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SOXX trade ideas

Market near Top. SOXX is showing weakness.So first off, I am expecting a recession to begin in the next year. I know, people have been saying this for years and I've been laughing at them for years. So many idiots thought that a recession begins once the yield curve inverts lol. Well there's several things I've been watching for a recession: new home sales, unemployment claims, leading economic index (LEI), etc. One of the last signs before a recession, believe it or not, is the SPX making a new high. And we finally got NFP under +50k. I don't think SPX will go much higher than 6100. And if you look at SOXX, an index of semiconductor stocks, it is actually below the 200-day simple moving average (sma). This seems to have escaped a lot of people's attention. I am watching to see if it breaks below October's low of 216.56.
NASDAQ:SOXX
by anotherdevilsadvocate
1
The Chips Act's Biggest Beneficiary may be...Intel!The Biden administration is nearing completion of allocating $39 billion in grants under the CHIPS and Science Act, aimed at revitalizing the U.S. semiconductor industry. However, the real challenges lie ahead. 1.The CHIPS Act, passed two years ago, is a bold attempt to bring advanced chip production back to the U.S., betting on Intel, Micron, TSMC, and Samsung. The goal is to produce 20% of the world's most advanced processors by 2030, up from nearly zero today. 2.Key to this effort is Mike Schmidt, who leads the CHIPS Program Office (CPO) at the U.S. Department of Commerce. His team, composed of experts from Washington, Wall Street, and Silicon Valley, aims to reduce reliance on Asia, particularly Taiwan, as chips are essential for everything from microwaves to missiles. 3.The CHIPS Act outlines specific goals and capacity expectations, as shown in the chart. According to BCG forecasts, by 2032, the U.S. is expected to produce about 14% of the world's wafers, up from the current 10%. Without the Act's support, this figure would drop to 8% by 2032. The immediate priority is to establish at least two major clusters for advanced logic chip manufacturing (the brains of devices). Officials also aim to build large-scale advanced packaging facilities, which are crucial for connecting chips to other hardware. Additionally, they seek to boost the production of traditional chips, as the U.S. is concerned about China's growing capacity in this area. Advanced DRAM memory, essential for AI development, is also a focus. 4.Intel is a major beneficiary of the CHIPS Act, receiving $8.5 billion in direct assistance and $11 billion in support loans from the U.S. Department of Commerce to support its over $100 billion chip investment plan. Intel also stands alone as the sole recipient of a $3.5 billion plan to produce advanced electronics for the military, despite controversy in Washington. 5.Other chip manufacturers face challenges. TSMC, Intel, and Samsung have committed to investing $400 billion in U.S. factories, but most have missed their targets due to various issues. For instance, TSMC has been reluctant to move its production lines and packaging capabilities from Taiwan, as chip packaging is seen as Taiwan's "trump card" in ensuring U.S. protection. 6.The broader challenge remains workforce shortages. McKinsey estimates that the U.S. semiconductor industry will face a shortage of 59,000 to 77,000 engineers in the next five years. Without immigration reform and a cultural shift toward hardware innovation, the U.S. may struggle to maintain its lead even if it builds new factories. For individuals, pursuing a two-year technical degree at a community college could be a smart career move, as over 80 semiconductor-related courses have been introduced or expanded since the CHIPS Act was passed.
NASDAQ:SOXX
by xugina78
The Semiconductor Bubble is Finally PoppingI believe it is time for one of the biggest bubbles in history to be popped. I'm talking about semiconductors here, but really I would call this entire situation an "everything bubble." i think it all starts with semiconductors though, once the bubble pops it's going to get ugly quick and shorts will pay. However, timing such a move is difficult, but with some good TA you can increase the odds quite a bit. As always, it's only worth risking so much, top picking is a fool's game. Don't short just because of me. If anything, it might just be best to reduce long exposure for the time being rather than shorting. I go over some charts for SOXX NVDA and more, which I have individual ideas for also. All of these charts feature bearish patterns and major trend breaks. It is all adding up, every single semiconductor I see has a major downside break and NQ is on the edge of breaking its uptrend as well. We'll have to see how it goes, if I knew what was going to happen for sure I'd be on my yacht right now.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:SOXXShort
by AdvancedPlays
10
ETFs outperformed the sp500: SOXX & IYWDear traders, This comparison as is made since the fall of the COVID crisis, clearly the sectors with a remarkable evolution have been the technology sector and the semiconductor sector, in these times betting on technology and artificial intelligence is a good option, this could change but for now I feel comfortable with these investments in my portfolio. SOXX is better to wait for a bit retracemente before entry, try to look for a buying opportunities when RSI get relaxed. Best,
NASDAQ:SOXX
by FITINTRADE
SOXXSOXX looks set for a breather after its run-up. Expecting an 8-10% dip within its range before it bounces back up. Keep an eye out for any range breakouts signaling a change in direction. Analysis: Catching Its Breath: • SOXX’s been on the rise; now, it’s due for a cooldown to balance things out. Brace for a Dip: • Predicting a 8-10% dip within the range. Could be a chance to buy low before it heads back up. Stick to the Range: • Play it safe by trading within the range. Don’t get too adventurous. Watch Out for Surprises: • Be cautious of any sudden breakouts from the range. It could mean trouble or a new trend.
NASDAQ:SOXXLong
by TriumphOne
SOXX Harmonic Elliott Wave and Hurst's Cyclic AnalysisOverview: in the previous update I published on May 27th, I had SOXX close to the completion of wave (III) of c of 3 of (A) of 5. Update: our proposed structure/path has been followed nicely. Analysis of the structure: I think we are in wave 4 of (A) of 5 developing as a flat correction. Note that wave (IV) of c of 3 also developed as a flat correction, complicating the analysis of this chart a bit. Based on the fib retracement of wave 3, I see 486.74 or 467.62 as my potential targets for wave 4 bottom. Analysis of the cycles: we are in the second 40D cycle of the second 80D cycle of the first 20W cycle of a 40W cycle. The upcoming 20W cycle is expected at the end of August. We have not yet seen any FLD breaks to the downside to generate targets.
NASDAQ:SOXX
by bamdadsalarieh
1