Take - Two Interactive SoftwareIn this idea, I will analyze the current situation of TTWO and continue the analysis I previously carried out ( ).
Following everything that was mentioned in the previous idea, it has been said that GTA VI will only be released on May 26, 2026 (something that can only be confirmed with 100% certainty on that day).
This same news delayed, to some extent, the upward trend that could have occurred with the release of the game (GTA VI) and its sales this year.
Of course, this company doesn't rely solely on GTA, and I believe that with the release of other games, the company will continue its upward trend. However, I think that with the sales of GTA VI, there will be a strong bullish trend in 2026.
This is a long-term analysis, which should also be accompanied by solid fundamental analysis.
The long position tool shown on the chart serves only as a support for the trade entry.
Several moving averages and a Parabolic SAR were also used in this analysis, to which special attention should be given.
TTWO trade ideas
Take Two | TTWO & GTA VI. Part IITakeTwo Interactive is preparing for the biggest catalyst in the company's history with the release of GTA 6. Although no definitive timetable has been set for GTA 6, the game will almost certainly release in 2024 or 2025 at the latest given all the information that has come out. Moreover, TTWO itself has started opening up about GTA 6, which is a hint that an announcement is near. The impact that GTA 6 will have on TTWO cannot be understated, given how much resources have been spent developing GTA 6 and the growing consumer frenzy surrounding the title.TTWO could see more upward momentum as GTA 6's release closes in.
GTA 6 is by far the most anticipated video game in the industry's history. The game is so hyped, in fact, that individuals have crashed televised events purely to protest for the release of GTA 6. Even Starfield, which is an incredibly hyped game in its own right, had it Gamescon presentation disrupted by a fan calling for GTA 6. GTA 6 has not even been announced yet, and it seems to have fully captured the attention of the gaming world.
This level of organic hype is an incredibly positive sign for TTWO and its investors. Despite the fact that GTA 5 had nowhere near the hype as GTA 6 at similar stages in their development, GTA 5 still managed to become the best-selling triple A game ever made, with ~185 million units sold. This is a testament to GTA 6's potential, both on a commercial and even cultural standpoint.
If GTA 6 manages to meet or exceed consumer expectations, TTWO should see its shares surge. Given the hysteria surrounding the title, positive reviews will only supercharge demand as consumers will likely find any reason to get their hands on the game. Considering the amount of resources TTWO is rumored to be spending on developing GTA 6, coupled with Rockstar's track record of producing masterpieces, there is very little chance that GTA 6 disappoints.
While GTA is TTWO's most important IP, the company also boasts a strong lineup beyond GTA. In fact, some of its other franchises are bestsellers in their own right. Red Dead Redemption, for instance, has sold more than 55 million units and continues to sell at a solid pace despite the game being nearly 5 years old. Red Dead Redemption has also been critically praised as one of the best triple A games ever made.
TTWO currently has one of its most robust product pipelines in the history of the company across all of its studios. The company has even diversified into mobile gaming, which is proving to be an increasingly large segment in the gaming industry. In fact, TTWO made a huge acquisition in Zynga for a whopping $12.7 billion. Zynga is one of the largest mobile gaming studios in the world and owns massively popular IPs like FarmVille.
Despite TTWO's growing pipeline, the company is still relatively top-heavy compared to peers like EA (EA) or Activision Blizzard (ATVI). This means that underperformance for its flagship franchises, especially GTA, will almost certainly cause the company's value to plummet. So much of TTWO's future prospects are dependent upon the success of GTA 6, especially considering how much revenue the game is expected to pull in.
To gain some perspective on how important the GTA franchise is for TTWO, GTA has generated over $8 billion in revenue since GTA 5's release in 2013. TTWO itself is only worth ~$23 billion. GTA online, for instance, still contributes heavily to the company's recurring revenue and bookings, which came in at $1.2 billion in its most recent quarter.
TTWO has a huge opportunity with GTA 6. The game has garnered unprecedented hype that is starting to grow to a fever pitch. If TTWO delivers a solid sequel, GTA 6 could potentially deliver revenues upwards of ~$20 billion over the next decade, given the revenue trajectory of GTA sequels. At TTWO's current valuation of $23 billion, the company has far more upside, given the potential of GTA 6 and the company's growing pipeline of popular titles.
