Qqq idea Macd looks bearish qqq did a double top on the weekly now looks very bad . I expect this to hit 450 in the coming weeks . Specially elections coming up the market tends to get volatility on the day .
QQQ trade ideas
#QQQ - The major supports #QQQ - The major supports are the underknees of the current price.
Great Buying Opportunity!
QQQ Ascending ChannelThis is basically the same as the SPY idea. I have a longer term short idea for NQ, but here's a shorter term chart for the potential move up to my short target. Watching the $495 area along with the ascending channel. We could get a move below that bounces at the gap fill at $492.80, but if it remains above $495 I'd expect a move up to ATH.
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.24.24OK, here in QQQ we bounced yesterday after a really big drop on the one-hour 200 moving average. 486 is the bottom of the implied move for the week, and that is also where we bounced. So, the two levels together caught us. Now, to the upside, we have the 30-minute 200 moving average. We did crush through that level without much support there and then dropped down to the one-hour average. Right above that, we have the 35 EMA on the 30-minute timeframe; those two levels are extremely important. If the 35 EMA crosses underneath the 30-minute moving average, then we are bearish. However, this can suggest a sufficient enough pullback, and we can bounce here. In which case, 494 is the top of the implied move, and 495 is the top of the implied move on Friday's contract. At the very top of the trading range, we do have the down gap from yesterday; the gap is at 496.
And to the downside, we do have that one-hour moving average which caught us yesterday, just underneath that 486, which is the bottom of the implied move for the whole week, based on how we closed last week. Underneath that, 484 is the implied move for the day; we have the 50-day moving average underneath that, and then 482 is the bottom of the implied move on Friday's contract. So, if we do drop, I would suggest 483/482 bull put spreads since that would be tucked away underneath the 50-day moving average.
$QQQ - Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.23.24In QQQ, the implied move for tomorrow is between 492 and 500, based on options data. The 30-day average daily volatility adds a dollar to each direction, giving a range of 491 to 501. On Thursday’s contract, the range is a dollar wider, from 490 to 502. Tesla’s earnings report tomorrow could explain the wider range on Thursday.
The 35 EMA is below us, and though it has been a bit sloppy, it has held as support so far this week. If we continue to hold this level and see it as support, the next target is 499, where we saw resistance last week. Last Monday, we gapped up above the previous bear gap, hit 499, and then met resistance. We haven’t returned to that level since. 499 is just below the top of tomorrow’s implied move at 500, while the top of Thursday’s implied move is at 502.
If we break below the 35 EMA tomorrow, the next target is 492, which is the bottom of the implied move. 490 is the bottom of the implied move on Thursday’s contract. Between these levels, we also have the 30-minute 200 MA and support at 491, which we saw last Thursday and again this Monday. This creates a solid trading range. If we drop tomorrow, the 492/491 bull spreads look good, and a slightly safer option would be the 491/490 bull spreads, as the 30-minute 200 MA would provide additional support.
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #4 - QQQ Supply ShortThis is a countertrend idea, but I think this supply zone above has a high probability of producing at least one rejection on the first test. If it doesn't then we're almost surely going to a new ATH I'd say.
I'll look for shorts at supply depending on what VX is doing at the time. Stop above $499, targeting $479. You could also wait for this channel to break to the downside before shorting for more confirmation and maybe get a retest.
QQQ What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for QQQ is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 494.52
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 492.20
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ UP UP AND AWAY! BULL MARKET JUST GETTING STARTED? PT INSIDE!NASDAQ:QQQ
LET THY BULLS RUN! 🐂
My 2025 EOY Price Target is...🥁🥁🥁...
🎯 $560
Not Financial Advice. 🖖
#QQQ #NASDAQ100 #Nasdaq #Futures #futurestrading #StockMarket #options
QQQ New WeekPair : QQQ Invesco Trust
Description :
Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Long Time Frame
Break of Structure
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " abc " Corrective Waves
RSI - Divergence
Resistance Level
QQQ: Market of Sellers
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the QQQ pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
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$QQQ #QQQ Symmetrical Wedge SqueezeInvesco QQQ Trust, has been ranging in between this symmetrical triangle pattern. It looks ready for a breakout move to the top side although it is good to watch both sides for the move.
Scenario 1: If we breakout the resistance side (Which we've had trouble all day today (opex volatility)) we may see the target $498.43 resistance hit sometime next week.
