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NVDA trade ideas

NVDA at a Pivotal Level! Reversal Incoming or More Downside?Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action NVIDIA (NVDA) has been in a clear downtrend, forming a falling wedge on the 1-hour timeframe, which is often a precursor to a potential reversal. The stock is approaching a critical support level near $124-$126, where buyers may step in. Key observations: * Trend Structure: NVDA remains in a falling wedge pattern, typically a bullish reversal formation if it breaks out. * Support & Resistance: * Major Resistance: $134 (previous breakdown level). * Key Support: $124 (PUT support zone). * Breakout Target: $138 - $143 if NVDA reclaims momentum. * MACD Indicator: Slightly bearish but showing early signs of a potential crossover, indicating momentum shift. * Stoch RSI: Approaching overbought conditions, meaning a relief rally could be on the horizon. Options Flow & GEX Analysis The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator signals significant PUT positioning at $120-$124, making it a crucial level for a bounce. A breakdown below this zone could trigger a gamma-driven sell-off, while a breakout above $134 could lead to a short squeeze. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 63.3, with IVx avg at 85.8%, indicating high volatility. * Call Side Bias: 22.1% of options flow, showing some bullish positioning despite the decline. * Key GEX Levels: * PUT Wall & Key Support: $124 → Holding above could trigger a relief bounce. * CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $138 → Breakout above this would confirm a reversal. Trade Plan & Suggestions 📌 Bullish Reversal Setup (Preferred Play) * Entry: Above $130 with confirmation. * Target 1: $134 * Target 2: $138-$143 (Extended breakout target). * Stop-loss: Below $124 📌 Bearish Breakdown Setup (Hedge Play) * Entry: Below $124 with strong selling pressure. * Target: $120 → $115 (Next PUT Wall). * Stop-loss: Above $128 Final Thoughts NVDA is at a make-or-break zone, with $124 as the key support level to watch. If it holds, we could see a sharp reversal toward $134+. However, breaking below could bring another leg down to $120-$115. Given the high volatility, traders should be prepared for sharp price movements. 📢 Risk Management: Use tight stop-losses and wait for confirmation before entering a trade. 🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Nvidia (NVDA) Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis Market Overview Trend: Strong Bearish 📉 Resistance: $128.83 → EMA 200 acts as a ceiling Support: $126.00 → Short-term demand zone Indicators: MACD: Bearish momentum but flattening RSI: 46.16 (Neutral), no clear reversal signal VWAP: Below average → sellers maintain control 🩸 Risk: Upcoming earnings report tomorrow could trigger volatility 🔥 Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage) 🩸 Momentum Scalping: Buy: Near $126.50–$127.00, targeting $128.50 (+1.2%) Sell: Near $128.50–$129.00, targeting $126.50 (-1.5%) Stop-loss: Below $125.90 🩸 Breakout Scalping: Above $129.00: Long to $133.00 (+3.1%) Below $126.00: Short to $124.00 (-1.6%) 🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks) Bullish above $130: If Nvidia beats earnings expectations, possible $135-$140 retest Bearish below $126: If earnings disappoint, likely drop to $120 🔥 News & Market Context 🩸 Earnings Report Tomorrow → Nvidia’s Q4 results could cause a major move 🩸 AI Sector Sentiment: Bullish long-term, but short-term risk is high 🔥 Decision: 🩸 Short-term: Scalp long near $126.50, sell at $128.50+ 🩸 Mid-term: Wait for earnings to define the trend 🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp bounces cautiously, big move expected post-earnings 👑 Final Verdict: "Volatility is the playground of the prepared. Adapt or be left behind." – LucanInvestor
NASDAQ:NVDA
by LucanInvestor
$NVDA Earnings SetupNASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia needs to absolutely dominate the market with both earnings and guidance. Last time they beat by 10% and sold off. Right now is a very difficult time in the market. Many tech companies are beating earnings, then selling off. Shay expects Nvidia to report strong earnings, however, he sees Nvidia having a pullback quarter but the timing is uncertain. As long as it holds the 200 MA, he remains in position. Nvidia has cemented its position in the AI and quantum computing thematics, with its CUDA platform and NVDL Link being essential for future workloads. Doubt remains though about lowered AI cloud workloads due to compute restraints. Demand is still way higher than supply, but questions remain surrounding easing of supply constraints and whether Nvidia has another leg left for exponential growth. Here are our key levels to watch through earnings: Under bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $114. Over bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $140.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by PennyBois
