MCHP โ 30-Min Long Trade Setup!๐
๐น Ticker: MCHP (NASDAQ)
๐น Setup: Falling Wedge Breakout + Oversold Bounce
๐ธ Breakout Zone: ~$40.74 (yellow zone breakout)
๐ Trade Plan (Long Position)
โ
Entry Zone: $40.60โ$40.80
โ
Stop Loss (SL): Below $39.08 (white key level)
โ
Take Profit Targets:
๐ TP1: $43.27 (red zone โ resistance shelf)
๐ TP2: $46.10 (green zone โ gap-fill target)
๐ Risk-Reward Breakdown
๐ Risk:
$40.74 - $39.08 = $1.66
๐ Reward to TP1:
$43.27 - $40.74 = $2.53 โ 1.52:1 R/R
๐ Reward to TP2:
$46.10 - $40.74 = $5.36 โ 3.22:1 R/R
๐ Technical Highlights
Oversold bounce with bullish reversal candle
Falling wedge breakout forming
Yellow zone reclaim signals strength
Heavy sell-off likely overextended = high bounce potential
โ๏ธ Trade Management
๐ After TP1:
โ Move SL to breakeven
โ Book partial gains
๐ Let rest run to TP2 with trailing stop under rising support
โ ๏ธ Invalidation Triggers
โ Break and close below $39.08
โ Rejection with heavy volume at yellow zone
โ Bearish engulfing back into wedge range
MCHP trade ideas
MCHP โ 30-Min Long Trade Setup!๐
๐น Ticker: MCHP (NASDAQ)
๐น Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
๐น Setup Type: Falling Trendline Break + Support Reclaim
๐ธ Breakout Price: ~$48.47
๐ Trade Plan (Long Position)
โ
Entry Zone: $48.40โ$48.50 (bullish breakout + yellow resistance zone retest)
โ
Stop Loss (SL): Below $47.62 (white support zone โ structure low)
โ
Take Profit Targets:
๐ TP1: $49.63 (red line โ minor resistance/supply zone)
๐ TP2: $50.81 (green line โ previous high / major resistance)
๐ Risk-Reward Ratio
๐ Risk per Share:
$48.47 - $47.62 = $0.85
๐ Reward to TP1:
$49.63 - $48.47 = $1.16 โ 1.36:1 R/R
๐ Reward to TP2:
$50.81 - $48.47 = $2.34 โ 2.75:1 R/R
๐ Technical Confluence
๐ Falling Trendline (pink): Finally broken with volume picking up
๐ Demand Zone Support: Bounce from ~$47.60, confirming buyers stepped in
๐ Yellow Zone: Acts as breakout retest + confirmation trigger
๐ Volume Observation: Look for volume continuation above yellow zone
โ๏ธ Execution & Risk Management
๐ After TP1 Hit:
โ Move SL to breakeven
โ Book 50% profits
๐ Let the rest ride to TP2
๐ Use a trailing stop method above each support level
โ ๏ธ Invalidation Signals
โ Close below $47.62
โ Breakout without follow-through
โ Sharp rejection from yellow zone = fakeout risk
๐ฆ
Final Thoughts
โ Textbook reversal pattern
โ Strong structure + tight risk = smart setup
โ High potential for upside as market reclaims control
Bullish Re-Entry on MCHP โ Strong Support & Long-Term TrendIโve gone bullish on NASDAQ:MCHP once again, making this the third entry after being stopped out twice recently. Last Friday, I re-entered because the stock is in a strong, long-term bullish trend and currently holding at a key support level . Volume has also increased , showing renewed interest, and with the all-time high ( ATH ) not far off, there's strong potential for upside. This trade is structured with a 1:18 risk/reward ratio for an optimal setup.
MCHP Bullish Setup โ 1:25 R:R with 3 Consecutive Doji CandlesNASDAQ:MCHP has arrived at a key historical support level, and weโve now seen 3 consecutive doji candles, indicating indecision but a potential bullish reversal. The stock remains in a long-term uptrend, with the all-time high (ATH) not far off.
Increased volume suggests renewed buying pressure, offering an excellent 1:25 risk-to-reward ratio if support holds. After my stop was triggered this month, Iโve bought back in, confident in the strength of this setup.
This analysis is supported by the invite-only Trend Recognition Indicator by PattRec .
Long trading idea on $MCHPLong trading idea on NASDAQ:MCHP
Reasons to buy:
The stock has arrived at a strong support level, maintaining its long-term uptrend.
We're not far from the all-time high (ATH), offering a favorable risk/reward ratio of 1:18 until ATH.
Increased volume and the formation of a doji signal a potential reversal after a recent downturn.
Strategy: Partial take profits can be placed before reaching ATH, with the rest held for a longer-term target beyond ATH. Looks like a solid opportunity!
MCHP Long Setup: Oversold Rebound w/ Rising Volatility & VolumeMicrochip Technology (MCHP) is presenting a promising long opportunity for a temporary rebound, supported by three strong technical factors:
Slow Stochastic in Extreme Oversold Territory : The indicator is below 20, signaling excessive selling pressure, often linked to potential short-term recoveries.
Rising Volatility Index (LSVI) : The significant increase in volatility suggests the market is entering a phase of larger price movements, increasing the probability of a sharper rebound.
Increasing Volume with Reduced Decline: Recent candles show higher trading volume accompanied by a slowing rate of decline, indicating potential buyer activity and a technical correction from the recent sharp drop.
With the price near a critical support zone and a target identified at $65.00 (10% gain), this setup offers a compelling risk-reward ratio for short-term traders. If the price crosses above the red line, it may reach $71.00 (20% gain).
