PTON trade ideas
US - Peloton - July 2021Analysis
- currently at last stage of forming inverse head and shoulder
- the Stoch indicator was crossed yesterday indicate that it is ready to move higher.
- risk of going downside is still there but reduced.
- it may fall to the support trendline if market still not okay.
- The chance of going higher will increase in the event of breakout from resistance trendline with high volume + short shadow.
"Market is always right"
PTON Approaching Long ResistancePTON is one of those companies I see being an outperformer in the coming years. Fitness is becoming more and more popular and COVID has caused more people to look into home workout equipment. I'd like to see it over $127.98 and hold. This will be a 2-2 reversal on the quarterly and 2-2 continuation on the monthly. First PT is 152.51 or a reversal on the weekly.
This is a "IF" tradeLets see, how we perform in the second half of the trading day.
If we manage to hold and stay above the P-Pivot(118.33), the outlook will be bullish .
Hovewer if we close below the 112 level, then we might head lower once again.
In summary, it looks bullish but the volume is very concerning.
$PTON LongPeloton is a fitness company that brings the feeling of community to at-home workouts.
WHY BUY
Peloton continues to command extraordinary growth and tremendous enthusiasm from over 2 million Connected Fitness subscribers.
Controversy over a treadmill recall will fade over time but offers a compelling entry point.
New initiatives point to continued dominance in home fitness as the company works toward its ultimate goal of 100 million members.
Road to the profit
the idea is two target (on blue). The second it's more hard because alway, the price, come to the first target and made a reversal move, so i recommend close the operation in the first target and wait for el pullback. Maybe this time it's a rocket and go direct to the second target, but in my stats this scenario occurs less than 10% and it's a 60% of probability to go until the second target. So i'll close on the first target and wait for the pullback and buy when the price be over the first target with a some patter of continuation because the first target will be a resistance.
Cup and HandleIt is a bit difficult to buy much of anything today )o: or yesterday or the day before. Good day has to be coming soon!
This is not my favorite stock in the market, but lots really like it. They say sometimes trading one of your least favorites can be a good thing. I just have trouble hanging if I do not believe in the stock. I have regretted this notion before though.
Revenue seems to be up every quarter. PE is 726ish )o: So I guess this one is supposed to grow in to that PE ratio? Or someone thinks everyone will own the treadmill by Christmas. Dunno.
Negative volume is high meaning smart money interested. Smart money can leave dumb money left holding the remote control with dead batteries in it as well, so just something I look at, but not the only thing by a long shot.
Short interest is low.
Cup is 44.32 deep.
Small gap at handle low that could serve as strong support.
No recommendation
PTON - Breakout Level-PTON formed a Cup & Handle on the daily and it's getting ready to breakout.
-200SMA tested multiple times, we can assume that this is a valid support
-Open above 124 tomorrow is a bullish sign and could squeeze to 125.50-126.00
-Below 200SMA (around 119) bearish sign and could see a pullback around 117 - 116 area.
NASDAQ:PTON
PTONWe are standing in the ascending channel, a small flag has formed.
Since we broke through the level of 0.5 fibo, we can assume that the correction has ended and the growth will continue... Option
1. Take the current ones, but it is dangerous, because there is a small divergence.
Option 2. Take it when the red line is broken and held.
The growth goal of 140 is minimal, and growth can continue