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Intel Rebounded This Week. What Do Its Charts Show?Intel NASDAQ:INTC has gone through some rough times in recent years, but rose some 10% over a little more than a week after Wall Street seemed to like some recent news from the semiconductor giant. What do fundamental and technical analysis say might happen next? Let’s take a look: Intel’s Big News INTC reported three major developments on Monday. First, the company disclosed that it will receive up to $3 billion in direct funding from the 2022 CHIPS and Science Act. (“CHIPS” stands for "Creating Helpful Incentives to Produce Semiconductors.”) Intel will use the money for the U.S. Defense Department's Secure Enclave program. These funds are separate from the $8.5 billion that Intel had already received in grants and loans under that act back in March. Separately, Intel and Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN announced after the bell what they called a "significant expansion" of their existing relationship -- a multi-year, multi-billion-dollar framework in which Intel will manufacture chips for AMZN. Lastly, Intel unveiled a plan after the bell to set up its Foundry business as an independent subsidiary, separating reporting responsibilities and allowing the unit to potentially raise its own capital from outside sources. Some on Wall Street see this as a potential first step towards spinning off that business entirely. Fundamental Analysis Intel has struggled on a fundamental basis for some time, last month reporting a GAAP loss and negative year-over-year revenue growth for its fiscal second quarter. As a matter of fact, the company has posted negative year-over-year revenue growth in 14 of its past 16 quarters. That's four years of Intel being beaten by industry peers, with many competitors seeing their stock prices run wild thanks to the advent of cloud data-center primacy and the emergence of generative artificial intelligence. Technical Analysis From a technical point of view, INTC appears to have peaked during the current cycle last Dec. 27 at $51.28 intraday. It seems to have then bottomed out on Aug. 8 at an $18.84 intraday low. That's a 63.3% drawdown peak to trough. However, the stock has since partly recovered, seeing sharp gains Monday and Tuesday in and around this week’s well-received company news. All in, shares closed at $21.14 Thursday, up 12.2% from Intel’s $18.84 Aug. 8 bottom. Let’s look at the stock’s chart as of Wednesday afternoon (Sept. 18): The first thing readers will notice is a drawdown that accelerated with a still-unfilled gap created in early August. Intel stock would need a $28.89 tick to fill that gap in. A 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of that sell-off (the second-to-bottom horizontal black line in the chart above) would land Intel at $26.17, going a long way towards that fill. Now, let's turn the above Fibonacci retracement model into an Andrews' Pitchfork instead: Voila! Now we see a stock that has ricocheted off of the pitchfork’s lower trendline twice. However, Intel has also broken out past the upper trendline once in a rally that failed, and is also showing signs of attempting another breakout as we speak. Let's zoom in and check this out further: What we see above is an apparent basing period of consolidation that has lasted more than six weeks. However, this entire base has existed in a very narrow range – something that can signal a violent move one way or the other. Meanwhile, Intel’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) has improved to "neutral" from "weak" for the first time since July. Separately, the stock’s Daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or MACD, denoted by gold and black lines and the blue bars at bottom) has postured itself more bullishly. Within that MACD, the histogram of Intel’s 9-Day Exponential Moving Average (or EMA, denoted by the blue bars at the chart’s bottom) went positive almost a month ago and has held its ground. That’s historically a bullish signal, as well as a positive sign when viewed in conjunction with the MACD’s other components. Similarly, the stock’s 12-Day EMA (the black line above) crossed above its 26-Day EMA (the gold line) a month ago and has held since then. That’s also traditionally bullish, although both lines are still in negative territory, which historically weakens the signal’s positivity. The bottom line? There are no sure things here, but Intel appears to be in better shape technically than it has been for a while -- and very well might have put in a bottom for now. Still, the real test could come if Intel approaches its 50-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA), denoted by the blue line at $24.44 in the chart above. A take and hold there would historically put the Fibonacci model in play -- and perhaps fill in Intel’s ugly, as-yet unfilled gap. (Full disclosure: At the time of this writing, Moomoo Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long Amazon.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. 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NASDAQ:INTC
by moomoo
1
Intel's $3.5 Billion Deal: A New Dawn for the Chip Giant?Intel (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:INTC ) made headlines with its stock climbing 1.22% in premarket trading on Monday, buoyed by reports of a potential $3.5 billion federal grant to manufacture advanced semiconductors for the U.S. Department of Defense. This deal, part of the Pentagon's "Secure Enclave" initiative, could mark a major turning point for Intel as it looks to reclaim its dominance in the global semiconductor space, a market increasingly vital to both civilian and military applications. Rebuilding with Secure Enclave The $3.5 billion federal grant Intel is expected to secure is part of the U.S. government's efforts to reduce reliance on foreign semiconductor manufacturers. Intel has emerged as the front-runner for the Secure Enclave program, which focuses on developing chips for military and intelligence use. While foreign competitors like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and Samsung are also constructing U.S.