QQQ UP UP AND AWAY! BULL MARKET JUST GETTING STARTED? PT INSIDE!NASDAQ:QQQ
LET THY BULLS RUN! 🐂
My 2025 EOY Price Target is...🥁🥁🥁...
🎯 $560
Not Financial Advice. 🖖
#QQQ #NASDAQ100 #Nasdaq #Futures #futurestrading #StockMarket #options
QQQ trade ideas
QQQ New WeekPair : QQQ Invesco Trust
Description :
Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Long Time Frame
Break of Structure
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " abc " Corrective Waves
RSI - Divergence
Resistance Level
QQQ: Market of Sellers
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the QQQ pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Stock Market TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
$QQQ #QQQ Symmetrical Wedge SqueezeInvesco QQQ Trust, has been ranging in between this symmetrical triangle pattern. It looks ready for a breakout move to the top side although it is good to watch both sides for the move.
Scenario 1: If we breakout the resistance side (Which we've had trouble all day today (opex volatility)) we may see the target $498.43 resistance hit sometime next week.
Scenario 2: If we break below the support side we have 2 gap fills that need filling. Main target for this is the $490.56 gap fill and daily support.
I am leaning more towards the bullish side breakout for this trade as I anticipate an increase in volume going into next weeks markets.
QQQ Technical Analysis for October 18, 2024Chart Insights and Market Structure
From the 1-hour chart, QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust) is moving within a descending channel or wedge structure, hinting at a potential breakout in either direction, but likely leaning towards consolidation for now. Here are the key technical levels and insights:
Support Levels:
487.55: This level acts as immediate support, where buyers may attempt to defend.
486.09: Critical short-term support—if breached, expect a retest of lower levels.
483.64: This is the next significant support zone and a key psychological level.
Resistance Levels:
490.17: Immediate overhead resistance that QQQ needs to break to gain upward momentum.
492.47: A stronger resistance zone; reclaiming this could indicate further upside toward 496.90.
498.83: If the price rallies above this level, it could mark the start of a larger bullish trend.
Descending Channel/Wedge:
QQQ is trading within this structure, which typically suggests a potential breakout. A bullish breakout would signal a reversal, while continued price action within the wedge indicates ongoing consolidation.
Indicators & Volume Insights
MACD: The MACD is currently neutral with no strong trend signal. Watch for potential crossovers or momentum shifts for confirmation of the next move.
Volume: The chart indicates declining volume during the consolidation. A breakout accompanied by increased volume will confirm the direction of the next major move.
Trading Scenarios for Tomorrow:
Bullish Case:
If QQQ breaks above 490.17 and sustains above 492.47, we could see a move toward 496.90 or 498.83. Look for strong volume on the breakout for confirmation.
Bearish Case:
If the price falls below 486.09, expect a retest of 483.64. A breakdown below this zone could trigger further selling pressure, potentially toward lower unmarked levels.
Additional Considerations:
Watch QQQ and SPY Correlation:
Given the similarity in patterns between large ETFs like SPY and QQQ, keep an eye on both. A coordinated breakout or breakdown across indices could provide stronger confirmation.
Impact of Earnings & Macro Data:
QQQ is tech-heavy, so any news around tech earnings or macroeconomic announcements could influence the price action significantly.
Tips for Trading QQQ Successfully:
Patience: Wait for breakouts with confirmation (volume and candlestick patterns) to avoid false moves.
Risk Management: Place stop losses below key support levels to protect against sudden market reversals.
Scalp with Precision: Given your interest in scalping, focus on high-volume periods (market open or major news) to catch quick price movements.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading and manage risks according to your capital.
QQQ Technical Analysis – October 17, 2024Price Overview:
Ask: 493.44
Bid: 493.42
Recent High: 496.90
Current Support Level: 490.91
Critical Support: 487.57 (recent low)
Key Observations:
Trendlines & Price Action:
QQQ is currently testing the upward trendline, hinting at whether bulls will defend this area.
After a sharp rally, the price is pulling back, consolidating between 493.42 and 491.68. If it holds above 490.91, it might resume an upward move.
487.57 marks a critical support level, which could be revisited if the trendline fails to hold.
