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NDX trade ideas

US Tech 100 (NDX) Technical Analysis - Bearish Swing OpportunityThe Nasdaq-100 has reached a critical technical juncture presenting a high-probability short opportunity for the coming week. Multiple technical factors have aligned to suggest a significant downside move is developing. Key Technical Observations Price Structure Analysis Formation of a failed retest of broken uptrend support, now functioning as resistance Rejection from the Point of Control (POC) area around 21,122 Price failed to recapture the key Value Area Low (VAL) at 21,086 Clear lower highs and lower lows developing on the H4 timeframe Moving Average Configuration All major EMAs (8, 13, 21, 55, 200) are in bearish alignment Price trading well below the 55 EMA, confirming the bearish bias Recent price action showing rejection at the 21 EMA intersection Momentum Indicators MACD showing continued negative momentum and bearish divergence Volume profile indicates diminishing buying pressure during recent consolidation Momentum oscillators in oversold territory but showing no reversal signals Trade Setup Entry near 21,110 provides an excellent risk-reward opportunity with a stop above the recent swing high at 21,383. The primary target at 20,500 represents a significant support level and offers substantial profit potential. Macro Context Recent macroeconomic uncertainty combined with technical exhaustion after the recent rally creates an environment supportive of this correction. Key catalysts in the coming days could accelerate this move. Expected Price Behavior Look for initial support tests around 21,000 psychological level, followed by potential acceleration toward the blue box support zone. Expect periods of consolidation during this move, particularly at previous support levels around 20,950 and 20,750. This setup provides an excellent swing trading opportunity with favorable risk-reward dynamics and strong technical confirmation.
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by FXCapitalClub
"NASDAQ 100 (US 100) Bearish Outlook: Will Supply Zones Hold?"🔹Technical Analysis: US 100 Index (15-Minute Chart) ▪️Key Observations: 1. Downtrend Continuation: - The US 100 Index is currently in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. - The price is trading below key resistance zones, indicating further downside potential. 2.Supply Zones Identified: - Two significant supply zones are marked on the chart where selling pressure is expected. - The first supply zone is around 21,450 – 21,520. - The second, stronger supply zone is near 21,600 – 21,700, where a previous sell-off occurred. 3. Bearish Rejection Expected: - The price is likely to retest the lower supply zone before continuing downward. - A rejection from this zone could lead to further declines. 4. Target Area: - The projected target area is marked around 20,914, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend. - If the price breaks below this level, further downside momentum could follow. ▪️Conclusion: - The market structure remains bearish, and traders should watch for a potential rejection at the supply zone. - A confirmation of resistance could provide shorting opportunities toward the 20,914 target area. - However, a breakout above the supply zone could invalidate the bearish outlook. ▪️Trade Idea: Bearish Bias – Wait for confirmation at the supply zone before considering short positions. 😊Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
TVC:NDQShort
by SOAM_PRO_TRADER
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Rising into pullback resistanceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 20,775.39 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 21,000.00 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 50.0% retracements. Take profit is at 20,354.08 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
NASDAQ 100 Feb 27th Below are some general, educational ideas on how traders often approach markets under conditions like these. This is not financial advice—simply a high‐level look at potential strategies, risk‐management considerations, and scenarios based on the previous technical report. Always do your own due diligence and consider professional advice for your specific situation. 1. Short‐Term “Oversold Bounce” Play • Rationale: On the Daily and 4H charts, the RSI/Stochastics and Bollinger Bands all suggest near‐term oversold conditions. When a market is oversold, a relief bounce often occurs—even within a downtrend. • Possible Approach: 1. Entry: Some traders will look for intraday bullish signals (a strong reversal candle, bullish divergence on lower timeframes, or a break/retest of minor resistance) around the 20,200–20,500 zone. 2. Targets: Potential short‐term rebound levels near: • 21,000 (initial pivot/confluence of 4H Fib & round number) • 21,300–21,400 (Daily Ichimoku or 4H cloud base, stronger overhead supply) 3. Stop‐Loss / Invalidation: • Placed below the recent swing low (~20,500) or below the 200‐day SMA (~20,264). If price definitively breaks those on a closing basis, it can signal that the bounce attempt is failing. • Risk: If the market continues sharply lower, oversold can remain oversold. A deeper flush is possible if we lose key supports. 