-based plants with the help of the Chips and Science Act, Intel stands out due to its status as an American company with deep ties to national security interests. The funding will help Intel build and expand its production facilities across multiple states, including Arizona, Ohio, New Mexico, and Oregon, reinforcing its position as a key player in the domestic chipmaking industry. This comes at a time when the U.S. government is laser-focused on revitalizing semiconductor manufacturing and reducing reliance on Asian suppliers, especially in light of recent global supply chain issues and geopolitical tensions. Intel is also set to benefit from a separate potential $8.5 billion in grants and $11 billion in loans under the Chips Act, further bolstering its financial position. However, the disbursement of these funds is yet to commence, and the current Secure Enclave grant offers a more immediate lifeline. Intel’s broader manufacturing strategy, however, has not been without its challenges. A disappointing earnings report last month raised questions about CEO Pat Gelsinger’s global investment plans, forcing Intel to reconsider its priorities. Delays or cancellations in overseas projects may ensue, but U.S. facilities, especially those in Arizona and Ohio, are expected to proceed without disruptions. Signs of a Reversal From a technical standpoint, Intel's stock has been trading within a falling trend channel for a prolonged period. However, recent price movements suggest that a reversal could be on the horizon. As of Friday’s close, NASDAQ:INTC ended the session up 1.55%, breaking out from the ceiling of a bullish horizontal trend chart pattern. This breakout, combined with Monday's premarket rise, signals growing optimism surrounding Intel's prospects. The relative strength index (RSI) of 29.51 is another encouraging sign. A low RSI typically indicates that a stock is oversold and could be primed for a rebound. With Intel's RSI not yet entering overbought territory, there is ample room for upward momentum, especially given the positive news cycle around its government contracts and U.S. manufacturing ambitions. Key support levels for Intel lie around the $30 mark, a crucial pivot point in its long-term price action. Should the stock sustain its current uptrend, a move past $35 could set the stage for further gains. Conversely, if selling pressure resumes, the stock could revisit its recent lows, but the Secure Enclave deal may serve as a buffer against significant downside risks. The Road Ahead While Intel’s immediate future looks promising, the road ahead is not without its risks. The company still relies on Taiwan Semiconductor for some of its most advanced chips, a fact that underscores the limitations of its current manufacturing capabilities. Furthermore, Intel's ability to successfully deliver on the Pentagon’s demands will depend on its ability to innovate and scale production, areas where it has struggled in recent years. That said, Intel’s growing relationship with the U.S. government, bolstered by the Secure Enclave initiative and the Chips Act funding, positions the company well for future growth. As the semiconductor industry continues to evolve, with national security and technological leadership at the forefront, Intel has a unique opportunity to redefine its role on the global stage. Conclusion Intel’s $3.5 billion deal with the U.S. Department of Defense signals renewed confidence in the chipmaker's ability to contribute to critical industries. This deal represents a key milestone in Intel’s broader efforts to revitalize its manufacturing capabilities, while the technical outlook hints at a potential reversal in its stock price. With favorable government backing and promising technical indicators, Intel may be on the cusp of breaking out of its prolonged downtrend, offering investors renewed hope for future growth. However, the company’s reliance on external partners and the global competitive landscape remain key factors to watch.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DEXWireNews
9
INTC | Bottoming Process is Progress | BounceIntel Corp. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies. It delivers computer, networking, data storage, and communications platforms. The firm operates through the following segments: Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center and AI (DCAI), Network and Edge (NEX), Mobileye, Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics (AXG), Intel Foundry Services (IFS), and All Other. The CCG segment consists of platforms designed for notebooks, 2-in-1 systems, desktops, tablets, phones, wireless and wired connectivity products, and mobile communication components. The DCAI segment delivers solutions to cloud service providers and enterprise customers, along with silicon devices for communications service providers and high-performance computing customers. The NEX segment offers computing system solutions from inflexible fixed-function hardware to general-purpose compute, acceleration, and networking devices running cloud native software on programmable hardware. The Mobileye segment develops driving assistance and self-driving solutions. The AXG segment provides products and technologies designed to help customers solve the toughest computational problems. Its products include CPUs for high-performance computing and GPUs targeted for a range of workloads and platforms, from gaming and content creation on client devices to delivering media and gaming in the cloud, and the most demanding high-performance computing and AI workloads on supercomputers. The IFS segment refers to full stack solutions created from the foundry industry ecosystem. The All Other segment represents results from other non-reportable segments and corporate-related charges. The company was founded by Robert Norton Noyce and Gordon Earle Moore on July 18, 1968, and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DivergenceSeeker
$INTC - Bearish but Eyeing a Potential Rebound | Profit Targets Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) has been in a strong downtrend, currently trading at $19.61, but I’m watching closely for a potential rebound opportunity. Key Observations: Downward Momentum: The stock has dropped significantly from previous highs, with EMAs showing a bearish alignment. We’re now approaching key support around the $19 level, which could offer a strong bounce opportunity. MACD: Still showing bearish signals, but I'll be watching for any signs of reversal in momentum. Potential Rebound Play: Rebound Targets: If we see a bounce near the $19 support, I’ll be targeting $24 as the first profit-taking zone. If momentum continues, I'll aim for the major resistance level around $37 for further gains. 📈 Key Levels: Support: $19 (critical zone for a potential bounce). Profit Zones: $24 (near-term resistance). $37.14 (previous high and major resistance). I’m holding for now and will be ready to take profits if we rebound towards these levels. What are your thoughts on this potential setup? Let me know below!