Volume Analysis:
Increased selling volume accompanied the recent pullback, suggesting some profit-taking.
Watch for a volume surge at 490.91—if buyers step in, this could create a strong bounce opportunity.
MACD Indicator:
The MACD lines are crossing up, signaling a potential recovery in momentum.
A continuation above the zero line on the histogram would confirm a bullish trend reversal for the day.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Case:
If QQQ holds above 490.91 and breaks above 493.24, it may aim for a retest of 496.90.
A strong close above 495 would signal that the bulls are back in control and targeting new highs.
Bearish Case:
If the price breaks below 490.91, expect a test of 490.09 and possibly 487.57.
A failure at 487.57 could lead to more downside, possibly opening the door to 485 or lower.
Trading Strategy:
Long Setup:
Consider entering a long position if QQQ holds 490.91 and reclaims 493.24.
Place a stop-loss just below 490.00 to manage risk.
Short Setup:
If QQQ breaks 490.09 with strong selling pressure, a short position could target 487.57 or lower.
Place a stop-loss just above 491.00 to protect the trade.
Outlook for the Day:
Watch the 491.68–490.91 area closely. If buyers maintain control, a bounce could lead to another rally toward 496.90. However, if bears push it below 490.09, the selling pressure could intensify.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Trading involves risks, and you may lose more than your initial investment.
Two weeks of bullish momentum ahead?I entered a long position in the NASDAQ:QQQ ETF a few days ago after the price pulled back to the previous high. It was a slightly premature entry, as the price continued to pull back to the 50% retracement level of the last bullish move. 😉
The overall chart looks a bit exhausted from the bullish run following the August low, but I still expect the NASDAQ to rise until the US election. Statistically, since the 1950s, there has been over an 80% chance that the stock index rises before the election.
Additionally, we're supported by the SMAs, and there’s still some room left until the ATH is reached.
Good trades, folks!
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.17.24
Tomorrow’s Implied move is between 486 and 496 and that is from options.
The 30 day average volatility is between 485 and 497 and that also lines up with the implied move on Fridays contract - and that’s the strike I’ll be looking to if we pop to sell bear call spreads. (I’m thinking 497/498 or 496/497, not sure yet lets see how we open)
To the upside look first to the 30min 35EMA - we are under it, printing red candles so treat that as resistance until we break above it. I’m guessing that if NYSE:TSM earnings come in great and we see a move up there then 496 will be the Target on the day. 30min 200MA is under us and we bounced there today and the last few times we met with that level.
Bottom of the implied move is 486, and 485 on Fridays contract and if we drop, I’ll be looking to 485/484 bull put spreads on the day most likely.
If all of that breaks then 480 is the next support so look for a big fun move if that happens.
GL tomorrow, y’all
QQQ – October 16, 2024Key Levels:
Support:
487.58 (current low)
484.00 (next potential support with volume interest)
Resistance:
494.22 (previous pivot high)
498.18 – 498.83 (major resistance zone)
Indicators & Observations:
Moving Averages:
The shorter EMA (possibly 15 EMA) is sloping downward, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
The longer EMA (likely 161 EMA) is above the price, confirming a bearish trend continuation.
MACD:
The histogram is deepening into negative territory, suggesting increasing bearish momentum.
The MACD line has crossed below the signal line, signaling a potential continuation to the downside.
Volume Profile:
Current Price Region: The bulk of the volume sits between 484 – 487, making this a key support zone. A breakdown below 484 may trigger further downside quickly due to the low-volume gap beneath.
Volume Increase: The large red candle is accompanied by higher volume, which shows strong bearish participation at the open.
Price Action:
QQQ attempted to push higher but failed to reclaim 494.22. The current momentum suggests bearish continuation if it fails to hold above 487.58.
If the selling pressure continues, a test of the 484 level is likely.
For upside potential, the price must reclaim 494.22 and stay above for bulls to regain control.
Scalping Strategy Setup:
Short Setup:
Look to short on a rejection from the 490 – 494 range, targeting 487 or lower.
Long Setup:
Consider long entries if the price reclaims 494.22 with strong volume, targeting the 498 resistance zone.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial professional before making any trading decisions. Trading carries significant risks, and you may lose more than your initial investment.
