MicroSoft Long Microsoft is currently sideways and will continue this movement for now. To cash on this sideways movement we can play support and resistance to buy and sell on key levels until it makes new Highs.
MSFT trade ideas
msft going down in valueas my prediction of spx500 and the major american indexes going down in another 'crisis' gold as a safe haven msft one of the most capitalises if not the most, not sure yet, giving a idead
of reversal trend as havin an double shoulder head and shoulder, daily basis, sgnifying that a reversal in the indexes can be coming in the next weeks or quarters,
trade safe, this is only my pov.
Microsoft Parallel Channel and 200 DSMA worth watching Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT
Long Term Chart
▫️ An incredible long term trending channel.
▫️ Lets zoom in on Channel 1 and Channel 2
I have compared the 2019 - 2022 period(Channel 1) to the current 2022 - 2024 period (Channel 2) .
Channel 1
2019 -2022
Channel 2
2022 -2024
▫️ Both of these periods have had parallel channels with the 200 day SMA acting as underside support.
▫️ When these were both lost in Q1 2022, it led to an approx. 38% decline from the highs, or a c. 28% decline from losing the channel or 200 DSMA level.
▫️ This is a very strong chart. Unless the channel is lost which sync's up with a loss of the 200 day moving average (approx. $410), intermediate trend looks intact for continued upwards trajectory.
PUKA
MSFT, GS: Bull Flags in Blue Chips?Some major stocks have done little as the broader market hits new highs. Today’s idea considers two members of the Dow Jones Industrial Average where some traders may see potential upside signals: Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT and Goldman Sachs NYSE:GS .
The first pattern on both is the tight pullbacks after rallies. Those may be viewed as bull-flag continuation patterns.
Next, both are trying to hold above recent weekly highs. Is old resistance becoming new support?
Third, rising MACD on each chart could indicate bullishness in the short term. They’re also above their rising 21-day exponential moving averages.
Finally, inside days this week may suggest that near-term weakness is fading as a new month and quarter approach.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
MSFT 9/26/24💹
👁️ Outlook
30m Context Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish on the daily and 5hr, however needs some time to break bullish on the 30m time frame and come above the EMAs. Once that happens and shows money coming in then I want price to re-accumulate before going down to my Validation 6m time frame but this is a good stock to look at once that happens with lots of liquidity above.
Bias: Neutral until signs of money coming in above EMAs
Keeping an eye on this. 👁️
MSFT FlaggingI am currently watching this flag on MSFT,
1hr candle closing above 433 would be a confirmation, with retest of the channel high as target
Microsoft LongMicrosoft
MTF Analysis
MicrosoftYearly Demand Breakout 350
Microsoft 6 Month Demand BUFL 384.3
MicrosoftQtrly Demand 384.3
MicrosoftMonthly Demand 384.3
MicrosoftWeekly Demand 413
MicrosoftDaily Demand BUFL 427
ENTRY -1 427
SL 398
RISK 29
Potential Target 549
First Target Points 478
First recovery Target Points 80
Last Swing Low 388
Last Swing High 468
RR 3
RR 28%
MSFT is ready to Explode and RISE! by Elders Force 13 dayMSFT 13 day Elder Force Index is above 0 and rising indicating a strong bullish signal along with the gap up. The pattern of a double bottom has finished forming and has broken out on strong momentum. Also the 20 day EMA is crossing over the slower EMA and indicatings a good signal to enter for a 2 moving average crossover system.
20% to 40% Dip Coming for Microsoft?DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational & entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to be involved with this market. Trading involves significant risk, do your own due diligence.
A concerning sign for Microsoft bulls triggered a few weeks ago. We saw the DPO divergence confirmed. Price targets to the downside of this confirmation imply a 20% to 40% dip is coming for Microsoft.
Do you think Microsoft is heading for a dump?
I do.
See you down there.
Looking for a MSFT support bounce! 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Microsoft is ready to Explode and RISEThere was a double bottom that formed and has broken out. The EMA20 is about to crossover the slower EMA and giving bullish signal!
Microsoft seem to have made intermittent top. Look for reversalNASDAQ:MSFT has fallen in 5 waved from the top made in July and in process of retracing that down-move in ABC. The fall from top could be either a larger degree wave 1 or wave A. In both cases, soon wave 3 or C down should start since the wave 2/B has completed 61.8% retracement which is at 436.73. Stock closed below that level yesterday which makes me wonder if the down-move in wave 3/C has begun already.
Assuming down-move has started, we should head towards 364 as per wave equality (3=1 or A=C), though if economic macros stay recessionary then the move could stretch to 1.6 or 2.6 times the size of wave 1/A (in log).
