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NVDA trade ideas

NVIDIA (NVDA) | Long Bias | Key Supply Zone| (April 2025)NVIDIA (NVDA) | Long Bias | Watching Key Supply Zone + Overvaluation Risk | (April 2025) 1️⃣ Quick Insight: NVIDIA has been in a strong uptrend since November 2024, but price is now approaching a critical zone around $120–122. We’ve seen a key liquidity grab around the August highs, and the price has been pushing upward since. However, there are signs of possible correction ahead. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long (with caution at resistance) Entry: Already in from $94 zone (liquidity area) Stop Loss: Below $94 (liquidity base) TP1: $120 – Watch this for potential rejection TP2: $143 – If breakout happens Final Target: $153 – Previous high area Correction Watch: Potential ABC correction back to $106 or even retesting $94 before continuation 3️⃣ Key Notes: We're currently in a parallel channel, and NVDA continues to move higher. However, valuation risk is real. Based on fundamentals, NVDA appears overvalued — with a price-to-sales ratio near 20 and book value suggesting a much lower fair value. Earnings have been decent, but cash flow and valuation metrics don’t support this kind of rally sustainably. A rejection from $120 could lead to a short-term correction. This move could be deeper if macro risks arise — such as tariff threats or negative headlines from political events (e.g., Trump-related trade policies). Always monitor broader tech sentiment (QQQ, NDX) when analyzing NVDA. 4️⃣ Follow-up: I'll continue watching price action near $120 and update the idea if structure changes significantly. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Nvidia : Should I be worried?Looking closely at Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , we can see that since March, the price has gravitated back to the Point of Control (POC) on the volume profile. From there, we’ve seen a solid reaction — up around 33%, after Nvidia had previously taken a sharp hit from its recent top. In my view, it’s very possible that Wave 4 is now complete. It’s been a very complex, sideways consolidation, but that’s typical behavior for a fourth wave. Zoom out, and the bigger picture looks a lot cleaner — this whole range doesn’t seem nearly as messy on the higher timeframes. That said, I’m not fully bullish yet. For me, $122 is the key level. Only once we break and hold above $122, I’ll shift into a more confidently bullish stance. Until then, it’s still possible we revisit the $80–$85 range, maybe even sweep the previous low. It doesn’t have to happen, but structurally, it’s still on the table. Given the broader uncertainty — macroeconomic pressure, U.S.–China tensions, regulatory noise — I’m staying cautious. For now, I’m mainly focused on this from an 8-hour chart perspective. Until we get that confirmation above $122, I’m not rushing into any aggressive positions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by stromm
simple chart of what I seeAnyone who knows me know I like to make simple charts that get to the point. Nothing fancy. Just lots of lines. Anyway, I did a ghost feed so you can get an idea of where I think we go from here. I seriously doubt we see any big changes until earnings. Unless China gets their heads out of the you know what, we will trade like this for a little while. I do feel there is hoppe. If NVIDIA has strong earnings , it could be enough push it to new highs. I would use caution. You will see by my chart we started off with an ascending wedge, moved right into a descending wedge and now I feel we will rinse and repeat. All the while ultimately creating new highs and new lows. Anywhere you see horizontal lines is where I see resistance. And yes, I do still think we could drop below 100 again, so get your buy fingers ready :) Not financial advice! Just an old trader's ideas. If we break above 130 before now and earnings, consider it could be a nice ride up!!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Jerseyboy79
Bad News from NVDA and ASML Put Pressure on AI StocksTwo pieces of bad news hit the chip sector in a single day. First, the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia, blocking the sale of its H20 chip to China. H20 was the only AI chip Nvidia could legally sell to China under existing regulations. The company stated the new restrictions could cost up to $5.5 billion. The second blow came from ASML’s earnings report. ASML is the sole producer of EUV machines, which are critical for manufacturing advanced chips, including those used in AI. ASML's revenue miss, combined with the Nvidia news, weighed heavily on technology stocks. However, there is a silver lining: the revenue miss was due to weaker DUV machine sales, which are used for more basic chips. EUV sales actually beat market expectations by 33.54%, indicating that investment in AI infrastructure remains strong. Nvidia shares are down more than 6% in premarket trading. This downward pressure may continue after the market opens. If the price drops below 100, it could present a buying opportunity for medium- to long-term investors. AI investment continues globally, and countries outside the U.S. are likely to accelerate their efforts to catch up. Despite the recent negative sentiment, there is no major change in the long-term outlook for the sector.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ftdsystem