QQQ Sellside MMXMQQQ Buyside MMXM completed w/ a market structure shift forming sellside MMXM curve
Using this as bias for coming days/weeks
wanna see a grab off liquidity in the 460s gap
QQQWeekly, the QQQ has struggled to surpass its all-time high. It may find support at the 20-day moving average, currently at 472; failing that, a decline is possible. There is potential for a slight uptick during the Santa Claus rally, but a drop could follow in early 2025.
Bullish long term bearish short term check these levelsWhat I left out of the video were my indicators which for most part are in overbought territory adding a bit more confirmation of my bearish outlook not to mention we been green for weeks it's time for a red week. $496.60 is also a long entry but if it happens quickly i don't see it being a 10 point move. Better for it to be crossed later for it to be more than 10 points. Let me know what your view is I am curious
Enter SQQQ hereSlowly entering SQQQ here. Looking for QQQ to pull back under 496 by EOW. This Weekly sell holding is the bet.
Weekly GEX of QQQ | Option Chain AnalysisI’d like to share my thoughts below after analyzing the QQQ option chain. In this analysis, I focus exclusively on the weekly time range, examining the QQQ option chain and the changes in top-tier options metrics.
🟨 Decline in Put Pricing Skew and Increase in IVx
The decline in put pricing skew on Options Oscillator suggests that put options are becoming relatively cheaper , signaling a shift in market participants' expectations. This indicates increased call buying and put writing activity in the options chain . Along with the decrease in implied volatility (IV), this often points to a lower demand for downside protection strategies, which could be interpreted as a bullish sentiment.
Currently, the QQQ’s IVRank stands at 31.5, reflecting a moderate volatility environment. However, with an average IVx of 19.2, trading volumes could increase, and interest in volatility-based strategies may rise further.
🔶 Backwardation in 4-7 DTE and Time Spreads
Backwardation in the 4-7 DTE (days to expiration) period can be ideal for time spread (calendar, diagonal) option traders , as near-term options show higher volatility than longer-term ones. This creates a favorable environment for time spread strategies, especially if this backwardation persists.
🟨 Gamma Levels and Open Interest-Based Levels
Call high OI gamma walls (or call resistance levels) typically act as resistance points. However, once these levels are broken, the bullish movement can accelerate due to positive gamma exposure. Put gamma walls (or put support levels), on the other hand, act as support. If broken, downward moves can intensify due to the high negative gamma exposure.
While the current largest gamma wall was for today at 495, the upcoming expiration on 10/14 could shift this level to 500, where the greatest gamma exposure will likely be after the Monday expiration (due to the large amount of open interest expiring at 495). If the price breaks above this level, it could further bolster bullish prospects to 505 (last ATH). Additionally, the 500 strike plays a critical role as a major level in the Options Grid System, representing the 8/8 level.
🟨 OTM 16 delta probability cloud in Options Overlay
The blue Delta Curves on the Options Overlay show the 16-delta levels, helping traders identify potential price ranges. According to current data, on the call side, the 505 strike is still within the 16-delta range, reinforcing its bullish potential.
This represents the 68% probability range defined by OTM 16 delta PUTs and OTM 16 delta CALLs, showing a clear directional expected move value. It provides an insightful view of the expected price movement’s directional range, often used by delta-neutral strangle traders like those at TastyTrade.
🟨 Time Spread Strategies
The aforementioned backwardation and gamma wall situation may present an advantage for time spread traders. Backwardation between 4-7 DTE provides an optimal window for those favoring time spreads, as the higher short-term volatility offers better premiums.
🟨 TanukiTrade Options Oscillator values
The TanukiTrade Options Oscillator indicates that the combination of declining put skew and decreasing IV suggests potential volatility growth on the bullish side of the market. This could be a valuable signal for both long and time spread strategies.
⅀ QQQ Summary
The decline in put skew and increase in IVx imply that market participants are anticipating an increase in bullish volatility. Backwardation between 4-7DTE supports time spread strategies, while the call gamma wall at 500—and soon 505—is likely to serve as significant resistance/target.
(NOTE: GEX levels is not part of the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator yet. The automatic GEX levels will be available soon, by the end of October!)
