TSLA trade ideas
Tesla - This Is Actually Not Gambling!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) still looks quite bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of weeks ago I published a bunch of analysis, explaining all the reasons for a potential -40% drop on Tesla. However on the higher timeframe, Tesla still looks quite strong and with the bullish break and retest playing out so far, we could even see new all time highs soon.
Levels to watch: $260, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TSLA Eiffel Tower Not CompleteEiffel tower patterns are rare but very powerful TA structures when they develop.
They are very hard patterns to short since we can never know when the wave up ends. However, there is so much information we can extract from them during and after the collapse.
When they are rising and going vertical, and you happen to be in it. The benefits will be great! As the price action sucks in everyone all at once with virtually no sellers.
So, what info can we learn?
On the way up, when this is happening, you should have the ability to recognize it at some point without worrying if you got the top. Take your money and RUN!
Never try to get back in and try to chase it up!
Never try to short it, thinking it is too high, this is the top!
When it tops out, never buy the dip! Bc you know how this structure will end.
Never buy based on some silly FIB or bc it's down too much!
Never buy the base thinking it will go back to new all-time highs, and it is now safe to get back in bc it will only keep going lower, more through time, frustrating you until you puke it up.
So remember this gimmicky sound bite.
"If they don't scare you out, they will wear you out!"
Ain't nobody got time for that! Your money has a much better place to be allocated to make you money instead of being fixated on a chart like this.
The reason people get stuck is bc the move provoked emotion! Then, when they get involved thinking they will be Buffett tomorrow from this one trade, they will experience Euphoria, sadness, anger etc., further provoking even more emotions to the point they become obsessed! Guessing, waiting, hoping, doubling down on and on...
Ask me how I know! hahaha!
While I made a lot of money shorting GME, here is an example of an Eiffel tower with many, many people that have this trading disease I just spoke about.
In conclusion, anyone who believes that TSLA will hit $1,000 blah blah blah and suckered into buying it. You now know you are being honey dicked by a bunch of armatures and bots on X. Beyond TSLA there are many such charts out there tight now that have formed the beginnings of ET. As such, you should know how to recognize it quickly and avoid the pitfalls out there.FYI I called the Top on TSLA ))
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TSLA Diamond Penet BreakoutThe "TSLA Diamond Penet Breakout" strategy suggests monitoring two critical levels: if Tesla's stock price breaks below the "red" level, it indicates a short position opportunity; conversely, breaking above the "green" level suggests taking a long position. This strategy also forecasts a potential 3% price movement following a breakout in either direction, emphasizing the importance of these defined thresholds for trading actions .
TSLA Drill Team is Back
Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, Tesla is facing significant headwinds as we approach its Q1 2025 earnings.
A 13% year-over-year decline in deliveries, ongoing margin pressures from price cuts, and negative consumer sentiment tied to Elon Musk’s political involvement are weighing on the company.
While the energy segment and potential updates on the affordable vehicle could provide some upside, the risk of a disappointing earnings report looms large, potentially exacerbating Tesla’s challenges in a competitive EV market.
Technically
We see that the price is consolidating near the lower boundary of the golden pocket on the FIBO channel on the 1-hour chart. For a few days now, the price has been holding just above the 240.00 support level, but the bearish trend remains dominant with 23 out of 26 technical indicators signaling bearish sentiment as of April 20, 2025.
Entry SHORT around 240$ targeting 220$
Post-earnings, we could see a breakdown below 220.00, targeting the next support at 216.00, from which the future prospects will depend.
Resistance levels: 270, 250, 240
Support levels: 220, 216, 210
The price is struggling to break above the resistance, consolidating over days. With earnings on Tuesday, there’s a high probability of a breakdown if the report misses expectations or lacks clear guidance on growth initiatives.
A break and consolidation below 230.00 could lead to a decline toward 220.00 or even 210.00 in the coming week.
However, if Tesla surprises positively—particularly with strong energy segment growth or clarity on the affordable vehicle—we might see a reversal. Still, the current setup suggests caution, and we’ll need to monitor the price reaction closely post-earnings.
Keep your long term vision NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA at an inflection pointNASDAQ:TSLA weekly chart shown wirh Mcginley indicator (a trend following indicator) and cycle oscillator. Whilst price currently shows a negative bias, I believe price has reached an inflection point as the market seeks direction. Those waiting to buy the dip should wait patiently for entry opportunities upon confirmation of momentum and volume.
[TSLA] Bear Market to $15: Musk’s Empire at Risk?Tesla’s market cap now surpasses the combined market cap of all major automobile producers. Elon Musk is undeniably a genius, yet this staggering valuation owes much to a robust bull market and post-COVID hype. If Tesla were valued using the same earnings and revenue multiples as the average automaker, its stock price would hover between $15 and $20 per share.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Tesla’s chart is one of the most striking I’ve ever seen. It reflects a powerful bull market that has completed an Elliott Wave five-wave structure, signaling that a bear market is likely next.
Wave 4 formed a running triangle—a pattern typical in strong trends—and was followed by a short Wave 5, exactly as expected. Running triangles paired with a brief Wave 5 often indicate distribution. Indeed, Tesla’s chart reveals a beautiful four-year distribution phase (2021–2025). During this period, the stock struggled to climb higher due to persistent selling pressure. Strong hands have now offloaded their shares to weaker hands, setting the stage for a bear market.
A triple divergence on the monthly RSI further confirms extreme overbought conditions and reinforces the case for selling. There’s no significant support until the $15–$20 range.
