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SBUX trade ideas

Frothy FOMO Coffee: Why Starbucks May Face a Harsh ReckoningWe may be staring down a considerable downside in Starbucks’ share price — and I suspect the decline could be severe. When a genuine recession hits — not the softened, cosmetically massaged versions we've seen bandied about — discretionary spending is the first casualty. And let us be honest: a $7 small latte, regardless of its oat milk or seasonal syrup, is the very definition of discretionary. Inflation over the past four years has not been a natural occurrence. It is the predictable consequence of reckless fiscal policies and excessive monetary accommodation — in plain English, wasteful government spending and money printing. These policies have inflated prices across the board, and coffee is no exception. What is perhaps underappreciated by most analysts is the brewing effect of tariffs. Come September, we will begin to see the real impact of trade friction on coffee imports from major producers such as Brazil and Colombia. Coffee futures already hit all-time highs in February. Although prices have since pulled back, I view that retreat not as relief, but as the first ominous sign that something is amiss. Starbucks operates globally, but its margins are still vulnerable to supply chain shocks and input cost inflation. As the economic pain spreads, we should expect average consumers — not just in the US, but in Europe, Asia, and elsewhere — to make different decisions. The morning coffee ritual may remain, but the $7 takeaway will be replaced by home-brewed alternatives and budget-conscious behaviour. I foresee the possibility of a bear flag pattern luring investors back in with a short-term rally — a classic trap, falsely interpreted as recovery. But please, do not be fooled by this. I believe Starbucks stock could drop sharply later this year, with a potential downside target around $57.80. This will not be a gentle correction. I expect it to be brutal — marked by layoffs, store closures, and perhaps a reckoning of Starbucks’ business model itself, which is built upon the illusion of small luxuries being affordable in all seasons. For the rational investor, this is not a time for sentiment or brand loyalty. It is a time for analysis, discipline, and preparation. This is not investment advice. Do your own research. I could be wrong.
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by johnmknox
Starbucks Corporation coffe?!Yes ! 100 Stock please ! (I just bought 100 shares) Looks like Trump do not like coffe but nevertheles Starbucks are in Sweeden , France and other countries. First stock hit it get from taxes, but it will not affect the taste of the coffee Large containers in the Netherlands and Germany are unloading fragrant coffee beans and transporting them all over Europe! Coffee consumption will not be affected! We are addicted to delicious coffee, so the price of coffee on the stock exchange will rise again! Wait for Starbucks will climb back up to 90.50 EUR per share. Just wait and order a onther sweet drink ! Chears !
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by Versis
Starbucks (SBUX) Brewing a Breakout? Don’t Miss This $100 BattleStarbucks (SBUX) 2-Hour Chart Breakdown Hey traders, let’s dive into Starbucks (SBUX) on the 2-hour chart and see what’s cooking. The price is sitting at $99.65 right now, up a tiny 0.01%, but don’t let that small move fool you—this chart has been a wild ride lately, and I think we’re at a really interesting spot for a potential trade. What’s Been Happening with the Price? If you look at the chart, you’ll see Starbucks hit a high of $112.38 back on March 17th. That was the peak, and man, did it come crashing down after that! The price tanked all the way to $97.34 by early April, a pretty steep drop. Since then, though, things have calmed down a bit, and we’ve been stuck in this tight range between $97.34 and $100.00. Lately, the price has been pushing toward the upper end of that range, and it’s got my attention. Let’s Talk Trends From mid-March to early April, we were in a clear downtrend. You can see it on the chart—lower highs, lower lows, and a descending trendline that kept the price in check as it slid down. It was a bear’s paradise, and there’s even a sell signal marked on the chart from that $112.38 peak that caught a massive 27.96% profit on the way down. Not bad at all! But now, things are starting to shift. After hitting that $97.34 low, the price has been consolidating, and just recently, it broke above that descending trendline. That’s a big deal because it tells me the bears might be losing their grip. We’re not in a full-on uptrend yet, but the momentum feels like it’s tilting toward the bulls, especially with the price testing that $100.00 level. Key Levels to Watch Let’s zoom in on the levels that matter here. On the downside, $97.34 has been a rock-solid support. The price has bounced off that level a couple of times in early April, so it’s a spot I’m keeping an eye on. If we drop back down, that’s where I’d expect buyers to step in again. On the upside, $100.00 is the big resistance we’re testing right now. The price has struggled to break through here before, so it’s a critical level. If we can get a clean break above it, I think we could see a nice move higher. The next big resistance after that would be around $107.00, which was a swing high from late March, and then up toward $111.00 or even that $112.38 peak if things really get going. What the Past Signals Tell Us The chart has a couple of trade signals marked, which give us some context. That sell signal at $112.38 was a home run, as I mentioned—27.96% profit as the price collapsed. Then there’s a buy signal at the $97.34 low on April 5th, but that one only managed a peak profit of 0.27%. Not exactly a big win, and it makes sense because the price has been stuck in this range since then. It’s like the market’s been taking a breather, trying to figure out its next move. Digging into the Technicals Alright, let’s get into the nitty-gritty of what’s happening on the chart. That break above the descending trendline is a bullish sign for me. It’s like the price is saying, “I’m done with this downtrend, let’s try something new.” We’re also in this consolidation range between $97.34 and $100.00, and when I see a range like that, I know a breakout is usually coming. The question is, which way? One thing that’s catching my eye is the potential for a double bottom pattern. We’ve got two tests of that $97.34 support, and if we can break above $100.00, that would confirm the pattern. If that happens, I’d measure the height of the pattern and project it upward, which could take us toward $107.00 as a first target. That’s something to watch for. I’d love to see volume on this chart to confirm the breakout, but from the price action alone, it feels like there’s some buying interest building as we push toward $100.00. If we get a strong candle closing above that level, I’ll be a lot more confident in the bulls. How I’d Trade This Setup So, what’s the play here? I see a few ways to approach this, depending on what the price does next. First, let’s talk about the bullish case. If we get a solid break above $100.00—ideally with a strong 2-hour candle and some good volume—I’d be looking to go long. My first target would be $107.00, and if we get some momentum, maybe even $111.00 or $112.38. I’d set my stop loss just below the recent swing low around $98.00 to protect myself in case this breakout fails. That trendline break and the potential double bottom make me think the bulls have a shot here. On the flip side, if the price gets rejected at $100.00—and I’ll be watching for something like a shooting star or a bearish engulfing candle—I’d consider a short. If we drop back down, $97.34 is the first target, and if that support breaks, we could even see $94.00, which is a psychological level and a spot where I’d expect some buyers to show up. For a short, I’d set my stop loss just above $100.65 to give it a little room. If you’re more of a scalper, you could play the range while we’re stuck in it. Buy near $97.34, sell near $100.00, and use tight stops outside the range—say, below $97.00 for longs and above $100.65 for shorts. It’s a decent way to grab some quick profits while we wait for the bigger move. A Word on Risk One thing I always remind myself is to keep risk in check. Starbucks has been volatile—look at that 27.96% drop from the peak! So, I’d be careful with my position size and aim for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio on any breakout trade. Also, keep an eye out for any news that might shake things up, like earnings reports or big economic data releases. Starbucks is in the consumer discretionary sector, so things like consumer spending trends or even coffee prices could move the stock. The Bigger Picture Speaking of the broader market, Starbucks can be influenced by how the NASDAQ 100 is doing, since it’s listed there. If the overall market is feeling optimistic, that could help push SBUX higher. On the other hand, if there’s a risk-off vibe, we might see that $100.00 resistance hold strong. It’s always good to check the bigger picture before jumping into a trade. Wrapping It Up So, where does that leave us? Starbucks is at a really interesting spot right now, testing that $100.00 resistance after breaking above the descending trendline. I’m leaning toward a bullish breakout, especially with that potential double bottom pattern, but I’ll be watching closely to see if we get confirmation above $100.00. If we do, I think $107.00 is a realistic target, with $111.00 or higher in play if the bulls really take control. But if we get rejected here, $97.34 is the level to watch on the downside. For now, I’d say be patient and wait for the price to show its hand. Whether you’re looking for a breakout or playing the range, there’s definitely an opportunity here. Just make sure to manage your risk and stay on top of any news that might move the stock. Let’s see how this plays out I’ll be watching this one closely!
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by wolfchemist
1
$SBUX on the Edge:Trendline, Fibs, and RSI Team Up—Will It BouncAlright, let’s talk Starbucks (SBUX) on this daily chart—things are getting spicy! The stock just pulled back to that trusty uptrend line it’s been riding since mid-2024, and it’s hanging out right at a sweet Fibonacci retracement zone around $96.25 as of March 13, 2025. To top it off, check the RSI—it’s flashing oversold vibes hard, dipping to 29.1, which is screaming “buyers might be lurking!” That’s three big signals lining up: the trendline support, a solid Fib bounce zone, and an oversold RSI. Together, these bad boys could be the magic combo to give SBUX a breather and some consolidation right here. But will it stick, or is there more drama waiting around the corner? Let’s just say the setup’s looking strong, and I’m keeping my eyes peeled for what’s next!
NASDAQ:SBUX
by ALRASHYD_
daily price action on sbux - open high low close volume. market daily price action on sbux - open high low close volume. market is talking and you are listening. stay focused on open high low close body of price each price component (open and close) what portion of the body note volume bar 5 seconds per bar to process your mind is capable of processing all of this in 5 seconds practice.....you'll see train your mind to relax and pay attentionto Again: watch 1 open 2 close that's the body grren is up from open red is down from open blue is a squat bar (vume is rising but price is being fought by buyers/sellers 3 high low that's the range 4 volume 5 is volume 10% higher than previous bar volume - if so, more significant train your mind to absorb 1,2,3,4,5 in 5 seconds
NASDAQ:SBUX
by thechuck49
2
5 Reasons To Use Break Out And Continuation Patterns In TradingWhen you are trading you need to understand that they are a lot of strategies out there One strategy that I love to combine with the Roket booster Strategy Is The Breakout Pattern In this video, we dive deep into why this is one of the best patterns for trading Watch it to learn more. Rocket boost this content to learn more - Disclaimer:Trading is risky; please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies. Also feel free to use a simulation trading account.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by lubosi
Starbucks (SBUX) AnalysisCompany Overview: Starbucks NASDAQ:SBUX is executing a strategic turnaround, focusing on barista wages, store renovations, and menu optimization to enhance efficiency and customer experience. Key Catalysts: Loyalty & Digital Engagement 📊 34.6M U.S. Rewards members now drive 57% of total sales. Personalized offers and data-driven engagement are boosting customer retention and spending. China Expansion & Growth Potential 🌏 Despite a 4% decline in same-store sales, Starbucks opened 169 new stores, reinforcing its long-term commitment to China. The region remains a key growth driver, with opportunities for premiumization and digital adoption. Financial Strength & Shareholder Returns 💰 SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in share buybacks could increase EPS by 3-4% annually. A SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B sustainability bond aligns with ESG-focused institutional investors. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on SBUX above $97.00-$98.00, driven by loyalty growth, operational improvements, and capital efficiency. Upside Potential: Our price target is $160.00-$165.00, reflecting strong turnaround execution and long-term expansion. 📢 Starbucks—Brewing Growth with Digital Innovation, Expansion, and Shareholder Returns. #SBUX #StockMarket #LoyaltyEconomy
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by Richtv_official
Starbucks: Resurgence and Global Transformation on the MoveBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades Starbucks is immersed in a radical transformation process that promises to redefine its corporate structure and product offering, with a view to consolidating its leadership in the competitive U.S. market and projecting significant impacts globally. Since the arrival of its CEO, Brian Niccol, the company has accelerated its change strategy, focusing its efforts on optimizing internal processes and enhancing the customer experience. In this context, the elimination of 1,100 jobs at the corporate level is presented as a measure to simplify decision-making and redirect resources to strategic areas. This restructuring is aimed at purging unnecessary functions and concentrating on innovation, a commitment that is reflected in the sustained improvement of shares, which have grown by 22% since the start of this new management chapter. The adjustment in headcount is part of a comprehensive vision of renewal, which also encompasses a review of the product portfolio. In an effort to eliminate operational complexity and focus the offering on what truly resonates with consumers, Starbucks has decided to remove some beverages that, despite having a following, do not meet commercial expectations. These include certain frappuccinos and white hot chocolate. With this, the company seeks to unify its brand image and focus on options that respond more directly to market demands, allowing a more agile execution and clear communication of its value proposition. In the United States, this organizational and product redesign translates into a more seamless consumer experience, where attention to detail and service quality are priority elements. However, the implications of this plan are not limited to the domestic arena. On the international stage, Starbucks is recognized not only for its coffee, but also for its ability to adapt to local trends and needs. The internal simplification and refinement of the menu can serve as a model for other markets where operational efficiency and clarity in the offer are decisive factors in capturing consumer loyalty. Strengthening the brand globally will depend on maintaining the essence that has positioned Starbucks as a global benchmark. By focusing on innovation and improving the customer experience, the company seeks to generate a ripple effect that will influence quality and service expectations in different regions. In this context, investor optimism, evidenced by the recent stock rally, suggests that the market has confidence in Niccol's vision and the potential of these changes to drive sustainable growth. In addition, this restructuring process has the potential to drive synergies between global operations, allowing for greater integration of marketing and sales strategies, and tailoring the offering to the particularities of each territory. The resulting flexibility could open up new opportunities in emerging markets, where demand for differentiated consumer experiences is constantly evolving. Technical Analysis Looking at the chart we can see that it has recovered the price of May 2023. At this time if the economic data accompanies the firm we could see an advance towards the highs of July 2021 but not before having to overcome the range of $117 that acted as support for that impulse to the highs. The checkpoint (POC) is well below at $98.20 and the RSI is currently at high overbought at 72.76% after correcting since January 29th its trend from 83.26%. The current price support zone currently lies between $102.80 and $89.86, at the last confluence area. If this price zone acts as strong support and economic data reinforces the idea that the corporate restructuring is paying off, the $110 level could be pierced as undervalued. In short, Starbucks is charting a course that, by simplifying its internal structure and streamlining its portfolio, reinforces its commitment to excellence and innovation. This plan, which has implications far beyond the United States, could mark a turning point in the way large corporations approach transformation in an increasingly demanding and competitive global environment. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by ActivTrades
