NDX trade ideas
Trade Setup Description (Buy Side) – US100 (Nasdaq 100) 5-MinuteI am taking a buy-side trade on US100 based on the following confluences:
Support & Trendline Respect:
Price respected a horizontal support level near 23,079.2 and is currently bouncing from a rising trendline, showing potential for a bullish move.
Bullish Candlestick Reaction:
After testing the trendline, bullish candles formed, indicating buying interest at this zone.
EMA 50 Reclaim Potential:
Price is attempting to reclaim the 50 EMA (currently at 23,141.3). A successful break and hold above it would confirm bullish momentum.
RSI Confirmation:
RSI is currently around 47 and curving upwards, indicating a potential reversal from oversold/neutral territory. The RSI yellow moving average is also turning up.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The setup has a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with the stop loss placed just below the trendline and recent wick low, and the target placed above the recent high around 23,264.5.
SELL USTEC 22.7.2025Confluence trade order: SELL at M15
Type of entry: Limit order
Condition:
- If the price break down THE LAST TOP confirming the down trend into H1.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom (23,146)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 23,184
- SL at 23,212
- TP1: 23,146
- TP2: 23,080
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
US 100 (NDQ) : Stay Heavy on PositionsApril Fear & Buy Signals
In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market.
At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions.
Markets swing between greed and fear—unless the whole country collapses. Right now, greed is taking the lead, but the real blow-off top volatility hasn’t even started yet.
Stay Heavy on Positions
Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100.
As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
NAS100 - Bullish Setup BuildingPair: NASDAQ (NAS100)
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview: 1H structure holding bullish after recent break of internal highs. Price pulling back toward a key demand zone.
LTF Confirmation: Waiting for price to mitigate the 1H Order Block, then drop to lower timeframes (15M → 5M) for confirmation entries.
Entry Zone: Watching for bullish reaction within OB, ideally paired with inducement or liquidity sweep before shift.
Targets: Short-term target is the next 1H high — extended targets align with overall bullish momentum continuation.
Mindset Note: Patience over prediction. Let price tap into the zone and confirm — don’t chase, just position smart.
Bless Trading!
#NDQ - Monthly Targets: 23721.73 or 21387.86?Date: 03-07-2025
#NDQ - Current Price: 22641.89
Pivot Point: 22554.80 Support: 22276.15 Resistance: 22835.11
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 23028.36
Target 2: 23221.62
Target 3: 23471.67
Target 4: 23721.73
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 22082.06
Target 2: 21887.98
Target 3: 21637.92
Target 4: 21387.86
USTEC 1H – Bullish Continuation Play🔥 USTEC 1H – Bullish Continuation Play
Price pulled back into a strong demand zone and ascending channel support. We're in a clear bullish trend, and this retest offers a high-probability continuation setup.
✅ Demand zone confluence
✅ Previous resistance turned support
✅ Trendline + bullish wick rejection
✅ Clean structure with 1:3+ potential
🎯 Targeting 23,250+ while SL remains below 22,990
Strategy: TCB – Trend Phase (Pullback Entry)
Checklist Score: 100% ✅ A+ setup
Bias: Bullish – continuation expected
#USTEC #NASDAQ100 #US100 #TechnicalAnalysis #TCBStrategy #PriceAction #ForexTrading #IndicesTrading #SmartMoney #BreakoutTrading #TrendTrading #ChartAnalysis #BullishSetup #TradeIdeas #TradingView
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USNAS100 | Bullish Setup Ahead of Tech Earnings & Trade RiskUSNAS100 | Bullish Setup Ahead of Tech Earnings & Trade Risk
U.S. equity markets are entering a pivotal week with big-tech earnings and renewed focus on Trump’s proposed trade tariffs. Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are hovering near record highs, but new catalysts are required for continuation.
Technical Outlook:
The price has stabilized above 23140, breaking the pivot and confirming bullish momentum. As long as the price holds above this level, the trend remains bullish, especially if it breaks the green triangle resistance structure.
A sustained move above 23140 opens the path toward 23250 and 23350, with further extension possible to 23510.