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by TrendShredder
3
Intel Corporation ($INTC) - Potential Squeeze After Rate CutIntel Corporation ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is setting up for an exciting squeeze potential following an anticipated rate cut. Here's why the technical landscape could be shaping up for a big move: Fibonacci Support Holding Strong The stock is currently holding well above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a critical area of support. Historically, holding this level is a strong indicator that a reversal could be imminent. A rate cut would provide a fundamental catalyst to accelerate a recovery from this level, as lower borrowing costs typically improve market sentiment, especially for large-cap tech stocks like Intel. Worst-Case Scenario: Testing $13–$14 Support While we are optimistic about the current setup, the worst-case scenario to watch for is a potential retest of the $13–$14 range. This level marks a significant historical support zone and, if touched, could provide a final flush-out of weak hands before the stock rebounds. Should this happen, it would likely signal a capitulation event, paving the way for long-term bulls to step back in at attractive prices. Squeeze Potential and Rebound Targets If Intel holds its current Fibonacci support, we could be setting up for a short squeeze driven by fresh liquidity entering the market post-rate cut. With technical and fundamental catalysts aligning, the stock has potential to rally toward the $40+ level over the medium term. This would mark a massive rebound, and a retest of previous highs would not be out of the question. Key Levels to Watch Immediate Support: 0.786 Fib level Worst-Case Support: $13–$14 Upside Target: $40+
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by MindPoison
Intel - (Much) Lower from here!NASDAQ:INTC is about to create such a massive higher timeframe candle - a drop is immanent! Within one month, a setup played out and we are back to beginning. During the past 30 days, Intel rejected the support towards the upside with a move of +25% and immediately reversed the entire move. The monthly candle will close so bearish, I do expect a break below the current short term support, followed by a retest of the multi-year long support area. Levels to watch: $30, $26 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by basictradingtv
14
INTC swing tradeI have entered another swing trade on INTC this time a bit safer. I went with Jan 22.5$ strikes here on this small dip, the market is on fire right now and the stock is currently valued at about what net assets are valued at. The weekly stochastic is waking up, I have updated the fibs and my profit take will be tapping the 20 EMA (red moving average). I would not be surprised to see this entire gap fill in the coming months if the management team can continue to pay down debt, reign in the dividend, and focus on getting out of this mess.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Apollo_21mil
iNTEL: $18.90 Waiting for reset and CAPITULATION as it just debut its latest and fastest most advance chip core 3 while price tanks down means a sell on strength for stuckholders at all time highs shall be in play at a glance it barely recovers wait wait wait as SMART MONEY book gains profits on NViDiA at all time highs levels dumb money lets them get out at a premium and slowly shall migrate funds to iNTEL as a proven generational wealth provider MONEY GO ROUND folks Q1 Q2 around 2025 should be a good entry window to accumulate ... expect DOWNWARD CORRECTION for a bounce exit or short squeeze
NASDAQ:INTC
by senyor
Intel Faces Potential Exit from the DOW Amid Market StrugglesIntel Corp. ( NASDAQ:INTC ), once a dominant force in the tech industry, now faces the risk of being removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), a position it has held since 1999. This possible removal could mark a significant blow to Intel’s already tarnished reputation, as the American chipmaker grapples with a host of challenges that have led to a dramatic decline in its stock price. Declining Performance and Missed Opportunities Intel's shares have plunged nearly 60% this year, making it the worst-performing stock on the Dow. The company has been struggling to keep pace with its competitors, missing out on major opportunities such as the artificial intelligence boom after passing on an early investment in OpenAI. This misstep, combined with mounting losses in its contract manufacturing unit, has placed Intel in a precarious financial position. To counter its downturn, Intel has undertaken drastic measures, including suspending its dividend and announcing layoffs that affect 15% of its workforce. However, many analysts believe these steps are not enough to reverse the company's fortunes. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at the Carson Group, stated, "Intel being removed was likely a long time coming," highlighting the company’s prolonged struggles. Implications of Dow Removal The Dow Jones Industrial Average, unlike the S&P 500, is price-weighted, meaning stock price plays a crucial role in the inclusion of its members. Currently, Intel’s stock price is the lowest on the Dow, making it the least influential component of the index with a meager 0.32% weightage. Intel’s removal would not only be a symbolic blow but could also further depress its share price, which has already plummeted by over 70% from its all-time high in August 2000. While S&P Dow Jones Indices has not commented on whether Intel’s removal is imminent, the possibility looms larger than ever, with market experts pointing to potential replacements like Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) or Texas Instruments ( NASDAQ:TXN ). Nvidia, which has seen a 160% surge in share value this year thanks to its leadership in AI chips, is a strong contender, although some consider it too volatile for the Dow. Texas Instruments, with its stable stock price and significant U.S. production capabilities, could also be a fitting replacement. Mixed Signals Amid Downtrend From a technical perspective, Intel’s stock has been exhibiting mixed signals. Despite a brief uptick of 9.49% in Friday's extended trading, the stock has struggled to maintain momentum, down 1.3% in Tuesday’s premarket trading. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 45.98 suggests that the stock is not yet oversold but is hovering close to the oversold territory, indicating potential for growth if market conditions improve. A move towards the RSI level of 30 would typically signal oversold conditions and could spark a rebound, but Intel’s current RSI level reflects ongoing uncertainty. Intel’s chart pattern also reveals a struggling trajectory, with limited bullish indicators. The stock price has been unable to sustain higher levels, reflecting broader concerns about Intel’s future prospects. Investors are keenly watching for signs of stabilization, but the technical outlook remains cautious. What’s Next for Intel? Intel’s battle to remain in the Dow highlights broader issues within the company, from strategic missteps to financial woes. The potential removal from the prestigious index underscores the urgent need for Intel to rethink its approach and regain its competitive edge. Whether through revamping its business model, making strategic investments, or improving operational efficiencies, Intel must act swiftly to restore investor confidence. As the chipmaker faces critical decisions, both technical and fundamental factors will play crucial roles in shaping its future. Investors should closely monitor Intel’s next moves, as the coming months will be pivotal in determining whether Intel can overcome its challenges or continue its slide into obscurity.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DEXWireNews
The Price of Intel (INTC) Shares Rose By 9.5% in a DayThe Price of Intel (INTC) Shares Rose By 9.5% in a Day The reason for the optimism is a report from Reuters that CEO Pat Gelsinger is planning to present a comprehensive plan to the board of directors in mid-September: → Special attention will be given to reducing capital expenditures, which is part of a broader effort to revitalise the chipmaker, whose shares have experienced a dramatic decline. It’s worth noting that on 2 August, the price of Intel (INTC) shares dropped by 26% in a single day following the release of disappointing quarterly results and projections, which greatly disheartened investors. → The plan also considers the sale of businesses, including the Altera division. Reportedly, Intel has enlisted Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs to advise on the sale of these assets. → Additionally, Intel aims to reduce its workforce by more than 15%, with the majority of the cuts expected to be completed by the end of 2024. Investors were encouraged by the news that the management is ready to take decisive action. As Gelsinger recently stated, "We respect the scepticism we’ve received from the market. We believe we’re ready to meet the challenge." Technical analysis of the INTC stock chart indicates that: → Since 2021, the price has been in a downtrend, indicated by the descending channel on the chart. The lower boundary of the channel acted as resistance, halting the price decline in August. → The W-shaped formation that has developed over the past month is a type of bullish double-bottom pattern, which is reinforced by the psychological level of $20. → Yesterday’s trading opened with a bullish gap, and during the session, the price rose above the highs set after 2 August. Thus, the price action suggests that market participants are hopeful that Intel will overcome its challenges. It is possible that, in light of the news related to the comprehensive plan to improve the company’s efficiency, the price could reach the $25 level. According to the average estimates of analysts surveyed by TipRanks, the target price for INTC is $27.32 over the next 12 months. Only 1 out of 32 analysts recommends buying INTC shares. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:INTC
by FXOpen
2