Take-Two: Keep at It!Take-Two recently hit a new all-time high but quickly pulled back. While the stock tried to recover, it encountered renewed selling pressure. With that all-time high, it came close to the lower edge of our beige Target Zone between $241.59 and $257.87. In our primary scenario, we still expect this zone to be reached as part of the beige wave b. However, there’s a 33% chance the stock will fail to make it there and instead turn lower early—forming a premature corrective low for the blue wave alt.(II) within the blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46.
$TTWO potential future leader ideaBeautiful looking chart post correction. Could be potential leader coming out of market correction. Notes are listed on chart, lots of reasons to like this name as it pulled back less than SPX itself showing powerful Relative strength.
Top of watchlist with a few other names that standout NYSE:BJ NASDAQ:OLLI NASDAQ:PLMR NASDAQ:SFM NASDAQ:ADMA NASDAQ:NFLX
#Stocks
Take-Two (TTWO): Video Game Giant Enters Momentum ZoneTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is a major player in the video game industry, known for publishing blockbuster franchises like Grand Theft Auto, NBA 2K, and Red Dead Redemption. Through its Rockstar Games and 2K labels, the company blends storytelling, graphics, and online engagement to create immersive experiences for players. With gaming demand growing and new titles on the horizon, Take-Two continues to benefit from digital sales, in-game purchases, and a loyal fan base.
The stock chart recently showed a confirmation bar with increasing volume, moving into the momentum zone—when price rises above the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the current trend. This signals renewed investor interest and suggests the possibility of further gains as buying pressure builds.
$TTWO SHORT NO Correction, No BUYAlright, so we’ve had a decent earnings report with no official confirmation of a GTA 6 release, which I suspect is the ultimate retail trap being set by hedge funds. I'm positive it wil be delayed. Exit liquidity for highs is more lucrative when there are big shakeouts preceding it. If its to good to be true it is.
With that said, I have filling the gaps below before heading towards new highs.
gl, trade safe.
End of the Ride for Take Two Interactive. TTWOLooks like an end to an Elliott impulse, with the standard 2-4 line and momentum divergence intact. Posing an entry as MIDAS line along with BB%PCT were crossed and crossed the zero line respectively. VZO and Stoch RSI are unreliable because they do not reflect price action here, probably due to all that recent barbwire trading.
Take-Two: Continued Sideways MovementSince the beginning of February, Take-Two Interactive has been moving mostly sideways with a slight downward bias. Currently, the ongoing beige wave b should continue upward, driving the stock into the beige Target Zone between $241.59 and $257.87. There, this corrective rally should conclude, setting the stage for a sharp downward move. However, if the stock breaks below the support at $135.62, this will signal a premature correction low of the blue wave alt.(II) in the blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46. We assign this scenario a 33% probability.
$TTWO SHORT, GTA 6 Delay Bearish double top here with a clear gap below. I suspect there could be a trap leading up to earnings so there no reason for us to be bullish just yet. Jason Schreier predicts that GTA 6 will be delayed and his track record has been impeccable. Highly recommnend we open short or stay on the sidelines.
Take-Two: Target Zone in Focus!Although a slight downward tendency has been observed in TTWO’s sideways phase, the stock has recently shown new motivation on the upside. While short-term pullbacks cannot be ruled out, we still expect the beige b-wave to extend into our beige Target Zone (coordinates: $241.59 – $257.87), where we anticipate a significant trend reversal. This outlook remains intact as long as the support at $135.62 holds fast. An early sell-off below this level would trigger our alternative scenario of a premature correction low within our blue Target Zone between $107.47 and $46 (33% probability).
Take-Two Rallied. Now It’s Pulled BackTake-Two Interactive Software jumped in November and now some traders may see potential for upside continuation.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price gap on November 7 after earnings and revenue beat estimates. The videogame developer proceeded to multiyear highs after the report, which may reflect bullish sentiment.
Second is the $177.62 level. It was a weekly close on November 15 and the lowest daily closing price after the bullish gap. TTWO probed that level by $0.27 on Friday but has stayed above it. Is support in place above the previous 52-week high?
Next, stochastics have hit an oversold condition and prices are holding the bottom of the Keltner Channel.
Finally, the stock moved sideways between July 2023 and October 2024. But then the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossed above the 100- and 200-day SMAs. They’re now in a potentially bullish sequence, with faster SMAs above the slower. That may suggest an uptrend is resuming after more than a year of consolidation.
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Flight Boarding - Grand Theft Auto 6Hey fellow gamers and number-crunchers, gather 'round! 🎮
Big news alert: Rockstar Games is dropping the first trailer for Grand Theft Auto 6 on December 5, 2023! twitter.com
Now, for those who live and breathe gaming, no further explanation needed. But hey, to the data lovers and boomers in the house, let me break it down for you.
Rockstar is the genius behind hits like Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, Bully, and La Noire. Flashback to 2013 when they unleashed Grand Theft Auto 5, which turned out to be the best-selling console/PC-only game EVER. Talk about a gaming legend!
Fast forward to now, and GTA 5 has racked up a mind-blowing 185 million units in sales by August 2023. That's across three console generations and PC, making it the cash cow of the entertainment world.
Hold on to your controllers because Grand Theft Auto 6 is gearing up for launch, and the prediction is a whopping $1 billion in sales from the get-go! 🤑 Experts are betting on at least 25 million copies flying off the shelves on release day.
For the financial gurus out there, I've got the deets on TTWO Rockstar Games history prices in my previous analysis. And if you're eyeing the market, the sweet spot for entering the trade seems to be at that red horizontal line at 146 - 150. But here's the cherry on top: I believe we're aiming for a new all-time high beyond 210! 🚀
So, who's ready for the next gaming revolution? 🌟 Share your thoughts below and let the positive vibes flow! 🚀🎉
TTWOThe TTWO stock shows strong indicators on the weekly and monthly timeframes, including moving averages and MACD. The stock has formed a triangle pattern on the daily chart, which has been activated with a breakout above the last high. Additionally, it's forming a descending channel on the weekly timeframe, and is currently near its upper boundary. We're preparing for a potential breakout.
There are two scenarios:
Enter directly with the breakout of the descending channel.
A weaker scenario: we wait for a possible pullback from the upper boundary of the channel to test the triangle's lower boundary, then enter a buy position with a stop loss placed below the triangle's last low.
Our price targets are between $17.90 - $179.90, with the possibility of exceeding this range to reach $189.22. It might extend further to $247. The stop loss is set at $145.
TTWO pullback to $165MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play.
I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price above channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM spiked positive
Price at 3.618 Fibonacci level
In at $176
Target is $165 or channel bottom
Stop loss is $178
TTWO heads up at $163: Major Hurdle to Break-n-Run or Pop-n-DropTTWO earnings popped it into a serious resistance.
Bulls should look for a Break-and-Retest entry here.
Bears should look for a Ping-Rejection to go short.
$ 177.21 - 178.53 is the resistance of concern.
$ 166.78 - 167.49 is the first support below.
$ 197.54 - 198.92 is the optimistic bull target.
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Take Two (TTWO) & ROCKSTARTakeTwo Intractive's costs are rising as fast as revenues, and the Zynga acquisition has yet to prove itself. Of course, GTA 6 is an excellent argument, but even this is not without risk; after all, it is not guaranteed that every new GTA is of the highest quality. Overall, it seems that an investment in the company is currently a pure bet on the massive success of GTA 6. But if that's the investment thesis, why invest now?
TakeTwo has an excellent reputation in the industry and trades with a premium valuation compared to the competition. But several points do not look entirely positive. Costs are rising as fast as revenues, and the Zynga acquisition has yet to prove itself. At the same time, shareholders are slowly but steadily burdened by stock dilution and stock-based compensation. Plus, the CEO sold 21% of his shares in April. Yes, eventually, GTA 6 will be released, but if that's the main argument for the investment, you might as well wait another six months and possibly get in at a cheaper price.
The last quarter was not very successful for the company. Revenue was $1.4B but missed expectations by $140M. On a GAAP basis, there was a significant loss per share of -$1.54. They also lowered FY 2023 revenue guidance from $5.8B to $5.4B. The chart below shows the evolution of some metrics over the last five years. Here we see that revenues are increasing strongly, but costs are increasing almost at the same rate, so real profits are not growing.
The company is currently valued at an enterprise value of $19B. The market cap is $16.9B, and the total debt is $3.7B. The P/S ratio is 4.4, and the forward P/E ratio is approx. 25. The share is thus more cheaply valued than the last few years' averages
this year we going to see GTA6 first trailer and probably release data announcement, plus a next gen update for Red dead redemption2
TTWO under 99$ is a buy zone , I managed to buy some shares at 94$ and will buy more if back to 90-80$ zone again