MSFT trade ideas
Msft sell off set upNot financial Advice, Red Boxes are best places to retest in the short to the long term, consider profit taking based on risk taste. Will do a light rebound at each red box hits to scalp the upside.
Top 3 AI stocks NOT to buy now | Stock Market Price Level Guide - QQQ and SPY still complete full bull control cant remember the last time bears confirm a hourly downtrend.
- TSLA relative weaker to QQQ today
- AAPL and MSFT lead bull leading the market today, ALL time highs
- GOOGL and AMZN weaker of the techs today
- NVDA also weaker with double top from yesterday
- im shorting SOXX so buying SOXS and would like to see AVGO AMD NVDA potentially fall here, if not ill stop out small from todays highs sideways range.
MSFT Gann study. Trend is healthy.As long as Microsoft is above the 1x1 line the current trend is intact. If we come to far away from it I would expect a rebound. As long as we dich to the 1x1 Gann angle all good.
Microsoft Technologies CorporationIt's important to note that Elliott Wave Theory can be subjective, and interpretations can vary among analysts. It's also worth mentioning that Elliott Wave analysis should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and factors such as fundamental analysis and market conditions to make well-informed investment decisions.
Regards
MSFT AnalysisPrice played out exactly as analyzed last week. Price gave a bearish retracement, tapped into the bullish POI at 322.72 before reacting to the upside. From here, price actions seem to be consolidating with indecision candles on the top. Price could potentially go lower from here and invalidate the bullish POI. If price fails to break above 338.56, we will see a bearish move coming.
Preserving Your Capital Like A ChampIn the world of trading, effective trading capital management can mean the difference between success and failure. We cannot stress enough how critical this aspect is to long-term success. Today we will delve into the importance of managing your trading capital, the various strategies employed by many successful traders, and how you can implement these techniques to safeguard your investment and maximize profits.
Understanding the Importance of Trading Capital Management
Trading capital refers to the amount of money allotted for the purpose of trading your desired market. Proper management of trading capital is crucial for traders, as it helps them minimize losses and in turn, maximize profits. In essence, trading capital management is all about striking the right balance between taking risks and preserving your hard-earned money.
One key aspect that differentiates successful traders from gamblers is their mindset. Gamblers tend to chase big wins, hoping for a life-changing payout, while traders focus on consistently generating small, predictable returns over the long term. Don’t get us wrong, big wins can and do happen, and they feel great when they do. Think of trading as a really long boxing match. It's rare and impractical for a boxer to believe they can knock out their opponent by flying out of a corner with no defense and going straight for a haymaker each time. The foundation for success takes many consistent jabs, and an unwavering defense, much like trading. Traders who want to be long-term successful will prioritize risk management and capital preservation, ensuring that they can continue trading even after incurring losses so they can pursue consistent profits.
The Struggle is Real For New Traders
New traders often find difficulty in managing their trading capital effectively. This is primarily due to their focus on making profits rather than minimizing risks. The desire to make money can lead to taking unnecessary risks, which can result in significant losses. It is crucial to remember that every loss must be recovered through a profitable trade to regain lost ground. So why not implement strategies that mitigate that lost ground in the first place?
Strategies To Adopt for Long-Term Success
So, what are some of the techniques that successful traders use to optimize their chances of consistent profits in the markets? Here are a few suggestions to improve your trading capital management:
Implementing Stop-Loss Orders
Always trade with a stop-loss. There are countless ways to implement a stop-loss, and we covered this in great detail in a previous article that is linked below. A stop-loss order allows you to specify a price at which your trade will be automatically closed if the market moves against you. This is the most practical and easily enactable capital management technique you can use. Some would consider trading without a stop-loss to be one of the cardinal sins of trading, as it prevents you from managing risk effectively.
Utilizing Reward Risk Ratios (RRR)
Every trade carries the risk of making a loss. Successful traders assess their potential trade risk and potential reward before entering a position. Utilizing reward-to-risk ratios may seem complicated, but it doesn't have to be. Many traders will often aim for a reward that is twice their risk or a ratio of 2 to 1. So in theory for every $1 you risk you aim to make $2 in profit. Your RRR can also help you understand what your theoretical minimum win rate would need to be a profitable trader.
Utilizing this information is very handy when backtesting and forward-testing your strategy. In the early stages of a trader's journey, we highly recommend to keep a trading journal to keep track of these metrics. Keeping track of your wins and losses and keeping your RRR consistent offers deep insight into whether you are on the right path to consistency.
