Likely you have not forgotten the election year 2008We had two warnings prior to the financial crisis crash of 2008by BrianDreamTrader112
Nasdaq Composite will now probably see a correction of 7-12%.Clear technical signals have now been given that a major correction may come within a short time for one of the world's most important stock market indices, The Nasdaq Composite Index (^IXIC) in the USA We all know that there will occasionally be some slightly larger corrections of typically between 7-12 per cent, and even if the underlying trend for indices or shares can be positive. Now the time may have come for this type of correction, and for the very important American stock market index Nasdaq Composite. Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq Composite Index (^IXIC) If we look at the weekly charts for the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC), a clear sell signal was given in the last week from a 'shooting star' pattern in the weekly candlestick chart for the Nasdaq Composite. What reinforces this sell signal is that the Nasdaq Composite is now both right up against the resistance level at upper trend line in the long-term rising trend (cf. chart), and at the same time various momentum indicators (weekly charts) show a heavily overbought situation for the Nasdaq Composite. The overall technical picture for the Nasdaq Composite now indicates that this one of the world's most important stock market indexes, the Nasdaq Composite, may be facing such a 'typical' correction which comes in at around 7-12 per cent down, and within the rising trend. In any case, no one should be very surprised if such a correction were to occur in the coming weeks and months for the Nasdaq Composite Index (^IXIC). According to the long-term rising trend that the Nasdaq Composite Index (^IXIC) is moving within (cf. chart), a correction down to somewhere around 16,000 - 17,000 is now being signaled for the Nasdaq Composite. On Friday 12 July 2024, the Nasdaq Composite ended at 18,398. So if there should now be a correction down towards 16,000 - 17,000 for the Nasdaq Composite, it would therefore mean a correction of precisely around 7-12 percent down from today's level at 18,398.Shortby StockCharts365Updated 337
The Nasdaq Composite could fall a further 50 percent.There was a not entirely unexpected correction down here for the Nasdaq Composite, and now the million dollar question is, what now and where will the Nasdaq Composite go from here and now? The answer to that we all wish we had, but no one does. When the market is very volatile and unsettled, as it has been in recent days and weeks, I tend to put on the long glasses and focus on the bigger picture for stocks and indices. I have now done that here with the Nasdaq Composite today and after recent days of turbulence on the stock exchanges around the world, and for the Nasdaq Composite. It is fear of a recession that is plaguing the markets now, and there are many fundamental key figures that speak for the possibility of a recession, but the positive thing is that recessions do not usually last forever, but it can be brutal on the stock exchanges while standing for a few quarters. Back to this with looking at the slightly bigger picture, and here for the Nasdaq Composite index. Here a weekly chart and with a 200-week moving average. It is known to everyone that the 200-day moving average on the daily chart is very popular and very widely used in technical analysis. However, not many people see the value of using a weekly chart with a 200-week moving average. I have marked here all the way back to 1985 and shown quite clearly I would think that, as here for example the Nasdaq Composite, such corrections sometimes get down to the 200-week moving average, and very often turn up again from there. But not always, and that is marked with green arrows here. The question we are all asking ourselves now is, of course, what now? Where will the market and the Nasdaq Composite go from here on out? Personally, I think we are not done with the correction we are in here now, and I imagine that there will likely be a test of the 200-week moving average and down towards the lower trend line in the marked long-term rising trend here (blue lines). If that happens, it means that the Nasdaq Composite will go down to around 14,000 points or thereabouts before this correction is over, maybe over. Should there be a break below the 200-week moving average, then we might see such a bigger drop and perhaps all the way down towards around 8,000 points for the Nasdaq Composite. So a drop of around 50% from Monday's level around 16,200 points. My experience over 35 years is that when the market gets such extreme volatility as now, and for example the Nikkei index falls 12 percent one day and rises 10 percent the next. Then my experience is that it is often not over so suddenly and then everything is just as before and well and good again. So I don't have a definitive answer here, and neither does anyone else, and about where the markets and the Nasdaq Composite index are going to go from here on out. I need to at least see