Watching for confirmations such as a %K/%D crossover on the Slow Stoch and sustained buying volume will be key to validating this thesis.
Disclaimer : Always manage risk carefully, particularly in high-volatility environments.
MCHP - JULY 24 MATrend Sustainable Momentumsubmitted MCHP's order before market open. Stock dropped significantly as the broader market was already falling.
I closed the trade early as per plan as tomorrow is the release of the GDP report (High impact)
MATrend Sustainable Momentum (Systematic) ๐
This is a variant of the Unsustainable strategy. System identifies stocks (Tech sector) that follows the larger market regime's momentum of the day.
MCHP - May 24 (MATREND v1.6)Entered Short MCHP based on the 29 May signal. This is a good exploration probe because if price breaks the resistance we should see some good downward movement.
Regime Indicator: Bearish
v1.6
Exit rule tweaked to Daily 10SMA
Calibrated entry specs, to slightly loosen up the Stoploss
atr_x = 2.5
entry_atr_xfactor = 3.7
-----
This is a simple systematic Trend strategy where entry is based on two conditions
1. Price crossing over the EMA
2. The present ATR is less than an ATR multiple
The ATR condition allows us to enter trades that has not gapped too much as that usually results in a price pullback
Risk
Fixed & tight SL based on ATR multiples closes trades fast
Closing of the trades is a simple price cross over the daily SMA
This strategy only has a 34.38% win rate. So most trades will end up as losers until we hit a strong upswing.
MCHP Ascending triangle breakoutReasons for bullish bias:
- Ascending triangle breakout
- Price broke All time high
- Strong resistance breakout
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 100.40
Stop Loss Level: 91.77
Take Profit Level 1: 109.03
Take Profit Level 2: 117.66
Take Profit Level 3: Open
๐๐ง Microchip Technology (MCHP) Analysis ๐๐ป๐ Company Overview:
Microchip Technology, a global developer and manufacturer of smart and secure control solutions.
๐ Current Market Condition:
Navigating a cyclical downturn as acknowledged by its management.
๐ Temporary Downturn:
Despite challenges, indications suggest Microchip's downturn is temporary.
Expected return to growth in the future.
๐ Historical Profitability:
Demonstrated remarkable ability to maintain high profitability throughout its history.
๐ฅ CEO Perspective:
CEO Ganesh Moorthy anticipates a cycle similar to the rush to buy chips two years ago.
Forecasts an average annual revenue growth of 10% to 15% through fiscal year 2026.
๐ Market Analysis:
Bullish outlook on Microchip Technology (MCHP).
Suggested entry above the $80.00-$81.00 range.
๐ฏ Upside Target:
Upside target set in the $124.00-$126.00 range.
๐ฃ Conclusion:
Microchip's history of profitability and CEO's confidence in future growth contribute to a positive outlook.
Entry suggestion and upside target align with potential industry rebound.
Stay informed for evolving market trends! ๐ฐ๐น #MicrochipTechnology #MCHPAnalysis #MarketWatch ๐๐
MCHP, Uptrend based on AlgoSignal StrategyThe current point exhibits promising upward signals according to my algorithmic system, meeting various criteria. These include rising trading volume, an upward trend indicated by prices above EMA20 and EMA50, and the closing price surpassing VWAP. As a result, the present conditions suggest a potential upward trend.
$MCHP Ready to Break Downtrend?NASDAQ:MCHP is heavy into automotive chips along with many other industries as well. When looking at the chart I see that we have a longer-term double bottom formation that put into play an Undercut and Rally on Nov 2nd, which was the earnings date. That is technically still in play.
It looks like it will break out of the downtrend line today where I have an alert. I like the accumulation volume before and after earnings. NASDAQ:MCHP has regained the faster moving averages but is still below the 50 DMA in red and the 40-week MA in white. The MACD turned up just 3 days ago.
Lastly, NASDAQ:MCHP has either been reiterated or upgraded to either โBuyโ or โOutperformโ by at least 4 different analysts in the last few days. The average price target is $101.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
Microchip Technology Incorporated at support levelMicrochips are ever needed for hardware development companies so Microchip Technology Incorporated is pretty sure investment especially as MCHP is at 10 months up slopping support line now - best moment for accumulation.
Recommended entry price: 77.50
Target price 1: 89.00
Target price 2: 100.00
Stop loss: 75.00
Microchip (MCHP): Next mover; big base breakout watchThis is a copy&paste from a Bank of America Global Research Note:
"MCHP is a semiconductor devices stock that is forming late 2021 into mid 2023 big base. A decisive breakout above resistance at 87-88 and the late 2021 high a 90 would confirm this bullish setup and favor further upside to pattern counts at 104 and 120. Until then, rising 13, 26 and 40-week MAs near 79 to 75 underpin this bullish setup ahead of chart support at 71-70. MCHP is also building a big base relative to the SPX, which is bullish."
SasanSeifi ๐โโ๏ธMCHP/ 1D โญ $85 ? OR NEW HIGH ?๐ค LET'S SEEโโโHI TRADERS โThe possible scenario of MCHP is specified.As you can see, it is an upward trend from the range of $55. It is currently in the range of $82. We can expect that the price will grow to the range of $85 if it stabilizes above the support range of $79/$77. According to the formed HIGH and LOW, if the trend is still upward, the possibility of a new HIGH in the long-term view can be considered. We have to see how the price will react to the $85 resistance range.
Note that price stabilization above the $90 range is very important for a new HIGH.
let's see...
โ (DYOR)...โ โ
WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS ANALYSIS? I will be glad to know your idea ๐โ
IF you like my analysis please LIKE and comment ๐โ