Is the trend changing for Rivian?NASDAQ:RIVN 's stock price, which has dropped by nearly 80% since September 2022, has started to move upward again in November 2024 with renewed demand.
The possibility of retesting the trendline formed during the 2022-2024 period has strengthened with the demand seen in the past month.
If this upward movement continues, the initial price target could be $19. Should the trend persist, price movements could extend to $28 and even $41.
RIVN trade ideas
Trading idea - Entry point > 12.24/61.80%Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 12.24/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Tim's Fundamental View LayoutHere is the way that I view any stock for an initial analysis to get an idea of what the market is valuing and viewing the company.
I first look at the free cash flow, so that is directly under the price chart. Free cash flow is the life-blood of the company and can be used to pay dividends and to reinvest in the company to grow the top line or to buy back stock.
Next I look at the PSR or Price-To-Sales-Ratio. This ratio is paramount for me since the top line shows up first for companies and is the starting point for analysis. Companies with low or no sales growth get priced very differently from companies with high growth. Start with sales growth in your analysis. There are many great books on the topic written by Kenneth L. Fisher, the creator of the tool.
Next "Avg Basic Shares Outstanding" to see if the company is constantly diluting investors and raising capital or hiding expenses by giving out stock options each year. Old companies in slow growth industries tend to buy back stock and growth companies grow shares outstanding and is a strong headwind for investors.
Next is "Long Term Debt"... which is another extremely important variable to look at with any company. In the long run, debt is the cheapest capital since you can pay it off cheaply but it can also drag down a company when the future is uncertain and unpredictable. Companies with predictable sales and growth often load up on debt which enhances returns for equity owners, but increases the risk long term. Jet Blue NASDAQ:JBLU is case in point for this as in 2000 before the pandemic it had a $5 billion market cap with $1 billion in debt and now it has over $8 billion in debt and the market cap is down to $1.5 billion. It is very difficult to get out from under such a heavy debt load. Debt can be "death" for any company if overused.
Next is "Revenue" graphed annually. Essential to see if inflation impacts sales growth or if it can't keep up with inflation. The last 5 years was between 20%-50% inflation depending on the industry so if a company doesn't have higher revenues by at least 20% since 2019, then this reveals a weakness in their pricing power which is a very competitive market with likely declining or low margins.
Last is "Market Cap". It is always good to know the market capitalization of any stock that you own. It is the foundation for understanding if any investor would ever want to buy the whole company and what would it cost to buy it and what are the "returns" from owning the whole company.
I hope you can copy this layout for your own so you too can have a one-page view of the history of a company to help you get your mind around its valuation and potential along with understanding the risks all in one, easy picture.
Rivian Kicking Off Potential UptrendHey, all. I'll get down to it. Obviously NASDAQ:RIVN has been an incredibly tough stock to own. Fake out after fake out. It has been brutal - unless you have been nimble enough to buy the dips and sell the rips.
I would like to posit, however, that NASDAQ:RIVN is going to start marching back higher here over time. In the signal system I have been taught via the T@M strategy, Rivian is putting in a range expansion to the upside on the weekly time frame. If you take the range of the past monthly consolidation period, attach it to the "mode" (or central zone of the consolidation range), it gives you a target of $25 over the next few months. Now, whether this is another fake out just to reverse on us... again... remains to be seen of course. It is early in the idea. But potentially offers a decent risk/reward position here.
I just do not see Rivian really going away at all and, if they can keep refining their business, they could see some success going forward. Anyway, hope you enjoy this idea! As always, position carefully as the market is risky business.
Including the Daily Chart below for your reference as well.
RIVIAN Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 032525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 12.3/61.80%
Chart time frame: C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
SMOL STARTER POSITIONBought a SMOL starter position in RIVN. Should have been paying attention yesterday and bought yesterday. But, I still think based on the chart pattern this is a good spot for a SMOL starter position. I imagine half the country is looking for an alternative to TSLA and I have been seeing an increasing number of Rivians around town. That's anecdotal, but WHATEVER BRUV! That's what I think.
RIVN looks ready after a flatRIVN bounced off the 61.8% retracement of W-(1), looked like a clean impulse besides the very deep retracement of W-2, but still valid. Wave B looks like 3 waves up and was rejected off the 127% making it look like an expanded flat. This then followed into an ending diagonal for C right into that 61.8% retracement of W-(1) and not quite hitting the 161.8% extension of W-A.
On a smaller timeframe, this last leg down could look like a 1-2 1-2 and needs a second 4-5 still. One more low could be in order.
Rivian (RIVN): EV Expansion Drives Market GrowthRivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) is an electric vehicle company focused on adventure-ready trucks and SUVs. With models like the R1T and R1S, Rivian is carving out its place in the EV market by offering rugged, high-performance electric vehicles designed for both city streets and off-road adventures. The company’s growth is driven by rising demand for sustainable transportation, strong partnerships, and its expanding production capabilities.
The stock chart recently showed a confirmation bar with increasing volume and is finding demand at the Fibonacci 0.618 level inside the corrective zone (0.382-0.618). This is a strong support area in uptrends, signaling that buyers are stepping in, creating potential for a rebound. A trailing stop can be set using Fibonacci levels, helping traders manage risk while staying in the trade as the stock moves higher.
RIVN Rivian Automotive Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold RIVN after the recalls:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RIVN Rivian Automotive prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 16usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.93.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
RIVN - Still on track with my prior charts.I always love RIVN, I see them everywhere in So cal, I want a truck, it is a USA company, we are in a USA first political cycle. I would like to take the RISK and be part of another TSLA type move over time.
I own and love TSLA too, I was too late too that original party and now primarily just trade it.
Owning less than I have in prior years.
Disclosure for me is it is personal acct., holding 1500 shares @ $10.50, I traded some and fumbled with emotions, taking some great profit and ruined my avg price, which is now 12.50...
I will most likely add 500 more if it drops to retest the $11.50 support....
$20 and above hold will confirm Range 2 in play..
GTLA, for entertainment only
RIVN key support signaling a bullish move aheadRIVN recently found support at its previous resistance level, signaling a potential shift in momentum. This technical move suggests the possibility of another upward swing, with $23 emerging as the next target. The price action highlights investor interest at this level, potentially setting the stage for a bullish continuation.
RIVN - Accumulating zone for meBased on my previous RIVN chart, being partial, I have been accumulating since under $10, long term hold.
I counted Teslas many years ago, now I count RIvian's I see on the road or now in my neighborhood driveways.
Although it is not tesla and just a vehicle company, It is a USA company, it also has the ability to be a lifestyle technology company.
Bullish
RIVN break long-term trend?Rivian Automotive
RIVN
said late Thursday it closed a loan agreement with the US Department of Energy for up to $6.6 billion to back the construction of a plant in Stanton Springs North, Georgia.
The loan will be divided into two phases for Rivian's Georgia facility, with the first phase expected to reach up to $3.4 billion and the second phase up to $2.6 billion.
Construction is slated to start in 2026 with production of customer vehicles expected to take place in 2028, Rivian said.
The company's shares were rising past 5% in after-hours trading.