NASDAQ Long Term: Deep in Bear MarketAn indicator works until it does not.
The SMA256 on the DAY chart of NASDAQ (QQQ/TQQQ) )has been respected multiple times as both supports and resistances since the end of COVID bullish run starting 2022.
For long-term trend-following traders, this chart shows we are now deep in the bear market (trend reversal happened in early March), stop placing long positions until the next trend reversal is clear.
TQQQ trade ideas
Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 4th 70 Covered Call... for a 68.05 debit.
Comments: Starter position in the first weekly in April ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 68.05
Max Profit: 1.95
ROC at Max: 2.87%
50% Max: .98
ROC at 50% Max: 1.44%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 17th 60 Covered Call... for a 57.91 debit.
Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on ... . Here, going lower net delta by selling the -84 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 2 x expected move 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 57.91/share
Max Profit: 2.09
ROC at Max: 3.61%
50% Max: 1.05
ROC at 50% Max: 1.82%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
Buy and Sell zones for TQQQ Showing Same Sell Signals as SP500
TQQQ buy and sell zones showing in green and red. Yellow is where there is likely to be chop. The monthly starts to give clarity and confirmation of the key tend breaks and the appropriate response from the market this week.
These sell zones correlate nicely with the SP500. I would add to my shorts around Thursday and SP500 Friday's highs.
Short-Term Gamble on a NASDAQ Bounce Using TQQQIn this quick update, I’m taking a speculative short-term trade on a possible NASDAQ recovery after a steep sell-off. Was the market oversold—at least for a day? Maybe. Do I think the pain is over for the longer term? Probably not.
I’m using NASDAQ:TQQQ , a 3x leveraged ETF that tracks the NASDAQ-100 (the top 100 non-financial stocks in the NASDAQ). This means if the index moves up 2%, TQQQ should theoretically gain roughly 6%, and vice versa on the downside. Leveraged ETFs like this are high-risk, time-sensitive instruments—they’re designed for short-term trades, not buy-and-hold investing.
The idea here is that after a sharp drop, institutions might step in to scoop up oversold tech stocks, creating a brief rebound. If that happens, TQQQ could give me amplified upside. But this is purely a gamble—I’m under no illusion that the market has bottomed. In fact, I expect more downside ahead.
I entered in the after-hours session once some of the heavy bearish volume faded, and I’ve set a tight 5% stop-loss to manage risk. Yes, I could get shaken out by an early dip before any rebound, but the stop is there to protect me if the sell-off continues.
This is a high-risk, short-term trade—buyer beware. If you’re considering TQQQ, understand the risks: decay from daily resetting leverage, extreme volatility, and the potential for rapid losses.
I’ll update on how this plays out. Wish me luck in the comments below 😁
Real question is where to take profit...
Opening (IRA): TQQQ May 16th 51 Covered Call... for a 48.05 credit.
Comments: Adding at a strike better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 48.05
Max Profit: 2.95
ROC at Max: 6.14%
50% Max: 1.48%
ROC at 50% Max: 3.07%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call at 50% max.
TQQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 032225Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 59/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
TQQQ stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031725Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 59/161.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 17th 45 Covered Call... for a 43.24 debit.
Comments: Adding to my position at break evens better than what I currently have on, but going a little bit less aggressive net delta-wise, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 2 x expected move short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 43.24
Max Profit: 1.76
ROC at Max: 4.07%
50% Max: .88
ROC at 50% Max: 2.04%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
TQQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysys 030825 Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 68.2/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
TQQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 030625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 68/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Tech should be sold like no other right nowIf the recent mass layoffs and stock buy backs in the tech industry have not been a good indicator for you yet let this chart serve as one: NASDAQ:TQQQ is going down and it will be swift and soon. The triple qs is not only extremely extended but volume for the overall index is currently falling off a cliff, suggesting there is much lower buying interest than it really seems for this index which in the context of bond yields and money market returns rising makes sense. All I can further say is that retail inflows into the tech sector is at an all-time high as of last week's dip AND YET THE OVERALL BUYING VOLUME IS DECREASING simultaneously. That means it is extremely likely institutions en mass are tapering off investment and rotating out which will make the selling sooo much worse once it initially begins in earnest.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 69 Covered Call... for a 67.07 debit
Comments: Not finished with March yet ... . Taking less risk here than I would ordinarily do to give me more room to be wrong, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 67.07 debit
Max Profit: 1.93
ROC at Max: 2.88%
50% Max: .97
ROC at 50% Max: 1.44%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out my short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 72 Covered Call... for a 68.95 debit.
Comments: Starter position on weakness. Selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 68.95
Max Profit: 3.05
ROC at Max: 4.42%
50% Max: 1.53
ROC at 50% Max: 2.21%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens that what I have on at the time, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 68 Covered Call... for a 64.63 debit.
Comments: Starter position on weakness, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 64.63
Max Profit: 3.37
ROC at Max: 5.21%
50% Max: 1.69
ROC at 50% Max: 2.61%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my TP is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 71 Covered Call... for a 67.75 debit.
Comments: Starter position, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 67.75/share
Max Profit: 3.25
ROC at Max: 4.80%
50% Max: 1.63
ROC at 50% Max: 2.40%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals (assuming I can get in at break evens/strikes better than what I currently have on), and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): TQQQ March 21st 69 Covered Call... for a 65.42 debit.
Comments: High IV + weakness. Selling the -75 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 65.42
Max Profit: 3.58
ROC at Max: 5.47%
50% Max: 1.79
ROC at 50% Max: 2.74%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals (assuming I can get in at a break even better than what I currently have on), and/or roll out the short call in the event take profit is not hit.
"The Wall" QQQ Short Setup on Weekly Chart - Bye bye profitsThere is an old saying when you look at macro-economics - 'When people stop buying chips, take your bets off the table". You can always know when the house is about to win. It's when the numbers of people at the chips window is starting to teeter. When the house sees that, they push the buzzer int he pocket of all the dealers - "take the chips back from the public, we are not seeing enough withdrawals to constitude offering any more winnings". So, the dealers take as many chips of your out, to give it back to the bank. When this thing pivots, whose side are you going to be on? I hear the hopium is really good over by the backarack table. Maybe we should try some on leverage before the dealer gets buzzed. Oh wait, what's that sound? It's the sound of 10 years of consolidation and net 0 returns on Total Stock market. Ready to till the earth for food? I'm not, and that's why I'm long treasuries. +5% is better than -30%.