TLT Trading The MTF Corrective CycleIn this update we review the recent price action in TLT and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target01:19by Tickmill3
$TLT: Keep an eye on this$TLT has reached the end of a huge weekly and monthly down trend, and made me think it could be a long lasting bottom for fixed income here. Question is: Does this low hold after the next FOMC or not? The daily chart shows a setup where a daily uptrend is set to expire by tomorrow, which could mean the current advance is over, or, perhaps, it needs some time sideways to build for a new move to the upside over time. If you can figure out what bonds will do, you have pretty big odds of getting all the rest right overall, so I'm extremely motivated to figure out what comes next here. Keep an eye out for the daily signal outlook here, and be on guard for a weekly scale breakout to the upside to buy or add to existing longs. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.by IvanLabrieUpdated 8
#TLT - US 20 year bonds ready for another leg higher?Looks like bonds could break up here- target approx $117 - like the look of thisLongby MarcoOlevano1
Inverse Head & Shoulders Reversal Pattern ConfirmedAn inverse Head & Shoulders has confirmed the neckline with a price target of 127 by the end of June. Last Jan I posted this recession projection for TLT And then I projected the spike in yields on the 10Yr right before the Aug Rug Pull from Jerome Powell. Finally catching the double bottom reversal at the bottom at the lows of 91.85 Bond bears are calling this reversal a trap/mistake suggesting a Mistake in 2 rate cuts in the 2nd half of 2023. I only monitor TLT for technical analysis and to confirm / invalidate trends for the S&P 500. Not financial or trading advice.Longby SPYvsGMEUpdated 1111
Short to C wave, but im a buyer of the DipsI'm both a bull and a bear on the 20yr treasury etf (TLT).. I created a long term buy analysis basis on the bullish cypher pattern I see forming at the conclusion of D leg. I like the yield of the 20yr treasury bond which is over 4%.. The dividend yield on the 20yr Treasury etf is 2.49% currently, and I expect it to rise. The dividend is paid monthly. I see the yield rising as the price of TLT declines . I see the dividend yield potentially rising to 4% , that would be an outstanding monthly yield for long term holders. You can also sell puts here, or calls to generate revenue. Long term buyer, and Call writer (which will lower my cost basis, and return use the upfront premium to buy more shares of this etf, further increasing the yield and dividends)Shortby moneyflow_traderUpdated 3
Include $TLT in Your Portfolio 🪙Bonds are seriously underperforming stocks and TLT has been on a downtrend since the onset of Covid lockdowns when global governments printed massive amounts of money to prop up the equity markets. In Oct 2022, TLT broke below the 2014 low and then recovered nicely. I believe allocating like 10% in treasuries will be beneficial with the outlook of 2-4 years as we can expect the world to start to work around the sticky high interest rate environment.Longby raamraj2
Bullish Cypher set up Short to D leg then get bullishlooking at the 4hr chart of TLT, I see a Bullish Cypher set up in which im inclined to short from C leg to D leg. In addition, the AD and money flow is rolling over the 9/18ema on the 4hr chart.. Minimum target is $98, then look for direction if weakness still exists look for 93Shortby moneyflow_trader0
Treasuries 2023 outlook. Bad things will happen.The overwhelming majority of 1-3-5 structures exhibit the time property where the market spends less time between 3-5 compared to 1-3. The ratio between the two usually lies between 0.382 and 0.786. This gives us a very good indication that 2023 will indeed by the pivotal year for the Treasuries. It is my firm belief that the sell-off in Treasuries will reach a point where a global repricing of all yielding assets will happen, causing the crash in the markets worldwide. If it's not happening yet, it only means that Treasuries haven't moved low enough. They will keep grinding lower and investors will be forced to take notice. 2023 will be the time when SPX will hit 1500, while EURUSD will finally reach 0.75, and EURJPY will land below 88.Shortby AndyM333
Going Higher...Short term pull backs will be bought up here quite fast I assume, Break and re-test of fork where circled this is textbook Andrews.Longby Swoop61
Bonds to outperform stocks in 23 Long TLTWith inflation pressures easing and the Fed soon to pivot from raising interest rates Bonds should catch a bid here. I like long TLT the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF. Look for bonds to start 23 strong and outperform a slumping market. Longby The_Pain_TradeUpdated 0
LONG Term Treasuries With the yield curve inverted, inflation slowing rapidly and global growth expectations revised downwards, long term treasury bonds are looking like an excellent allocation right now. A reversion to 2% on 30 Year yields over the next couple of years would produce double digit Annualized returns. Full story here: matthewiesulauro.substack.comLongby IceTrading2
TLT Trade Levels & TargetsIn this update we review the recent price action in TLT and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to targetLong01:48by Tickmill3
TLT - US 20 Year Treasury SELLOFF Treasury yield is the effective annual interest rate that the U.S. government pays on one of its debt obligations, expressed as a percentage. Put another way, Treasury yield is the annual return investors can expect from holding a U.S. government security with a given maturity. Treasury yields don't just affect how much the government pays to borrow and how much investors earn by buying government bonds. They also influence the interest rates consumers and businesses pay on loans to buy real estate, vehicles, and equipment. Treasury yields also show how investors assess the economy's prospects. The higher the yields on long-term U.S. Treasuries, the more confidence investors have in the economic outlook. But high long-term yields can also be a signal of rising inflation expectations. Treasury yields are inversely related to Treasury prices. Treasury yields can go up, sending bond prices lower, if the Federal Reserve increases its target for the federal funds rate (in other words, if it tightens monetary policy), or even if investors merely come to expect the fed funds rate to go up. An inverted yield curve on which the yield on the 10-year Treasury note has declined below that on the 2-year Treasury note (to cite just one popular benchmark) has usually preceded recessions. A rising yield indicates falling demand for Treasury bonds, which means investors prefer higher-risk, higher-reward investments. STONKS GO UP, FORCING THE FED TO REMAIN HAWKISH! A falling yield suggests the opposite. Shortby EpicEconomics1
TLT BONDS TREND UPTLT is showing insider buyers into this etf... showing inflation might have peaked and bonds will be worth invest now... levels on chart... INSIDERS buying it Longby diegotrader99880
Update On Interest Rates TrendThis is a short video showing the possible reversal in the interest rates trend and direction for the improvement. 03:49by PayItForwardLending0
Trade of 2023? TLT! Big Boring BondsWhat is the big trade for 2023? I think it is going to be BONDS. This is my thesis on going long NASDAQ:TLT to start 2023. I walk through the reason that when yields go up, bond values go down (as did TLT) and why I think that TLT is likely to go back up over the course of this 2023 and beyond.Long17:57by norok4413
TLT Inverse Head & ShouldersI was too busy singing the Bull Blues yesterday to notice. Today had flipped upside down to form a 15m Inverse Head & Shoulders on TLT. Price target is 102.13 I was worried all hope of a bullish start to the new year was lost. Jan 10 will be the next date to put on on my Calendar. Longby SPYvsGMEUpdated 7
The Anatomy of the TLT; Cycle analysis by ThestructuredThis is my dissection of the TLT chart into the classic stages of a bubble, with time cycles. Each stage is present and the TLT appears to be in a bottoming process. I'm a big fan of using Fib channels combined with time cycles, because with fib channels, you are looking for a certain line to get hit, wherever that may be, as opposed to traditional fib retracements and extensions where you are looking for exact numbers. I find that with regular fibs, price often overshoots or undershoots them, whereas using a channel, it is more so a time based touch of a line, which si why it works so well with time cycles. Last year I had used these fib channels and cycles to find the current bottom on the TLT, which was an exact touch of the 161.8, right at a (red) time cycle trough region, and also at a strong volume profile node. There are larger, converging cycle troughs shown which should be somewhere in the September area of 2023. It is unclear at this time whether that region will be a higher low, or 'the bottom' (assuming that the 92 area wasn't already 'the' bottom, which it might have been. In any case, I am planning on investing this fall in that major trough zone, regardless of if price is higher or lower than it is now, when that timing region comes. Disclaimer: These charts and posts are a reflection of my own analysis and opinions based on my own analysis. I could be wrong, nothing is guaranteed, and my posts are for educational purposes only, as they are my own pure speculation, and should not be taken as investment advice of any kind. Do you own DD! Longby thestructured2
Ishare 20+ Years Treasury Bond Fund USA Ishare 20+ Years Treasury Bond Fund USA #debadip #profitsolutions by Sunstorminvest0
Bonds to Start the YearAs I mentioned in my 2022 EOY letter... with actual meaningful interest rates now a thing bonds can return yield. While bonds issued in the last decade (or two) are getting hammered in value as higher rate bonds are being issued presently. I think the market is pricing all of this in and if we do get a tapering of rate increases we will see bond values increase. TLT NASDAQ:TLT has a good setup for a TS recapture on the Weekly timeframe from last week. The trade going into 2023 is for the October 2021 low on TLT to hold and move up over the year to recapture 135.Longby norok6
long term bond yields still bear, but go toward bottomim in favor of smashind long term bond yield curve, and inverting the front years more for obvious reasons, namely boj inflation/interest rate planning for example. the bottom is obviously not here for TLT, but i would look towards these boxes in this order.Shortby cerealpatterns0
TLT short term Elliott wave analysisWaves do tell how TLT will move in short term. (Not investment or trade advice!)by memoreister1
TLT New trade > Naked Put New Trade $TSLA Naked Put Strike $99 Premium $0.41 x 3 contract = $123.00 Adding to the previous contracts Strikes 96 and 98 for a total credit of $563.00by IronMan_Trader0