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NVDA trade ideas

Nvidia - That's Officially The Brutal End!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is breaking all structure: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Following previous cycles, Nvidia has been rallying for more than 2 years, creating an overall pump of approximately +1.000%. But now, everything is literally pointing to a significant towards the downside and with a potential drop of -30%, bears are totally taking over Nvidia now. Levels to watch: $70 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
57
NVIDIA’s crushing it as the undisputed king of AI chipsNVIDIA’s crushing it as the undisputed king of AI chips, owning a jaw-dropping 70-95% market share. Their GPUs are the beating heart of data centers worldwide, powering the AI revolution with unstoppable momentum. Last four quarters? A cool $80B in revenue—growth that’s pure rocket fuel. Net margins at +56% scream profitability, while a forward P/E of 23.3 (cheaper than Starbucks!) makes it a steal for this kind of dominance. EPS projected to soar +29% annually over the next five years? That’s long-term winning vibes. Their Blackwell Ultra chip, set to drop at GTC today, is about to flex even more muscle, and the Vera Rubin superchip’s got tech heads buzzing. Zero debt worries, industry-leading margins, and a massive addressable market—NVIDIA’s fundamentals are a fortress. Sure, trade war noise and a 10% YTD dip spook some, but this oversold gem (RSI 34) is primed to rally hard. Jensen Huang’s a visionary steering this beast, and with AI demand exploding, NVDA’s not just hot—it’s molten. Time to ride this wave, Freund!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by imcnf5c4ff
3
BUBBLE RUN of global marketsTheory! I just like to visualize similar global market events. NASDAQ:NVDA now vs. Cisco from 1991-2002 — it looks almost identical. The years 2026-27 could mark the final stage of the current “bubble run”: > an enormous number of crypto ETFs (even for worthless shitcoins) > overleveraged funds, from small players to industry leaders > AI projects with minimal revenue but insanely high infrastructure costs > soaring Gold prices alongside a decade-long decline in the U.S. manufacturing index, all while the stock market remains expensive > OpenAI, crypto exchanges, and AI companies with no real revenue planning IPOs in 2026+ I believe we are currently in a Bubble Run! This could be great for Bitcoin, because historically, Gold (over the past 100 years) has reached all-time highs during the final phase of a stock market bubble and continued rising until the market’s final dip. Then, smart money starts a new bull cycle — selling gold to buy cheap stocks.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by sholi_software
5
NVIDIA Rounding Top: Bearish Swings Q1 2025TA Nvidia demonstrated strong growth throughout 2024. However, this year, it has shown rather a poor performance. When an uptrend started to weaken, it gave off subtle signals before a full reversal happened on the horizon. One of the first clues is that the highs collectively begin to appear curved compared with initial rough growth. This reflects the loss of aggressive bullish intent, showing hesitation and vulnerability to a reversal. The price still makes higher highs, but the incremental gain between each peak shrinks. This declining magnitude in price advancement suggests that buyers are gradually losing strength with each move. These shallow bullish waves often get sold into quickly, showing early distribution behavior. Simultaneously, it takes longer time for price to reach each successive high . When higher highs occur at reduced frequency, the rally phases become stretched out. This indicates buyers are struggling, and sellers are gaining time-based control. Extended Rounding Top Pattern Price crosses above the rounding top Indicates a failed reversal and potential bullish breakout. Suggests renewed buying strength and possible trend continuation. I'd recommend using confirmation tools like volume spikes and momentum indicators which are essential to validate the breakout. Price reaches the rounding top and stalls or reverses Confirms the bearish reversal signal of the pattern. Acts as a strong resistance zone, often leading to a downtrend. Alongside with fibs, it can be used as a cue to take profits, exit long trades, or enter short positions. FUNDAMENTALS Catalysts of Bearish Swings A transition phase characterized by a series of sharp bearish swings, marked by a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, shaping a well-defined downward channel. Drop #1: ATH → Higher Low (Early January 2025) After Nvidia’s euphoric 2024 AI hype rally, it was a matter of time as some institutional Investors locked in profits, causing initial drop. Valuation metrics (P/E; P/S) reached extremes creating grounds for a correction. The Fed’s January meeting hinted at fewer rate cuts than the market expected. Rising Treasury yields pressured tech stocks. The U.S. government has imposed strict export controls on advanced semiconductors, AI chips and related technology to China. Drop #2: Lower High → Lower Low (Late January to February 2025) While Nvidia beat Q4 earnings expectations, its forward guidance disappointed. Management cited softening data center orders and consumer GPU inventory corrections. Concerns about potential erosion in gross margins due to increasing costs and competitive pricing pressure from AMD and Intel. AI infrastructure spending was plateauing faster than expected, leading to re-ratings across the sector. Drop #3: Second Lower High → Second Lower Low (Mid to Late February through Early March 2025) Several investment banks downgraded semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, amid fears of a cyclical slowdown and oversupply risks in H2 2025. In early March, broader indices dropped due to hot inflation prints in February. Fed’s stance during testimony to Congress indicated a higher interest rate outlook. Reports emerged about delays in next-gen chip production due to yield issues at TSMC and logistics constraints, fueling investor anxiety. Renewed export control tightening and U.S.