MSFT: Top Signal Below Resistance?Looking at MSFT's daily chart, the price action shows a strong upward movement recently, breaking above the key resistance level at $426.79 and reaching the next resistance at $441.48. The 21-day EMA is currently trending upward, supporting the bullish momentum. However, the price is now pulling back slightly from the $441.48 resistance level, which might indicate short-term profit-taking or consolidation after the strong rally. A sustained breakout above $441.48 would indicate further bullish potential, but the price needs to stay above this key point to maintain this momentum. If the price materializes a top signal, the next support would likely come around $426.79, the previous resistance level, now support - Princciple of Polarity.
On the hourly chart, MSFT is moving within a well-defined ascending channel, with the price bouncing between the channel's support and resistance lines. The recent pullback from $441.48 suggests a minor correction within the channel, but as long as the price remains above the channel's lower boundary and the 21-hour EMA, the uptrend remains intact.
Overall, MSFT is in a bullish structure, but the immediate test will be how it reacts to the pullback from the $441.48 resistance. A breakout above this level would confirm continued strength, while a failure to hold the short-term support levels could signal further consolidation or correction.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Microsoft Announces $60 Billion Buyback and Dividend HikeMicrosoft Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) recently announced two major moves designed to bolster shareholder value and solidify its position as a leading tech giant. The company unveiled a $60 billion stock buyback program along with a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend. This announcement has sent positive waves through the market, and investors are keeping a close eye on what this means for Microsoft's long-term outlook, especially amid its aggressive investments in artificial intelligence (AI).
The $60 Billion Buyback: Strategic Capital Allocation
On Monday, Microsoft revealed plans to repurchase up to $60 billion of its stock. While this figure may seem colossal, it represents less than 2% of the company's market cap, which currently stands at a staggering $3.2 trillion. Buybacks are a strategic way for companies like Microsoft to return capital to shareholders, reduce the number of shares outstanding, and increase earnings per share (EPS).
The buyback plan can be canceled at any time, signaling flexibility in Microsoft's strategy to navigate market conditions. The announcement comes at a critical time when investors are pressuring the company to show returns on its heavy spending in AI development, particularly through its flagship product, the Copilot AI assistant, and other AI-driven tools.
### Dividend Hike: Rewarding Loyal Shareholders
In addition to the stock buyback, Microsoft also announced a 10% hike in its quarterly dividend, raising it by 8 cents to 83 cents per share. This marks the 20th consecutive year the tech behemoth has increased its dividend, a testament to its commitment to rewarding long-term investors. The higher dividend will be payable on Dec. 12, 2024, to shareholders of record as of Nov. 21.
The steady rise in dividend payments is indicative of Microsoft’s robust financial health. As it continues to post consistent earnings, the dividend increase signals confidence in sustained cash flow generation, even as the company allocates substantial capital toward AI infrastructure.
A Focus on AI Investments
The timing of the buyback and dividend announcement coincides with Microsoft's unveiling of several new AI features. During its recent "Wave 2" event, Microsoft introduced updates to its Copilot AI, including enhancements in Excel, OneDrive, and Outlook. These AI-driven tools are part of the company’s broader push to integrate advanced machine learning and AI capabilities into its suite of products, driving future growth.
Jefferies analysts have described Microsoft as a "top AI beneficiary," citing strong adoption rates of its Copilot features and improvements in user experience. This aligns with the company’s focus on using AI as a growth driver, especially as demand for AI outpaces the company’s capacity to deliver.
Stock Performance and Technical Outlook
Microsoft stock has been on an upward trajectory, rising 15% year-to-date, and showing consistent strength over the past year. On Tuesday, NASDAQ:MSFT surged 1.66%, buoyed by the announcement, and continues to hold investor confidence.
Technically, Microsoft’s stock sits at an RSI of 66, indicating bullish momentum. This level is approaching overbought territory but still suggests room for continued growth, especially as Jerome Powell’s much-anticipated speech on rate cuts approaches. The stock’s resilience is evident as it has managed to retake all its moving averages and break past a 426.79 short-term high, a level seen as critical resistance.
Moreover, Microsoft has been in a steady upward trend since September 2023, maintaining consistent gains month-over-month. This steady performance is a signal of both investor confidence and the company’s ability to deliver, even amid macroeconomic uncertainty.
Conclusion:
Microsoft’s latest financial moves—both the $60 billion buyback and the dividend hike—demonstrate its ability to reward investors while continuing to focus on long-term growth. As it positions itself as a leader in AI, Microsoft’s ongoing investments are expected to pay off significantly in the years ahead.
With a solid balance sheet, growing dividends, and continued stock buybacks, Microsoft’s outlook remains strong. While some volatility may lie ahead due to macroeconomic factors, the combination of smart capital allocation and a focus on next-gen technology like AI puts Microsoft in a prime position to continue its upward trajectory in both stock price and market influence.
Investors looking for long-term stability combined with growth potential should keep Microsoft on their radar as it navigates the evolving tech landscape.
$MSFT - W shaped reversal breakout above $433MSFT - stock close to breaking $433 resistance level for an upside move towards $446. Stock is strong on indicator level. Stock is forming a W- shaped bullish reversal on charts.