NVIDIA Plunges After $5.5B Writedown! GEX + TA Outlook 📰 News Catalyst: NVIDIA (NVDA) crashed over 6% after-hours following the disclosure of a $5.5B charge related to U.S. export restrictions. The company’s H20 AI chips, intended for China, have been rendered unsellable due to newly enforced licensing restrictions — prompting a massive writedown and raising investor concerns. 📊 Technical Analysis – 1H Chart: Market Structure: * Breakdown from an ascending support line signals short-term bearish momentum. * Strong bounce attempt at the 105 level, which aligns with prior structure and GEX PUT support. * Resistance now firmly stacked at 113, 114, and especially 115.44, where price previously rejected hard. Indicators: * EMA/VWAP rejection confirms trend shift. * MACD has crossed bearish with increasing momentum. * RSI dropped into oversold territory (below 35), confirming selling pressure. 🔮 GEX Insights – Options Sentiment: * Heavy CALL Walls sit at 113–116, with the strongest wall at 115.44, now acting as a firm ceiling unless a gamma flip occurs. * PUT Support builds around 105, with the next wall lower at 100. This structure suggests downside remains open if 105 breaks again. * IVR is at 33.3, and IVx is falling by 20%, hinting at possible IV crush risk despite price volatility. * Dealers are likely net short gamma, meaning continued downward movement could fuel more forced selling. 🧠 Thoughts & Strategy: Bias remains bearish unless bulls can reclaim and close above the 109.2–110 area. If 105 fails again on high volume, momentum likely drives price toward 100, where the next major PUT Wall sits. Beyond that, 92.64 is the next major structure from previous swing lows. A bounce is only favorable if 105 holds firm with a high-volume reclaim above VWAP and a bullish signal from RSI or MACD. 🎯 Trade Setups: Bearish Setup: * Entry below 105 * Target 1: 100 * Target 2: 92.64 * Stop Loss: Above 109.2 Bullish Countertrend (Risky): * Entry: 105.50 reclaim with confirmation * Target: 109.2, then 113 * Stop Loss: Below 104.8 ⚠️ Final Take: NVDA is under serious pressure from both a fundamental shock and a gamma-driven technical breakdown. With GEX showing strong PUT dominance and CALL walls stacked above, the path of least resistance remains down unless bulls reclaim key zones. Keep risk tight and let price confirm. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk wisely.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
FREE Day Trade Setup 15April: $NVDA🚨 FREE Day Trade Setup: NASDAQ:NVDA 🚨 🚀 Bullish Scenario: Entry: Break above $111.88 (S/R Area) 🎯 Targets: 10% / $112.70, $114.05, PDH 📈 Instruments: Options: April 18th $112 Calls 🚪 Exit: Close below H5 on chosen timeframe (2m / 5m / 15m) 📉 Bearish Scenario: Entry: Break below PDL at $109.07 🎯 Targets: 10% / $108.01, $106.92, $105.77 📉 Instruments: Options: April 18th $109 Puts 🚪 Exit: Close below H5 on chosen timeframe (2m / 5m / 15m) Not Financial Advice
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RonnieV29
Support Zone: 106.19 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (NVDA Chart) The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart was formed at 106.19. Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 106.19. - (30m chart) If it falls below 106.19, 1st: M-Signal indicator on 1M chart 2nd: HA-Low indicator on 30m chart You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. - (1D chart) Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart has been newly created, the key is whether it can be supported near this area and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart. If so, it is expected to turn into a short-term uptrend. If not, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend, so the current position is an important section. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope your transaction will be successful. --------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:NVDA
by readCrypto
NVDA Stock – Bullish Outlook Based on Technical & FundamentalI'm bullish on Nvidia (NVDA) and currently see a strong opportunity to enter the stock at $114.32, targeting a take profit at $137.22, with a conservative stop loss set at $105.00. Technical Analysis At present, NVDA is trading within a consolidation range between $75.61 and $152.78. Historically, this zone has shown consistent buying pressure on dips, while selling pressure has remained weak, indicating that bulls are firmly in control during this accumulation phase. Most notably, the last weekly candle closed with a strong bullish signal, reinforcing our confidence in a potential breakout or upward continuation within the current range. With buyers showing dominance in this zone and no significant bearish momentum on the