-China friction were again cited as major concerns earlier this year. These concerns were part of the bearish narrative during Nvidia’s downward structure, especially during Drop #1 and Drop #2 where investors began pricing in geopolitical and regulatory headwinds. Events & Economic catalysts to monitor (before buying heavy): Nvidia Earnings Q1 2025 Mid to Late May 2025 Why it matters: Forward guidance, Data Center/AI segment growth, margin updates, and China sales commentary will heavily impact sentiment and trend direction. U.S. CPI (Inflation) Reports April 10, 2025 (March CPI) Remember: Hot inflation = higher rate expectations → tech sector sell-off. Watch for YoY core CPI trends. U.S. Jobs Report (NFP) April 4, 2025 Keep in mind: Strong labor = sticky inflation = Fed hawkishness → higher discount rates on growth stocks. Semiconductor Industry Conferences ・NVIDIA GTC (GPU Technology Conference) – usually held Spring or Fall ・Semicon West 2025 – typically July Track the progress: Product launches, AI roadmaps, new partnerships, and forward tech strategy updates often revealed.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by fract
1
Nvidia Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving CarsNVIDIA Corporation, a computing infrastructure company, provides graphics and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, and internationally Partners With General Motors to Build Self-driving Cars. Also in another news, IBM Taps NVIDIA AI Data Platform Technologies to Accelerate AI at Scale. Apparently, shares of Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is undeterred by all this news presently down 3.43% trading with a weak RSI of 44. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement point is acting as support point for shares of NVidia a break below that pivot could lead to a dip to the 1-month axis. Similarly, a breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point could catalyse a bullish renaissance for $NVDA.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
4
$NVDA H&S on Monthly...Linking previous short of NVDA. The right shoulder is technically not finished forming. However that trendline was tested not long ago.... will it hold? Who knows. First target would be ~$100. If this plays out there will likely be a larger mark down phase consisting of retail panic selling. This will push toward $80 with a possible shakeout near the low/mid $70s before a long term accumulation process begins by big money. Just because I am short on the stock does not mean I don't believe in the company or stock longer term. Have money on the sidelines to buy incase this plays out.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by stevenxborer
2
NVidia Long Lurking. 93% Win Rate.This morning I finished back testing NVidia from 1999. I used 25k as the start up capital but that is besides the point. The Point is that indicators are pointing out that the next long around is "around the corner". Similar to TESLA but NVidia has bigger. When can we expect this to happen? So on average from when the indicators start whispering that a long position might be coming up is an average of 60 days. But following simply this methodology is risky on its own as some signals are produced 15 days and some at 160 days. There is also another approach that intrigues me. A handful of the signals are almost back to back which is great for multiple entries when you measure just these the average is about 240 days. This coincides with Crypto's ETH which has given its heads up signal, which is an average 241.5 days. This all speculation at the end of the day and the signal will come when it does. So why post this if it could be that far ahead? I thought I would let people know that indicators are whispering. Here are some other indicators to take note of: The higher timeframes are a bit more clearer at the moment. The snapshot as of now indicates some sort of move downwards. This could be 96-98 region in the shorter term especially if we are expecting 60 days before a buy signal is produced. The back testing did also reveal that no signal was produced from 2011 to about 2018. It did catch the massive moves up but the exit signal did cut the party short in a few trades. The last signal was in October 2022 which was the Covid Rally. So it could indicate something big is coming globally but let me put my tinfoil hat down. Stay adaptable and Open minded.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Thundercat131
4
