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MSTR trade ideas

MSTR hitting support but then further downside to fill the gap.Okay guys look at this beautiful chat. Here you are looking at MSTR on the Daily TF and you have a lot of stuff going on. Notice the wedge pattern that is forming from the down slopping (yellow) line and the parallel (green) support line. That is forcing action to the corner of the wedge. You will also notice that before the continued downward movement in the stock there was an attempted breakout (purple box). Now, this is where most investors would have jumped on board and though that this was a true break out, however there wasn't any confirmation. Without confirmation there isn't a true breakout. Also notice how the big gap up represented by the green line is now serving as a major support and goes back to 2020. This line has been tagged times now and is beginning to weaken. Once the green line is weakened enough it will break and head down to the gap fill (represented by the blue line) and you will see a bounce off of that level. We will continue to monitor the progress of this chart and see if there is enough bullish price action to get through the yellow resistance line or if the bears will win and fill that gap. Let me know what you think will happen. Cheers,
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by GarethSolowayOfficial
1
Can MicroStrategy go Bankrupt?MicroStrategy's average cost per Bitcoin is around $30,639. MicroStrategy holds 130,000 Bitcoin. Can MicroStrategy go Bankrupt? I guess it all depends on the price of Bitcoin. In any event, here's a MSTR & BTC comparison 1-day chart with my tickerTracker MFI Oscillator set to fib21. Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends... *3x lucky 7s of trading* 7pt Trading compass: Price action, entry/exit Volume average/direction Trend, patterns, momentum Newsworthy current events Revenue Earnings Balance sheet 7 Common mistakes: +5% portfolio trades, capital risk management Beware of analyst's motives Emotions & Opinions FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd Lack of planning & discipline Forgetting restraint Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation 7 Important tools: Trading View app!, Brokerage UI Accurate indicators & settings Wide screen monitor/s Trading log (pencil & graph paper) Big, organized desk Reading books, playing chess Sorted watch-list Checkout my indicators: Fibonacci VIP - volume Fibonacci MA7 - price pi RSI - trend momentum TTC - trend channel AlertiT - notification tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:MSTR
by Options360
MSTR will be bankrupt should BTC fall down to $5.5k. Target $3.MSTR shareholder equity other than BTC is about $400mm. They own $3.7B worth of BTC as of today which would be worth $580mm at $5.5k per BTC. Total equity at $5.5k per BTC: $1B. Total debt they raised to buy BTC: $2.2B. Once BTC crashes down to $5.5k their equity will be -$1.2B, should they sell "intelligence" part of the business for $1B equity still would be negative. On a side note we have a perfect abc correction upward with a bearish divergence which implies crash down to about $3 per MSTR stock.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by rafalbi
12
Head and shoulders on Microstrategy (MSTR)The chart shows a high probability of a significant drop of value - complete failure? - of Microstrategy. Fortunately, a similar head and shoulders is not visible on the underlying asset held by MSTR, #bitcoin. That said, MSTR does hold a leveraged position in #bitcoin, so the possibility of default is real. It's just not as real as indicated by this chart. I suspect this is a rare case ( ~ 20% chance) that the H&S pattern fails; hence, I am neutral on this asset. Not a good look. Prob. a good time to buy the fear.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by wildhood
MicroStrategy Graph and Fundamental Analysis (MSTR)1. Graphic Analysis Since March 2020, the company has been showing a strong correlation with Bitcoin (as shown at the bottom). The price is "respecting" the white diagonal line in a big triangle 3 times. It remains to be seen whether this line will be restored or whether it will now take off for good. Perhaps the fundamentalist analysis below indicates a subtle change in operating results, to the point of enacting the bottom of this cycle. 2. Fundamental Analysis The result was announced on November 1st. 2.1. Income Statement 2.1.1. Revenues Sales increased by 2.69%, going from $122M to $125M. 2.1.2. Expenses Operating expenses have been flat since inception, ranging quarterly from $111 million to $122 million. 2.1.3. Net Income Net Income shows how much money a company earns after expenses. Since the year 2020, net income has had a negative performance. Despite sales increasing by 2.69%, this has not changed. The positive point is that in relation to the previous quarter, the negative profit deteriorated, going from -$ 1.06 Billion to -$ 27.08 M 2.1.4. Earnings Per Share (EPS) Earnings per Share is the amount of earnings per share of issued, ordinary shares. Analyzing since the 1st quarter of 2021, this indicator has remained negative, signaling that those who bought the company's shares suffered a loss, in line with Net Income . ------------------------------------------------------------ 2.2. Balance Sheet 2.2.1. Asset x Liability 2.2.2. Total Assets The total value of assets decreased by 2.13%, due to a reduction in current and non-current assets. 2.2.3. Total Debt Debts remain stable, in the range of $2.24 billion to $2.45 billion. 2.2.4. Net Debt Net Debt represents the amount of debt that would remain after a company had paid off as much debt as possible with its liquid assets. This value also remains stable. 2.2.5. Net worth It is what's left after subtracting total liabilities from total assets. Equity was positive until the first quarter of 2022. But in the last two quarters it was negative by -$200 million. ------------------------------------------------------------ 2.3. Cash flow 2.3.1. Cash From Operating Activities Cash From Operating Activities represents the amount of cash that a company gets from its ongoing, regular business activities, such as the production and sale of goods or the provision of services to its customers. Considering the period since 2021, Q2 2022 (the previous one) was the one in which there was a negative flow of -$18.37M. In the current quarter, positively, this negative flow has stopped, standing at $1.10 M. But still far from the last positive value of the first quarter of 2022 which was $ 46 M. 2.3.2. Cash From Investing Activities Cash From Investing Activities represents the amount of cash that a company brings in from its investing activities. It includes any cash inflows or outflows from the company's long-term investments. A negative value of Cash From Investing Activities can show poor performance, but it can also be a sign of increased investment activities. Spending on investments has been declining. From a peak of -$1B in Q1 2021, in the current quarter of 2022(3) the amount spent was -$6M. This signals a trend towards the end of investment activities. It may be due to the higher cost of money, and/or the lack of need for such an investment. 