2. “Sell the Rally” Within a Short‐Term Downtrend • Rationale: The Daily and 4H structures are in a confirmed short‐term downtrend (lower highs/lower lows). Traders who believe the market has further to fall might look to short near overhead resistance. • Possible Approach: 1. Entry: Wait for a bounce into known resistance or Fib retracement zones on the 4H or Daily chart: • ~21,000–21,100 (minor) • ~21,300–21,400 (major supply area / daily cloud) 2. Confirmation: Look for bearish candlestick patterns, a failed retest, or negative divergences on short timeframes to signal rally exhaustion. 3. Targets: Could be fresh lows below ~20,500 or deeper daily/weekly support at ~19,500–20,000. 4. Stop‐Loss / Invalidation: A sustained close above the daily Ichimoku cloud or prior pivot highs (~21,400–21,500) would indicate the short‐term trend shift might be reversing back bullish. • Risk: A strong short‐covering rally can quickly stop out short positions if the broader weekly uptrend reasserts itself. 3. Longer‐Term Positioning Near Key Weekly Support • Rationale: The monthly and weekly charts remain in a long‐term uptrend. Some position traders/investors view pullbacks into major weekly levels as potential accumulation zones. • Possible Approach: 1. Key Level: ~19,500–19,600 is the last major weekly swing low. If price ever re‐tests that zone, it’s a critical decision area. 2. Confirmation: Wait for a weekly bullish reversal candle (e.g., a hammer, bullish engulfing) or a break back above the 10‐week SMA. 3. Stop‐Loss / Invalidation: A weekly close below ~19,500 could signal a deeper structural breakdown. 4. Targets: Over the longer horizon, a rebound from weekly support might aim for retests of all‐time highs or upper monthly fib extensions (e.g., 24,000+). • Risk: If the weekly uptrend fails and breaks below ~19,500, it can cascade into a more pronounced corrective phase. 4. Hedge or Manage Existing Long Positions • Rationale: If you’ve been holding longer‐term bullish positions, you might want to hedge part of it during a short‐term downswing. • Possible Approach: • Options: Buying puts or put spreads to limit downside risk or selling covered calls to collect premium if you expect sideways to down movement. • Futures: Small short futures/CFD positions to offset some exposure. • Risk: Over‐hedging can cut into upside gains if the market rebounds strongly. 5. Patience / Sidelines • Rationale: If the technical picture is uncertain—and you don’t have a strong directional edge—sitting on the sidelines and observing is a perfectly valid play. You can wait for more clarity or for the market to confirm a reversal/breakdown before committing capital. • Risk: Missing out on a sudden reversal or failing to catch the next leg if it rebounds quickly. But if uncertainty is high, waiting for a clearer signal can preserve capital. General Guidelines & Risk Management 1. Align With Your Timeframe: • Short‐term scalps (4H or lower) require tight stops and nimble trading. • Swing trades might look to daily/weekly structure for bigger moves. 2. Watch Volatility: • ATR on daily/4H has risen. Expect larger intraday swings; position size accordingly. 3. Use Stop‐Losses: • The market has shown it can move quickly in either direction lately. Protective stops or mental exit levels are crucial. 4. Monitor Macro Drivers: • Economic data, interest rate shifts, or major earnings releases can override technical signals short term. 5. Be Prepared for Whipsaw: • When multiple timeframes conflict (monthly/weekly bullish vs. daily/4H bearish), the market can give false breaks or frequent direction changes. Disclaimer: This outline is for educational purposes only, reflecting common approaches traders might take. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consider your own objectives, risk tolerance, and potentially consult a financial professional when making investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by EliteMarketAnalysis
NAS100 at Key Support – Bullish Rebound Ahead?PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is currently testing a major demand zone, which has previously acted as strong support. The recent bearish move has brought price into this key area, increasing the probability of a potential bullish reversal. If buyers step in and defend this zone, we could see a bounce toward the 21,655 level, aligning with a short-term recovery from the current dip. However, a break and close below this support zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines. Traders should look for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing candles, or a shift in momentum before considering long positions. Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts below!
