MARA trade ideas
Graphic and fundamental analysis of Marathon (MARA)1. Graphical Analysis
Since the all-time high, the price has dropped 99% on March 16, 2020 in the pandemic crisis.
It then rose 23000% reaching the peak on November 15, 2021, exactly one year ago.
However, it was insufficient to recover the historic maximum.
It is now in a definition region.
It needs to break the psychological resistance of $10 and after $20 to re-up in a macro trend.
2. Fundamental Analysis
2.1. Earns per Share
"EPS stands for earnings per share. Investors use EPS to measure how much money a company makes for every outstanding share the company has. Diluted EPS is slightly different in that it measures the earnings per share for a company if all convertible securities (such as preferred stocks, convertible debt instruments, stock options and warrants) were used to calculate the metric.
Diluted earnings per share provides a picture of the true shareholder base and how the company's earnings are distributed. Diluted EPS is an important metric for shareholders because it determines the profit shareholders will receive in a scenario that includes all securities from preferred stocks to stock options and warrants."
The fundamental indicator remains stable below zero, only reiterating the absence of profit most of the time.
2.2. Net Income
"Net Income shows how much money a company earns after expenses. Net Income represents the amount of money a company earns after all operating expenses, interest, taxes and dividends on preferred shares have been paid for. If Net Income is negative, it means that a company spent more money than it earned In other words, they lost money.
Net income shows investors if a company is profitable or not. When a company can earn more money than it spends, it’s net income is positive. These profits can potentially be distributed to shareholders through dividends, buybacks, or investment back into the company. However, it's important to remember that companies use different methods to determine Net Income depending on their location and earnings report."
The good news is that the damage is reduced.
2.3. Net Debt
"Net Debt represents the amount of debt that would remain after a company had paid off as much debt as possible with its liquid assets. This financial metric shows how well the company can handle its current obligations and if it has the ability to take on more debt in the future.
Net Debt can be calculated as Total Debt minus Cash & Short Term Investments".
The remaining debt got worse.
2.4. Free Cash Flow
"Free Cash Flow (FCF) represents the cash that a company generates as a result of its activities, excluding on expenses assets. Free Cash Flow is sometimes considered the hardest financial metric to fake because of its calculation and for that reason, it's a popular financial metric in the investor community.
Free Cash Flow signals a company's ability to pay debts and dividends, repurchase shares and contribute to business growth."
The value fluctuated from 20 million to 2 million, but at least it remains positive.
2.5. Total Equity
"Total Equity is what's left after subtracting total liabilities from total assets. It represents the amount that belongs to the joint-stock company. It includes Shareholders' Equity and Minority Interest.
Total Equity is important because it represents the value of the investor's share in the securities or company. Investors who own shares in a company are usually interested in the equity of the company represented by their shares."
The value did not undergo a small downward swing.
2.6. P/E Ratio
"The Price to earnings ratio measures the market price of a stock relative to its earnings per share. This metric shows how much profits are willing to pay for the company the company generates.
A high price to earnings ratio and a low price to earnings ratio can mean different things. Some investors believe that a high price to earnings ratio means a company is becoming expensive and possibly overvalued. A low price to earnings ratio may mean that a company is undervalued or cheap. Of course, this is not always true as sometimes a company has a high price to earnings ratio because it is growing fast and expected to grow into its high price to earnings ratio."
The value did not suffer major fluctuations. It remains stable below zero, reflecting the absence of profit.
2.7. P/CF Ratio
"Price to operating cash flow is the ratio of the share price to operating cash flow. Essentially, Price to operating cash flow measures how much money a company generates relative to its share price.
Price to cash flow is considered to be a more indicative investment measurement metric than Price to earnings per share because cash flows cannot be manipulated as easily as incomes. Some companies seem unprofitable due to large non-cash expenses, even if they have positive cash flows."
The value has remained relatively stable and positive since March 2021.
MARA - Dump May Provide Buy OpportunitySince the local high MARA has looked more impulsive to the downside and I was previously looking to buy in the area it is now as it was my preferred retracement area.
But now it it moving with momentum I dont want it here and think it is printing some kind of zig-zag down.
So now taking the 3 previous pivots a fib extension could see MARA reverse at the 1:1 : $7.74 or the 1.618 @ $5.01 .
Both look quit promising with other confluent landmarks.
The 1:1 target would fill the gap that for some time I have been saying will fill (see linked thread) much to the dismay of the odd fanboy humpty dumpty.
The 1:618 would see MARA re-test the long term 1.272 taking the 3 major pivots from the top and could potentially see a double bottom reversal.
If stocks and crypto bottom out MARA is going to go bananas.