QQQ: A Rally Towards the ATH!Daily Chart (Left):
Resistance at $503.52: The price is approaching a key resistance zone around $503.52, the ATH, which may serve as a potential reversal area. A breakout above this could signal more bullish momentum.
Support at $493.15: There is immediate support at $493.15, where price action has consolidated briefly. This level might act as a pivot zone, where buyers could step in if there’s a pullback.
Momentum: The price is above the 21-day EMA, which is rising, indicating the trend is currently bullish. Buyers seem to be in control, and the price action has been making higher highs and higher lows.
Weekly Chart (Right):
Ascending Channel: The price has been trending upward within a well-defined ascending channel. The mid-point of this channel, around $493, has acted as resistance in recent weeks.
Next Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel, which is above the resistance at $503.52, could offer significant resistance. This suggests that QQQ could renew its ATH if this bullish momentum persists.
Overall Trend: The weekly trend remains strong, with the 21-week EMA providing dynamic support, reinforcing the overall bullish bias.
Conclusion:
The price is currently bullish but nearing key resistance at $503.52. Traders should be cautious around this level for potential profit-taking or reversal signals. If the price manages to break above $503.52, the next leg up in the bullish trend could begin. Conversely, if the QQQ loses the $493 support, it could materialize a sharper correction to the 21-day EMA, or even to tthe $477 in the mid-term.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Technical Analysis for QQQ (October 16, 2024)1. Trend and Channel
QQQ is currently moving within an ascending channel.
The recent price action suggests consolidation near the upper trendline, indicating the potential for either a breakout or pullback.
2. Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Level: 494.47
A breakout above this level, with strong volume, could lead to further upside toward 498 or higher.
Support Levels:
491.70 (near-term support).
490.17 (key level to hold). If price breaks below this, the next likely support zone is 479.90 - 477.40.
3. Volume and Momentum Analysis
Volume: The current volume looks moderate, suggesting indecision in the market. Watch for a surge in volume on a breakout or breakdown for confirmation.
MACD:
Momentum appears neutral, as the indicator lines hover near the zero level.
A crossover of the oscillator lines could indicate a shift in momentum—upward for bullish momentum or downward if bearish.
4. Trading Plan for Tomorrow
Bullish Setup:
If QQQ breaks above 494.47 with increased volume, consider entering a long position with a target near 498 (upper trendline).
Use 491.70 as a trailing stop to secure profits.
Bearish Setup:
If QQQ drops below 490.17, it may indicate more selling pressure.
Consider a short position targeting 479.90 - 477.40, with a stop above 491.70.
Disclaimer
This technical analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions.
QQQ 4th trendline retest???I'll probably go with the Tuesday 490s i'm not entering until after lunch break on Monday so the breakeven can come up little more as we push sideways.
Stop:494.75
Entry:193.1
TP Level:187.75
QQQ Weekly Outlook (SPY) for OCT 14, 2024A week ago, I provided a weekly long-term view of QQQ (link below):
I annotated that by looking at the weekly time frame, we can note that QQQ has been bouncing off the weekly trendline (TL) that started back in JAN 2023.
It has touched and bounced off that trendline 3x so far:
-MARCH 2023
-OCTOBER 2023
-AUGUST 2024
We started OCT 7th week around 487 and closed end of week at 493.36
Based on technical analysis, QQQ is in a triangle pattern with the top trendline starting on JULY 17th and then hitting it again several other times:
-SEPT 26
-OCT 9
-OCT 10
-OCT 11
The bottom trendline starts on AUG 5th and touches again on:
-SEPT 6
-SEPT 9
-SEPT 10
-SEPT 11
Another TL was drawn on SEPT 11 up which price has been respecting:
-OCT 2
-OCT 3
-OCT 4
-OCT 7
-OCT 8
-OCT 11
This has cause price to get tighter and tighter against JULY 17th TOP TL.
In addition, price has been making Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) starting from AUG 5th until current date. The following are the HH/HL:
HL: AUG 5/ SEPT 6 - 11 / OCT 1 - 3
HH: AUG 22 / SEPT 26 / OCT 11
The GAP that was created between JULY 16 - 17 was filled on SEPT 26 causing the market to GAP REJECT and push price down.