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by DanieIM
1
NVIDIA shines, but can NASDAQ hold up?After NVIDIA's positive earnings were released yesterday, today's focus shifts to the U.S. GDP data on a quarterly basis. Expectations suggest a steady growth rate of 2.3%. If the U.S. growth exceeds this rate, it could lead to a rise in the U.S. dollar and potentially negatively impact American indices like NASDAQ, due to the likelihood of maintaining higher interest rates for an extended period. Technically, the NASDAQ index has recently declined, moving in a general downward direction by forming successive lows lower than each other. The corrective rise to the level of 21453 could be seen as an opportunity for a rebound downwards and a continuation of the downward trend, with the first target located at the level of 21086. On the other hand, a potential positive scenario would involve prices rising above the level of 21596 and recording a higher peak, indicating a breakthrough of the last lower high recorded by the market, suggesting a change from a downward to an upward trend.
CFI:US100
by CFI
NASDAQ ENTRY ON THE FLOOR?! 4H chart Sep-Feb 27.2.25Simple up-trend with a recent confirmation of support. September24 to Feb 25 is consistent and predictable with an average 7 to 11% rise from the support within a time frame of up to 6 weeks. If the price closes a 4h candle below the line (20,850) - Up-trend will be broken, as long as the price keeps above, aiming for $800-$1500 swing trade up can be very profitable. Make logical, consistent decisions based on an overall plan with risk management as top priority.
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFDLong
by Exactus
Nas100 Correction: Why a Drop Below 20K is LikelySince reaching its recent all-time high of 22,232, the PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has dropped 1,000 points. While this might seem like a significant decline, it actually represents less than a 5% correction—hardly a major pullback. This drop has brought the index into a key confluence support zone, raising the common question: Is the correction over? In my opinion, it’s not. For a healthy correction, a dip below 20,000 is necessary. Technical Perspective 🔹 Since the "bullish" event marked by Trump’s election, the index hasn’t made substantial progress. While it has technically risen, the gains have been marginal, suggesting more distribution than true bullish strength. 🔹 The index remains confined within a large rising wedge, as seen on the chart. This type of structure often signals topping and potential reversal rather than sustainable upside momentum. What’s Next? In the medium term, I expect a drop below 20,000. For traders looking to speculatively trade the Nas100, potential sell zones would be around 22,000 and 23,000— in the event of a new all-time high.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Mihai_Iacob
Market is showing signs of a bottoming-out rebound(This is solely a personal opinion, not investment advice. Please conduct your own judgment before making any decisions.) NVIDIA's earnings report exceeded expectations. The market has declined for three consecutive trading days, with multiple support levels below. There is a high probability of a bottoming-out rebound. If going long, the price needs to break above 21,409 today while staying above 20,800. If these conditions are met, buying on dips can be considered. The primary targets are 21,800 and 21,942. If market momentum is strong enough, a breakout above the previous high is possible.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by zygliu
NAS100 at Critical SupportNAS100 is currently trading at 21,150, having completed a falling wedge breakout and now holding at a key support level. The falling wedge is typically a bullish pattern, but in this case, price action suggests a crucial test of support. If this level fails to hold, NAS100 could see significant downside momentum, potentially targeting the 19,000 level. Technically, a breakdown below this support could confirm a bearish continuation, triggering a strong sell-off. Traders should watch for increased selling pressure and a sustained move below the support zone, which could accelerate bearish momentum. If the support holds, however, NAS100 could attempt a recovery, making this a decisive level to monitor. Fundamentally, NAS100 remains under pressure due to concerns over Federal Reserve policy, interest rate expectations, and broader market sentiment. Any signs of prolonged high rates or weak earnings from major tech companies could fuel further downside pressure. Additionally, rising bond yields and a stronger US dollar may continue to weigh on the index. In summary, NAS100 is at a critical support level after a falling wedge breakout, with the potential for a sharp drop if the support breaks. Traders should closely monitor price action, volume, and macroeconomic developments to confirm the next move. A break below this level could open the door for further downside toward 19,000.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
4
NASDAQ: Broke into the 2 year Support Zone.Nasdaq has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41/199, MACD = -42.030, ADX = 30.270) as the correction that started last Thursday hit the 1D MA100. The region between the 1D MA100 and 1D MA200 is the index's 2year Support Zone and has been a buy opportunity since February 2023. With the 1D RSI also on 6month lows, the current level is low enough to be a HL on the long term Channel Up, after which rallies to the 3.5 Fibonacci extension have started. Go long, TP = 24,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by InvestingScope