NVDA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26, 202📌 Key Observations from the Charts 1. Market Structure & Price Action: * NVDA recently broke down from 141-143, currently consolidating around 135.01. * Support Levels: * 134.27 (current price zone, short-term support). * 129.08 (major support & put wall zone). * 123-120 (critical gamma zone, could see acceleration if breached). * Resistance Levels: * 136.84 (POC, first resistance). * 141.46 (VAH & key rejection level). * If NVDA loses 129, expect a sharper decline to 123-120. 2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels: * Point of Control (POC): 136.84 → Key resistance level that needs to be reclaimed for upside. * Value Area High (VAH): 141.46 → Major resistance zone. * Value Area Low (VAL): 134.27 → Must hold for buyers to prevent further decline. 3. Indicators Review: * MACD: Bearish, downward momentum is still present. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold, but no confirmation of a reversal yet. 🛠️ Options GEX Analysis * Call Resistance: * 145-150 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls. * Put Walls & Support Zones: * 129 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support. * 120-118 → Strong Put Wall—if broken, NVDA could drop significantly. * Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx): * IVR 51.9 | IVx Avg 79.4 → Higher volatility, larger price swings expected. * Call Positioning 23.7% → Weak bullish positioning, suggesting more downside risk. 📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup) 🔹 Entry: Short below 134 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 129.08 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 120-118 (Put Wall Breakdown Level).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 138 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy: * Buy PUTS 135/125 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms. * Debit Put Spread (Bearish 135P/120P for risk control). 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely) 🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 138-141, targeting 145+.
🔹 Target 1: 141.46 (POC, first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 145.00 (major resistance).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 134 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy: * Sell 120/115 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play. 🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions * Main Bias: Bearish, unless 138+ is reclaimed. * Gamma Risks: Below 129, strong gamma exposure can push NVDA lower quickly. * Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
5
NVDA | $100 supportNASDAQ:NVDA update on how price action is looking like compared to the last post. We mainly saw price stalling out around $120 after the gap was made, and then a anticipation for movement back to resistance. After analyzing how buyers did over time we expect more strength in sellers as buyers lost a bit of steam and also created lower highs. Could imagine a selloff back to $100 then a quick move back up to resistance once again. A bit too soon to tell but will keep an eye out.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Nathanl19
2
NVDA TA - Earnings Week 2/24### **NVIDIA (NVDA) - 1D Chart Analysis (Earnings Consideration)** --- ### **1. Key Observations** #### **NVDA Closed at $130.28 (-3.09%)** - **Bearish pullback from resistance at $135 - $138**, rejecting near recent highs. - Currently testing **$130 as support**, a key short-term level. - **Earnings are this week**, which could lead to **increased volatility and large price swings**. #### **Volume & Momentum** - **Higher volume selling** today, indicating some profit-taking before earnings. - RSI is cooling off but still within **neutral territory**, leaving room for further downside if earnings disappoint. --- ### **2. Key Support & Resistance Levels** #### **Resistance Levels (Upside Targets)** - **$135 - $138** → Major resistance. Needs a breakout to confirm bullish continuation. - **$140.87 - $144.90** → Strong resistance zone if NVDA rallies post-earnings. #### **Support Levels (Bearish Targets)** - **$127.69** → Short-term support. A break below could trigger further downside. - **$124.50 - $121.50** → Strong demand zone. - **$118.04 - $114.78** → Key level for a deeper correction. --- ### **3. Earnings Consideration & Strategy** #### **Scenario 1: Bullish Earnings Reaction** - If NVDA **beats expectations** and provides strong guidance: - **Break above $135 - $138** could target **$140 - $145**. - **Calls or shares breakout play** on confirmed strength. #### **Scenario 2: Bearish Earnings Reaction** - If NVDA **misses or provides weak guidance**: - **Break below $127.69** could lead to a drop toward **$124, then $118**. - **Potential hedge play with puts or selling covered calls near $135 resistance**. #### **Scenario 3: Neutral / Mixed Reaction** - If earnings are **in line but not a major catalyst**: - NVDA may **chop between $127 - $135**, leading to range-bound action. - A **straddle or strangle options strategy** could capture post-earnings volatility. --- ### **4. Hedge Strategy for Long-Term Investors** 💡 **Selling Covered Calls on Big Green Days** - If holding NVDA long-term, consider **selling covered calls** into resistance near **$135 - $140** on any strong green days this week. - **Expiration:** Post-earnings, to capture elevated IV. - **Risk Management:** Be prepared to roll the calls if NVDA spikes post-earnings. --- 📌 **Conclusion:** NVDA is at a **critical level ahead of earnings**, currently holding **$130 support** while rejecting **$135 resistance**. **Earnings will be a major catalyst**, with a **bullish reaction targeting $140+, and a bearish reaction potentially bringing $124 - $118 into play**. **For long-term holders, selling covered calls into strength this week could be a smart hedge.** 🚀
