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TSLA trade ideas

Tesla (TSLA) - The Big Short?Can Tesla save itself from the Big Short? With earnings coming up on April 29, the anticipated sales and earnings may be dismal. If hedge funds and retirement managers decide to lighten their exposure, this could lead to abrupt moves in the price of Tesla. Basically, if people want to sell and no one wants to buy at this price, then price has to go down. Also if Tesla hits a certain price on the way down, then all the loans like those used to purchase Twitter may margin call due to risk, more selling. This would not be good for Tesla or the market in general. Also keep in mind that April may be a pullback month for the S&P500 and Nasdaq anyway. So, what does Tesla need to do to combat this? 1. Deliver new products or announce the delivery of new product. 2. Deliver on full self driving along with the Robo Taxi service 3. Deliver on a new cheaper Tesla Model that can be used by individual owners to participate in the Robo Taxi network (Income for the buyer). 4. Deliver on a redesigned Cyber Truck. The current design in getting banned in European countries. Therefore, missing out on sells. 5. Deliver on mass productoin of humanoid robots and AI agents (someone has to be first). This will create excitement but can be tricky since it will unleash AI on the world which can be great but also introduce risk that have not been vetted. Such as, who controls the AI? Who is the AI 'loyal' to? What can people or Tesla ask AI to do? Are there morality rules? Is AI subject to the law? Who's laws based on the Country, State, or county/city it resides or where it was manufactured? 6. Advertise all the positive things about Tesla as a company and the cars as a product. Explain why someone should buy a Tesla over a BYD brand electric car in markets around the world. These are just a few suggestions for Tesla to avoid The Big Short. What are some of your ideas?
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by PortfolioBuildersClub
Tesla Bull Trap is copiumThere is currently 0% probably of a substantial breakouts in either direction. Tesla is crabbing and will likely continue to crab with high volatility until May. Nothing about the fundamentals has changed, and no technicals in terms of trend, volume, momentum, volatility and options chains suggests a reversal is nessary. The overall damage Elon has done to the brand is likely irreversible at this point. Sales in Germany are down I believe 90%, and more than 50% in the US, meanwhile in China BYD is dominating. Moreover, China or Germany could seize the gigafactory in retaliation for tarrifs if they wanted. That only leaves Texas and Nevada as manufacturing hubs on products without any sales. The promise of a fleet is a pipedream because FSD is not safe. Though this regime may push it through for Elon's benefit, it would only serve to incr3ase liabilities on their balance sheet and further damage the brand so it's not the moon shot he presents it to be. The entire brand was built on climate pledges and hope. The CEO has now endorsed big oil, he's running massive gas generators for AI, supports the regime that backed out of the Paris Agreement (again) and the protests are growing in momentum without any sign of slow down. In short TSLA is in the "find out" phase.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by livingdracula
TESLA: A Good Trade for Bulls AND BearsTesla has an Elon problem aka a SENTIMENT problem I am a 100% Technical Trader I am an avid believer in Elliott Wave Theory and Socionomics From those perspectives its clear to me that Tesla is in trouble...long term Tesla went from essentially a meme like stock to a media and Institutional darling The meteoric rise in the stock was largely because of belief in Elon..the person Yes his companies have done some pretty amazing things..but if we are honest there are tons of failed promises in their past and now we are seeing competitors start to really make ground This is showing up in vehicle pricing and units delivered..both trending down The problem Tesla stock truly has though is that soooooo much of the company sentiment is tied into a belief in Elon- the person..versus the fundamentals of the company and their actual products (cmon we all know LIDAR is better smh) As his popularity wains... so will Tesla So with that said the charts are setup to provide opportunities for BOTH BULLS and BEARS over the next few years. The chart show really clean places to take and hedge positions... but long term BULLS need to be keely aware of the "Trouble" line because if and when it breaks Tesla will be in serious trouble
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Heartbeat_Trading
