Volume Profile TheoryImagine the market as a landscape with various layers of soil and rock, each layer representing a price level, and the thickness of each layer reflecting the volume of trades at that level. Your trade, symbolized by a bunker, is situated at a specific depth corresponding to your entry price.
Bunker (Your Entry Price): Your position in the market is like a bunker built at a certain depth. This depth is determined by your entry price, marking where you've decided to "settle" in the market landscape.
Soil and Rock Layers (Volume at Different Price Levels): Above and below your bunker, there are various layers of soil and rock, each representing trading volume at different price levels. The thickness of these layers corresponds to the volume traded at each level – thicker layers indicate higher volumes.
Protection and Pressure:
Above Your Bunker: Thick layers of soil and rock above your bunker (high volume at higher price levels) can act as a protective canopy. This suggests that significant trading activity has occurred at these higher levels, potentially establishing them as areas of value or resistance. It makes it less likely for prices to rapidly fall below these layers, providing a form of security for your position.
Below Your Bunker: Similarly, the layers below your bunker indicate volumes at lower price levels. Thick layers beneath you can signify strong support, as these are levels where significant trading has occurred, possibly preventing the market from easily "digging" deeper.
Interpreting Market Dynamics:
Shifting Layers: Over time, the landscape can change. New layers may form, and existing ones may erode, reflecting shifting market dynamics and trader sentiments. Observing these changes is crucial for understanding potential impacts on your bunker's security.
Entry and Exit Strategy: Choose your bunker's location (entry point) by assessing the landscape. Look for positions where thick layers above suggest a protective canopy and layers below offer strong support. Monitor the landscape for significant changes that might affect these protective layers, as they may signal the need to adjust your position (exit strategy).
This refined analogy more accurately captures the nuances of the Volume Profile concept, illustrating how trading volumes at different price levels can provide support or resistance, influence market dynamics, and inform trading decisions.
RMR trade ideas
RMR: Elliott impulse wave finishing, correction wave incoming?Hi. I've plotted a resistance zone that's been prevalent since the start of the year. I've also plotted some Elliot waves: some past, some current and some incoming.
The recent Three Drives pattern is over and unfortunately I didn't recognize it in time. But a good question then is what's next?
Well there is a clear impulse wave occurring at the moment. The high price difference between the MA 56 and close price strongly indicates that the impulse wave will continue to finish wave 3 and 4. The exact time when this will happen is uncertain, the price on point 5 is just an example.
But this means a correction wave is incoming when the impulse finishes.
There are two decent position to make if you believe the impending waves are probable:
When the current impulse wave has finished there is a good timing for a short position to profit off of the correction wave.
When that correction wave is complete there will most likely be an impulse wave. A long position when this is apparent or a long position on the B point of that wave could both be decent.
Thank you. Please, if you have any thoughts or comments do leave them below and I would gladly discuss or adjust my interpretations and methods with you.
This does not constitute financial advice. Any projected prices, even if explicitly stated, are made with intent to discuss the symbol and potential interpretations. Any trades shown or mentioned are examples and neither recommendations or mandates.
$RMR with a bullish outlook following its earnings release PEAD projected a bullish outlook for $RMR following its earnings release after a negative over reaction placing the stock in Drift C
If you would like to see the Drift for another stock please message us. Also click on the Like Button if this was useful and follow us or join us.