SBUX | What's Next?SBUX has been on a tear lately. The screenshot I am including explains all of this as well; however, SBUX has seen a decline in value since being bouncing between the tight Support and Resistance levels. With all confluences taking into consideration - news, patterns, price action, and whatever else you can think of to make a case for a breakout beyond resistance or a reversal would be great towards helping me learn more! Appreciate your time! NASDAQ:SBUX
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by JoshuaMcDaniel
1
SBUX - 6 months SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE══════════════════════════════ Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot trading opportunities based solely on the development of CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS 🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝 ══════════════════════════════ Hello Traders ✌ After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that: - it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment; - since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant; - the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts; For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart. Thank you all for your support 🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER "A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist" ═════════════════════════════ ⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠ Breakout Area, Target, Levels, each line drawn on this chart and any other content represent just The Art Of Charting’s personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purposes. Therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Entry Point, Initial Stop Loss and Targets depend on your personal and unique Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules, Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk. ═════════════════════════════
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by TheArtOfCharting
7
Starbucks Earnings Top Expectation, Amidst Declining in SalesEarnings Overview Starbucks reported fiscal first-quarter results that topped analysts’ expectations, despite sales and profit declines year-over-year. The results came as new CEO Brian Niccol said the company made progress toward its "Back to Starbucks" strategy. Starbucks did not provide an outlook for 2025, but CFO Rachel Ruggeri warned earnings pressure could "intensify" in the 2nd quarter, before improving in the back half of 2025. Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) reported fiscal first-quarter results that topped analysts’ expectations, despite sales and profit declines.1 The coffee giant saw net sales fall 0.3% year-over-year to $9.4 billion, above the analyst consensus compiled by Visible Alpha. Earnings of $780.8 million, or 69 cents per share, declined from $1.02 billion, or 90 cents per share, a year earlier but topped Wall Street expectations. Global same-store sales fell 4%, a narrower decline than the 5% drop expected by analysts. Better-Than-Expected Results Come Under New CEO's Turnaround Plan new CEO Brian Niccol said in a release: “While we’re only one quarter into our turnaround, we’re moving quickly to act on the 'Back to Starbucks' efforts and we’ve seen a positive response,” . Niccol, who took the mantle of power in September, has implemented a turnaround strategy known as “Back to Starbucks,” which has included the reinstatement of a policy requiring customers to make a purchase if they want to spend time in the company’s cafes or use its bathrooms. His new initiative also includes a roughly 30% reduction in menu items to help cut down on order times, Niccol said on the company’s earnings call. Niccol said Starbucks plans to develop a time slot model that will allow customers to schedule mobile orders, as well as adding shelving to separate mobile orders from in-store ones. Starbucks aims to expand its presence with more stores too, after adding 377 net new stores in the first quarter. Niccol further stated "Starbucks could even double its store count in the U.S. in the next couple years, which stood at 17,049 as of Dec. 29." CFO Warns of Earnings Could Be Pressured in Q2 In what came as a shocker, Starbucks did not provide an outlook for 2025, after saying last fall that it wanted to “complete an assessment of the business” under Niccol, before issuing guidance. However, CFO Rachel Ruggeri said on the company's earnings call Starbucks expects YoY earnings pressure could "intensify" in the second quarter, before improving in the back half of 2025. China Challenges Persist Amid Competitive Pricing In China, Starbucks’ second-largest market, same-store sales fell 6%, with a 4% decline in average ticket prices. The company has leaned on discounts to compete with lower-priced rivals like Luckin Coffee. Despite these measures, traffic remains a challenge in the region, contributing to the ongoing decline in sales performance. Technical Outlook Shares of Starbucks were little changed and slightly higher in extended trading Tuesday following the company's earnings call. They were up 10% for the year so far through Tuesday's close. For traders, Starbucks’ stock is showing resilience, with shares up 30% since Niccol’s appointment last year. While the long-term success of the turnaround plan is uncertain, the current momentum suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for the stock. as of the of time of writing, shares of Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) is trading with a moderate level in premarket trading up 0.38%. there's a bit of a concern largely due to the fact that the stock is overbought with the relative strength index at 70.75. Also adding to the peril, is the gap-up pattern exhibited by NASDAQ:SBUX on the 12th of August, 2024 this gap up pattern wasn't filled up. while seen as a bullish pattern, gaps are historically known to be filled up either up or down. In the case of a cool off, immediate support lies in the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level a break below that pivot could resort to the fill down of the gap up pattern formed last year.
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by DEXWireNews