Tesla Stock Continues to Trade Within a Bearish ChannelThe monthly movements of Tesla's stock continue to reflect persistent downward pressure, with a decline of just over 10% since the beginning of March, showing steady selling interest. The bearish sentiment has remained in place as growing discontent over Elon Musk's political positioning has damaged the brand's image, while concerns over a potential trade war have raised fears that Tesla’s international sales may be negatively affected. Bearish Channel: Currently, the most important formation on the chart is a strong bearish channel that has remained intact since the final days of December 2024. So far, recent bullish attempts have failed to break out of this structure, reinforcing the broader bearish bias in the long-term outlook. MACD Indicator: The latest movements in the MACD histogram have started to show a notable decline, indicating that momentum in the moving average trend may be fading in the short term. This is likely due to the price reaching the upper boundary of the bearish channel, where resistance remains strong. ADX Indicator: The ADX line is currently trending downward, hovering just above the neutral 20 level. As this pattern continues, it reflects a lack of strength in recent price movements, pointing to growing indecision, which in turn reinforces the current resistance zone where the price is consolidating. Key Levels to Watch: $290: A significant resistance zone, aligning with the top of the bearish channel and the 200-period moving average. Sustained buying above this level could threaten the current bearish structure and signal the start of stronger bullish pressure. $220: A key support level, representing the recent lows in the stock. A clean break below this zone could confirm a stronger bearish trend, opening the door for more aggressive selling in the sessions ahead. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FOREXcom
TSLA Reversal or Continuation? Gamma Magnet at Work – Watch This ⚠️ Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Setup Current Price Zone: ~$268.41 * TSLA recently broke structure to the upside (BOS) after a strong rally from the previous CHoCH zone near $230–240. * After tapping into the supply zone at $282–288, price has pulled back toward $267–268. * Still trading above all major recent swing lows and inside a potential retracement zone. Indicators: * MACD: Bearish cross, momentum slowing after breakout. * Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a possible bounce opportunity. 🔐 Key Zones Support Levels: * 267.50–268.00 → HVL + consolidation zone; key intraday pivot. * 255 → Strong demand / GEX support zone. * 250 → PUT wall and prior consolidation base. Resistance Levels: * 282.5–288 → Supply zone + 2nd CALL Wall. * 300 → Gamma Wall and highest positive GEX — strong resistance unless momentum breakout. 🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade Sentiment) * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 — Fully Bullish * IVR: 62.7 → High implied volatility, tradable swings. * IVx avg: 81.2 * CALL$%: 32.4% → Bullish call flow dominates. * Support Walls: * 255 (PUT Wall 1) * 250 (Put Support) * Resistance Walls: * 282.5 (CALL Wall 2) * 300 (Gamma Wall) 📌 With strong bullish options flow and GEX positioning, market makers are likely to support pullbacks and encourage reversion higher unless 255 breaks. 🛠️ Trade Scenarios 📈 Bullish Setup – Rebound from 267–268 Zone * Price respects current HVL zone and shows reversal signs. * Entry: Break above 270 or reclaim with volume. * Target 1: 275 * Target 2: 282.5 * Target 3: 288–300 (extended breakout) * Stop-Loss: Below 265 * Options Play: * Long Apr 12 $275 Calls * Aggressive: $280/$290 Call Spread targeting breakout to Gamma Wall 📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 267 * If 267 fails and price breaks into lower zone. * Entry: Break below 265 with strong volume * Target 1: 255 * Target 2: 250 * Stop-Loss: Above 270 * Options Play: * Long Apr 12 $260 Puts * Debit Spread: Buy $265 / Sell $255 Puts 🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias * Bias: Bullish unless 267 fails. * Key Level: 267.5 (gamma pivot) – price staying above suggests bullish continuation. * GEX Implication: Dealers are long calls and may hedge by buying dips → supportive near 255–267. 📍 Ideal play today: Watch for early reversal near 267, and scale into calls on confirmation. 📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Here's Why I'm Bullish on TSLA: Smart Money is Buying...Here's Why I'm Bullish on NASDAQ:TSLA Multi-Timeframe Analysis Using Larry Williams' Methods After a significant downtrend, NASDAQ:TSLA is presenting multiple bullish signals based on Larry Williams' methodology. The weekly and daily timeframes are aligning for a potential reversal opportunity with clearly defined risk parameters. Weekly Timeframe Analysis The weekly chart reveals several key bullish indicators: - The COT Proxy Index shows commercials are buying at significantly higher levels compared to 6 months ago, 1 year ago, and 3 years ago. - Seasonality patterns have reached a turning point, now indicating the beginning of an uptrend phase - The WillVal indicator shows NASDAQ:TSLA is currently undervalued at multiple securities (DXY, QCCH, ZBLU all showing "Under") - ADX reading above 60 (currently at 62.42) signals the existing downtrend is likely exhausting and nearing completion Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily chart, we're seeing initial confirmation signals but still waiting for the optimal entry setup: - The general market has created a Rally Day, and we're now watching for a Follow Through Day to confirm the new uptrend - Price structure requires further confirmation through a change of character before entry - The ProGo indicator has already turned positive, providing an early bullish signal - Williams %R is showing oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce - We need the Large Traders index to turn its slope upward for additional confirmation Entry Strategy I'm looking for one of these entry triggers: - Primary : First pullback after change of character , using Williams %R for precise timing - Alternative : Entry on first pullback after price moves above the WillTrend line - Aggressive option : Entry if price breaks above the $245 resistance level Profit Targets & Risk Management Targets: - First target: $327 (1.27 Fibonacci level) - Second target: $390 (Larry Williams Target Shooter -> 2.00 Fibonacci level ) Risk Management: - Initial stop loss: $228 or 120% of ATR(3) from entry point - Once in profit, trailing stop based on price closes at WillTrend levels The confluence of indicators across timeframes suggests a significant reversal potential in NASDAQ:TSLA , but waiting for daily chart confirmation will provide a higher probability setup with clearly defined risk parameters. DISCLAIMER This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. The ideas and strategies presented should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation. This content is not financial advice and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or to engage in any specific investment strategy. All investment carries risk, including the possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment. Past performance of securities, including the patterns, signals, and indicators discussed, is not indicative of future results. The author does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information presented. Each investor should conduct their own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions. Trading Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock involves significant risks that may not be appropriate for all investors. You should only invest funds that you can afford to lose.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradeVizion
TESLA formed the new bottom and is going for $600.Tesla / TSLA is on the 2nd straight green 1week candle, crossing above the 1week MA50. With the 1week RSI bouncing on the 2 year Rising Support, the Channel Up has technically formed its new bottom. Both the current and the previous one were formed on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level after a -55% decline. If the bullish wave is also as similar as the bearish waves have been, the price should reach as high as the -0.382 Fib extension. Buy and target the top of the Channel Up at $600. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TheCryptagon
Go Long on TSLA: Targeting a Bullish Rebound Next Week - Key Insights: Tesla's stock is presently experiencing heightened volatility, influenced by delivery figures, significant corporate updates, and economic conditions. The anticipation around Tesla's delivery report and advancements in AI and autonomous vehicles suggests possible bullish movements if current trends hold. - Price Targets: Next week’s price target ranges for a long position are set between $274 (T1) and $282 (T2). Stop levels are strategically placed below current market sentiment impacts, with S1 at $252 and S2 at $250 to manage downside risks. - Recent Performance: Tesla's recent market activity reflects significant fluctuations tied to delivery data and broader tech sector challenges. The stock's price has hovered around key resistance and support levels, indicating potential readiness for an upward movement should positive catalysts emerge. - Expert Analysis: Influential figures like Cathie Wood maintain a positive outlook on Tesla, driven by the company's AI advancements and potential in the autonomous vehicle sector. Analysts have pointed out that Tesla's exposure to international tariffs is relatively moderate compared to its competitors, possibly positioning it advantageously within the automotive market. - News Impact: Key upcoming reports, particularly Tesla's delivery announcement on April 2nd, could dramatically affect stock perception and investor sentiment. Advancements in AI, particularly the potential launch of Robo taxis, are seen as game-changers for Tesla's market valuation. Meanwhile, operational and regulatory challenges remain, including the uncertain impact of geopolitical moves such as tariff implementations.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading