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Technical Analysis on JD.comJD.com has experienced a strong bearish trend since February 2021, reaching its lowest point in 2024, near the support area of $20, with an overall loss of about 80% of its value. By conducting a volume analysis using the Volume Profile of the entire history, we can see that JD.com was recently rejected from a significant support level, POC 1, around the $25 price zone, also breaking the descending trendline. This provides a strong signal for a potential reversal. In a short time, the stock has reached another important volumetric area, POC 2, which could act as the first resistance level. At this point, we might observe the first reaction of price rejection. Considering the broader momentum, particularly the economic situation in China, the stock may quickly overcome this resistance. If JD.com moves above POC 2, it would likely face few obstacles in reaching the next resistance level (R1) just below $70, given the low trading volume in this price range.
NASDAQ:JD
by Giovanni_Bandini
2
JD.com Stock Jumps in Premarket Trading on $5 Bln Buyback PlanJD.com, (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) one of China’s largest e-commerce giants, made headlines this week with the announcement of a substantial $5 billion share buyback program, effective from September 2024 to August 2027. This move has sent positive ripples through the market, with U.S.-listed shares of JD.com jumping over 4% in premarket trading. But what does this mean for investors, and how does it align with the broader market dynamics? JD.com's Bold Decision JD.com’s decision to implement a $5 billion share repurchase program is a bold signal of confidence from the company’s leadership. The buyback is JD.com's second major repurchase initiative this year, following a $3 billion repurchase in March 2024, which the company fully utilized within just five months. This rapid execution highlights JD.com’s commitment to enhancing shareholder value, even in a challenging economic environment. The timing of this buyback is particularly noteworthy. It comes shortly after Walmart’s decision to sell its entire $3.7 billion stake in JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ), a move that raised concerns about the e-commerce giant’s future in the world’s second-largest economy. The announcement of the buyback has helped mitigate some of these concerns, showcasing JD.com’s robust financial position, supported by a cash reserve of $20.2 billion. Citi analysts, who had anticipated this move, placed JD.com on a 30-day upside Catalyst Watch, citing the company’s aggressive buyback pace as a key factor in maintaining investor interest. The analysts also maintained a "Buy" rating on JD.com, underscoring the stock’s attractive valuation. Technical Analysis: A Mixed Signal for Traders From a technical perspective, JD.com’s stock shows both promise and caution. The stock's recent premarket surge of over 4% is encouraging, but it also reveals underlying concerns. As of Monday’s close, JD.com’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 43.67, placing the stock in a potentially oversold region. This indicates that while the stock has experienced downward pressure, there may be limited buying momentum to sustain a prolonged uptrend. For a sustained bullish reversal, JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) would need to break through key technical levels. The immediate pivot point is at $27.52, a level that, if breached with strong buying volume, could confirm a resurgence in price. However, the stock's current RSI suggests that any bullish momentum might be short-lived unless supported by broader market conditions and positive news flow. The stock is also trading below its 50-day moving average, which typically signals a bearish trend. However, the recent buyback announcement could act as a catalyst for the stock to test this moving average in the coming days. If JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) can sustain its price above this level, it would be a positive signal for long-term investors. Market Context: Navigating a Sluggish Chinese Economy JD.com’s buyback plan comes at a time when China’s retail market is grappling with macroeconomic challenges. The ongoing property slump, consumer spending hesitancy, and employment uncertainties have made it difficult for even the largest players to maintain growth. This is evident from the recent market reaction to PDD Holdings’ earnings report, which wiped $55 billion from its market cap and dragged down other Chinese e-commerce stocks, including JD.com. Despite these challenges, JD.com’s buyback strategy demonstrates the company’s resilience and its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. It also reflects the broader trend among Chinese tech giants, like Alibaba, which announced a $25 billion share buyback earlier this year, to use buybacks as a tool to stabilize stock prices amidst economic uncertainty. Conclusion: A Calculated Bet with Cautious Optimism JD.com’s $5 billion share buyback plan is a calculated bet to instill confidence in the market and support its stock price amid a challenging economic backdrop. For investors, this move signals JD.com’s financial strength and its willingness to reward shareholders, despite external pressures. However, from a technical standpoint, caution is warranted. While the stock’s recent premarket surge is a positive development, the underlying technical indicators suggest that a sustained uptrend may require more robust buying momentum. Investors should keep a close eye on key technical levels, particularly the $27.52 pivot point, and monitor broader market conditions as JD.com navigates the complexities of China’s economic landscape. In summary, JD.com’s buyback plan is a positive fundamental development, but the stock's technical signals urge a cautious approach. Investors with a long-term view may find value in JD.com, but those with a shorter horizon should watch for confirmation of a bullish reversal before committing capital.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by DEXWireNews
38
8/26/24 - $jd - From PDD to JD BABA VIPS8/26/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:JD From PDD to JD BABA VIPS - first, maybe i should stay in my lane and not keep petting the chinese dragon... - ...PDD awful results. eating my rec. sucks. but idk if you can buy this with their telling us 'we're losing share'. it's the more expensive of the bunch and growth is slowing. - meanwhile jd, baba (and vips which is more of a V meme) trade at 5-6x cash-adj. PE's and are growing. buying back stock. - so will be VERY TELLING to see how the non-PDD stonks react in the next few days. i'd suspect the NYSE:WMT sale of NASDAQ:JD should defn be worthy of an eyebrow raise, but the sell off (knock on effect) on NASDAQ:JD is probably more of a flows ( AMEX:KWEB ) situation than more fundamental in nature. - worth keeping an eye out. i opened a 50 bps position in NASDAQ:JD after blowing out of my too-large-of-a-loss NASDAQ:PDD (go read that if you need to know more). however, while i'm going smaller for now bc the flows equation could be a few days effect... i think there will be some dip snatching here. what do you think? V
NASDAQ:JDLong
by VROCKSTAR
JD.com Stock Plummets 10% on Walmart Sellout Key Points: - Walmart to sell its 9.4% stake in JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ), raising up to $3.74 billion. - The move aligns with Walmart’s strategy to focus on its core Chinese operations, including Walmart China and Sam’s Club. - JD.com’s shares plummet over 10% in Hong Kong following the announcement, highlighting the fragility of Chinese tech stocks. Walmart’s Move In a significant strategic shift, Walmart has confirmed its intention to sell its 9.4% stake in Chinese e-commerce giant JD.com. ( NASDAQ:JD ) The decision, which could raise up to $3.74 billion, underscores Walmart's renewed focus on strengthening its core operations in China, specifically its Walmart China and Sam’s Club brands. This move marks the end of an eight-year partnership between the two retail giants, a relationship that was once seen as a gateway for Walmart to tap into China’s burgeoning e-commerce market. Walmart’s decision to divest from JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) comes as part of a broader strategy to redeploy capital towards other priorities. A spokesperson for Walmart told CNBC, "This move allows us to focus on our strong China operations for Walmart China and Sam’s Club, and deploy capital towards other priorities." Despite the sale, Walmart emphasized its commitment to maintaining a commercial relationship with JD.com, reflecting the value both companies have seen in their partnership over the years. Impact on JD.com The announcement had an immediate and severe impact on JD.com’s stock price. Shares of JD.com plummeted over 10% in Hong Kong and fell 9.5% in after-hours trading in the U.S., making it the largest loser on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index. The sharp decline highlights the vulnerability of Chinese tech stocks, which have been battered by market volatility and economic uncertainties. The sale of Walmart’s stake in JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) is being priced between $24.85 and $25.85 per share, representing a discount of up to 11.8% compared to JD.com’s closing price in the U.S. on Tuesday. This pricing strategy signals the challenges JD.com faces in maintaining investor confidence amid a rapidly changing economic landscape in China. The End of an Era Walmart first acquired a 5% stake in JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) in 2016, entering into a strategic alliance that was expected to benefit both companies. For Walmart, the partnership was a way to tap into China’s fast-growing e-commerce market, while JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) gained access to Walmart’s extensive retail expertise and global supply chain. Over the years, Walmart increased its stake in JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ), reaching 9.4% by March 31, 2023, with over 289 million shares. However, the economic environment in China has shifted dramatically since the partnership began. The once-promising alliance has delivered diminishing returns as JD.com struggled to maintain its growth trajectory amid a challenging market environment for Chinese tech companies. JD.com’s recent earnings results for the June quarter showed only a 1.2% growth in revenue, reflecting the difficulties the company faces in sustaining its momentum. The company's market value has halved since early 2022, a stark indication of the challenges it now faces. Walmart’s Future in China Walmart’s decision to sell its stake in JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) reflects a broader trend among multinational corporations to reassess their investments in China amid growing economic and regulatory challenges. By focusing on its core Chinese operations, Walmart aims to strengthen its position in the country’s retail market, particularly through its Walmart China and Sam’s Club brands, which continue to perform well. The sale of JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) shares will provide Walmart with significant capital that can be redeployed to enhance its retail operations in China, invest in new technologies, and pursue other strategic priorities. While the sale marks the end of an era for Walmart and JD.com, it also signals a new phase for both companies as they navigate the complexities of China’s evolving market. Technical Outlook At the time of this writing, shares of JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) are experiencing a notable decline, having dropped 7.9% during the premarket trading session on Wednesday. This decline has resulted in a relatively weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 48, which suggests some underlying weakness in the stock's momentum. When examining the daily price chart, there is a distinct gap down that has formed, signaling a robust bearish reversal pattern, which raises concerns for investors. Should the stock price continue to depreciate and fall below its one-month low, this movement could trigger a considerable amount of selling pressure from traders and investors alike, potentially resulting in further erosion of JD.com’s stock value. Moreover, it is important to note that JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) is currently trading below its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Moving Averages (MA), which further consolidates a bearish outlook for the stock. This positioning below these crucial moving averages is often interpreted by market participants as a sign of ongoing weakness, leading to a lack of investor confidence and potentially prompting more sellers to enter the market. The combination of these factors paints a challenging picture for JD.com as it navigates these troubling market conditions. Conclusion Walmart’s decision to sell its stake in JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) is a calculated move that reflects the company’s strategic priorities and the shifting economic landscape in China. As JD.com ( NASDAQ:JD ) faces increasing challenges in maintaining its growth, Walmart’s focus on strengthening its core Chinese operations could position the retail giant for sustained success in one of the world’s most dynamic markets. The implications of this sale will be closely watched by investors and market analysts as both companies chart their respective futures in a rapidly changing environment.
NASDAQ:JDShort
by DEXWireNews
JD.com Shares Surge 5.7% as Earnings Beat ExpectationsJD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) shares experienced a significant uptick, climbing 5.7% on Friday after the Chinese e-commerce giant reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings. The company’s impressive performance was driven by strategic price cuts that successfully attracted cost-conscious consumers, despite a challenging economic environment in China. Earnings Boost Amidst a Competitive Landscape For the quarter ending June 30, JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) reported a 92% year-over-year increase in net income, reaching 12.64 billion yuan (approximately $1.77 billion). This surge in profitability comes despite a modest revenue growth of just 1.5% to 257 billion yuan. The results highlight JD.com's ability to maintain its profitability even as China’s e-commerce sector faces intense competition and sluggish consumer spending. JD.com’s Chief Financial Officer, Ian Su Shan, attributed the strong financial performance to the company's focus on enhancing price competitiveness through a disciplined supply chain approach, rather than relying heavily on subsidies. This strategy has not only helped JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) maintain its market position but also led to a substantial increase in gross margin by 137 basis points, reaching a record 15.8% in the quarter. The Surge in Share Price: A Closer Look Friday’s 5.7% surge in JD.com’s share price was a welcome relief for investors, especially considering the stock had been down 8% year-to-date and 28% over the past 12 months. The positive market reaction underscores investors’ confidence in JD.com’s ability to navigate the challenges of a weakened Chinese consumer market. However, this rapid price increase has pushed JD.com’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) to 66, suggesting the stock is approaching overbought territory. The Relative Strenght Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, indicates that a reading above 70 typically signals overbought conditions, potentially leading to a price correction. With the current RSI at 66, investors should be cautious as the stock flirts with this critical threshold. Navigating a Weak Consumer Market JD.com’s strong quarterly results come at a time when major Chinese e-commerce players, including Alibaba, are grappling with a slowdown in consumer spending. Alibaba’s latest earnings also reflected this trend, with revenue from its China platforms showing minimal growth. This has led to a highly competitive environment, with e-commerce platforms like JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ), Alibaba, and Pinduoduo fiercely battling for the attention of increasingly value-conscious consumers. Despite these challenges, JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) has managed to differentiate itself by focusing on next-day delivery and higher-priced products, leveraging its in-house logistics capabilities. This approach has resonated with a segment of Chinese consumers who value convenience and quality, helping JD.com maintain its market share amidst the broader economic slowdown. What’s Next for JD.com? As JD.com’s ability to sustain its recent momentum will be closely watched. The recent surge in share price, while encouraging, raises questions about the sustainability of this rally, especially given the approaching overbought conditions indicated by the RSI. For now, JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ) remains a formidable player in China’s e-commerce sector, with a proven ability to adapt to changing market conditions. However, investors should remain vigilant, keeping an eye on both the stock’s technical indicators and the broader economic environment in China. In conclusion, while JD.com’s latest earnings report and subsequent stock price surge are positive signs, the current RSI level suggests caution may be warranted. The company’s focus on price competitiveness and logistics efficiency has paid off, but with the stock nearing overbought territory, a period of consolidation or even a pullback could be on the horizon. Investors will need to weigh the potential for continued gains against the risks of a market correction as they consider their positions in JD.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:JD ).