horizon, the technical setup supports a favorable risk-to-reward long trade. Trade Setup Entry: $114.32 Stop Loss: $105.00 Take Profit: $137.22 This setup offers a clear structure for both risk management and profit-taking as we anticipate further upside momentum. Fundamental Analysis Nvidia continues to be the undisputed leader in the AI revolution. As the maker of the world’s highest-performance GPUs, NVDA is powering cutting-edge technologies from AI to gaming, data centers, and autonomous driving. Its recently launched Blackwell architecture already generated $11 billion in its first quarter — demand is so intense that customers are willing to wait for access. What sets Nvidia apart is its aggressive innovation cycle. The company has committed to annual GPU updates and maintains a clear roadmap through the next two years. This rapid pace ensures it stays ahead of competitors and keeps customer interest high. Beyond GPUs, Nvidia offers a complete suite of AI products and services, positioning itself as a holistic AI ecosystem provider. Even more exciting is its entry into quantum computing, with a research center under construction in Boston — a long-term bet that could pay off massively in the next tech era. While short-term tariff-related volatility could cause minor pullbacks, Nvidia’s fundamentals remain incredibly strong. Trading at just 23x forward earnings, this stock still looks like a bargain considering its future growth potential.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SupertradeOfficial
WHERE TO HOOK THE FISH NVDAGood Morning, Quick Review on NVDA: Resistance Level: 119$-123$ - NVDA formed a resistance point at this level. There are no secondary resistance. Support Level: 94$-97$ - NVDA formed one support at this level, looking for a retest or a secondary support above this level. Price Action Zone - 97$-119$ Trend Line: 104$ - 113$ - Price point was rejected 3 times above this trend line. Currently I am waiting for a secondary confirmed support to enter a trade with NVDA. Enjoy
NASDAQ:NVDA
by mindfullylost
3/20/25 - $nvda - Patient, but path to $10 tn (LONGER READ sry!)3/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA Patient, but path to $10 tn - as we reflect on this crack tape, i'd like to share a few thoughts here, hopefully keeping it a bit punchy and we can duke it out/ debate in the comments. - objectively, the level of HPC/ AI compute is accelerating up the S curve. - nvidia's customers are the most price inelastic buyers you could want in a recession. microsoft. tesla. amazon. nation states *cough*. these aren't BNPL customers ordering burritos and a side of GPU chips thru doordash. - NVIDIA's platform won. such that they don't screw the pooch and their 35k engineers all focused on a singular issue don't decide to go solve some unrelated market (/sarc bc we know Jensen's style), effectively there's no "rebuilding" NVIDIA. ASICs will eventually come, but they won't dominate. In the chip business, there's a reason each vertical tends toward 70... 80... 90% market share players. - the real issue here, when i run the math (and i've built out my own model tn to wrap my head around this all), is really *where* we are on this S-curve. the mkt is concerned about a few things, and actually, the macro/ risk assets and long-duration i.e. discount rate seem to be more important than fundamentals. that's a good thing, BUT, in the short-term it can really dislocate price. and price tells a story. and that story can distract. it can avert your attention. it can make you nervous (on the converse, fomo). so it's good to have a clear idea of what's going on here, which is why i underwent this exercise. - all-else equal, as beats, communication and sector dominance remain (and they don't need to be massive beats, just not misses that portend lower growth in the terminal), my estimates put NVDA's mkt cap close to 10 tn. - but at shy of $3 tn today, that 3x LIKELY will take 2-3 years to play out and will largely be driven by the short term climb of the S-curve, and more immediately driven by, again, terminal rates. - fair value today ex-beats but with lower terminal rates likely takes the stock toward $5 tn (and i'd expect this to be a reasonably year-end target) or a stock of $200. let's call that move 2/3 "macro" and 1/3 "fundamental" - and the remainder of the move toward doubling likely happens over the following 2 years because more data will need to be collected by the market to assess this dominance, cash generation etc. etc. - okay this isn't a punchy write up... at this pt. excuse me! - so what's the downside? again, there's a lot we can and should duke out in comments to shorten the conclusion here, but i'd suggest something closer to $2 tn for a variety of reasons. that's nearly 30% downside or a stock in the $80s. do we get there? no clue. but in this environment, we've seen how deepseek headlines, blackwell overheating rumors (which btw remain), asic announcements, chinese "competition" etc. etc. all affect the bid. and i'd suggest that a 30% downside for a potential 70% upside into