If my prediction of a 2008-style crash in the S&P 500 (see related ideas) holds true, Tesla could bottom out around $15—a level that, intriguingly, aligns with its COVID-era low.
"Bull market geniuses turn into bear market fools."
Elon Musk net worth derives value mostly from Tesla and SpaceX as other companies are illiquid and very speculative.
Current Musk's Tesla stake is worth around $100 billion if the price falls down to $15 it would be worth $6 billion, all other things being equal that alone would put a significant dent in his net worth.
Musk is widely recognized as someone who leverages his Tesla shares and SpaceX to fund other ventures and lifestyle.
It is not clear at what price level his margin calls are and what arrangements he has with banks but if crash of this magnitude happens all his Tesla shares could be wiped out with possible full blown bankruptcy.
I wish him well and hope he does well, but this scenario is not unlikely and interesting to ponder.
TSLA LONG ~ All the technicals are there!TSLA will still hit $2600 ~ Says Cathie Wood
Will it? Let's take a look ~
ELON is pissing people off and investors are worried, Tarrif FUD, brand deterioration.
All of this doesn't matter
Why?
Pull up TSLA YoY earnings since 2013 and you will see that their revenue growth is outrageous, this past year is really the very first time TSLA flat lined, but holding at 25B revenue.
From a technical analysis since 2013 on the LOG chart, you can see TSLA has done a 10x rally twice, and has held strong support through it's bear cycles. The next it due by 2027.
TSLA has been uptrend for over a year, and broke it's ATH 6 months ago.
Voluming is rising in the longterm
and literally the conservatives love him,
If you think competitors are nipping at their heels think again. The infrastracture that Elon has built with his mega factories, and their positioning in the market is so insane other's don't even come close.
On the short term,
The FUD will wash away,
TSLA is finding support at the bottom of the channel,
shorterm volume is waning on the sell offs,
Shorts will get squeezed by end of June,
and Up and UP TSLA will continue.
BTFD!
Tesla: bounce expected at $200 Support?NASDAQ:TSLA is currently approaching an important support zone, an area where the price has previously shown bullish reactions. This level aligns closely with the psychological $200 mark, which tends to carry added weight in the market .
The recent momentum suggests that buyers could step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If I'm right and buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 260.00 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially leading to more downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
THE DEATH CROSSDeath Cross Triggered During Consolidation: What It Could Mean
The 50 SMA (blue) just crossed below the 200 SMA (red), signaling a Death Cross—a traditionally bearish indicator. But here’s the catch: this didn’t happen during a steep downtrend. It happened during consolidation.
That changes the narrative.
When a Death Cross forms during a period of sideways chop instead of a clear downtrend, it often reflects lagging momentum, not accelerating weakness. It can trap shorts expecting a breakdown, especially if price is coiling above strong support or forming a basing pattern.
💡 Key things I’m watching:
Does price respect the consolidation range low?
Are we forming a bullish divergence on RSI or MACD?
How does volume behave around the cross?
This may not be a "short and hold" moment—this might be a shakeout before trend resolution. Stay sharp. Don't trade the cross, trade the context.
TSLA Setting Up for the Next Big Move?🚘Tesla's been cooking up some serious price action — and now it’s getting interesting. After holding above key supports, bulls might be eyeing their next shot. Here’s the plan I’m watching:
📥 Entry zones:
• 240 (aggressive)
• 215 (ideal support zone)
• 195 (deep discount territory)
🎯 Profit targets:
• 265
• 290
• 355+ (if momentum takes off)
TSLA has been showing signs of accumulation — and if buyers step in near 215–195, we could be looking at the early stages of a powerful move. Of course, nothing is guaranteed. The EV space is competitive, and macro volatility can flip the script fast.
🔍 Keep an eye on volume, trend confirmations, and news that could push sentiment one way or the other.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal analysis and trade idea. Always do your own research and manage risk according to your own strategy.
TESLA | Monthly Analysis After NASDAQ:TSLA hitting its ATH target, 87% - 90% retracement is next target
start of 2027 = will be a buying signal for tesla unless there's some issues involving with Elon Musk, then tesla could experience under performance
Long term investors - prepare for down side inside buying channel
We potentially about to see a HUGE move on TSLAWe broke a SUPER LONG-TERM BEARISH TRENDLINE (blue) on the weekly timeframe.
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We have been RANGING for quite some time...
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TSLA has a personality of explosive, crazy moves
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TSLA builds HUMAN ROBOTS... (SUPER HIGH VALUE in my opinion, the potential for this is astronomical)
What do we actually need for this move to materialize?
We need the market in our favor.
Lets see if the market will push strongly up or bleed down.
Please also note that before explosive move previously that no one believed it would happen, the earnings reports of TSLA were RED the same as now.
ALWAYS MAKE SURE YOU MANAGE YOUR RISK.
Tisk Tisk TSLAShort thoughts on a neutral area. TSLA broke out of what appears to be bear flag to me. I also see an inverse cup & handle. We may attempt to retest and/or regain the channel. If we fail, 225-220 is my target. Demand zone marked. More journal notes this week to stay focused on the trade(s).
Bear Flag:
www.bapital.com
Cup & Handle:
www.investopedia.com
Inverse Cup & Handle ( from our very own Trading View):
youtu.be
Theory: Tesla Stock is just Nvidia Stock in May 2012In this video, I go over the legit possibility of Tesla stock simply looking exactly like Nvidia did in May 2012, and I compare sentiment and chart patterns that look near identical to put together a picture of what the future potentially holds for Tesla stock