, at .618, Volume profile, within 4 years range lows, ratio INTC/SOX potential Channel base, with RSI+.
BACA level specified.
INTC trade ideas
CTS - #INTEL COPORATIONAdd up Biden's emission
Chip mining
This analysis is designed to provide information that CTS believes to be accurate on the subject matter, but is shared with the understanding that the author is NOT offering individualized advice tailored to any specific portfolio or the particular needs of any individual.
The author of the analysis specifically disclaims any responsibility for any personal or other loss or risk incurred as a consequence, directly or indirectly, of the use and application of any of the contents of this analysis.
There are Lot of Stocks moving up with Divergences
I monitor a pile of stocks to see whats going on under the hood.
While I have chosen Intel for the example - a lot big names look like this.
We all know that Jackson Hole is Friday - I'm not sure how anyone can think it will bullish meeting.
While the Fed is buying bonds the continues - the reverse repo is actually taking more money out of the system - this is a fact. DM me if you want to more.
Right now volatility is being pushed down making options cheaper - so this is the quiet before the storm.
As you can see in this chart - they are holding up INTC
With SPX at 4500 - whats the upside?
I don't think this is summer doldrums - its a setup, in this case to the downside.
Looking at the /ES there are single prints down around 4455 - this needs to be cleaned up - all this price action 50 points higher is based on a push up on one 5 minute candle.
The /NQ has left a VPOC at 15066 - this will be returned to.
Todays move is with divergence on the YM(DOW) and ES (SPX) - pushing all these stocks up while crushing vol with divergence.
Both the 6J (Yen) and ZB (Bonds) sold off today - those getting long thinking there is negative news - too soon. These have been reset for a move higher.
INTC going 200$+++Intel can only go up from here, with all the hype stocks like AMD and Nvidia for example just relentlessly going up and are way overpriced at this point, you are overpaying for growth.
All you need to do is look at INTC 1999/2000 hype run up and 20+ years later the stock never made a new all the time. While the stock never made a new all time high i strongly believe now is the time for Intel.
With the new intel GPUs that are coming out early next year they will take market share from both Nvidia and AMD, the growth potential is almost unlimited for them as they start from zero.
CPUs are still not as good as AMD ones but Intel is still on 14nm process node while AMD is using TSMC 7nm and that is main reason they are ahead but the cap is not that huge, Intel is still on very old 14nm process node and are able to compete still with AMD just fine.
*Massive cash flow
*Intel 10nm is coming online soon.(It will be equal or better then TSMC 7nm)
*Intel is investing between $60 billion and $120 billion on brand-new fab complex.
*Intel got a alliance/deal with IBM(yes that boring IBM the research company) to use the new revolutionary 2nm process, IBM’s 2nm process offers greater density (more transistors per square millimeter) and lower power than TSMC’s 3nm(This news is so massive yet none talks about it).
*All Intel competitors are fabless and are using TSMC to produce the chips...even Apple. With China being unpredictable right now, tension with Taiwan would have unknown consequences. Nvidia, AMD, Apple etc all those companies would have no way to make the chips anymore, yes crazy right?
www.tomshardware.com
www.forbes.com
Waiting for INTCINTC has been trending downward since April 2021. It looks like it could be going sub-50s again. Just be patient and wait for it to get to 43-46 again.
When that time comes, load it up and wait for 20-25% return in a few months.
$INTC - Looking for bounce or rejection$INTC - At 200MA, trend line, support level, watch for calls if breaks above 53 & puts if breaks below 51.3
INTC Long if down trend breaksBullish RSI/MACD Divergence.
sl: 52
target 1: 57
target 2: 61.50
target 3: 65
TrendyTrades: INTC (bullish)Bounced off the bottom of the channel it the larger time frame, currently looking like wants to break to the upside.
50/200 Death cross + Bear flagAt the fall out point for a bear flag.
50/200 (Purple and gold lines) are doing a death cross .
Soxl and Soxx are showing a bearish reversal .
1st TP - 53.11 Fib support
2nd TP - 52.31 Weekly 200ma.
3tp - 48.93
INTEL:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS|PRICE ACTION|DOWNTREND SETUP 🔔The past five years have been tough for Intel, the world's largest maker of x86 processors for PCs and data centers. It has underperformed Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and Samsung in the "technology race" to produce smaller, more high-level chips, and persistent lags and chip shortages have ended in a huge loss of market to AMD.
INTC has also rejected the mobile market, ceasing production of chips for smartphones and baseband modems, and made scattered investments in programmable chips, Internet of Things (IoT) chips, and automotive chips - none of which have solved the company's core problems.
Former Intel CEO Brian Krzanich unexpectedly quit three years ago. His "inheritor", Bob Swan, concentrated on lowering costs and buying back stock instead of addressing pressing R&D issues. Swann had even considered outsourcing much of Intel's production to TSMC - rather than upgrading his foundries - before he was ousted in January.
Swan's successor, Pat Gelsinger, has rejected the concept of Intel growing a "fabless" chipmaker similar to AMD and has redoubled efforts to expand its internal foundries. The company is reportedly even considering an acquisition of GlobalFoundries, AMD's past factory division, to stimulate those intentions. Gelsinger anticipates that the manufacturing extension will benefit Intel regain technology leadership from TSMC and win back succumbed market share from AMD.
If Intel can achieve those lofty goals remains a controversial question. But Intel lately updated its 2025 plans, and there are some dramatic changes. Let's take a look at the most significant changes and how they might affect Intel's growth over the next five years.