NASDAQ:JDLong
by DEXWireNews
JD.com (JD) Is a Strategic Buy for Discerning InvestorsIn the dynamic and rapidly evolving landscape of global e-commerce, JD.com (NASDAQ: JD) has emerged as a dominant force, particularly in the Chinese market. For investors who align with the advanced methodologies of DiamondTradingOfficial, JD.com presents a compelling investment opportunity. This opportunity is grounded in the company’s strong fundamentals, strategic market positioning, and technical indicators that suggest significant upside potential Dominant Market Position and Strategic Growth JD.com is one of the largest e-commerce platforms in China, second only to Alibaba. What sets JD apart from its competitors is its vertically integrated logistics network, which allows the company to control the entire supply chain—from warehousing to delivery. This infrastructure not only ensures rapid and reliable delivery but also creates a formidable barrier to entry for potential competitors. This level of control and efficiency is a key factor in JD’s strong market position, akin to possessing an "economic moat," a concept central to value investing. Moreover, JD.com’s focus on technology-driven growth further enhances its competitive advantage. The company has heavily invested in AI, big data, and robotics to streamline operations and improve customer experience. These investments are beginning to pay off, with JD’s technology and services segment showing rapid growth. As China’s economy continues to recover and consumer spending rebounds, JD.com is well-positioned to capture a significant share of the market. Robust Financial Health and Valuation Metrics JD.com’s financial performance underscores its long-term potential. Despite the macroeconomic challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic and regulatory pressures in China, JD.com has consistently delivered strong revenue growth. The company’s ability to maintain healthy profit margins while expanding its market share highlights its operational efficiency and strategic foresight. From a valuation perspective, JD.com is currently trading at a discount relative to its intrinsic value. The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is notably lower than its historical average and the broader e-commerce industry, suggesting that the stock is undervalued. This discrepancy between market price and intrinsic value is precisely the type of opportunity that DiamondTradingOfficial’s proprietary algorithms are designed to identify. By employing a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, it becomes evident that JD.com’s future earnings potential, driven by its dominant market position and technological investments, is not fully reflected in its current stock price. This creates a substantial margin of safety for investors—a principle that is fundamental to value investing. Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment Advanced technical analysis further supports the case for JD.com as a strategic buy. The stock has recently shown signs of strong support at key levels, indicating that it is likely undervalued and poised for a rebound. Technical indicators such as the relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) suggest that JD.com is in a position to experience upward momentum, making it an attractive entry point for investors. Furthermore, sentiment analysis reveals a growing consensus among institutional investors that JD.com is undervalued and ripe for a turnaround. As regulatory concerns in China begin to ease and the company continues to expand its technological capabilities, the market is likely to re-rate JD.com’s stock, leading to potential price appreciation. Conclusion JD.com represents a unique investment opportunity for strategic investors who prioritize value, growth, and advanced market analysis. The company’s dominant position in the Chinese e-commerce market, coupled with its strong financial performance and significant market mispricing, makes it an ideal candidate for long-term investment. When viewed through the lens of DiamondTradingOfficial’s advanced trading principles, JD.com emerges as a stock with not only the potential for substantial appreciation but also the technical support for sustained upward momentum. For investors who adhere to the principles of value investing and advanced technical analysis, JD.com is not just a good stock to buy—it is a strategic imperative in the global e-commerce landscape.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by DiamondTradingOfficial
2