Scenario 2: If we break below the support side we have 2 gap fills that need filling. Main target for this is the $490.56 gap fill and daily support.
I am leaning more towards the bullish side breakout for this trade as I anticipate an increase in volume going into next weeks markets.
QQQ Technical Analysis for October 18, 2024Chart Insights and Market Structure
From the 1-hour chart, QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust) is moving within a descending channel or wedge structure, hinting at a potential breakout in either direction, but likely leaning towards consolidation for now. Here are the key technical levels and insights:
Support Levels:
487.55: This level acts as immediate support, where buyers may attempt to defend.
486.09: Critical short-term support—if breached, expect a retest of lower levels.
483.64: This is the next significant support zone and a key psychological level.
Resistance Levels:
490.17: Immediate overhead resistance that QQQ needs to break to gain upward momentum.
492.47: A stronger resistance zone; reclaiming this could indicate further upside toward 496.90.
498.83: If the price rallies above this level, it could mark the start of a larger bullish trend.
Descending Channel/Wedge:
QQQ is trading within this structure, which typically suggests a potential breakout. A bullish breakout would signal a reversal, while continued price action within the wedge indicates ongoing consolidation.
Indicators & Volume Insights
MACD: The MACD is currently neutral with no strong trend signal. Watch for potential crossovers or momentum shifts for confirmation of the next move.
Volume: The chart indicates declining volume during the consolidation. A breakout accompanied by increased volume will confirm the direction of the next major move.
Trading Scenarios for Tomorrow:
Bullish Case:
If QQQ breaks above 490.17 and sustains above 492.47, we could see a move toward 496.90 or 498.83. Look for strong volume on the breakout for confirmation.
Bearish Case:
If the price falls below 486.09, expect a retest of 483.64. A breakdown below this zone could trigger further selling pressure, potentially toward lower unmarked levels.
Additional Considerations:
Watch QQQ and SPY Correlation:
Given the similarity in patterns between large ETFs like SPY and QQQ, keep an eye on both. A coordinated breakout or breakdown across indices could provide stronger confirmation.
Impact of Earnings & Macro Data:
QQQ is tech-heavy, so any news around tech earnings or macroeconomic announcements could influence the price action significantly.
Tips for Trading QQQ Successfully:
Patience: Wait for breakouts with confirmation (volume and candlestick patterns) to avoid false moves.
Risk Management: Place stop losses below key support levels to protect against sudden market reversals.
Scalp with Precision: Given your interest in scalping, focus on high-volume periods (market open or major news) to catch quick price movements.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading and manage risks according to your capital.
QQQ Technical Analysis – October 17, 2024Price Overview:
Ask: 493.44
Bid: 493.42
Recent High: 496.90
Current Support Level: 490.91
Critical Support: 487.57 (recent low)
Key Observations:
Trendlines & Price Action:
QQQ is currently testing the upward trendline, hinting at whether bulls will defend this area.
After a sharp rally, the price is pulling back, consolidating between 493.42 and 491.68. If it holds above 490.91, it might resume an upward move.
487.57 marks a critical support level, which could be revisited if the trendline fails to hold.
Volume Analysis:
Increased selling volume accompanied the recent pullback, suggesting some profit-taking.
Watch for a volume surge at 490.91—if buyers step in, this could create a strong bounce opportunity.
MACD Indicator:
The MACD lines are crossing up, signaling a potential recovery in momentum.
A continuation above the zero line on the histogram would confirm a bullish trend reversal for the day.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Case:
If QQQ holds above 490.91 and breaks above 493.24, it may aim for a retest of 496.90.
A strong close above 495 would signal that the bulls are back in control and targeting new highs.
Bearish Case:
If the price breaks below 490.91, expect a test of 490.09 and possibly 487.57.
A failure at 487.57 could lead to more downside, possibly opening the door to 485 or lower.
Trading Strategy:
Long Setup:
Consider entering a long position if QQQ holds 490.91 and reclaims 493.24.
Place a stop-loss just below 490.00 to manage risk.
Short Setup:
If QQQ breaks 490.09 with strong selling pressure, a short position could target 487.57 or lower.
Place a stop-loss just above 491.00 to protect the trade.