However, a 4H close below 23140 may activate a bearish correction toward 23045, and possibly deeper toward 22920 and 22820.
Resistance Levels: 23250 · 23350 · 23510
Support Levels: 23045 · 22920 · 22820
Bias: Bullish above 23140
Nasdaq 100: Market Optimism Builds Ahead of Big Tech EarningsNasdaq 100: Market Optimism Builds Ahead of Big Tech Earnings
The earnings season is gaining momentum. This week, major technology companies such as Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) are scheduled to release their quarterly results.
Given that 85% of the 53 S&P 500 companies that have already reported have exceeded analysts’ expectations, it is reasonable to assume that market participants are also anticipating strong results from the big tech names. The Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) set an all-time high last week — a level that may be surpassed (potentially more than once) before the end of August.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Price movements have formed an upward channel (marked in blue), with the following dynamics observed:
→ The bearish signals we highlighted on 7 July did not result in any significant correction. This may be interpreted as a sign of a strong market, as bearish momentum failed to materialise despite favourable technical conditions.
→ Buyers have shown initiative by gaining control at higher price levels (as indicated by the arrows): the resistance at 22,900 has been invalidated, while the 23,050 level has flipped to become support.
→ A long lower shadow near the bottom boundary of the channel (circled on the chart) underscores aggressive buying activity.
Should the earnings and forward guidance from major tech firms also come in strong, this could further reinforce the sustainable bullish trend in the US equity market.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NAS100 - Stock Market Awaits Tariffs!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. The target for this move will be the channel ceiling, but if it corrects towards the indicated support area, it is possible to buy Nasdaq with better reward to risk.
In a week once again clouded by trade tariff threats, the stock market reacted cautiously at times. However, what truly captured investors’ attention was growing concern over potential political interference in Federal Reserve policymaking—a development that influenced market sentiment and shifted the focus away from geopolitical tensions.
Despite political headwinds, U.S. economic data continued to show signs of resilience. Investors this week were more focused on corporate earnings and inflation data than on trade war rhetoric or speculation about Jerome Powell’s possible dismissal. While betting markets such as Polymarket raised the odds of Powell being removed to 40%, legally, the president cannot dismiss the Fed Chair without a valid cause—and allegations like “lying to Congress” lack legal standing.
Still, the greater danger lies not in Powell’s dismissal itself but in the potential erosion of the Federal Reserve’s independence—something that could unsettle investors in stocks, bonds, and currencies alike. Analysts expect Trump may soon appoint an ally as an informal or “shadow” Fed Chair, a move that would elevate political risk in financial markets.
Nevertheless, markets are continuing to operate along familiar lines: equities focus on corporate profits, the bond market on inflation and growth, and the currency market on relative returns. For now, the takeaway is clear: Trump is winning—but perhaps only temporarily.
Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer at BlackRock, noted that despite trade tensions and inflation concerns, tariffs have had limited impact so far. Following the June CPI report, he pointed out that inflation ticked up slightly—core CPI rose by 0.23% monthly and 2.93% annually, while headline inflation was up 0.29% monthly and 2.67% annually—but the broader trend still reflects easing price pressures.
Rieder attributed this to companies acting preemptively, managing inventory and adjusting supply chains to avoid passing on costs to consumers. He also cited easing wage pressures and a weakening labor market as factors contributing to the decline in inflation.
As such, Rieder believes the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates in September, though a cut in July is less likely, as the central bank would prefer to assess the impact of tariffs first.
According to the Wall Street Journal, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant privately urged Trump not to remove Jerome Powell. Besant warned that such an action could cause unnecessary turbulence in financial markets and the broader economy, and would also face legal and political hurdles. He emphasized that the Fed is already signaling potential rate cuts later this year, and confronting Powell now would be unwarranted.
A source noted that Besant reminded Trump the economy is performing well, and markets have responded positively to administration policies—another reason to avoid drastic moves.
