Nasdaq| Bullish Intent Maintained| Refined OB Reaction In Motion(Refined & Structured):
• Pair: Nasdaq (US100)
• Bias: Bullish / Buy
• 4H Overview: Bullish structure remains intact. Despite the congestion and noise, price maintained its upward trajectory. I refined the drop to mid timeframes for precision and clarity.
• 30M Structure: Refined bullish structure with clear intent. Price has mitigated a clean OB, setting the stage for further continuation.
• Entry Zone: Watching lower timeframes for confirmation to ride the wave higher.
• Targets: 5M to 30M structural highs depending on how price delivers.
• Mindset Note: Noise is just noise until structure filters it out. Precision comes from refining—this setup proves that. Stay focused, stay clean, let intent guide you.
NDX trade ideas
Trend Exhaustion Detected – Bearish Structure AheadUS100 (NASDAQ) 30-minute chart as of July 26, 2025, with technical insights based on the visible elements.
🔍 1. Trend Analysis
Primary Trend: Uptrend (bullish structure)
The price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, marked by:
Ascending support (lower boundary)
Ascending resistance (upper boundary)
Market structure shows:
Higher Highs (HH)
Higher Lows (HL)
✅ This indicates continuation of bullish momentum until structure breaks.
📐 2. Market Structure Elements
Structure Type Label on Chart Price Zone (approx.)
Break of Structure (BOS) BOS (center-left) ~22,950
Higher Low (HL) HL (2x) ~22,700 (1st), ~23,050 (2nd)
Higher High (HH) HH (2x) ~23,150 and ~23,300
Resistance Labelled ~23,300–23,320
Demand Zones Labelled ~22,450–22,700
🔁 Break of Structure (BOS)
The BOS occurred after a prior swing low was broken, followed by a new higher high, confirming a bullish shift.
🧱 3. Support / Resistance Analysis
🔼 Resistance Zone
The price is testing strong resistance around 23,300–23,320
Multiple rejections in this area
Trendline resistance also aligns here
A rejection arrow is drawn, indicating potential bearish reaction
🔽 Support Zone (Immediate)
23,180–23,220: highlighted green box is a local support block
If broken, likely to revisit 23,000–23,050, or even down to 22,900 range
🟩 4. Demand Zones
Zone 1:
22,450–22,600: Strong bullish reaction historically — likely to act as a key demand if a deeper pullback occurs
Zone 2:
22,850–22,950: Validated with prior accumulation & BOS event
🧠 5. Key Observations
Price is at a critical inflection zone:
Testing a resistance zone
At the upper trendline of an ascending channel
A bearish reaction is projected (black arrow)
Possibly targeting the green support zone around 23,180–23,220
If that fails, demand at ~23,000 will likely be tested
Ichimoku Cloud:
Currently price is above the cloud → still bullish
Cloud is thin → potential weakness or upcoming consolidation
⚠️ 6. Trading Bias & Setup Ideas
✅ Bullish Bias (if price holds above ~23,180)
Long entries can be considered on bullish reaction from support
Target: retest of 23,300–23,350 or even breakout continuation
❌ Bearish Bias (if breakdown below support)
Short entry valid below 23,180 with:
TP1: 23,050
TP2: 22,900
A breakdown from the ascending channel would signal trend exhaustion
🔚 Conclusion
Current Price: 23,298.4
Trend: Bullish, but at resistance
Next move: Watch for reaction at resistance and support box below
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish unless the structure breaks below ~23,180
Nasdaq Short: Completion of 5 waves with wave 5=wave 1Over here, I present a short case for Nasdaq (and S&P500 by default since their correlations are high). The main reasons are:
1. Completion of 5 waves structure both on the high degree and on low degree, as shown in the chart.
2. Fibonacci measurement where wave 1 = wave 5.
The stop of this idea is to be placed slightly above the high, in this case, I placed it at around 23320. The take profit target is at the bottom of primary wave 4, around 20685.
Take note that this is a positional short, meaning the strategy is to short and hold and periodically adjust your stop loss based on unfolding on wave structure. Sizing is based on your risk tolerance.
Good luck!
SELL USTEC 25.7.2025Reversal trade order: SELL at H1~M15 (all-time high - ATH)
Type of entry: Limit order
Reason:
- The price breakout the sub key of M15, confirming it will hit the main key M15.
- There is a key H1 support at the entry point.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom of M15 (23,343)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 23,264
- SL at 23,281
- TP1: 23,243
- TP2: 23,223
- TP3: 23,207
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
NAS100 Buy Setup – VSA & Multi-Zone Demand Analysis✅ Primary Entry Zone: Major support for current week (around 23,325–23,350)
✅ Secondary Entry Zone: Potential reversal zone if primary support is broken (around 23,200–23,230)
🎯 Target 1 (TP1): Previous swing high near 23,500
🎯 Target 2 (TP2): Extension above 23,550
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below 23,170 (beyond secondary reversal zone to avoid false breaks)
📊 Technical Insight (VSA & Price Action Structure)
Support Structure:
The current major support zone has been tested multiple times with no follow-through selling, indicating strong buying interest from larger players.