JD.com (JD): Key Levels to Watch for Potential ReversalJD.com has seen the expected drop towards the High Volume Node and Point of Control (POC) on the daily and three-day charts, between $27.50 and $26.80. Now, the price is falling further, and we think the lowest it could go is $24.65. This area is about $1 wide, and if it goes below that, it might drop to $20. Current Situation: The current situation shows the main support levels between $27.50 and $26.80. We believe the maximum downside is around $24.65. If it drops below this level, it could fall to $20. This support area is important because a lot of trading happened here, so it’s a key level to watch. Possible Scenarios: There are two possible scenarios: a continued decline or a bullish reversal. If the price keeps dropping, it's best to wait until we see some signs of strength. If it falls below $24.65, it could go down to $20. For the price to go up again, JD.com needs to get back above the resistance between $35 and $38. This would show a possible upward trend. Strategy: Our plan is to wait to see if the price shows some strength in the current support area. If it keeps falling, we should avoid entering the market. We need to keep an eye on the $24.65 level for any signs of a bigger drop. Also, watch if the price goes back above $35-$38 to signal a possible upward move. We are closely watching the current support area and will wait for signs of strength before making any decisions. We won't be catching falling knives at the moment, and if the price drops below $24.65, we expect it to fall towards $20. On the other hand, if it goes above $35-$38, it might start a bullish trend.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Long China: For Now $JDThe Hang Seng Index (HSI) breached its 200 Day Moving Average (orange) last week but it still faces some resistance from a 3 year downtrend line (aqua). I am anticipating a breakout for Chinese equities and my favorite chart so far is JD.com (JD) which has breached its 200 Day Moving Average with decent volume and a bullish engulfing weekly close. First target would be the 3 year downtrend line (aqua) at $37. After hitting the first target we will implement a trailing stop loss strategy at $34. The goal is to keep all profits but also play the larger breakout above the downtrend line (aqua). Second Target would be a gap fill around $51 see chart here NASDAQ:JD Stop Loss: $28 Profit Target 1: $37 Trailing Stop: $34 Profit Target 2: $51
NASDAQ:JDLong
by johnwicksaidso93z7xy
Bullish*Break and Retest Macro Structure of 29-28.50 *Daily Golden Cross *Golden Pocket Retracement *3rd Touch of Recent Daily Uptrend *Inverse H&S Reversal Pattern from Lows Trade Idea: I would like to see JD base in this golden pocket and consolidate sideways into the 3rd touch of the recent Daily uptrend. If it holds above 28-28.50 the macro higher low on the is still in tact. Overall, there are too many bullish confluences on the Daily TF to ignore. I would like to see a daily close above the 20EMA for long entry validation. High risk entry is here in this demand before daily confirmation is shown. I am in leaps.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by K1NG_TRAD1NG
1
JD.com (JD): Key Levels to Watch Amid Potential BreakoutFor the Chinese stock JD.com listed on the Nasdaq, we observe a significant pattern. Initially, we had a prolonged sideways movement that concluded with an initial surge, establishing the current resistance zone. This zone held twice before the price fell through. Starting from point X in our Elliott Wave count in November 2018, we saw a rapid increase of approximately 470% in a short period. However, this was followed by a steep sell-off, leading to the formation of Wave (2) within a trend channel. The correction's time horizon places it in the perfect zone, typically between 2 and 2.618 on the higher time frame, which is a good indicator that this could indeed be Wave (2). To continue the upward movement, it is crucial for JD.com to flip this resistance zone. The current question is whether the price will first return to the High-Volume Node Point of Control (POC) or break out upwards directly. Flipping the support-resistance zone will be key for any significant upward momentum. We'll be closely monitoring these levels to determine the next move. Zooming in on the 12-hour timeframe, we can observe the scenario at the end of the assumed Wave (2). This pattern is characteristic of what we like to see at the conclusion of Wave 2. Initially, we experienced an accumulation phase, which transitioned into a manipulation phase, followed by an expansion phase. This sequence is generally a positive sign. Currently, we are witnessing a pullback after touching the resistance level. Despite this, we maintain our outlook that the price should continue to rise and not retest the $20 mark. There's a breakout gap that partially filled but remains open near the bottom. This gap formed just before we entered the expansion phase, and it's a critical point to consider. Given the ongoing volatility in the Chinese market and the uncertainty among investors, we remain cautious. We are closely watching how JD.com behaves within the $24.50 to $26.80 range. With a drop towards the gap close near $21, we will consider making significant buys. If the price breaks out upwards, we will look for opportunities to enter positions.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
3