$RKLB: Early Entry Ignites as Momentum Builds🚀 NASDAQ:RKLB – Rocket Lab USA | Breakout Watch
Chart Notes:
Rocket Lab is showing impressive strength after successfully holding its 200-day moving average, even as broader markets pulled back. That type of resilience often points to institutional support.
Today’s move delivered a low-cheat early entry backed by strong volume, a key sign of accumulation. We’re also seeing the moving averages start to stack, signaling that momentum is building.
The recent earnings report is behind us, removing near-term volatility risk—and the market’s positive reaction to that report is another bullish signal. In terms of industry positioning, Rocket Lab is part of the emerging commercial space sector, which continues to attract investor interest and capital as a high-growth frontier.
This stock is of the higher-octane variety, and with more and more growth names breaking out recently, conditions look favorable for RKLB to follow suit.
Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 23.76 – 24.95
Stop: 7% below entry
Target: 2:1 minimum reward-to-risk or 14%+ upside
We’ll be watching for continued strength or additional entry points as it pushes toward the top of its base. Keep this one on your radar—it could live up to its name and rocket to new highs.
RKLB trade ideas
ROCKET LAB establishing its long-term Support to $32.00It's been too long (September 30 2024, see chart below) since we last took a trade on one of our stock gems, Rocket Lab (RKLB), which smashed through our $14.50 Target:
The price is now trading sideways for the past 2 weeks, establishing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as the new Support. Having made the Trade War bottom on its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it got its much needed overbought technical harmonization and created new long-term demand.
The pattern is similar to the 1D MACD Bearish Cross in late May 2024, which also made the price trade sideways before eventually almost testing the previous Resistance. As a result, we expect to see $32.00 in July before the stock breaks to a new All Time High.
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RKLB Gap Down Earnings Reversal Play + Flag BreakoutTwo powerful setups are in play here, and both are primed for action:
🔹 Setup 1: Earnings Gap Down Reversal (Kicker Candle)
Post-earnings flush, buyers stepped in hard — this has been a relentless pattern in this market.
Even on earnings misses, buyers are aggressive. We saw the same setup work beautifully on NASDAQ:TEM and NYSE:HIMS recently.
This is a kicker candle setup — strong reversal signal after a gap down flush.
🔹 Setup 2: Flag Breakout at $23.50
Price is coiling into a tight flag, with a breakout level at $23.50.
Risk is defined, with stops at $22, keeping the trade tight.
🔹 My Trading Plan:
1️⃣ Initial Position: Buying May 30th $25 Calls today.
2️⃣ Risk Management: Stop at $22 for the calls and underlying stock.
3️⃣ Add Size: On a clean breakout over $23.50.
🔹 Why This Setup is Hot:
The earnings gap down reversal has been a killer setup in this market — buyers are dominating.
Dual setup means two chances to win: Reversal + Flag Breakout.
Tight risk, with a clear invalidation at $22.
⚠️ Risk Management: Tight stop at $22 — this is a LOW-risk, high-reward setup.
Rocket Lab (RKLB) – Breakout Setup With 22.95% UpsideRocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) is setting up for a potentially explosive move. The price just closed above the Ichimoku Cloud with a bullish Kumo breakout, reclaiming the pivot level at $22.42. We're also seeing confirmation from multiple technical signals:
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Price above the cloud (bullish confirmation)
✅ Strong bounce off Tenkan-sen (conversion line) acting as support
✅ Bullish momentum building after weeks of consolidation near the cloud top
✅ Break above recent highs with room to run to R1 at $28.80
This setup has a clear entry and stop with strong R/R dynamics:
Entry: $23.41
Target: $28.80 (22.95% upside)
Stop: $21.55 (7.96% downside)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.68
Size: 3,763 shares | Reward: $48,172 | Risk: $21,000
📡 Fundamental Bull Case:
Rocket Lab is one of the few pure-play space launch and satellite companies publicly traded. It's essentially a mini SpaceX with recurring revenue from satellite deployment, space systems, and a strong contract pipeline with NASA and defense partners.
🛰️ Recently won key government and defense contracts
💵 Revenue is growing YoY; expanding margins in Q1
🌎 Strong tailwinds from global satellite/defense expansion
🔋 Potential long-term upside from Neutron rocket program and vertical integration
This trade setup is backed by both technical momentum and macro tailwinds in the space sector. RKLB is quietly gaining traction as a Tier 2 space player with massive optionality.
RKLB: Continued Recovery or Stuck in a Channel?NASDAQ:RKLB seems to be following the Fib chart pretty well with a bounce off the the .618. In my opinion, it will test $24 dollars before earnings. Depending on earnings it will break out past the .50 mark continuing the channel up to at least $26; or the market will not be impressed and the stock will lose support and come down to the long term support again at about $20.