Volume Spread Analysis Observations:
On the recent decline into the major support zone, we see wider spreads on high volume followed by narrow range candles on lower volume, a classic sign of stopping volume and supply exhaustion.
Within the secondary reversal zone, historical reactions show climactic volume spikes leading to sharp reversals, suggesting this level is watched closely by smart money.
Any test back into the zone on low volume would confirm the No Supply (NS) condition.
Trade Pathways:
Scenario 1: Price respects the major support and begins to climb, confirming demand dominance → target TP1 then TP2.
Scenario 2: Support is temporarily breached, triggering a liquidity grab into the secondary reversal zone, followed by a bullish reversal bar on high volume → strong buy signal with potentially faster move toward TP levels.
📍 Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above the secondary reversal zone.
📌 Execution Tip: Wait for a wide spread up-bar on increased volume from either zone to confirm the start of the markup phase.
NASDAQ-Lets catch 250 Points togetherHello Fellow Traders,
Nasdaq has been wild since a time now. Today, I have spotted a rade to share with my fellow traders.
Yesterday closed with a good bullish candle. As the NY seesion has begun now, I am anticipating price to retrace to the highlighted breaker block that accurately aligns with an IFVG as well.
I am waiting for the price to fall into my area where I will monitor price's reaction, if we see signs of ejection from the highlighted areas, I wuld love to take a Buy Trade.
Entry= If rice enters the Breaker and IFVG and shows a good rejection.
SL= 23340
TP= Today's highs or 23700.
Manage your risk according toyour capital and only enter the trade if we happen to see a good rejection from the area. Be patient and don't hurry.
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index continues its medium- to long-term uptrend and has recently reached a new high at 23,466 USD.
1️⃣ A break and close below 23,200 USD could lead to a pullback toward 23,000, followed by 22,920 USD.
2️⃣ However, if the price holds above 23,330 USD, further bullish continuation is expected, potentially leading to a new all-time high.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
NAS100 MAY FORM THE BEARISH HEAD AND SHOULDERS.NAS100 MAY FORM THE BEARISH HEAD AND SHOULDERS.
NAS100 has been trading sideways since the beginning of the week, forming local highs with lows staying at same price for the most part. The price seem to form the Head and Shoulders reversal pattern
What is a Head and Shoulders?
A Head and Shoulders pattern is a reversal chart pattern signaling a potential trend change. It consists of three peaks: two lower "shoulders" and a higher "head" in the middle, connected by a "neckline" (support level). A bullish (inverse) Head and Shoulders forms at a downtrend's end, signaling an uptrend; a bearish Head and Shoulders forms at an uptrend's end, signaling a downtrend.
Currently the SMA50 is pushing on NAS100 from above, while SMA200 is supporting the price. In case the SMA200 on 30-m minutes timeframe gets broken, we may see the decline towards 23,200.00 support level.
NAS100: Bullish Reversal from Key Support ZoneFirstly, our Algo-based indicators are used to create this analysis:
This 1-hour chart for NAS100 highlights a strong bullish reversal from a critical support level, suggesting a potential move back towards recent highs.
Analysis:
Support Bounce: The index experienced a sharp sell-off but found significant buying pressure within a key support zone marked between 22,677 and 22,829. This area, labeled "LSQB" (Liquidity Sweep Order Block) and including the "Daily Open," acted as a strong floor, triggering a V-shaped recovery.
Momentum Shift: The oscillator at the bottom of the chart confirms this shift in momentum. After dipping into the oversold "BUY" zone, the indicator has sharply reversed and is trending upwards with conviction, as indicated by the projected black arrow. This suggests that buyers have taken control in the short term.
Moving Averages: The price has decisively reclaimed the EMA 200 (the main green line), a key indicator often used to gauge the longer-term trend on a given timeframe. Holding above this level is a strong bullish sign.
Price Projection: The drawn black line illustrates the expected price path—a continued rally from the current level back towards the red resistance zone near the recent high of approximately 23,700.
Strategy:
Position: Long (Buy)
Entry: The bounce from the support zone has already been confirmed. Current levels could be seen as an entry, or traders might look for a minor pullback that holds above the EMA 200.
Target: The primary target is the red resistance zone around the 23,700 level.
Conclusion:
With the price reacting strongly to a key liquidity zone and momentum indicators confirming a bullish reversal, the path of least resistance for NAS100 appears to be upwards. The immediate target for this recovery is the recent high near 23,700.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately.
"NASDAQ 100 Heist – Scalp, Swing, or Hold? (Full Plan)🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST PLAN – BULLISH LOOT AWAITS! 🔥
🚨 Attention Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🚨
(Swing/Day Trade Strategy – High-Risk, High-Reward Play)
🎯 Mission Objective: Loot the NDX100/US100 (NASDAQ 100) Like a Pro!
