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MicroStrategy Incorporated - 8.00% Series A Perpetual Strike Preferred StockMicroStrategy Incorporated - 8.00% Series A Perpetual Strike Preferred StockMicroStrategy Incorporated - 8.00% Series A Perpetual Strike Preferred Stock

MicroStrategy Incorporated - 8.00% Series A Perpetual Strike Preferred Stock

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$MSTR Trade Setup – SMC Intraday Structure🕒 Timeframe: 15-Min 📈 Direction: Long 📊 Bias: Intraday Bullish Continuation 🔍 Technical Context ChoCH to BOS Sequence: Clean change of character followed by two bullish BOS (Break of Structure) signals. Liquidity Sweep & Reclaim: Price swept the EQH zone and reclaimed above minor liquidity; signaling intent to push above $397–$398 (weak high). Premium Zone: Currently tapping into a premium supply area (~$395–$397). A clean breakout could target $406.95 (external range objective). Demand Zones: Two clear high-volume demand blocks at $383.40–$385.00 and $377.50–$380.00, showing institutional interest. 📌 Trade Plan Element Value 🟢 Entry $392.50–$393.50 (upon BOS retest or bullish engulf above premium zone) 🔴 Stop Loss Below $383.00 (beneath OB and EQ zone) 🟡 Target 1 $397.50 (weak high) 🟡 Target 2 $406.95 (HTF resistance + Fib 1.0) ⚠️ Invalidation Close below $383.00 with strong volume 🧠 Macro Context NASDAQ:MSTR remains highly sensitive to Bitcoin fluctuations. As of today, BTC is holding steady above $60K. With a dovish Fed and rising crypto ETF inflows, sentiment favors risk-on tech and crypto-linked equities. The recent uptick in NASDAQ:MSTR volume during demand tests suggests ongoing accumulation by informed participants. ✅ Sentiment Score: 83 / 100 High-probability SMC setup with strong technical alignment and supportive macro backdrop. For educational purposes only. Posted by WaverVanir_International_LLC (APA7: TradingView, 2025)
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
MSTR Bulls Reload on BTC ConvictionMSTR – Institutional Flow + BTC Correlation + Bull Vertical Spread Setup MicroStrategy (MSTR), operating as “Strategy,” just went full throttle—adding 10,100 BTC between June 9–15 at an average of $104,080 per coin, totaling over $1.05B. With this, they now hold 592,100 BTC (>$63B), solidifying their status as the largest Bitcoin-holding public company. That’s a bold move amid the ongoing Israel-Iran macro uncertainty, signaling confidence, not caution. This latest BTC buy was funded via STRK and STRF ATM offerings and the $979.7M STRD preferred IPO. Since initiating their Bitcoin treasury strategy in 2020, MSTR has soared over 3,000%, and they’re projecting a 25% BTC yield for 2025 after already clocking in at 13.7% YTD. 🔎 Flow Watch Institutional activity around current price levels has been sharp—confirming conviction behind the recent momentum. With BTC hovering at critical support, I’m eyeing a potential short-term bullish reversal. Given the tight correlation between BTC and MSTR, the setup looks primed. 🎯 My Strategy I’m targeting a bull vertical spread—buying the 382.5 call and selling the 385 call. This defined-risk, limited-reward setup positions me to capture near-term upside if BTC begins a rebound and MSTR follows suit. The tight strike range and elevated IV make it ideal for a premium-efficient directional bet.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Wiiso
Strategy in SatoshiLooks like MSTR/BTC is being supported by the moving averages, as volatility drops under the all-time descending overhead. What this means is that once the overhead is breached, then MSTR starts to move more than BTC. You start to get days where MSTR moves 3x BTC, and 4x. What MSTU does, only the few and the proud know. It's not for you to know. You are too smart to hold long term an asset which is not intended to be held overnight. Only a fool would do it, or a crazy person, or a very shrewd person with a long time horizon and a middle finger to the taxman.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Shammus01
MicroStrategy (MSTR) – Bullish Price Reaccumulation Above EquiliAfter consolidating above the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone, NASDAQ:MSTR shows signs of institutional reaccumulation. The daily chart highlights a breakout from equilibrium with bullish intent, supported by increasing volume and smart money concepts. 📐 Technical Breakdown: Price reclaimed the 0.786 retracement level ($388.74) and broke above equilibrium, suggesting bullish continuation. Higher lows, BOS (Break of Structure), and CHoCH zones confirm smart money accumulation pattern. Fib target remains at $475.57 (1.236 extension), with supply zones marked between $504–$550 (premium zone). Volume profile shows a tapering discount zone—indicating sellers are drying up as value shifts higher. 🧠 Macro & Fundamental Context: As a Bitcoin-proxy equity, MicroStrategy’s price is heavily correlated to digital asset flows. Bitcoin ETF inflows have stabilized, and if BTC holds above $60K, NASDAQ:MSTR could accelerate. Macro tailwinds: Continued Fed pause, easing liquidity stress, and rising appetite for risk-on assets support the upside thesis. 📌 Key Levels: ⚡ Breakout: $388–$394 🔍 Target: $475.57 (1.236 Fib) 🛑 Invalidation: Close below $355.88 (0.618 Fib and volume shelf) 📈 Bias: Bullish 🧭 Timeframe: Swing to Position 🔗 Posted by WaverVanir_International_LLC This post is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. (APA7: TradingView, 2025)
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Could Microstrategy be a 1 Trillion dollar mcap company?!Microstrategy and Michael Saylor evoke a spectrum of opinions, with analysts offering a diverse range of potential future valuations. High risk, high reward! The destiny of Microstrategy’s market capitalization is clearly linked to Bitcoin’s performance. The company has been utilizing debt to acquire the cryptocurrency, aiming to create significant spreads. This leverage is the reason why the stock has significantly outperformed Bitcoin throughout 2024. I am confident that Bitcoin can indeed reach $200k, with a potential upper price target of $250K for this cycle, indicating a potentially explosive Q3 and Q4. The lingering question is how much additional FOMO and premium Saylor can cultivate for his leveraged vehicle in such an environment? That's why charting is such a key component to any personal investing strategy IMHO, as we navigate these markets.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by BallaJi
2
MicroStrategy another pull back before all time high?NASDAQ:MSTR analysis update.. 📉 𝙇𝙤𝙣𝙜 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 The weekly R5 pivot target is bold at $1500 but definitely possible as a max greed scenario when the triple tailwind of Bitcoin, SPY and Bitcoin treasury companies trends return. 📉 𝙎𝙝𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 retracement is expected to end around the S1 pivot at $341 and a secondary target of $321. Irans conflict has investors shaken and not willing to hold assets over the weekend on the fear of worse. However, if the conflict is resolved soon investors could have a great buying opportunity. 𝙏𝙚𝙘𝙝𝙣𝙞𝙘𝙖𝙡 𝘼𝙣𝙖𝙡𝙮𝙨𝙞𝙨 Price appears to have completed wave (B) of an ABC correction in wave 4. Wave C is underway with an expected thrust down (such is the nature of wave C) towards the daily S1 pivot $341. This is also the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, a high probability area for wave 4 to end. A deeper correction will bring up a triple shield of the High Volume Node, ascending daily 200EMA and 0.5 fibonacci retracement at £321. Daily DEMA has death crossed. Safe trading
NASDAQ:MSTR
by Maddox_Metrics
MSTR - EWAVESThis analysis of MicroStrategy (MSTR) is rooted purely in the principles of Elliott Wave Theory. We are closely monitoring both the inner and outer wave degrees to identify the ongoing structure, potential reversals, and continuation patterns. The goal is to map the impulsive and corrective phases across multiple timeframes, giving a high-probability roadmap of price action. This approach helps in understanding the market’s fractal nature and positioning for key inflection points based on wave maturity.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by rasikas108
Time to make a move. Microstrategy upside forecast could be 80%Let's perform a technical analysis of MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock, focusing on Time-based Fibonacci analysis, the potential for a Cup and Handle pattern with a 50% upside target, and briefly touching on Williams Alligator strength. As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:36:57 PM PDT, here's an analysis of MSTR: **Current Price & Performance:** * **Last Price:** $383.88 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025) * **Today's Change:** Down $2.75 (-0.71%) * **After-hours price:** $384.45 (up 0.14% as of 7:59 PM ET on June 27, 2025) * **Previous Close:** $386.63 * **Today's Range:** $383.41 - $397.99 * **52-Week Range:** $102.40 - $543.00 (Note: MSTR reached its all-time high on Nov 20, 2024, at $543.00) --- ### **Time-Based Fibonacci Analysis** Time-based Fibonacci analysis (also known as Fibonacci Time Zones or Time Extensions) aims to predict future points in time where significant price reversals or changes in trend *might* occur. Unlike price-based Fibonacci retracements/extensions, which focus on price levels, time-based Fibs are vertical lines drawn on the chart at specific intervals (Fibonacci numbers like 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, etc.) from a significant swing high or low. **How to apply (Conceptually):** 1. **Identify Key Swing Points:** You would select two significant swing points (e.g., a major low and a subsequent high, or vice versa) on the daily chart. 2. **Draw the Zones:** The charting software then draws vertical lines at time intervals corresponding to Fibonacci numbers from that starting point. **Interpretation for MSTR (Conceptual):** Given MSTR's highly volatile nature and strong correlation to Bitcoin, applying time-based Fibonacci is more speculative than price-based methods. However, if we were to apply it: * **Starting Point:** A logical starting point could be a significant low where a new uptrend began (e.g., the 52-week low of $102.40 from July 2024). Another key point could be a major turning point, like the all-time high of $543.00 in November 2024. * **Potential Relevance:** The vertical lines at Fibonacci intervals after these points *could* indicate periods where MSTR's momentum might shift, or a new leg of a trend might begin/end. * **Current State:** Without knowing the exact start points used, it's hard to pinpoint specific upcoming time targets. However, if MSTR is currently in a consolidation phase (as suggested by the Cup and Handle discussion), a time-based Fibonacci analysis might highlight a potential *date range* when this consolidation could end, and a new trending move might initiate. It's often said that "something" is likely to happen "at" or "near" these time points, whether a reversal, acceleration, or consolidation. **Important Note on Time-Based Fibs:** They are often considered more subjective and less precise than price-based Fibonaccis. They are best used as a confluence tool with other indicators. --- ### **Cup and Handle Forming for 50% Upside** A "Cup and Handle" is a bullish continuation pattern that signals a period of consolidation followed by a potential breakout. * **The "Cup":** A "U" shaped formation where the price declines, bottoms out, and then rises back to approximately the original level. The cup's formation can range from 1 to 6 months. * **The "Handle":** A smaller, shorter consolidation pattern (often a flag or pennant) that forms on the right side of the cup, typically with a slight downward drift. The handle typically lasts 1 to 4 weeks and should form in the top half of the cup. * **Breakout:** A decisive move above the resistance level created by the top of the cup and handle, on increased volume, confirms the pattern. **MSTR - Is a Cup and Handle Forming?** Recent analysis has indeed highlighted the potential for a Cup and Handle formation on MSTR's chart. This implies: * **The "Cup":** MSTR saw a significant run-up to its all-time high of $543.00 in November 2024, followed by a pullback and then a recovery, potentially forming the "U" shape of a large cup. The stock's journey from its 52-week low of $102.40 to its high and subsequent retracement/recovery could be outlining this larger cup. The duration of this "cup" would be several months. * **The "Handle":** The current price action (around $383.88) comes after MSTR has seen a recovery from its lows, but is still significantly below its all-time high. The consolidation MSTR has been experiencing in recent weeks/months after its peak (e.g., trading between roughly $300 and $400 or higher) could be forming the "handle" of this larger pattern. **50% Upside Target:** The upside target for a Cup and Handle pattern is typically measured by the *depth of the cup* projected upwards from the breakout point. * **Depth of the Cup:** If we consider the peak of the cup around $543 and a significant low point (perhaps the bottom of the "U" around $300-$350), the depth could be substantial (e.g., $543 - $300 = $243). * **Breakout Level:** The breakout level would be the previous high of the "cup" (around $543.00). * **Projected Target:** If we use a depth of, say, $243, and add it to the breakout level of $543, that would imply a target around $786. This figure is significantly higher than the current price of $383.88. A 50% upside from the current price of $383.88 would put the target at approximately **$575.82**. This target is plausible within the context of a Cup and Handle breakout, especially if the cup's depth and the breakout confirm such a move. Reaching $575.82 would also put MSTR above its previous all-time high, indicating a new phase of price discovery. **Confirmation:** For this pattern to be confirmed, MSTR would need to: 1. Continue forming a clear "handle" consolidation without breaking down significantly. 2. Break out convincingly above the resistance level (the rim of the cup, potentially around the $500-$540 range) on strong volume. --- ### **Williams Alligator Strength (Daily Chart)** The Williams Alligator consists of three smoothed moving averages: Lips (Green, 5-period), Teeth (Red, 8-period), and Jaw (Blue, 13-period). **MSTR's Alligator State:** * MSTR has experienced significant volatility and swings. After its all-time high in November 2024, it saw a substantial correction, meaning the Alligator's mouth would have likely been open downwards (Blue > Red > Green). * More recently, MSTR has been in a recovery/consolidation phase. * **Current State:** Given today's slight down day (-0.71%), and the general consolidation, the Alligator's lines are likely **converging or intertwined ("sleeping")**. This indicates a non-trending period or sideways movement, where the price is consolidating its recent gains or losses. * **Strength:** When the Alligator is "sleeping," it signals a lack of strong directional conviction. The strength is neutral or weakening from a previous trend. For a strong uptrend to resume (and for the Cup and Handle to break out), the Alligator's mouth would need to "awaken" and open upwards (Green > Red > Blue) on increasing volume. --- ### **Overall Conclusion for MSTR:** MicroStrategy is a highly unique stock due to its significant Bitcoin holdings, which heavily influence its price action. * **Cup and Handle:** There is a compelling argument for a large **Cup and Handle pattern forming** on the daily chart. The implied 50% upside target from the current price, which would take it beyond its previous all-time high, makes this a very interesting setup. Confirmation of this pattern will require a clear breakout above the cup's resistance on strong volume. * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** While more subjective, time-based Fibonacci could provide insight into potential *timing* of trend changes or the end of the current consolidation, which would be crucial for a Cup and Handle breakout. * **Williams Alligator:** The Alligator is likely in a **"sleeping" or consolidating phase**, indicating current indecision or sideways movement. For the bullish Cup and Handle to materialize, the Alligator would need to "awaken" and confirm the new upward trend. **Important Considerations:** * **Bitcoin Correlation:** MSTR's price is highly correlated to Bitcoin's performance. Any significant moves in Bitcoin will heavily impact MSTR. * **Volatility:** MSTR is a highly volatile stock. * **Risk Management:** Always exercise prudent risk management and consider your investment goals. This analysis provides a technical perspective; it is not financial advice. Always conduct your own comprehensive research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by CheeseburgerLover
MSTR in SatoshisI'm touching base on MSRT/BTC because we had another touch of this overhead - confirming the overhead basically, and predicting that if we touch this overhead again, we get a breakout. Nothing has changed in the gameplan. It's just taking time. Time is a rare luxury, and most people don't have it, so the market works to strip the impatient and give to the patient. The market is tuned against you, and still you think you can outwit the market, but it's impossible if you don't have time, and very few do.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Shammus01
Navigating MSTR’s Price Swings: A Smart Options ApproachOverview MicroStrategy (MSTR) has continued to capture market attention due to its aggressive Bitcoin strategy and significant stock price volatility. In 2025, MSTR surged 41% in one quarter but also reported a massive $4.22 billion net loss in Q1, raising concerns about long-term financial stability. Analysts remain divided, setting price targets ranging from $200 to $650, largely dependent on Bitcoin’s performance and broader market conditions. Key Developments Impacting MSTR ✔ Bitcoin Exposure: MSTR maintains a large Bitcoin position, making its stock highly correlated to BTC’s price movements. ✔ AI Integration: The company is investing in AI-driven products, which could provide diversification outside of Bitcoin. ✔ Institutional View: Analysts remain split on MicroStrategy’s valuation due to its uncertain revenue model. ✔ Macro Volatility: Market-wide sentiment, interest rates, and crypto regulations will influence MSTR’s trajectory. Options Strategy for the Week 🚀 Iron Condor Setup for June 6 Expiration To capitalize on MSTR’s volatility while managing risk, an Iron Condor strategy is structured within a controlled range: - Inner Range: Sell Calls at 395 and Puts at 335 - Coverage: Buy Calls at 415 and Puts at 315 ✅ Objective: Profiting from sideways price movement while minimizing exposure to extreme volatility. ✅ Risk Management: If MSTR breaks above 415 or below 315, the long positions hedge against excessive losses.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by Wiiso
MicroStrategy: The Dumbest Bet on WallStreetMicroStrategy: The Bitcoin Bet Masquerading as a Tech Company Introduction: A Software Company Turned Crypto Casino Once upon a time, MicroStrategy was a business intelligence firm. Today, it’s a Bitcoin holding company disguised as a software business. Its market cap has ballooned to over $100 billion, not because of its software, but because of its aggressive Bitcoin purchases. Investors aren’t buying a company—they’re buying a leveraged bet on Bitcoin. And that bet? It’s built on debt, dilution, and dangerous financial engineering. The Math Problem: MicroStrategy’s Obscene Valuation MicroStrategy is worth three times the value of its Bitcoin holdings. Let that sink in. If you buy MicroStrategy stock, you’re effectively paying three times the price of Bitcoin. It’s like buying Bitcoin at $245,000 per coin when the actual market price is far lower. This isn’t investing, it’s financial insanity. The Debt Trap: How MicroStrategy Keeps the Illusion Alive MicroStrategy’s entire strategy revolves around issuing debt to buy more Bitcoin. It has borrowed $7.27 billion through convertible bonds. Here’s how the cycle works: MicroStrategy issues debt at low interest rates. It uses the money to buy Bitcoin. The stock price rises because investors think it’s a genius move. The company issues more shares to raise more money. It buys more Bitcoin—and the cycle repeats. This is not a sustainable business model. It’s a Ponzi-like structure that depends entirely on Bitcoin’s price continuing to rise. The Accounting Trick: Hiding the Losses MicroStrategy has been misleading investors with custom financial metrics. It created terms like BTC Yield and BTC $ Gain to make its Bitcoin strategy look profitable. But in reality? It recently disclosed a $5.91 billion unrealized loss on its Bitcoin holdings. And when that news broke, its stock dropped 8.67% in a single day. This isn’t a company, it’s a high-stakes gamble. The Risk: What Happens When the Bubble Bursts? MicroStrategy’s survival depends on Bitcoin’s price never crashing. If Bitcoin falls, MicroStrategy’s stock collapses. And here’s the worst part: If Bitcoin crashes, MicroStrategy might have to sell its holdings, triggering a death spiral. If investors lose confidence, the company can’t issue more debt, and the illusion falls apart. If regulators step in, MicroStrategy’s entire strategy could be dismantled. This isn’t a safe investment. It’s a ticking time bomb. Conclusion: The Dumbest Bet on Wall Street MicroStrategy isn’t a tech company. It’s a leveraged Bitcoin casino. Investors aren’t buying innovation, they’re buying hype, debt, and financial engineering. And when the illusion fades, reality will come crashing down. So ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by CassianDrake
Strategy Finished Consolidating, New High With BTC Leading MicroStrategy (MSTR), the stock is currently demonstrating significant volatility and a strong correlation with Bitcoin's price movements, acting almost like a leveraged play on the cryptocurrency. From a charting perspective, MSTR has been in a long-term bullish trend since its pivot to a Bitcoin acquisition strategy. However, it's prone to sharp corrections following Bitcoin's pullbacks, indicating high risk and reward. Key technical levels to watch would include its 200-day and 50-day moving averages as potential support and resistance zones. The charts are now flashing strong signals that this sideways accumulation phase is drawing to a close. With Bitcoin (BTC) showing renewed strength and eyeing fresh all-time highs, MSTR, as the largest corporate holder of the digital asset, appears poised to break out. The correlation remains a potent force, and the current setup suggests MSTR is ready to re-engage its upward trajectory, targeting new price peaks in tandem with BTC
NASDAQ:MSTR
by TradingMula
13