If earnings disappoint, NASDAQ:RKLB may continue to see-saw between $17 and $22 until the company can generate more profit with the launch of it's Neutron heavy lift rocket. The test launches were delayed until the end of 2025. However, with expansion into space systems, satellite manufacturing, silicone chips for satellites, and solar array manufacturing NASDAQ:RKLB could increase it's margins enough to give investors more confidence until the Neutron launch.
The sage continues for RKLB will we go low or low what we have here is looking like a bear flag if it takes form be careful my friends.
with market conditions and spx about to dump aswell more downward pressure is to come.
it don't hurt waiting for rklb to be a little cheaper to buy at lower price maybe around the $10-12 were I might open a small position to hold
good luck to all :)
ROCKET LAB: Channel Up aiming at $78.RKLB turned marginally neutral again on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.190, MACD = 1.683, ADX = 38.570) as it basically remains flat for the past 3 weeks. Since the price is not that far off the 1W MA50, we believe that's the (long term) bottoming process of the 1 year Channel Up. We are also a little bit over the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and once the process is over we expect the new bullish wave to target the -0.382 Fib extension (TP = 78.00) as the top of this Cycle.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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RKLB Recovery in Progress?I refuse to let this stock defeat me. Previous predictions have been stifled by news cycles and bearish trends from the overall market.
We know NASDAQ:RKLB delayed its launch of it's Neutron heavy lift rocket until the tail end of 2025, and the company does not expect to be profitable until this rocket goes into service. However, with recent acquisitions and CHIP act awards we know the company is scaling it's satellite and space system ecosystem for even more revenue streams.
As far as the stock price is concerned, the recovery seems to be in progress with a cup forming. We will see if this turns out to be a full Cup & Handle and if it is, where the handle will form. In my opinion, the handle will begin to form around the $23.50.
In the meantime, we have to cross some tough resistance at $20 and $22. However, there is strong support at $16.
RKLB Long?Hey there.
New to technical analysis and was hoping I could get some feedback on what I am seeing.
Descending channel breakout with increasing volume
Retest on the top of channel: Lines up with the 0.5 fib retrace
Higher high outside of channel
Inverse head and shoulders forming with right shoulder on top of channel
Daily close above descending channel, with what looks like a new open at 18.25 premarket (Above channel)
I would be thinking that the 0.5 fib (retest on descending channel) would want to hold.. the reasoning behind that is that a golden pocket retrace (618) would mean the descending channel retest didn't hold, and that would paint a right shoulder to a nasty little head and shoulders back within the channel, resulting in another test of the bottom support.
Any comments on what I am missing, or doing wrong, would be much appreciated.
Xox
$RKLB - Heaven to Hell and back?NASDAQ:RKLB has fallen so fast in such a short time that the MACD went straight from heaven to hell. 😂 Just kidding.
Well, not really... I genuinely meant it literally. You see, the speed of the sell-off was so intense that the MACD dropped from its highest point ever to the lowest in the history of this stock’s existence.
So, what’s next? Well, things are looking up... as long as Trump’s next post isn’t something like, “There will be pain, you will learn to love it and it will be worth it.”
Why do I say it’s looking up? Well, after you’ve been to hell, everything else feels like heaven.
It’s the same concept: the MACD is trying to climb back out of the hellhole it’s found itself in. The climb will be hard, treacherous, and painful. But it will be worth it. 📷
What’s fueling this unwavering determination to climb out of the hellhole?
Well, the stock has fallen into what I call a “golden reversal area,” which is the Fibonacci retracement level between 50% and 61.8%. Stocks normally try to make a reversal from this golden reversal area—as long as it’s not a shitty company.
So, what are the target and support areas? Well, you have eyes, I presume. Look them up on the chart.
Why should I believe you? Well, you don’t have a choice. Just trust me, bro, or don’t. What do I care?🤷♂️
I reserve the right to be WRONG and RIGHT. If I’m RIGHT, I’ll be in your face. If I’m WRONG, I’ll keep quiet and hope you forget about this post. 🤣
RKLB - Accidental Trade of the Year!Had forgotten about this limit order and didn't even trade Friday. Came back Saturday night to 30% profit on a trade I didn't even know I'd taken.
Two simple pieces of analysis I used to set up this trade - Controlled selling algorithm (i.e. Liquidity builder) and recent large demand zone (there was only one on this chart so identifying the proper one was easy).
Happy Trading :)
RKLB Rocket Lab USA Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought RKLB before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RKLB Rocket Lab USA prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 21.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-3-7,
for a premium of approximately $1.62.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.