$QQQM a troubling pattern forming in the weekly chartNASDAQ:QQQM has generated large profits since December 2022 with the market clearly being in an uptrend. It is normal and expected that strong uptrends will follow with periods of sell-off where investors start closing their long positions to gather their profits.
However, when analysing the market at the higher timeframes it becomes apparent that as price moves into higher-highs, the momentum waves measured through Elliott's wave theory become smaller.
Could this type of divergence indicate a weakening of the previously established bullish trend or is it simply summer sales with a premise of larger gains after this sell-off is over?
Taking into account the situation in Ukraine and the Middle East is reaching near a culminating point, I am moving cautiously ahead, expecting a serious season of consolidation before any strong move in the upwards or downwards direction.
PS: I'm not a financial advisor, simply expressing my thoughts in an open format in hopes that others might have additional insights to include or criticise so that we may all be able to make better informed decisions by sharing our experiences.
QQQM trade ideas
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQM) technical outlook 5/12/2022
Nasdaq 100 ETF continues to trend upwards with lower highs and higher highs, a major challenge ahead at 121.88
Thursday's price action failed to break 118.68 in the daily time frame, a crucial point (critical support/resistance) in June, July, and September 2022, as marked on the chart.
Price closed as a Doji pattern, indicating indecision between the buyers and sellers, and most sellers aimed to drive prices down, given the failed attempt at 118.68
However, QQQM survived a technical pullback in Friday's session following a drop to the 118.68 support level in the opening trades. Buyers managed to defend the 118.68 level avoiding a reversal to the downside and closed at 120.35. Sellers will be monitoring 121.88 in next week's session for any signs of weakness to drive prices down.
The current price structure in the daily time frame indicates buyers could push prices to retest the major resistance level at 121.88 if it holds above 118.68. A Santa rally could only happen if the price breaks the trend line in red and remains above 121.88
Not financial advice; the technical analysis is for educational purposes only.
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Index Fund : On top of your DCA investment method.This is just a top-up strategy for your Dollar Cost Averaging investment strategy.. when the index fund corrects 7%.. you buy. When it goes further down to 10%.. you buy.. When it goes further down to 15%.. you buy.. and so on. You get the point.
More often than not, these corrections begets another higher move breaking the price structure.
You probably think this is crazy, but why is it crazy? Since when buying on discount is crazy?