Consider a Long Position: Nvidia Poised for AI-Driven Growth- Key Insights: Nvidia remains a robust choice for investors seeking exposure to AI technology innovation. The stock recently advanced by over 5%, indicative of strong positive momentum in the semiconductor sector. Nvidia's strategic positioning in AI and computing technologies, along with the backing of seasoned investors, bodes well for its future trajectory. The GTC conference may serve as a pivotal catalyst for further appreciation in Nvidia’s market value. - Price Targets: For the upcoming week, consider the following levels for a long position. Target 1 (T1) is set at $127, and Target 2 (T2) is at $135. Stop Level 1 (S1) is $116, and Stop Level 2 (S2) is conservatively placed at $112. These targets account for Nvidia's recent performance, market momentum, and anticipated technical challenges. - Recent Performance: Nvidia has demonstrated remarkable resilience, aiding in the semiconductor sector's recovery with a noteworthy rise in its stock, particularly over the past week. This performance underscores its pivotal role in the AI chip market and its capacity to drive growth during broader market rebounds. - Expert Analysis: Analysts continue to express a bullish stance on Nvidia, emphasizing its technological leadership and potential for long-term growth. Despite recent market corrections, the general sentiment reflects confidence in Nvidia's trajectory. Industry voices like Brad Gersner view current valuations as an appealing entry point for heightened future returns, driven by the company’s advancements in AI and ecosystem integration. - News Impact: Nvidia's participation in upcoming key events like the GTC conference has the potential to bolster market sentiment significantly. Announcements on next-generation AI developments and products could catalyze further stock appreciation. Additionally, Nvidia’s recognition in AI circles and strategic innovations solidify its competitive edge amidst global technological challenges and geopolitical factors. The entry of new competitors like Deep Seek, however, adds an element of market complexity that investors should watch closely.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
2
Going Long on NVDA !NVIDIA (NVDA) has been a powerhouse stock, riding the wave of AI, gaming, and data center demand. Recently, the stock experienced a correction, which might have caused some investors to hesitate. However, from an Elliott Wave 2.0 perspective, this pullback was nothing more than a natural ABC correction following a classic 1-2-3-4-5 impulse wave—a textbook setup for long-term bulls. Understanding the ABC Correction in NVDA In Elliott Wave theory, after a strong five-wave rally, the market typically experiences a three-wave pullback (ABC correction) before continuing its long-term uptrend. This correction serves to shake out weak hands, reset overbought conditions, and set the stage for the next bullish impulse. The A-wave is the initial drop as profit-taking kicks in. The B-wave is the temporary bounce, often mistaken for a continuation. The C-wave completes the correction, offering smart investors an ideal entry point. NVDA’s recent pullback aligns perfectly with this structure, meaning the next leg up could be just around the corner. Why NVDA Remains a Strong Long-Term Bet AI Dominance – NVIDIA is at the center of the AI revolution, with its GPUs leading the industry. Data Center Growth – Demand for high-performance computing continues to surge. Technical Reset – The stock has worked off overbought conditions and is finding new support levels. The Opportunity: A Strategic Long Entry Now that the ABC correction has played out, NVDA presents an excellent long entry for those looking to ride the next bullish wave. With strong fundamentals and a technical reset, the stock is primed for another 1-2-3-4-5 impulse move, potentially leading to new all-time highs. For traders who understand market structure, this is a golden opportunity to go long before the next explosive rally begins. 🚀
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SabahEquityResearch
2
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NASDAQ:NVDA
by terencej
2
$NVDA down Nvidia's inaugural Quantum Day, scheduled for March 20 during its GTC 2025 conference, underscores the company's commitment to advancing quantum computing. This event brings together industry leaders to discuss current capabilities and future potential, highlighting Nvidia's recognition of quantum technology's growing significance. Impact on Technology Stocks: The announcement of Quantum Day has already influenced the stock market. Quantum computing companies like D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti Computing, and IonQ have experienced notable stock price increases, reflecting investor optimism about upcoming developments and collaborations that may be unveiled during the event. Implications for Quantum Computing and AI: By dedicating a day to quantum computing, Nvidia signals its intent to integrate quantum advancements with artificial intelligence (AI). This integration could lead to significant breakthroughs in processing capabilities, enabling more complex AI models and applications. The focus on quantum computing at GTC 2025 suggests that Nvidia aims to position itself at the forefront of this convergence, potentially accelerating the commercialization of quantum technologies in AI. In summary, Nvidia's Quantum Day signifies a strategic move to embrace and promote quantum computing, with anticipated positive effects on technology stocks and the future landscape of AI and computational technologies.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TwoBULLISH
1