MSFT Share Buyback + Bull Flag BreakoutMSFT had a shorter term bull flag breakout last week, but stalled around $430 which has been previous support/resistance. Not much action on it today, but they just announced a buyback and dividend after hours. So far only seeing a small pop in after hours trading.
I'm skeptical about tech stocks in particular being bullish, but right now we have a lot of breakouts and bullish charts. I wouldn't do anything crazy until after FOMC, but this is one I'll have my eye on. Not only do we have the news, but I consider this $430 area to be a major one.
If it is able to break back above and continue the momentum, it should eventually hit the bull flag pole target around $456. Next upside target from there would be ATH. I'd be comfortable holding longs until it breaks back below $430 at which point I'd stop out.
Microsoft Clear Bearish Elliott Wave PatternMicrosoft (MSFT) has a clear Elliott five – wave pattern for it’s July to August decline. The subsequent rally off the August bottom is a clear Elliott wave Single Zigzag correction.
This pattern could be complete somewhere near a Fibonacci .618 retracement of the July to August decline.
An important top could made sometime near the next U.S. – FOMC interest rate decision due on 09/18/24.
MSFT Daily OverviewMICROSOFT remains one of my favourite instruments in STOCK TRADING.
I've always enjoyed watching it's price movements, I believe it has remained a solid investment consistently.
Right now I believe Microsoft is about to start recovering from it's recent drawdown and start to move bullish after it hit a major RESISTANCE zone.
We will do further analysis on this instrument once more bars are printed!
Negative signals on Microsoft as AI plumet on the wayWe identify a negative shoulder-head-shoulder formation which at it's end touches the 200 day line, all ahead of today's news that the chip maker's market is plumeting. Additional put/sell signals are triggered when the trend lines confirm or the price won't come back over 200D.
Microsoft is renown for its involvement in AI products, especially in OpenAI. The demand for chips halted when NVIDIA recently postponed the release of Blackwell, the next generation of AI-propelling chips. Data centers equipping for future demands on AI business withhold investments as they won't run with the current generation of chips for the short period of time until Blackwell is launching, but with the latest generation and cutting-edge technology for the maximum time possible.
Meanwhile the think tank and advisor to U.S. Military and Government, RAND Corporation , surveyed why AI projects in the industry fail:
Miscommunication or misunderstanding what problems need to be solved using AI, following a false perception of what AI can actually do - beginning with the impression the term "AI" makes to non-tech persons.
Organizations lack the necessary data to adequately train effective AI models. The necessary amount of data might never be acquired due to diverse obstacles on collecting them.
Organizations focus more on using the latest and greatest technology than on solving real problems for their intended users. Therefore, the circle of problems where AI solutions are applicable, might not be as big as initially thought. This is what happened to the blockchain.
Organizations might not have adequate infrastructure to manage their data and deploy completed AI models, which increases the likelihood of project failure. Infrastructure for serious AI is exhaustive and needs up to 300-times bigger databases and hardware equipment than for regular software services. Then again, you have to feed it all with the required amount of data, of which, as pointed out earlier, is not enough there.
AI projects fail because the technology is applied to problems that are too difficult for AI to solve. This is a general problem on the current generation of AI, as it lacks the required spark of creativity to originate ideas which are not based on patterns earlier learned. In other terms, generative, LLM-based AI, which is the current generation, would never be able to be a pioneer in anything, because it remixes mash-ups from earlier experience, at best!
The current dips of chip makers, combined with the problems of sourcing sufficient data and industry becoming more and more disenchanted with AI, might trigger another tech bubble burst, which, if it happens, would be imminent right now.
MSFT looks good but be carefulMSFT is recovering from a huge drop a few weeks ago. It has formed a higher low, and now we need to see a higher high (check the right shoulder of the H&S pattern). If we see a higher high, we can safely say that we have a continuation of the uptrend, with a likely target of an all-time high (ATH).
However, if MSFT drops and falls below the neckline, it could be the end for MSFT for years. MSFT has formed a huge H&S pattern with a neckline around 400. So, there are several significant support levels: the round number 400, the neckline, and the trendline from 2022. If MSFT drops below these, it could be disastrous.
$MSFT - What if?NASDAQ:MSFT Another chart that shows a potential head and shoulders pattern. Remember, the pattern is only valid if the price closes below the neckline for 2 to 3 trading sessions.
I am just going to watch and see what happens.👀
As always, I share my opinions and trades. I'm not suggesting that anyone follow my trades. You do you.
MSFT MACD crossed upMACD histogram crossed up with market stabilizing. MSFT also in AI sector that can get hot again.
Microsoft - Correction Is Not Over Yet!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can still drop a little lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It seems like the correction on Microsoft is not over yet and following previous price action and market structure, a move back to the previous triangle breakout level seems to be quite likely. However Microsoft still remains in an overall bullish market so looking for long setups is best.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