year-end remains a great risk-reward here at $120 today. - my guess would be that long-term buyers accumulate at these levels and we probably get taken closer to the $130s... even $140s before this becomes more of a complicated equation. - that being said, it's a clear buy, IMO, at this price, in a YE context and especially in a multi-year context given downside to upside potential and the work i've put in here. truly a one-of-a-kind asset that has actually held it's own against BTC in the last 10 years (THE ONLY of any real market cap) TL;DR - still a great buy at $120 - downside below $100 and it's obvious. buying that fear, possibly on leverage in the $80s. - not using leverage ST in this environment - YE target of $200 - unfortunately more of a macro punching bag ST but fundamentals remain the meat of the 2-3 year move and so far, don't see any flaws. lmk what u think. V
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VROCKSTAR
Quantum's NVDA Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. AI chip dominance drives optimism, but tariff risks and valuation concerns temper enthusiasm. Chatter posts split—bulls see growth, bears eye correction. Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $110, with $105 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $108-$110 buys to $115 if $108 holds. Bearish below $108 risks $105. Influential News: Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $NVDA. Earnings: Q1 due May; no update today. Chatter: Debates AI growth vs. tariff/supply chain risks. Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): No confirmed NASDAQ:NVDA M&A; AI chip partnerships rumored. Other: Tariff volatility hit NASDAQ:NVDA ; stock swung (April 3-9). Indicators: Weekly: RSI: ~50 (neutral). Stochastic: ~45 (neutral). MFI: ~40 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness. Daily: RSI: ~48 (neutral). Stochastic: ~50 (neutral). MFI: ~45 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback. Hourly: RSI: ~45 (neutral). Stochastic: ~55 (neutral). MFI: ~50 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing. Price Context: $110.93 (April 11), 1M: -9%, 1Y: +28%. Range $105-$120, testing $110 support. Options Positioning (May 2025): Volume: Calls: $115 (12,000, 60% ask), $120 (10,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets. Puts: $105 (8,000, 70% bid), $108 (6,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $108. Open Interest: Calls: $115 (35,000, +6,000), $120 (25,000, +5,000). Bullish interest. Puts: $105 (20,000, flat), $108 (22,000, +3,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0. IV Skew: Calls: $115 (40%), $120 (42%, up 3%). $120 IV rise shows upside hope. Puts: $105 (35%, down 2%), $108 (36%). Falling $105 IV supports floor. Probability: 60% $105-$120, 20% <$105. Karsan’s Interpretation: Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $110. Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $110. GEX: +60,000. Stabilizes range. DEX: +8M shares, neutral. Karsan view: GEX holds $105-$120; tariff news key. ICT/SMT Analysis: Weekly: Neutral, $105 support, $120 resistance. No $NVDA/ NASDAQ:AMD divergence. Daily: Bullish at $110 FVG, targets $115. Bearish < $108. 1-Hour: Bullish >$110, $115 target. MSS at $108. 10-Minute: OTE ($109-$111, $110) for buys, NY AM. Trade Idea: Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $108-$110 to $115. Options show $115 calls. Fed cuts aid. Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $105-$120 range. Bearish: 15%. Below $105 possible with tariffs. $105 put volume grows
NASDAQ:NVDA
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Chips Down: What Shadows Loom Over Nvidia's Path?While Nvidia remains a dominant force in the AI revolution, its stellar trajectory faces mounting geopolitical and supply chain pressures. Recent US export restrictions targeting its advanced H20 AI chip sales to China have resulted in a significant $5.5 billion charge and curtailed access to a crucial market. This action, stemming from national security concerns within the escalating US-China tech rivalry, highlights the direct financial and strategic risks confronting the semiconductor giant. In response to this volatile environment, Nvidia is initiating a strategic diversification of its manufacturing footprint. The company is spearheading a massive investment initiative, potentially reaching $500 billion, to build AI infrastructure and chip production capabilities within the United States. This involves critical collaborations with partners like TSMC in Arizona, Foxconn in Texas, and other key players, aiming to enhance supply chain resilience and navigate the complexities of trade tensions and potential tariffs. Despite these proactive steps, Nvidia's core operations remain heavily dependent on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) for producing its most advanced chips, primarily in Taiwan. This concentration exposes Nvidia to significant risk, particularly given the island's geopolitical sensitivity. A potential conflict disrupting TSMC's Taiwanese fabs could trigger a catastrophic global semiconductor shortage, halting Nvidia's production and causing severe economic repercussions worldwide, estimated in the trillions of dollars. Successfully navigating these intertwined market, supply chain, and geopolitical risks is the critical challenge defining Nvidia's path forward.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by UDIS_View