that it actually takes around these levels and a little more than a day or two. As you know, it is often a bad idea to catch a falling knife. I am, as my analysis shows here today, yes, I am now uncertain, and I am certainly not alone in being so. I'm inclined to think we're not done with this correction yet, and envision us going down and testing the 200-week moving average and lower trendline in the long-term uptrend for the Nasdaq Composite. We all see that historically such corrections come down to the 200-week moving average from time to time, and that there are often good buying times around those levels. So if the Nasdaq Composite gets down to around 14,000 points or thereabouts and down towards the 200-week moving average and lower trendline in the long-term uptrend, then yes, I would be more comfortable buying than where we are now. I also see a danger that we get a break down below the 200-week moving average, and then there could be a fall all the way down to the 8,000 level for the Nasdaq Composite as I consider it. Just sharing my thoughts here and what I think, but by all means, I'm not sure of my case here, but I think the Nasdaq Composite will go down to around the 14,000 level, and maybe even down to around the 8,000 level. I will come back with follow-up analyzes in the future here, both around the Nasdaq Composite and other indices and shares. I would recommend everyone to adopt and look at 200-week moving averages for both stocks and indices in their analyses. You will soon see that it is well worth keeping an eye on, and it is not quite rare that things turn from there during the major corrections.Shortby StockCharts3652
THE FREAKY SEVEN IS SET TO CONTINUE ITS CHEMICAL TRIP. SOON...US stock indexes closed mixed on Monday as investors awaited a massive wave of data this week. 171 companies within the S&P 500 are set to report their second-quarter earnings results this week, and expectations are high given the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) 16% year-to-date rally. Some of the biggest companies including Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon will report results this week. I won't sing you lullabies about expected numbers. The major technical graph indicates that 50-Day SMA already done & fully retested. The next one chase is IXIC 125-Day SMA & all the way below, as much as it possible. by PandorraResearchUpdated 5
Nasdaq Composite - Can U see this happening?I can. See it. And also Believe it. These securities are measured in #Fiat which only becomes worth ... less with each passing year. Until #Vivek comes into office, of course and backs the dollar with a basket of commoditie! (maybe that basket may include #BTC) Inverse head and shoulders has massive linear and log targets Will be fun to watch this play out. Longby BallaJiUpdated 6615
NASDAQ Composite - The Momentum Will Continue Till 19,250(1) After a notable increase, the price reached the 16,200 level before facing a sharp decline of approximately 37%. (2) Following this, the price found solid support near the 10,150 level and started to climb again. (3) After a two-year consolidation period, the price finally broke through its resistance level and surged upwards. (4) A Cup & Handle pattern emerged on the weekly chart, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend. (5) Currently, the price is at its all-time high, nearing a potential resistance level around 19,250.by NaranjCapital4
NasdaQ at top of channel !!Since July is seasonally Bullish so there is a chance of correction before July start as that looks like soon . NAsdaq right now is at the top of its channel up movement and can go down to 17500 and if its a fall from grace then 17200 is a possible strong support. July can then push higher towards 18300 Lets see !! I would be buying at 17500 and 17200 levels Shortby vortexTradingSolutions3
IXIC good through 18,632IXIC good through 18,632 with minor corrections here and thereLongby psgramki1
888 -> 8888Is this top of the Nasdaq, end of the bull cycle? See the similarities with previous cycle: same 609 days, 418 bars to 422. The beginning of this cycle was at 10,088.83, last close is at 17,688.88. The digit sum of both numbers is one. Maybe we can expect some days at the top, some chance for NVIDIA to be largest company in the world by market capitalization.Shortby Ceneon2
#NASDAQ vs #DJIA has only been lower on the RSI 3 times! I wager #TECH is still the place to earn better gains going forward. It also doesn't carry the risk of #Financials and it is not dragged down by slow growth "stable" companies like utilities. Bleeding edge has always been the place to grow your money and with #AI manifesting itself for the next wave of user growth along with #CRYPTO you need exsposure to network effects investments.Longby BallaJiUpdated 224
IXIC Bullish Pre-ElectionThe index has been forming what appears to be a Head & Shoulders pattern for time now. The confirmation appears to have been confirmed recently. NFA DYOR Am expecting an ATH around the $20k zone; let's see if it can get there.Longby kerdirksUpdated 8
IXIC - Continuation in the long runSuggesting a big pullback and recovery within this channel up. Also providing a triple bottom for the structure Bullish long long term, this is the Monthly Chart by Bixley4
Sine Curves and NasdaqSharing a quick chart art analysis of sine curves over the Nasdaq. If this kind of pattern continues, we should see the start of a sideways move over to the second half of the sine curve after which, the move to the top continues. If the pattern holds true, we can expect a retracement in the 40% to 30% range sometime in an 18 month timeline. Short and BTFD on the transition across during the Summer Long in the Autumn for the final leg up Note that the first two sine curves complete on a 2 year schedule and are part of a similar inflation regime. This current sine curve looks set to extend to 4 years with significant inflationary attributes. I think this is interesting because it is not a click bate doom scenario nor is it a full guns blazing BTFD scenario. Anyhoo... it's chart art. Take it for what it is. Longby coremonster1
NASDAQ COMPOSITE LONG...JKThis POS will fall or its going to continue straight upward there's no sideways in betweenLongby jakerobertson995
Trading View Market TrendCurrent Market NASDAQ:IXIC Nasdaq Composite Remains in Buy Trend as indicated by Technical rating on monthly, weekly, daily and hourly.Longby starshiptradeUpdated 0
NASDAQ broke supportNASDAQ broke a long term ascending support channel yesterday and its not looking good The next level of support is 15800 to 15900 levels There can be a bounce back from that level since overall there are bullish sentiments but breaking down 15800 means we might be looking at 15000 level Shortby vortexTradingSolutions2
IXIC/USM2 update Dot Com bubble vs AI bubble??late 90s early 2000 dot com bubble which i was in high school for and this current blowoff area that looks like it may just have started. Any company mentioning AI in earnings goes up...example: Dell and of course the other obvious ones, NVDA etc by sonny15230
Bearish RSI divergence on NasdaqHello everyone, I just found a bearish RSI divergence on weekly chart of Nasdaq. RSI (14) on February 5 was at 73.05 and 72.91 on February 26. Close was 15990.66, now is 16274.94. In addition there was a bull cycle of 18 bars on weekly chart from March 13 2023 with price increase of 31.54 %, current cycle from October 23 ended with 29.96 %. And there is a high probability of a drop after reaching the ATH. See June 18 2015, just 4 days after a drop occured with a low on July 7, then another ATH was on July 15 August at 5231.94, this is just 1.01937 % above ATH from 10 March 2000 at 5132.52. Then signiffant drop occured with a low on August 24 at 4292.14, this is 82,03 % of ATH.Shortby Ceneon111
IXIC wave analysis- We can see as follows that the IXIC has been following a comprehensive Elliot Wave movement respecting the weekly high and low Fibonacci levels - We could see a move down towards $14 723 at the end of Q1 leading into Q2 - evidence to support this is the RSI movement > Trading around overbought levels > We can also spot an RSI bearish divergence on the daily, this is where the price increases as the RSI decreases, strength is decreasing as the price moves up causes it to loose steam for the upwards momentum - A clear break and hold of the 0 Fib level will invalidate this movement Have a great day, Cheers Shortby someshrenen3
US 100 indexUS 100 index : i think this the sign for starting the retrace the uptrend line. it goes down to the resistance level.Shortby aminrichman3
We could have entered a multiyear bullrunWhile all news are full of devastation and fear of ww3, we could be in the first month of a multiyear bullrunLongby traderbonk3
Possible Significant RecoveyThis scenario is VERY tricky, let me explain why it could go either way, drastically. I'll separate the bull/bear ideas. The nasdaq looks like it could bounce off the BB bottom for a decent recovery, but, it's to see what happens tomorrow. Reasons for Bull Rally This month inflation report is cooler. With a lower CPI, markets will anticipate a 50 basis point or 25 basis point hike, meaning a more dovish stance from the Fed. Reasons for Selling This month inflation report is still high or hotter than expected. With a higher CPI, markets will anticipate a 75 basis point or higher hike, meaning a more hawkish stance from the Fed. July 29th Q2 GDP comes in negative, officially putting the US in recession. The negativity possibility is significant. July economic data can break markets like not seen before. This is one to watch. I understand this is the 1M chart, so any move upward will be quick. I don't see markets rising for a few months, but, who knows.by WorldEconomicsUpdated 10
NASDAQ CorrectionNASDAQ strong bearish divergence formed The correction will look like around 500 to 600 points The next strong support 15500 . It will be a great entry point for buyers Other analysts are also suggesting a greater correction till 14500 points but I think in an election year this is not going to be that huge correction but no one knows and who actually knows ? Shortby vortexTradingSolutions2