Mid Week Analyses 22/10/24
Welcome Traders,
Price has continued to consolidate within a range 20,524-20,063 for almost 2 weeks. Following the 23H HL signalled at 20,063.6, price has now retested the previous 23H HH thereby signalling a new 23H LH.
Since the 23H LH has now been signalled at 20,476.7, every timeframe from the Daily down, is at their highest point. As previously mentioned, the Daily TF still at a High and is in need of its HL to resume the uptrend of HH HL.
One important thing to note is the time taken for the 23H TF to signal its respective HL and now LH. The 23H HL was signalled in only 2 days while it took 5 days for the 23H LH to be signalled. Furthermore, it took 6 bullish candles to recover one bearish candle which signalled the HL.This is important to pay attention to because retracements are usually marked by extended periods of consolidation with low volume. Signs of buyer exhaustion are often indicated by small bodied bullish candles.
The 23H is LH is back at a resistance level where price previously retraced. This resistance level is indicated by the red zone. So it is possible for price to form a double top pattern and begin its retracement. Once price breaks the 23H HL at 20,063.6, the daily HL will signal.
Trading Plan:
1. I am only entering a swing buy position which can only be achieved by buying at the lowest price. Whereas the market may present short term opportunities, I am continuing to exercise patience waiting for a deeper retracement signalling the Daily HL.
2. Once the price retraces on the Daily TF, this will present a swing buy opportunity for me to enter.
3. Even if price continues bullish to break ATHs first, I will not enter the trade trying to chase the highs. Price must eventually retrace to signal a Daily HL and so it is just a matter of when.