Nvidia (NVDA) Bullish Opportunity – GTC 2025 & AI GrowthCurrent Price: $121.67 ✅ TP1: $130 – (short-term resistance, +7%) ✅ TP2: $145 – (medium-term breakout target, +19%) ✅ TP3: $175 – (analyst target, +43%) 🔥 Why Bullish? 1️⃣ GTC 2025 Conference (March 17-21) CEO Jensen Huang’s Keynote (March 18) is expected to unveil: Blackwell Ultra (B300 series): Next-gen AI GPU with 288GB memory. Rubin GPU Preview: NVIDIA’s roadmap beyond 2026. Quantum Day (March 20): NVIDIA’s first quantum event, showcasing its role in quantum simulation despite earlier skepticism—potentially broadening its tech leadership. Market Sentiment: High anticipation for AI & chip updates, with some seeing 30%-50% upside if AI demand is reaffirmed (e.g., new contracts, backlog growth). 2️⃣ Analyst Ratings & Price Targets Strong Buy Consensus from analysts. Average 12-Month Price Target: $174.79 → +43.59% upside. Price Target Range: $120 (low) to $220 (high). 3️⃣ Technical Setup – Breakout Potential Falling Channel Formation – Price is bouncing from strong support (~$115). MACD Bullish Crossover – Momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. Breakout Level: Above $130 would trigger stronger upside.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ValchevFinance
2
Will you dare to short NVDIA at 122? Shorting NVDIA something no one would have dared to do in 2024 and rightfully so. It was having a massive uptrend and there was no reason to go against it. 2025 is completely different story. The emergence of DeepSeek has dampened its prospects and NVDIA saw a massive double top at 152 (The same time S&P reversed at 6144). It has now fallen to a low of 107 and made its way back to 121 where there is a pattern to sell. Here is our thinking: 1) It is in a daily downtrend 2) It is following the H4 trend 3) There is a pattern to sell 4) RSI divergence is present We will sell around 122 with a stop loss of 125.50 and target the low of 107. Yes, we just follow the trend and not the news or sentiments.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by JavonDias_Trading
2
3/20/25 - $nvda - Patient, but path to $10 tn (LONGER READ sry!)3/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA Patient, but path to $10 tn - as we reflect on this crack tape, i'd like to share a few thoughts here, hopefully keeping it a bit punchy and we can duke it out/ debate in the comments. - objectively, the level of HPC/ AI compute is accelerating up the S curve. - nvidia's customers are the most price inelastic buyers you could want in a recession. microsoft. tesla. amazon. nation states *cough*. these aren't BNPL customers ordering burritos and a side of GPU chips thru doordash. - NVIDIA's platform won. such that they don't screw the pooch and their 35k engineers all focused on a singular issue don't decide to go solve some unrelated market (/sarc bc we know Jensen's style), effectively there's no "rebuilding" NVIDIA. ASICs will eventually come, but they won't dominate. In the chip business, there's a reason each vertical tends toward 70... 80... 90% market share players. - the real issue here, when i run the math (and i've built out my own model tn to wrap my head around this all), is really *where* we are on this S-curve. the mkt is concerned about a few things, and actually, the macro/ risk assets and long-duration i.e. discount rate seem to be more important than fundamentals. that's a good thing, BUT, in the short-term it can really dislocate price. and price tells a story. and that story can distract. it can avert your attention. it can make you nervous (on the converse, fomo). so it's good to have a clear idea of what's going on here, which is why i underwent this exercise. - all-else equal, as beats, communication and sector dominance remain (and they don't need to be massive beats, just not misses that portend lower growth in the terminal), my estimates put NVDA's mkt cap close to 10 tn. - but at shy of $3 tn today, that 3x LIKELY will take 2-3 years to play out and will largely be driven by the short term climb of the S-curve, and more immediately driven by, again, terminal rates. - fair value today ex-beats but with lower terminal rates likely takes the stock toward $5 tn (and i'd expect this to be a reasonably year-end target) or a stock of $200. let's call that move 2/3 "macro" and 1/3 "fundamental" - and the remainder of the move toward doubling likely happens over the following 2 years because more data will need to be collected by the market to assess this dominance, cash generation etc. etc. - okay this isn't a punchy write up... at this pt. excuse me! - so what's the downside? again, there's a lot we can and should duke out in comments to shorten the conclusion here, but i'd suggest something closer to $2 tn for a variety of reasons. that's nearly 30% downside or a stock in the $80s. do we get there? no clue. but in this environment, we've seen how deepseek headlines, blackwell overheating rumors (which btw remain), asic announcements, chinese "competition" etc. etc. all affect the bid. and i'd suggest that a 30% downside for a potential 70% upside into year-end remains a great risk-reward here at $120 today. - my guess would be that long-term buyers accumulate at these levels and we probably get taken closer to the $130s... even $140s before this becomes more of a complicated equation. - that being said, it's a clear buy, IMO, at this price, in a YE context and especially in a multi-year context given downside to upside potential and the work i've put in here. truly a one-of-a-kind asset that has actually held it's own against BTC in the last 10 years (THE ONLY of any real market cap) TL;DR - still a great buy at $120 - downside below $100 and it's obvious. buying that fear, possibly on leverage in the $80s. - not using leverage ST in this environment - YE target of $200 - unfortunately more of a macro punching bag ST but fundamentals remain the meat of the 2-3 year move and so far, don't see any flaws. lmk what u think. V
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VROCKSTAR