On another front, rising long-term bond yields have become a concern for Besant, as they increase the government’s borrowing costs.He has been working to keep yields in check and believes firing Powell could further escalate them—hence his conversation with Trump aimed at dissuasion.
The coming week will begin with market attention on the European Central Bank’s rate decision, which could set the tone for Eurozone monetary policy in the second half of the year. Meanwhile, a series of key U.S. economic data will be released, providing a clearer view of conditions in employment, production, and housing.
On Tuesday, Jerome Powell will deliver an opening speech at an official event in Washington. While he is unlikely to directly address Trump’s recent verbal attacks, investors will be listening closely for any subtle references to Fed independence or interest rate direction.
On Wednesday, the June existing home sales report will be released, which could indicate whether housing demand remains steady or is weakening.
Thursday will be a packed day on the economic calendar. The ECB’s rate decision will be announced—an event under heavy scrutiny amid Eurozone stagnation. In the U.S., preliminary PMI data from S&P, weekly jobless claims, and new home sales will also be published.
Finally, the week will wrap up on Friday with the release of U.S. durable goods orders—an important gauge of capital investment in the manufacturing sector.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Continuation Confirmed
NASDAQ Index broke and closed above a resistance of a horizontal
parallel channel on a daily.
It confirms a bullish trend continuation and a highly probable growth
to the next strong resistance.
Goal - 23300
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CALL THE MARKETS - XAUUSD ANALYSISWE HAVE
ona
kyle
Hasan
Ashlee
Mav
We are looking for the new red candle to drop down to 23100 area. from the 23100 to see continuation or a reversal towards ATH for a rejection to continue down to our lower Blue square area.
obviously we will wait for more news but thats what we are looking a for now.
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily
• Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill)
o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus.
o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages).
o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns.
• Seasonality
o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks.
• Monthly structure
o Strong bullish monthly candles.
o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852.
• Weekly / Daily structure
o HH-HL sequence continues.
o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300.
o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet.
________________________________________
Key Levels
• Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH)
• Recent swing high: 22,900
• Daily pivot: 22,470
• Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP)
• Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish)
________________________________________
My View – Most Likely Path
1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone.
o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs.
o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus.
2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300:
o Expect strong rejection from that zone.
o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs.
o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation.
3. Alternate scenario (less likely)
o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH.
o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend.
________________________________________
Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing
Intraday Long (Most Likely)
• Bias: Bullish continuation
• Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP)
• Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up
• Stop: Below 22,300.
• Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300.
________________________________________
Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal)
• Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab
• Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300
• Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle
• Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation).
• Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates.
________________________________________
Swing Long (Continuation)
• Bias: Bullish trend intact
• Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up.
• Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates).
• Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above.
________________________________________
Swing Short (Only if structure breaks)
• Trigger: Daily close below 22,200
• Bias: Bearish trend shift
• Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA.
________________________________________
Summary – My Final Opinion
Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.
Nas100• Daily: Price is nearing the upper boundary of a rising wedge pattern — showing signs of overextension.
• 4H: Strong bullish structure with clean breaks and retests of minor consolidation ranges.
• 1H: Small range developing after recent high. A deeper pullback to 22,960–22,880 would offer a cleaner entry for continuation.
⚠️ Watch For:
• Wedge resistance on the daily chart.
• Bullish continuation only valid above 23,040.
• If we break below the 4H support zone (around 22,880), short-term pullbacks are likely.
NAS100 - Bullish Trend Continuation Setup• Pair: NAS100 (Nasdaq)
• Bias: Bullish
• HTF Overview (4H):
• Strong bullish structure and momentum from last week.
• Price consistently printing higher highs with no signs of reversal.
• MTF Refinement (30M):
• Waiting for a clean sweep of SSL (sell-side liquidity).
• Looking for price to dip into 30M OB for continuation opportunity.
• Entry Zone:
• Watch 30M OB — once price sweeps liquidity and confirms, execute long.
• Targets:
• Structure highs / previous weekly highs.
• Mindset Note:
• Simple execution plan — ride the trend, trust the structure.
• Wait for confirmation before switching from analyst to trader mode.
Bless Trading!