NASDAQ:NVDA
by EthicalxTrader
NVIDIA's Run is done!?With growing tensions between the two economical titans in U.SA & China further exasperated by the new administration in the white house & their looming tariff charges, we arrive at a major junction with what seems to be the worst possible time as Nvidia a major pillar of the recent success enjoyed by the tech industry and no doubt world economy as a by product gears up its financial data at a time where stains are being spotted on the floor leading to early signs of blood on the streets. Technical analysis shows that decline in price action could see a weak end of the month for Nvidia, the market is showing signs of fear with a large selloff in the tech sector with the S&P dropping 2.25% week ending 21/02, if financial data released by Nvidia is not pleasing to shareholders a major sell of could continue what was started in December and see price head to as low as $46. Eyes will also be on the situation of Taiwan and how hostile the relationship becomes between the USA, China & Taiwan.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by AMBK21
Never Nvidia, No? Surely Not!I hadn't looked at the NASDAQ:NVDA chart for months until today and I simply can't unsee this. NVDA appears to be in the final stages of a Weekly Double Top pattern. You can clearly see two near equal highs from November 24 and January 25. After the neck of the Double Top was breached, the price attempted to reach a new high but failed. The failed high was powered by 3 consecutive weeks of declining volume which suggests momentum exhaustion. If NVDA price drops through $126, it is very possible that the price could fall towards $55. Why is the price projection so low? The last 1/4 low has already been breached, so this level is unlikely to serve as strong support, leaving the price to potentially falls freely towards 2024's low. The green areas highlight the Bullish Fair Values Gaps for NVDA on the Weekly time frame. As you can see there are numerous and they are all underneath the current price! Won't Earnings push it to ATH? It's of course it's possible. And if it did, it wouldn't necessarily invalidate this set up! Let's see what happens!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TheTradeBorough
3
NVDA Near Historic Highs: Awaiting Key Breakout SignalsI’m sharing a weekly chart analysis for NVDA, focusing on its current position near historical highs at $129 after a bounce from $90. From the logarithmic scale chart, it's clear that NVDA has been in a long-term progression channel since July 2015. Currently, the price is positioned on the upper deviation line of this channel, indicating a potential resistance area. Given this position on the logarithmic scale, I am leaning towards a short bias as it suggests we could see a pullback or correction. I’ve also identified two cup & handle patterns, each with their respective targets. However, these patterns will only be validated based on the next price movements. While there is still a blue support trend and a red resistance trend in play, the price near its historical highs and its proximity to the upper boundary of the progression channel suggest that a downward movement could be more likely. However, due to the large time scale of the weekly chart, we should wait for further confirmation of a downtrend before taking a short position. For now, I recommend caution and suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current channel before making any decisive trades. I’d love to hear your insights and thoughts on this setup.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Eymen-GUVEN
NVDA Corrections that Conquer: Discover Your Key Entry PointsIn today's market, corrections can offer great opportunities for finding the right entry points. For example, if you notice a price pullback, you might consider looking at levels such as 126, 113, and 103. At 126, you might see the first moderate correction, suggesting a potential spot to step in as the selling pressure eases a bit. Moving down to 113, the price action often indicates a more solid support level where the market seems to have absorbed a fair share of the selling, possibly setting the stage for a rebound. Finally, 103 could represent a deeper correction where the price has hit a point of significant support—this might be the moment where the market is ready to turn around and resume its upward trend. Remember, these levels are just part of a broader analysis. It's important to combine them with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to make well-informed decisions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risks, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Robert_V12