Managing Your Money
How much capital are you risking per trade? It's difficult to predict which trades will be profitable, but it's essential to risk a consistent amount on every trade. Coupled with an appropriate risk-to-reward ratio, this approach can help protect your trading account. For example, consider risking only 1-2% of your total trading portfolio on each individual trade with a maximum overall of 10% among your trades. This may not seem like much, but if you can remain disciplined with your stop losses and RRR you greatly increase the odds of success. If you have a small account don’t sweat it. It will help you grow that account size and compound those gains in a stable fashion that would outlast the method of throwing your entire account into each trade.
Hedging
Holding long and short positions on various assets in different sectors can help protect against any aggressive moves that affect the market as a whole. For instance, if there was a sudden 'flash crash,' the traders who solely went long would experience a loss or a potentially significant loss without proper risk mitigation. However, if you held both long and short positions, you could have made profits to offset the losses. Obviously, market events are hard to account for, but hedging can be a useful capital preservation strategy.
Focusing on a Single Asset to Limit Risk Exposure
Some traders prefer to concentrate on trading one asset to minimize risk exposure. This can be effective, especially when the trader has in-depth knowledge of the specific asset being traded. The potential downside is that this can limit your trading opportunities, but we highly advise this approach for new traders. Focusing on one asset can help you grow your experience and hone your strategy through a rigorously disciplined approach.
Consistency in Risk and Money Management
There is no one-size-fits-all approach to trading, and that's part of the beauty of it all. A strategy that works for one trader may not work for another. The key to improving your trading strategy is to adopt a disciplined approach to risk and money management. While this approach may not be as flashy as some in the trading community portray, consistently minimizing risk is an essential aspect of enhancing overall profitability and is a massive attribute to long-term success.
Final Thoughts on Trading Capital Management
Effective trading capital management is crucial for success in the world of trading. By adopting a disciplined approach to risk and money management, traders can minimize losses, maximize profits, and safeguard their investments. The techniques discussed – implementing stop-loss orders, utilizing reward-to-risk ratios, managing money, and diversifying trades – are all essential components of a successful trading capital management strategy.
Remember, the key to success in trading lies not in chasing the knockouts but rather by consistently landing the jabs while maintaining a stout defense. By following these strategies adopted by long-term, successful traders and focusing on preserving capital, you can improve your chances of obtaining that same long-term success in the markets.
Msft double top. Swing short trade ideaMsft double top with a clear neckline break. We can also see the retest of the neckline this past Friday so looking for a continuation to the downside. Measured move takes Msft to about $317. Trade is wrong if we close a day above neckline.
There’s a lot going on next week with the feds so I expect some decent volatility.
Have a good week!
Puts puts putsLoosing steam. All big tech about to drop finally (I hope I'm not wrong tis time). I bought some puts, 10 minutes before session ends I'll buy more if the daily candle shows weakness like it does now.
$320, 06/16
Msft shortMSFT Pretty little short (correction) and then boom? It looks that last wave from Mar 2023 is too big and too sharp.
MSFT AnalysisPrice play out nicely as analyzed last week. We got the bearish retracement we need but failed to mitigate the bullish POI at 322.72 before price continued higher. We see volume decreasing on the up move recently and this can be signs of exhaustion. I'm expecting price to consolidate here or to make another bearish retracement from here.
Don't buy Microsoft stock at current priceHello,
Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment consists of Office Commercial (Office 365 subscriptions, the Office 365 portion of Microsoft 365 Commercial subscriptions, and Office licensed on-premises), Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365 Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, Office Consumer, including Microsoft 365 Consumer subscriptions, Office licensed on-premises, and other Office services, LinkedIn, including Talent Solutions, Marketing Solutions, Premium Subscriptions, Sales Solutions, and Learning Solutions, Dynamics business solutions, including Dynamics 365, comprising a set of intelligent, cloud-based applications across ERP, CRM, Customer Insights, Power Apps, and Power Automate, and on-premises ERP and CRM applications. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of Server products and cloud services, including Azure and other cloud services, SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related Client Access Licenses (CALs), and Nuance and GitHub, Enterprise Services, including Enterprise Support Services, Microsoft Consulting Services, and Nuance professional services.
The company remains strong but the share price is not at a good place for us to buy. Check more details about the financials to understand the company more.