Outlook for the Day:
Watch the 491.68–490.91 area closely. If buyers maintain control, a bounce could lead to another rally toward 496.90. However, if bears push it below 490.09, the selling pressure could intensify.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Trading involves risks, and you may lose more than your initial investment.
Two weeks of bullish momentum ahead?I entered a long position in the NASDAQ:QQQ ETF a few days ago after the price pulled back to the previous high. It was a slightly premature entry, as the price continued to pull back to the 50% retracement level of the last bullish move. 😉
The overall chart looks a bit exhausted from the bullish run following the August low, but I still expect the NASDAQ to rise until the US election. Statistically, since the 1950s, there has been over an 80% chance that the stock index rises before the election.
Additionally, we're supported by the SMAs, and there’s still some room left until the ATH is reached.
Good trades, folks!
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.17.24
Tomorrow’s Implied move is between 486 and 496 and that is from options.
The 30 day average volatility is between 485 and 497 and that also lines up with the implied move on Fridays contract - and that’s the strike I’ll be looking to if we pop to sell bear call spreads. (I’m thinking 497/498 or 496/497, not sure yet lets see how we open)
To the upside look first to the 30min 35EMA - we are under it, printing red candles so treat that as resistance until we break above it. I’m guessing that if NYSE:TSM earnings come in great and we see a move up there then 496 will be the Target on the day. 30min 200MA is under us and we bounced there today and the last few times we met with that level.
Bottom of the implied move is 486, and 485 on Fridays contract and if we drop, I’ll be looking to 485/484 bull put spreads on the day most likely.
If all of that breaks then 480 is the next support so look for a big fun move if that happens.
GL tomorrow, y’all
QQQ – October 16, 2024Key Levels:
Support:
487.58 (current low)
484.00 (next potential support with volume interest)
Resistance:
494.22 (previous pivot high)
498.18 – 498.83 (major resistance zone)
Indicators & Observations:
Moving Averages:
The shorter EMA (possibly 15 EMA) is sloping downward, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
The longer EMA (likely 161 EMA) is above the price, confirming a bearish trend continuation.
MACD:
The histogram is deepening into negative territory, suggesting increasing bearish momentum.
The MACD line has crossed below the signal line, signaling a potential continuation to the downside.
Volume Profile:
Current Price Region: The bulk of the volume sits between 484 – 487, making this a key support zone. A breakdown below 484 may trigger further downside quickly due to the low-volume gap beneath.
Volume Increase: The large red candle is accompanied by higher volume, which shows strong bearish participation at the open.
Price Action:
QQQ attempted to push higher but failed to reclaim 494.22. The current momentum suggests bearish continuation if it fails to hold above 487.58.
If the selling pressure continues, a test of the 484 level is likely.
For upside potential, the price must reclaim 494.22 and stay above for bulls to regain control.
Scalping Strategy Setup:
Short Setup:
Look to short on a rejection from the 490 – 494 range, targeting 487 or lower.
Long Setup:
Consider long entries if the price reclaims 494.22 with strong volume, targeting the 498 resistance zone.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial professional before making any trading decisions. Trading carries significant risks, and you may lose more than your initial investment.
QQQ Sellside MMXMQQQ Buyside MMXM completed w/ a market structure shift forming sellside MMXM curve
Using this as bias for coming days/weeks
wanna see a grab off liquidity in the 460s gap
QQQWeekly, the QQQ has struggled to surpass its all-time high. It may find support at the 20-day moving average, currently at 472; failing that, a decline is possible. There is potential for a slight uptick during the Santa Claus rally, but a drop could follow in early 2025.
Bullish long term bearish short term check these levelsWhat I left out of the video were my indicators which for most part are in overbought territory adding a bit more confirmation of my bearish outlook not to mention we been green for weeks it's time for a red week. $496.60 is also a long entry but if it happens quickly i don't see it being a 10 point move. Better for it to be crossed later for it to be more than 10 points. Let me know what your view is I am curious
Enter SQQQ hereSlowly entering SQQQ here. Looking for QQQ to pull back under 496 by EOW. This Weekly sell holding is the bet.
Weekly GEX of QQQ | Option Chain AnalysisI’d like to share my thoughts below after analyzing the QQQ option chain. In this analysis, I focus exclusively on the weekly time range, examining the QQQ option chain and the changes in top-tier options metrics.
🟨 Decline in Put Pricing Skew and Increase in IVx
The decline in put pricing skew on Options Oscillator suggests that put options are becoming relatively cheaper , signaling a shift in market participants' expectations. This indicates increased call buying and put writing activity in the options chain . Along with the decrease in implied volatility (IV), this often points to a lower demand for downside protection strategies, which could be interpreted as a bullish sentiment.
Currently, the QQQ’s IVRank stands at 31.5, reflecting a moderate volatility environment. However, with an average IVx of 19.2, trading volumes could increase, and interest in volatility-based strategies may rise further.
🔶 Backwardation in 4-7 DTE and Time Spreads
Backwardation in the 4-7 DTE (days to expiration) period can be ideal for time spread (calendar, diagonal) option traders , as near-term options show higher volatility than longer-term ones. This creates a favorable environment for time spread strategies, especially if this backwardation persists.
🟨 Gamma Levels and Open Interest-Based Levels
Call high OI gamma walls (or call resistance levels) typically act as resistance points. However, once these levels are broken, the bullish movement can accelerate due to positive gamma exposure. Put gamma walls (or put support levels), on the other hand, act as support. If broken, downward moves can intensify due to the high negative gamma exposure.
While the current largest gamma wall was for today at 495, the upcoming expiration on 10/14 could shift this level to 500, where the greatest gamma exposure will likely be after the Monday expiration (due to the large amount of open interest expiring at 495). If the price breaks above this level, it could further bolster bullish prospects to 505 (last ATH). Additionally, the 500 strike plays a critical role as a major level in the Options Grid System, representing the 8/8 level.
🟨 OTM 16 delta probability cloud in Options Overlay
The blue Delta Curves on the Options Overlay show the 16-delta levels, helping traders identify potential price ranges. According to current data, on the call side, the 505 strike is still within the 16-delta range, reinforcing its bullish potential.
This represents the 68% probability range defined by OTM 16 delta PUTs and OTM 16 delta CALLs, showing a clear directional expected move value. It provides an insightful view of the expected price movement’s directional range, often used by delta-neutral strangle traders like those at TastyTrade.
🟨 Time Spread Strategies
The aforementioned backwardation and gamma wall situation may present an advantage for time spread traders. Backwardation between 4-7 DTE provides an optimal window for those favoring time spreads, as the higher short-term volatility offers better premiums.
🟨 TanukiTrade Options Oscillator values
The TanukiTrade Options Oscillator indicates that the combination of declining put skew and decreasing IV suggests potential volatility growth on the bullish side of the market. This could be a valuable signal for both long and time spread strategies.
⅀ QQQ Summary
The decline in put skew and increase in IVx imply that market participants are anticipating an increase in bullish volatility. Backwardation between 4-7DTE supports time spread strategies, while the call gamma wall at 500—and soon 505—is likely to serve as significant resistance/target.
(NOTE: GEX levels is not part of the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator yet. The automatic GEX levels will be available soon, by the end of October!)
QQQ: A Rally Towards the ATH!Daily Chart (Left):
Resistance at $503.52: The price is approaching a key resistance zone around $503.52, the ATH, which may serve as a potential reversal area. A breakout above this could signal more bullish momentum.
Support at $493.15: There is immediate support at $493.15, where price action has consolidated briefly. This level might act as a pivot zone, where buyers could step in if there’s a pullback.
Momentum: The price is above the 21-day EMA, which is rising, indicating the trend is currently bullish. Buyers seem to be in control, and the price action has been making higher highs and higher lows.
Weekly Chart (Right):
Ascending Channel: The price has been trending upward within a well-defined ascending channel. The mid-point of this channel, around $493, has acted as resistance in recent weeks.
Next Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel, which is above the resistance at $503.52, could offer significant resistance. This suggests that QQQ could renew its ATH if this bullish momentum persists.
Overall Trend: The weekly trend remains strong, with the 21-week EMA providing dynamic support, reinforcing the overall bullish bias.
Conclusion:
The price is currently bullish but nearing key resistance at $503.52. Traders should be cautious around this level for potential profit-taking or reversal signals. If the price manages to break above $503.52, the next leg up in the bullish trend could begin. Conversely, if the QQQ loses the $493 support, it could materialize a sharper correction to the 21-day EMA, or even to tthe $477 in the mid-term.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