The technology race is measured in nodes. Smaller nodes, which are currently measured in nanometers, are commonly recognized as more advanced than larger nodes since they are more energy-efficient.
TSMC began mass production of 7-nanometer chips in 2018 and 5-nanometer chips in 2020. Intel began mass production of 10-nanometer chips in 2019 after several years of delays, and previously delayed production of the next generation of 7-nanometer chips until late 2022 or early 2023.
Initially, it appears that Intel is two generations behind TSMC's chips. However, Intel's 10-nanometer chips have the same density as TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, about 100 million transistors per millimeter square. Basically, Intel's 10-nanometer chips are technically comparable to TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, but the size of the nodes (which are set by each foundry instead of a single industry standard) still puts TSMC in the lead.
But as part of its new plan, Intel is renaming its 10+ node, also known as the 10-nm Super Fin node, to the "new" 7-nanometer node. These new chips, to be released by the end of 2021, should offer better performance than TSMC's 7-nanometer chips, but won't be able to match TSMC's 5-nanometer chips.
Intel is renaming its old 7-nanometer node, which was originally delayed, to a "new" 4-nanometer node to show that it will outperform TSMC's 5-nanometer node. Intel still prepares to release chips later next year or early 2023, but it will then lag behind TSMC, which will begin mass production of its 3-nanometer chips in the second half of 2022 and possibly release its 2-nanometer chips in 2023.
Intel intends to slowly gain on TSMC by supplying its new factories with more high-tech extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines. It also wants to become the first chipmaker to use next-generation EUV machines with the high NA required to produce smaller chips beyond the 3-nanometer node. The company claims to be working closely with ASML, the world's only EUV and High-NA machine maker, to get these orders-but ASML also supplies the same machines to TSMC.
Intel plans to release its first 3-nanometer chips in the second half of 2023. The company expects the performance of the new node to be 18 percent faster than earlier projected 3-nanometer chips.
Intel plans to begin production of 2-nanometer chips, also known as "20A" (20 angstrom) chips, in 2024. These chips, which will replace Intel's old 5-nanometer process, could have nearly twice the density of 3-nanometer chips. In 2025, the company will release 18A (1.8-nanometer) chips. We don't know much about these chips yet, but the company believes that the 20A and 18A chips will help it wrest technology leadership from TSMC and Samsung by 2025.
Intel factories in Arizona, Ireland, Israel, and Oregon are getting ready to produce 4-nanometer, 3-nanometer, and 20A chips. That speedup, likely to be backed by subsidies in the U.S. and Europe, could greatly expand its contract chip manufacturing services and help fabless chipmakers decrease their over-dependence on TSMC and Samsung.
It is not that obvious whether Intel can accomplish its lofty new purposes, but its new schedule shows that it intends to keep pace with TSMC and Samsung by expanding its capacity and ordering more high-performance machines from ASML.
Many still have doubts that Intel will be able to regain its lead in process technology by 2025, particularly as TSMC decidedly
increases its costs to maintain its advantage, but significant changes in its foundry business could back it to evade expected delays and shortages and recover some of its lost market share from AMD.
$INTC with a Bearish outlook following its earnings #Stocks
The PEAD projected a Bearish outlook for $INTC after a Negative Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D
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$INTC long idea$INTC within a big range, but now founding support and bouncing off it's 200MA on weekly Timeframe. I like entry here, stop is any daily close under the $52.
buy the bottom at the end of AugustIntel wants to be another manufacturer for the world semiconductors.
The $53 zone is now its resistance.
August tends to be its volatile month, based on the seasonality tool from Stockcharts.
Its Trend(OBV) illustrates that bears are currently more powerful than bulls.
Trend(OBV) uses True Strength Index to analyze "On-Balance-Volume", which measures buying and selling pressure as a cumulative indicator.
Horizontal lines and zones are supports (entry for bulls and exit for bears) and resistances (exits for bulls and entries for bears).
Diagonal lines from Fib fans are for trend-determination and additional levels for active trading.
The market is actively moving so the entries and exits for this type of meme stocks constantly change. Trade small if you want to practice!
Intel versus AMDAmidst further chip shortage news and the continuance of the tech boom, I was curious to see which out of AMD and Intel was a better investment.
This chart shows a comparison of the two by share price.
Gem in the Rough (Intel)I discovered a gem-shaped pattern that I call the Ruby Pattern© . Inside is another pattern I call the Lance Pattern© . Let me know what you think. Aside from the pattern itself, the market for semiconductor chips is incredibly hot right now. Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger predicts this trend to last until 2023.
Intel Corp.I love this companies financials. I understand what's going on in the semiconductor world. However, I'm thinking about consumer durables like laptops, computer gaming, memory and storage data. I'm not big on speculation but I know we are so dependent upon technology and alot of their products attack a wide range of technological factors.
Price is currently at a strong support in my opinion. On the 1 hour time frame, there seems to be to some strong consolidation in this same support area. This could indicate that Intel is currently in its accumulation phase. I've looked at some insider trading as well and noticed that within the last two months, there were purchase on two occasions around this area and a third person sold at $57... I want to see price breakout at some point to the upside as the previous high was broken and the previous support hasn't been reached yet considering a strong consolidation at its current support. Let's see what happens! I'm locked in til 2023.
Not advice
What do you think?
INTC Bear flag The flag pole highlighted in green. 200ma is barely keeping this afloat. I expect all chips to have a rough 2nd quarter after NVDA splits. Yeah i know about the chip shortage and the big institutions have known about it for a year; what does that mean? that means the news is priced in. Wait for a return trip to mid to high 40's for a long entry.