Based on Thief Trading’s ruthless technical & fundamental analysis, we’re executing a bullish heist—targeting the Red Zone (high-risk, high-reward area).
⚠️ WARNING: Overbought market, consolidation zone, potential bear traps—weak bears may get slaughtered! Strong hands only!
🔐 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN!
"SWIPE THE BULLISH LOOT!" – Any price is a steal, but smart thieves use:
Buy Limit Orders (15m-30m TF) near recent swing lows/highs.
DCA/Layering Strategy – Multiple limit orders for max loot.
Breakout Confirmation – Don’t jump in early; wait for the real move!
🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Stash!
Thief’s SL Rule: Nearest 4H swing low (22,600) – WICK LEVEL ONLY!
DO NOT place SL before breakout! (Patience = Profit.)
Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders.
🎯 TARGETS: Escape Before the Cops Arrive!
Main Take-Profit: 24,400 (or exit early if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Longs ONLY! Use trailing SL to lock in profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the wave like a true market pirate!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: Why This Heist Will Work
Bullish momentum in NDX100 driven by:
Macro trends (Fed, inflation, tech earnings).
COT Report & Institutional positioning.
Geopolitical & Sentiment Shifts.
Intermarket correlations (USD, Bonds, Tech Sector).
(Stay updated—markets change FAST!)
⚠️ TRADING ALERT: News = Danger Zone!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your best friend.
Lock profits early if volatility spikes!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
👉 Hit LIKE & FOLLOW to strengthen our robbery crew!
🚀 More heists coming soon—stay tuned, thieves! 🚀
Nasdaq Index (US100 / NASDAQ) Technical Analysis:The Nasdaq index continues its medium- to long-term uptrend. Yesterday, it tested the 23,170$ level and rebounded upward, reaching 23,310$.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks and closes below 23,200$, it may decline toward 23,000$, followed by 22,920$.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above 23,300$, the uptrend is likely to continue toward a new high near 23,400$.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always monitor the markets and perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
NAS100 - How will the stock market react to the FOMC meeting?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. The target for this move will be the ceiling of the channel, but if it corrects towards the indicated support area, you can buy Nasdaq with better reward-risk.
As signs of easing global trade tensions begin to emerge, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet this week. Analysts widely expect the Fed to hold interest rates steady for a fifth consecutive time. This anticipated decision comes as the U.S. President continues to push for rate cuts, persistently pressuring the Fed to adopt a more accommodative monetary stance.
So far, the Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark rate within a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. While some officials project two cuts by the end of the year, markets are waiting for the Fed’s patience to run out. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, investors have priced in a 62% chance of a rate cut in the September meeting. By then, the Fed will have access to the July and August employment reports—key indicators of whether the labor market is weakening or remains resilient.
The upcoming week marks the peak of Q2 earnings season, with 37% of S&P 500 companies reporting results, including four major tech firms. In parallel, the August 1st tariff deadline for the EU and other countries is approaching, while legal challenges over existing tariffs remain ongoing.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, many large U.S. corporations have so far absorbed the bulk of tariff-related costs without passing them on to consumers. This strategy aims to maintain market share and avoid drawing criticism from President Trump. However, the question remains—how long can this continue?
Examples from the report include:
• General Motors paid over $1 billion in tariffs in Q2 alone without announcing any price hikes.
• Nike expects a $1 billion hit from tariffs this fiscal year and is planning price increases.
• Hasbro is working on a combination of price hikes and cost cuts to offset $60 million in tariff impacts.
• Walmart has made slight pricing adjustments (e.g., bananas rising from $0.50 to $0.54) and managed pressure through inventory reductions.
This week is shaping up to be one of the busiest on the economic calendar in recent months. A flood of key data on growth, inflation, and employment, alongside three major interest rate decisions, has markets on high alert.
On Tuesday, attention will turn to two significant reports: the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for July. These metrics will offer a clearer view of labor market dynamics and household sentiment heading into critical monetary policy decisions.
The most anticipated day is Wednesday. That day brings the ADP private payrolls report, the first estimate of Q2 GDP, and pending home sales data. Additionally, both the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve will announce rate decisions—events with the potential to simultaneously steer global market trajectories.
On Thursday, the July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index will be released—a key inflation gauge closely monitored by the Fed. Weekly jobless claims data will also be published that day.
The week concludes Friday with two heavyweight economic indicators: July’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, a crucial input for Fed policy decisions, and the ISM Manufacturing PMI, which offers insights into the health of the real economy.
Some economists argue that a September rate cut may be premature, and even suggest that no rate changes might occur in 2025. Analysts expect Fed Chair Jerome Powell to reiterate a data-dependent stance, consistent with previous meetings.
Still, beyond political dynamics, the July meeting holds independent significance.The Fed’s internal policy tone is gradually leaning more dovish, and subtle signals of this shift may emerge in the final statement. Given that only one meeting remains before September, if policymakers are leaning toward a rate cut then, it’s critical that the groundwork for such communication be laid now.