Judging momentum will be the key to hopefully unlocking this puzzle.
trend zones dont lie 🔭recently saw a perfect bounce from trend support zone that goes back to 2020, but now at trend resistance zone that goes back to half a year ago.
will start to target long scalps if it can break resistance, still holding some free longterm shares after scaling out at 80 a long time ago 💪 diamond hands on those until 150-200
Bitcoin comparisonBitcoin comparison 9/1 - 10/19
BTC/USD
BITO
MARA
HUT
MSTR
RIOT
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet
7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation
7 Important tools:
Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big, organized desk
Reading books, playing chess
Sorted watch-list
Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
Fibonacci MA7 - price
pi RSI - trend momentum
TTC - trend channel
AlertiT - notification
tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator
www.tradingview.com
$MARA long entry 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
This afternoon my team purchased shares of digital mining bitcoin company Marathon digital $MARA at $10.75 per share. Our take profit is $24. We also have a stop loss at $9.75
This covers our crypto exposure for our portfolio which consists of the following stocks: $AERC, $MIRM, $BABA, $NIO, $TUP and now $MARA! We will likely be holding this bunch until our take profits are reached or the end of the year!
Our Entry: $10.75
Take Profit: $24
Stop Loss: $9.75
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Market Update 10/5/22TIMESTAMPS:
________________________________________
Intro 0:00
APPL Today's Movements 0:55
NASDAQ Quick 2:35
BTC Quick 3:43
DXY Being Weird 4:27
APPL Talking opening Targets 6:50
Possible VIX Concerns 11:30
USD/WTI 13:48
Hang Seng 16:28
________________________________________
I will see you tomorrow at 9:30
September 30, 2022 - Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. - MARA - This is a quick update on my investment in Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. -
This video shares my experience trading MARA as a retail investor.
The markets have shown to be quite volatile in the past weeks and many people are speculating that due to inflation, negative GDP growth and the FED's policies along with the repercussions of COVID lock down and the UKRAINE war with RUSSIA has led to an unstable stock market and higher energy and food costs to the average individual around the world.
To combat this, I think it is a great skill to learn how to make $ trading stocks, crypto, ETF's and options.
Of course, there are risks involved and this is not financial advice.
I am simply providing my experience trading MARA - note I have already made profits in the past on this stock, and I started investing in MARA at $6.50.
Please smash the boost button if you like this content and I will continue providing updates on my position.
Mathon Digital - Quick Market Update - BTCThis is a quick update on my position with Marathon Digial - MARA.
I am continuing to be bullish on the position and can see it reaching as high as $15 - $ 18 in the next 4 - 8 weeks.
I am currently swing trading MARA so I will sell my position at between 11.50 and 14.00.
Currently if you see the price dip to below $10 I would place STRONG BUY for this stock.
I hope you enjoy this content and feel free to leave a comment.
I look forward to sharing my experience as a retail investment trader.
MARA - MARATHON DIGITAL - DO YOU SEE WHAT I SEE?This video provides an update to my last analysis on Marathon Digital and also provides an update on the performance of BITCOIN.
Please leave a comment below on where you believe MARA stock price will be heading to.
I hope you enjoy the stream.
I am looking forward to sharing my journey as a retail stock trader.
Head and Shoulders Trading Short Selling MARAShort Selling MARA.
All information is on the Chart. Head and Shoulders is a measured move.
Entry: 10.70
Stop: 14
Take Profit: 5.50.
Successful Investing is the ability to manage risk and foresee possible opportunities in the near or further future, prepare ourselves and take the risk when the opportunity presents itself.
Invest safe and Happy trading.
As always, appreciate the like, comments and share.
Blockchain Companies: Expectation vs RealityCryptocurrency bubble?
When analyzing the financial data of companies in the blockchain/cryptoassets area, more specifically the EPS (Earnings per Share), we can see a huge discrepancy between expectation and reality.
It should be noted that some of these companies have never made a profit during their entire existence, and have negative cash flow.
The question is: to what extent has the market already priced in these negative results?
Would there be more room to fall?
Below is the concept of EPS, and shortly after a snapshot of the current EPS versus expected EPS, from the main companies in the cryptocurrency and blockchain area.
I'm not optimistic about this data, unless there's something that only I didn't see.
What is basic EPS?
Earnings per Share is the amount of earnings per share of issued, ordinary shares. When companies report financial results, earnings per share is one of the most commonly measured metrics.
(TradingView)
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Companies analyzed:
Marathon
Riot Blockchain
Hut 8 Mining
Coinbase
Bitfarms
BitNile
CleanSpark
Core Scientific
Argo Blockchain
Canaan
Hive Blockchain
Digital Bit
Galaxy Digital
BIT Mining
Valour
Ebang
Greenidge
Iren
The Blockchain Group
TeraWulf
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ETFs analyzed:
Proshares Bitcoin Strategy
Grayscale Ethereum Trust
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust