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TLT trade ideas

TLT (Elliot Wave - Analysis) Applying simple Elliot wave analysis, I see an ABC pattern with a failed 5 wave move up marked as X wave, the first ABC is then labeled as W and projected 1:1 ratio from top of (X) brings us down to the box area, where TLT is most likely to find support (1:1 & 1.236 Fib ratio). I see the price dropping without retest of major resistances that it broke through, and a price fall in a straight line is unsustainable, its like stretching a rubber band and eventually price will rebound violently. I would give it a 60% probability of reversal at that point and daily bullish divergence should be a very strong sign of imminent reversal. Cheers
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by Elliot618
$TLT looks like it's heading to the $120 rangeTLT looks like it's formed a massive weird looking head and shoulders pattern on the weekly timeframe. So far, it's managed to hold support in the $134 range. However, that range has been tested a number of times now that I think the next time it test on larger timeframes, support will break. There's little support between here and the $120s so the next logical target to me is at $122-123. Eventually, I can see it hitting the lower targets at $114. Let's see what happens over the next few weeks and months.
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by benjihyam
LONG $TLT $TLT on the monthly chart seems to be getting oversold to the downside and is trading into historical areas of support. Volatility indicator is showing exhaustion levels indicating bottom should be near.. Its worth noting the possible bullish divergence between RSI & Price if bottom is confirmed around $112 or above. Although bond market is basically in free fall mode, yields like US10 Yr are at historic resistance levels and are due for a reversal which should give TLT a bid. Risk/Reward on this seems attractive.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by jtino011
TLT....make or break!US yields have continued their move higher after our accurate call for a breather and our suggested targets were reached a few weeks ago in our february call for 10y yields. TLT has now moved to the "support" area that has proven to be a good buying opportunity a number of times in the last 15yrs. Inflation is here to stay and the FED who has been late seems ready to fight it with more aggresive hikes and QT in the comming months. Does this means that inflation and rates have peaked in the short term as the market has fully priced it in? We think there is a good chance for it, and we think that TLT could prove to be a good buying opportunity at current lvls ($126) for a trade. ultimatley rates will move higher, and the trend will break, but we dont think we are there yet as economy is slowing down and asset markets are likely to correct in the next few weeks/months.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by PD_Capital