QQQ Weekly Outlook (SPY) for OCT 14, 2024A week ago, I provided a weekly long-term view of QQQ (link below):
I annotated that by looking at the weekly time frame, we can note that QQQ has been bouncing off the weekly trendline (TL) that started back in JAN 2023.
It has touched and bounced off that trendline 3x so far:
-MARCH 2023
-OCTOBER 2023
-AUGUST 2024
We started OCT 7th week around 487 and closed end of week at 493.36
Based on technical analysis, QQQ is in a triangle pattern with the top trendline starting on JULY 17th and then hitting it again several other times:
-SEPT 26
-OCT 9
-OCT 10
-OCT 11
The bottom trendline starts on AUG 5th and touches again on:
-SEPT 6
-SEPT 9
-SEPT 10
-SEPT 11
Another TL was drawn on SEPT 11 up which price has been respecting:
-OCT 2
-OCT 3
-OCT 4
-OCT 7
-OCT 8
-OCT 11
This has cause price to get tighter and tighter against JULY 17th TOP TL.
In addition, price has been making Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) starting from AUG 5th until current date. The following are the HH/HL:
HL: AUG 5/ SEPT 6 - 11 / OCT 1 - 3
HH: AUG 22 / SEPT 26 / OCT 11
The GAP that was created between JULY 16 - 17 was filled on SEPT 26 causing the market to GAP REJECT and push price down.
Price has once again come back to that gap and closed above it.
GAPS can be used in several ways. One being the initial rejection. As price is back above it again, what was once resistance / supply can now be potentially turned into support / demand. The second method can be the INVERSION of a GAP.
Utilizing my longer thesis from last week along with the new / current data, a bullish sentiment is formed going into this week for the following reason:
-Two bottom TLs have been respected and acted as support
-Higher Lows/Higher Highs are being made
-Price closed above the GAP that that acted initially as resistance and now turned into support (inversion)
-No economic catalyst for bearish scenario 'yet'
-Price had a strong close above the 5 and 8 EMA on the daily time frame.
Price Targets:
PT1: $498.44
PT2: $500
PT3: $501.01
PT4: $503.07
PT5: $503.52
PT6: $505
This is NOT financial advice but my opinion on the market.
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SaD