2.3.3. Cash From Financing Activities Cash From Financing Activities is the amount of cash that a company receives or pays to finance its activities. That is, the company invests this money in itself, specifically in the development of its business. A positive value may indicate an organization's intentions regarding expansion and growth. A negative value may be a sign of improvement in the company's liquidity if debts are paid off. A negative value can also provide information on the dividend policy of the organization. In the same way as investment activities, the value follows a downward trend, that is, the company continues to prioritize the consolidation of its activities, or prioritizing the settlement of its debts. 2.3.4. Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow (FCF) represents the cash that a company generates as a result of its activities, excluding expenses on assets. Free Cash Flow is sometimes considered the hardest financial metric to fake because of its calculation and for that reason, it's a popular financial metric in the investor community. The current value remains positive at $769k, but far from the peak of $64M in Q1 2021. Last quarter the balance was negative at -$19M, so we could at least consider this reversal as something positive. 2.3.5. Price to cash flow Ratio It measures how much cash a company generates relative to its share price. Formula: Market Value/Cash Flow from main activities The indicator remains positive and peaked at 69.46 in this current quarter.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by andre_007
MSTR: Bottoming action to prepare swing tradesMSTR would benefit from a stock split. It is pricey for today's market conditions. It is showing improvement in its trend. The resistance above the high range is short-term and moderate. This would more likely be a swing style trade based on the runs and trend. There was a Dark Pool buy zone over the formation of the bottom. This can be a precursor for upside momentum. Because of the current price range, it has room to run with momentum, however Risk Analysis is a factor.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
MSTR - Weak Reporting.Q3 EPS of -$0.96 may not be comparable to consensus of $1.02. Revenue of $126.36M (-1.3% Y/Y) beats by $0.56M. The CEO of MicroStrategy again said that the company is not selling and does not plan to sell BTC, it plans to buy BTC in the future: “We have not sold any Bitcoin to date. To reiterate our strategy, we seek to acquire and hold Bitcoin for the long term. And we do not currently plan to engage in sales of Bitcoin. We have a long-term time horizon and the core business is not impacted by the near-term Bitcoin price fluctuations.” A spill is expected at least to the lower edge of the rand. Maybe, on the background of this event we will see Bitcoin at 15000. If you liked the idea, please like it. That's the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊 P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Take profits out in fiat and make yourself and your loved ones happy.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Artem_Dishel
2
MicroStrategy MSTR #MSTR $MSTR Let's take a look at one of my favorite ways to trade bitcoin, especially one of my favorite ways to trade Bitcoin on leverage by using 1x margin somewhere as simple as robin hood. Bitcoin and MSTR are so heavily correlated these days that its rather straight forward of a play to trade MSTR as if it's your Bitcoin vessel. MSTR. is also in a great range to buy IMO. Especially if looking forward more than just the next few days/weeks. Its Highly likely you see MSTR run up into the $800-$1200 ranges over the next 12-36 months based on how and when BTC takes off.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by rarebreed29
$MSTR: From leader of men to outcastMichael Saylor used to be revered by Bitcoin fanatics, since he was mega bullish their favorite asset class and loud as hell. The ultimate degenerate gambler in the space. His other people's money gambling habits are nothing new, as he battled with fraud allegations back in the hey day of the Dot Com bubble. Now he's making yet another fund raising round to buy yet more Bitcoin, this time not using debt, but rather issuing new shares. There's a very clear technical trend signal that formed here and indicates a rally has started and can extend until either the $551.38 target is reached or the October 28th deadline is met. Another thing to keep in mind is that the monthly down trend signal in the stock expires during October, which could be a sign of a general recovery in crypto for the next 10 months as well: There's an interesting resistance level higher, see the red line on chart, it indicates the price zone where Elon Musk bought Bitcoin back in Jan 2nd 2021. The SEC filing announcing it publicly didn't come out until February 8th, and that was the very top in $MSTR, who was the loudest proponent of putting Bitcoin in companies' balance sheet as an inflation/doomsday hedge. I'm not in the stock, and option premium is historically astronomical so the smartest way to play it is to buy or sell stock in general. The weekly trend signal activated on Friday when price moved over $258.97. Entries at that price or lower would be good, invalidation for the signal would be on a drop under $219.39. I have a hard time going long here, same as everyone I talk to regularly about markets, but it seems like the right thing to do. I'm personally long Bitcoin and Ethereum, as well as $COIN, but not in $MSTR yet. I'd trade this one small to be safe, since it's a far riskier play than the other 3 I mentioned. Perhaps a 1% long shot gamble would be adequate. 6.6%+- would risk 1% give or take. Risking 0.1-0.2% seems ok to me here. If this were to be a more long lasting bottom, upside would be significant and make it worth it. We can figure that out over time, as we get more cues from price and fundamental events. Best of luck if you're entering this one, if it gaps up on Monday, then it's probably best to just let it go. Chances are you followed my Bitcoin publication and bot that near 21030, so that would be more than enough exposure really....Still interesting to track this chart and fundamental events as Saylor can have a significant impact on Bitcoin, considering the amount he holds. Risks floating over Bitcoin's head like a Damocles sword are mainly Saylor's bag needing to be liquidated in loss over time, and MtGox creditors being repaid. I'd keep an eye out for those events. Once out of the way, Bitcoin has far less risk and way bigger chances of achieving sustained, long term upside. Best of luck! Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by IvanLabrie
2