Trend Support and 18M AVWAP: Our Final Stronghold📜 Field Orders – Operation: Defensive Line Troops, listen up. We’re falling back to our key defenses—Trend Support and the 18M AVWAP. Hold your ground. Do not charge. We wait. 🎯 Your Orders: Stand down unless support is broken cleanly with force. If the red army pushes through and confirms—join the short side. Enter only with structure, never emotion. Protect your treasures—capital is your ammunition. Don’t waste it fighting in the chop. If this is a trap, and you’re caught in it—retreat immediately. Take the loss. Regroup. Redeploy with strength and clarity. If we bounce here—watch for signs of a counteroffensive near the AVWAP wall. But again—only enter with confirmation. Not hope.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by dburgos0127
We’ve seen a solid correction in NVDA - Bullish?We’ve seen a solid correction in NVDA following its rally since early 2024. The stock has broken through key levels and managed to hold within the resistance zone between $80 and $90. We will most likely enter a sideways movement until the situation regarding tariffs becomes clearer. This could extend into June, after which we might expect an upward move toward the $132.95 zone. By early 2026, we are likely to see a new all-time high, especially if the trade tensions and tariffs between China and the US are resolved and overall uncertainty decreases.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by larsnicog
NVDA’s Final Act: A Breakout Waiting to HappenNVDA appears to be nearing the completion of its corrective phase, setting the stage for a potential move to new highs. The current pattern resembles a falling wedge, indicative of an ending diagonal formation, which often signals a reversal and the start of an upward trend. The structure of the corrective channel, along with the termination of the diagonal pattern, suggests a high likelihood of a running flat formation. Buyers are likely to intensify demand pressure as the price approaches the lower boundary of the trendline. A trend reversal may occur if there is a decisive breakout above the Wave 4 level of the ending diagonal. Buying opportunity with minimal stop is possible after the reversal from lower side of the channel. Targets can be 112 - 120 - 132 - 140. I'll be sharing more details shortly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Money_Dictators
17
NVDA 2025 Descending Channel- My TakeNVDA has been staying in this descending for the past 3-months or so and without fail has been unable to breakout like it is trapped in a cell. For the near future and especially with the ping-pong trade and international policy approach by the administration I would take puts for 3+ weeks out on any rally. fade any rally. Building in the US is a nightmare for NVIDIA's profit margins as workers in china are simply more skillful and the country is much more adept at production and exports than we are. Huge gap to bridge.. and until we do I will be respecting the trend.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by mogulxtrades
NVDIAgain...long at 111.43This is gonna be my 6th long idea on NVDA since Mid-December. Sorry if this is getting boring, but if it keeps working, why stop? It's not in a great pattern, but then again it wasn't the other 5 times, either. It has been in a downtrend since early December, but even stocks in downtrends don't have to go down in straight lines, and that's what I'm counting on here. There is some support semi-close by, too. It's a good company, and trading them in tough times (I think the last 6 weeks qualifies there, don't you?) gives me the best odds of making money. NVDA has never let me down - literally never. Sometimes it takes longer than others, but it always pays. I haven't updated my W/L record on it lately, but the 5 trades on the chart are the last 5 I've made and it was undefeated before all of them. You can go back and look at them if you desperately want to know - I know it's in at least one of those but I don't feel like going back and looking for the exact number right now. I know it's at least 100s to 0. Edit: I felt bad being lazy so I went and looked it up. It's 722-0, and that's a good enough reason for me to trade it today. So I'm long at 111.43, but I am making a little twist to my usual trade plan. I will be adding if it falls, but not using my usual methodology. It's a twist I've been working on for trading downtrending stocks. It's complicated, so I'll just update here whenever I add, and the adds will still be near the close when I make them. I will still use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any reasonable profit. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by redwingcoach
9