Good luck!
MSFTLast week printed a hanging man candle at monthly supply. Looking for last week's lows to be tested then possibly 9 ema if supply holds this week.
Is AI mania going to be stopped...Answering my own question - don't think so. But from technical standpoint, what I can see:
- stock overbought,
- bearish Crab pattern almost completed (getting to the D-point)
- SELL volume higher from the BUY one in the recent days
- fundamentals
no recommendation whatsoever.
Cup & Handle//Rising WedgePrice has broken up and out of the bearish Rising wedge. This pattern is not valid until the bottom line broken. It has not been broken so it is not valid.
Price is trying to reach long entry level for a large Cup pattern
There will be resistance at the top of the cup.
No recommendation/overbought with RSI on 70.
Some would set RSI to 80 vs 70 for a high momentum security.
MSFT: Weekly and Monthly TargetsPer request, quick video and analysis on MSFT.
Let me know your questions/comments below.
Also excuse the cars in the background, its nice weather and I have every single window open haha.
Also to clarify, I say market outlook is very bullish and positive, I mean this by behaviour and not reality!
Safe trades everyone!
Microsoft is undervaluedMicrosoft is undervalued, high quality, financially healthy and with AI and Cloud under their belt, it has a huge growth potential. Expected ER end of July. Several indicators and machine learning scripts suggest, that NASDAQ:MSFT could get to $342 soon.
*Disclaimer*
The information is purely for *entertainment* purposes, and is not meant to be, and does not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Do Your Own Due Diligence (DYODD)
MSFT, 10d+/-15.29%falling cycle -15.29% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
MSFT after acquisition.....1. Activision Blizzard
On January 18, 2022, following the announcement of the acquisition, the stock price of ATVI reached its peak at $82 after initially being at $65, which is 25% increase.
Around December 8, 2022, before and after the FTC's indication of opposition, the stock price experienced minor fluctuations of around 10%. However, after the CMA's opposition on April 26, 2023, the stock price plummeted by over 13%.
Overall, since the announcement of the acquisition on January 18, 2022, the stock price of ATVI has risen by over 20% from $65 to $78 on May 19, 2023. Despite this increase, it remains significantly below the premium price of $95 proposed by MSFT (-17%).
2. Microsoft
As of May 2023, Microsoft (MSFT) has a market cap of 2.363 trillion dollars. The acquisition of Activision Blizzard (ATVI) for 69 billion dollars represents approximately 3% of Microsoft's market cap. This indicates that M&A issues related to Activision Blizzard are not correlated with the MSFT stock price. As evidence of this, on January 18, 2022, after the acquisition announcement, Microsoft's stock price only declined by 2.43%. Similarly, on May 15, 2023, when the acquisition received EU approval, the stock price increased by a mere 0.16%. The 7.24% increase in the stock price after the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) rejection on April 26, 2023, was largely attributed to the company's strong earnings report.
3. Overall Microsoft does not show much fluctuations from the acquisition or any other anti-trust issues. May be due to the high premium paid to ActivisionBlizzard that makes the investors slightly lackluster towards the deal.
ActivisionBlizzard – Very enthusiastic towards the deal. Perhaps due to the expected synergy effect and the high premium paid by the Microsoft. Need to talk about why FTC’s rejection shows little to no effect while the CMA’s rejection has a significant impact in the stock market.
Sony – Mostly the opposite of ActivisionBlizzard
MSFT AnalysisPrice did not play out as analyzed last week. From here, price is over extended to the upside. Do not FOMO into buying from here. I'm expecting price to make a bearish retracement, at least into the bullish POI at 322.72 next. Price could also potentially go lower and take out the sell-side liquidity built in early May.
Cup & Handle//Rising WedgePrice is NOT to EL level yet.
There is a possible Rising Wedge and price broke up from the bearish Rising Wedge.
This happens when the narrowing of the wedge forces price up, but usually price is forced down.
This pattern is not valid until the bottom trendline of the wedge is broken.
Rising wedges are bearish but this stock has defied the odds for now.
No recommendation/If this makes it to long entry level, I will calculate targets.
ATH IS 349.67 and this will need to break this level for this pattern to reach EL.
$MSFT extended along with other A.I StonksMSFT is around 24% extended from the 200 MA and looks ripe for a reversal. Always need to be careful shorting stocks acting so strong but this looks like a nice blowoff event from the debt ceiling.