Price has once again come back to that gap and closed above it.
GAPS can be used in several ways. One being the initial rejection. As price is back above it again, what was once resistance / supply can now be potentially turned into support / demand. The second method can be the INVERSION of a GAP.
Utilizing my longer thesis from last week along with the new / current data, a bullish sentiment is formed going into this week for the following reason:
-Two bottom TLs have been respected and acted as support
-Higher Lows/Higher Highs are being made
-Price closed above the GAP that that acted initially as resistance and now turned into support (inversion)
-No economic catalyst for bearish scenario 'yet'
-Price had a strong close above the 5 and 8 EMA on the daily time frame.
Price Targets:
PT1: $498.44
PT2: $500
PT3: $501.01
PT4: $503.07
PT5: $503.52
PT6: $505
This is NOT financial advice but my opinion on the market.
NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ NYSE:ES SP:SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD
SaD
Stock Market | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
SPY forecast
TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT Analysis
QQQ: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the QQQ pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
QQQ for Friday (11/10/2024)Price Action:
Current Resistance: QQQ is encountering resistance near the 493.71 - 494.47 level. This zone has been tested several times but hasn't been broken, suggesting possible overhead supply.
Support Levels: Strong support is evident around 479.90 - 483.34, indicated by the green order block zone. Buyers have shown interest in this region on previous pullbacks.
Trendline: There is an upward trendline providing support, showing that the ETF is maintaining an overall bullish structure. Any pullback to this trendline could act as dynamic support.
Direction:
Bullish Scenario: If QQQ breaks above 494.47 with increased volume, it could continue its upward trajectory. Look for a breakout confirmation before entering a long trade.
Bearish Scenario: A failure to break above the resistance could push QQQ toward its support at 483.34 or even further down to 479.90. If the price closes below the trendline, it may signal a reversal or correction.
Order Block:
Bullish Order Block: The green order block around 479.90 - 483.34 shows significant buying interest. A pullback to this area may result in a bounce as buyers step back in.
Bearish Order Block: No immediate bearish order block visible in the upper range, but rejection at resistance could form one in the near term, especially if volume increases.
Volume and Indicators:
Volume: Volume seems steady but not surging, which could indicate caution among participants as price approaches resistance.
Momentum Oscillators: The oscillators show mixed signals with slight volatility. Watch for momentum shifts that may indicate a reversal or continuation.
Strategy:
For long positions, look for a breakout above 494.47 with higher volume and momentum confirmation. Target higher resistance zones or ride the trend if volume spikes.
For short positions, a failure at resistance or a break below 483.34 could open short opportunities, especially toward the 479.90 support zone.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
QQQ Technical Analysis for Tomorrow (10/10/24)Price Action
Current Price: QQQ is trading around 492.95.
Trend: It appears to be in an uptrend, confirmed by the ascending trendlines which show higher highs and higher lows. The price is currently near the top of this trend channel, meaning it might face some resistance soon.
Support and Resistance
Immediate Resistance: Around 494.00. The price has previously reacted to this level, indicating potential selling pressure as QQQ approaches this zone.
Support Levels:
490.00: Immediate support near a previous consolidation zone.
488.39: A strong support level below 490. This level has held in recent trading sessions, indicating buying interest here.
479.89: A major support level that hasn't been revisited in recent sessions, but could serve as a critical point if QQQ breaks lower.
Volume and Momentum
Volume: There is a slight increase in volume as the price approaches resistance, suggesting possible selling interest or a breakout attempt.
Oscillator/Indicator: It looks neutral at the moment, but given the uptrend, further upward movement is still possible.
Future Outlook for Tomorrow
Bullish Case: If QQQ breaks above 494.00 with strong volume, it could test the next resistance levels in the 496–500 range. Consider a breakout trade above resistance with caution, monitoring volume and momentum.
Bearish Case: If it fails to break above resistance, expect a retracement toward 490.00 or 488.39, which could serve as re-entry points for long positions or targets for short-term shorts.
Strategy
Long: If the price pulls back to 490.00 or 488.39, consider long positions with stops below 487.00.
Short: If QQQ fails to break 494.00 and shows bearish momentum, short-term shorts targeting 490.00 or 488.39 could work.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
